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Golden Sun: The Broken Seal Mini Mafia - Page 2

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 00:00 GMT
#623
Woops totally thought lynch was today
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 00:12 GMT
#625
Yes when i get back i will make a long post
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 06:41 GMT
#686
Hi everyone; first of all I'm glad that people have started to consolidate their posts and begin to respectfully debate.

Raynpelikoneet, I am interested in how you came to the conclusion that SnB is scum, and while I'm sure you can make an argument through looking at his posts and responding in analysis, I don't think that the end result actually lends himself to him being scum; at least not the way that you say.

You say he fucked off, yet he could easily be AFK or simply have ignored you. Which is fine, especially if he's trying to be playing like the greats, in where you ignore people all the time because they're making flawed and ultimately inconsequential points. Basically, not worthy of your accusation.

You also say he didn't contribute shit, yet I think in the posts he has made he has made more thoughtful points than even you perhaps, quote;
On September 13 2013 03:18 strongandbig wrote:

Here's the thing with Ryan. He argues and gets in people's faces and posts a million times as either alignment. The biggest difference is when he's scum he argues about things that don't matter and don't move the town forward, but when he's town he actually pushes on points that are important. Just compare his scum filter from game of thrones and compare that to his town filter from aperture 2, the difference is obvious.

My first reaction is "this is scum Ryan". He's arguing a lot about old partners questions from early in the game but he's finding quibbles and there's no way what koshi thinks of those questions is remotely worth the amount of text Ryan puts in. Ditto for the arguing about whether grack could really have changed his mind for the reasons he said.

I'm not sure about rayne though. For me it's always hard to figure him out for sure because of how constantly interactive he is even as scum.



He took a stance on my analysis of him and said it was bad, despite the fact I proffered that it meant it struck me as town. So even trying to challenge that is a small advance for him.

He also said this:
Anyway I have a problem set due tmo so I'm probably not gonna be voting until tomorrow morning.

Maybe that's why he's ignoring you/ seems hit and run?

To me there are some slight questionable things, but really there are questionable things in almost every post anyone makes, if you look hard enough. I think your reasons are flawed and he should be given more time.

Original Panther

I also think Original Panther is more suspicious than before, due to the fact he's so bent on lynching kush.
I might be more interested, however, if I didn't already objectively think lynching Kush is the right move. OP is suspicious in me in that he's not actually advocating anyone to be lynched, which is questionable to me given all his analysis that he did; he actually offers no strong opinions.
I also slightly agree that he might be trying to simply appear like a contributing town while in reality he doesn't push for anything or make use of his analysis; however I think it would be more beneficial to pressure him now, and make him give opinions.
Finally, there is suspicious and then there is worthy to be lynched day one.

Actually it's interesting why the SnB lynch took off.
I also want to draw attention to Koshi for pretty suspicious behavior.
+ Show Spoiler +
Immediately after SnB's last two posts, Koshi posted this.
On September 13 2013 03:26 Koshi wrote:
SnB dropping some knowledge.
/signed for truth



On September 13 2013 06:58 Koshi wrote:

Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 06:56 raynpelikoneet wrote:
what's good in what SnB said about me?

There is truth in what he says. But the problem is it might not really apply to this game. He says a lot of things that sounds smart/correct but meh.

On September 13 2013 06:49 Koshi wrote:
I want to lynch Pandain, Goodkarma or SnB.


On September 13 2013 07:07 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 13 2013 03:18 strongandbig wrote:

Here's the thing with Ryan. He argues and gets in people's faces and posts a million times as either alignment. The biggest difference is when he's scum he argues about things that don't matter and don't move the town forward, but when he's town he actually pushes on points that are important. Just compare his scum filter from game of thrones and compare that to his town filter from aperture 2, the difference is obvious.

My first reaction is "this is scum Ryan". He's arguing a lot about old partners questions from early in the game but he's finding quibbles and there's no way what koshi thinks of those questions is remotely worth the amount of text Ryan puts in. Ditto for the arguing about whether grack could really have changed his mind for the reasons he said.

I'm not sure about rayne though. For me it's always hard to figure him out for sure because of how constantly interactive he is even as scum.

You say that this is incorrect?
If I read this I nod my head and think "yeah this is true". But in the end he doesn't commit to shit. I also have a problem that he uses the example about you grilling me about OP for 2 hours, which was pretty tedious indeed, but then twists this conversation between us to make everything else he says about you true or at least have more value.

tldr: I feel like SnB is being sneaky.


Pretty interesting, shows to me he's not actually trying to investigate and instead he just makes opinions. Also don't understand how he objectively changed, I don't think it's sneaky at all, and I think this is bad contrived reasoning.


I will later post on why kushm4sta should be lynched.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 06:48 GMT
#687
In essence:
Reasoning on SnB is weak due to fact he posted that he was going to be gone. Also is weak in that at that point he had contributed more than others.

OP is suspicious but I think seeing how he does during the weekend is more beneficial than lynching him. He won't have an excuse to not post, and we can analyze him further than.

Koshi is suspicious for, to me, contrived reasoning, lack of consistency(without explaining why sudden change), lack of actual advocating, and actual, looking at his filter, lack of interest in town.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 06:53 GMT
#688
Actually I will admit however that his mafia game in GoT shows him far more active and interested, while his town game in aperture is similar to now.

So just a general thing to note about his contradiction.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 06:55 GMT
#689
I will also note this:
On August 13 2011 02:47 Koshi wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 13 2011 02:43 Caphe wrote:
Now this is really weird. Minute ago, I cant get the stream working on 500KB. Give up, turn on uTorrent to download some porns. Few minutes later try my luck again and now the stream is working perfectly on 2.2mb O_O.
Guess even stream would like some porns too

Interesting story, where do you download this porn? I think that my "stream" also needs some. :°)


Interesting questions arise.
What did he do with the porn? Where is this stream? Is this in violation of twitch.tv policies, justin.tv at the time?
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 07:28 GMT
#694
I like where this is going
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 19:09 GMT
#976
Hey I'm back please give me things to respond to so I can consolidate everything, also Rayne in my initial skim I didn't see you respond to my post about SnB, please do.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 19:16 GMT
#981
On September 14 2013 04:14 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Okay, had a cigarrette and clamed down.
I promised myself i will not vote for townies this game. I do not know if blubbers is scum. I do not know if OP is scum. I don't think kush is scum. I however know SnB is scum.

##Unvote:
##Vote: StrongandBig

He says i am very hard to read, which is a lie. There is no reason to make such a lie as town. There is no way he has "forgotten" how easy i was as a read on him in Aperture 2. I have proven that with quotes from him post game Aperture.
Therefore SnB is mafia.


You are very hard to read, from what I have read of your posts and other posts from other games, you are aggressive as both alignments and also you actually can make the thread hard to read through your constant, often ill-reasoned spam reminicient of my own play years back.

You are going to be wrong on SnB, your reasoning is inherently flawed and based on meta thinking and omgus, and you need to have a fresh perspective that doesn't inherently judge things you disagree with as scum.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 19:21 GMT
#985
I am reading the thread as we speak, do not worry.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 19:28 GMT
#989
On September 14 2013 04:22 raynpelikoneet wrote:
debears is also mafia because he refuses to comment on my case on SnB. He knows i am right.
He is not defending SnB, he is attacking someone else instead. He also said some time ago that's exactly what mafia does.


This is absolutely horrible reasoning, first you cannot know anyone is right or anything is scum day one, and from what I've read before (I believe) SnB posts again, your reasoning is way mis-tuned.

You say he reads you differently than in Aperture, I don't see how that's a problem at all or warrants you calling him scum. I fail to see how you make the generalization:
1.He's lying (could have easily changed/different perspectives in different contexts)

And then to add to that:
2. You're confident enough in your generalization that he is even >10% scum.

I'm going to stop addressing you now until I make my post.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 19:52 GMT
#1004
To sum up in essence why Rayne's analysis of SnB is flawed:
  • Assumes that his opinion on how easy Rayn is to read hasn't changed in the two weeks since he made his prior post. Assumes that all people make logical statements totally consistent at all times.

  • Assumes SnB has to be lying(goes with above.)

  • His mindset is wrong, isn't from a town-beneficial perspective. He is tunneled( won't really address counter arguments such as mine), showing that his reasoning is going to be bad because of his desire to find scum.


I think Zealos is hugely duspicious and worthy of a lynch. He comes in and says he won't contribute, but gives bland reasoning that shows he's not actually interested in helping town.
On September 13 2013 21:50 Zealos wrote:
Show nested quote +
Zealos: Is this guy his name Isaac or his role pm name Isaac?

That's my name IRL.
I haven't posted much, that is true, but I have had a busy few days from college, and tbh, I find Day 1's a bit of a clusterfuck anyway. I much prefer to look things over once a couple of people are dead. Not a great excuse, but eh.


Trying to play "don't care townie" card
On September 13 2013 21:55 Zealos wrote:
I don't really know how I can prove that I'm town at this point.
I would argue that SnB looks Scummy, while I just look useless, so logic dictates that killing SnB is the best for today, then deciding on me tomorrow, after a bit more time has passed.


If he was town, he would be saying he doesn't even need analysis that shouldn't even be a question.


I also agree with this statement of blub in regards to Zealos.
On September 13 2013 22:13 blubbdavid wrote:
I do not like the fact that Zealos is jumping on the wagon so quickly, without much analysis. Rayn, it may make sense that you feel offended by SnB's posting, but him questioning your meta is not helpful for scum except for making the main speaker (which you are) look bad. As he said on his big post, he is undecided about you.
The only thing I could hold against him is that he wants to see Panda dead.


On September 14 2013 02:49 Zealos wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2013 01:50 blubbdavid wrote:
On September 14 2013 01:42 Papa_Smurf wrote:
On September 14 2013 01:38 Oatsmaster wrote:
On September 14 2013 01:37 Papa_Smurf wrote:
I dont see why you are pushing a 4th wagon at this point in the day oats

What 4th wagon?
Also, I dont see anything but me shouting VOTE OP.
Why arent you voting for OP?
Second read is Blubb.


Op is a fourth wagon. We have only 5 hours left and limited knowldge of who will be here before lynch. Bettwr to concentrate on the 3 main candidates at hand

Yes, let's concentrate, and you may very well start with it. What do you think of SnB?

On September 14 2013 01:40 Oatsmaster wrote:
On September 14 2013 01:14 blubbdavid wrote:
On September 14 2013 01:05 Oatsmaster wrote:
ok snb's case is bad, dunno if it makes him scum.
I still wanna lynch blubbdavid for being like blendy and stuff. His push on Koshi is really newb town or scum.
And his next post is bad too, calling out Grack for nothing really.

Lol, I may be bad and confused and stuff, but not blendy. NOT BLENDY. My case on Koshi, Grack (where some people agreed with me) and Zealos are pioneering work.
And I am calling Zealos out because of that wagonhopping and non-contributions of his. My own views on SnB don't matter in this case.

@rayn I will vote for SnB if it is required.

This isnt addressing. All the shit you are pointing out from Koshi and Zealous and Grack are all like non alignment indicative. Yeah sure all the stuff you pointed out scum do, BUT TOWN DO TO.

You wanting to vote for SnB to save yourself even though you dont really think he is scum is scummy cause if town die, its not as big a deal for them as scum dying.

If I really was scum I could have made it much, much, fucking much more easier for me. Then I wouldn't even have started with Zealos. Or do you think that both me and SnB are scum? And we are trying to evaluate who to sacrifice? Rly?
btw a little tip oats: look out for papa smurf

I'm pretty sure "starting on" the least active player in the game is a safe bet as scum, just saying~
Also, pls guys, my name is above my posts and at the start of the game.

ZEALOS /=/ Zealous : D

This is like 4 pages later? Showing he still follows thread but note he hasn't contributed shit so far at all.


I think zealous is suspicious, I think WoS is suspicious, Oats is supsicious(trying to do lynch which isn't going to happen) . I don't know if blub is really bad, but I can't exactly say he's playing scummy. It seems like a typical "man this guy isn't making any logical sense" lynch into oh shit he's town.


Kush so far hasn't contributed shit. Sorry, hasn't done literally anything. Has admitted he doesn't want to do read the thread, shows he doesn't care, and shows that in the future he won't care. He will be annoying to deal with and town WILL eventually lynch him later if we don't lynch him today.

Instead we should lynch the person who we're going to end up lynching for the same reasons anyway now; deal with blubbers later when we obtain more information, and play it safe.

SnB isn't scum, blubbers seems bad but not certain enough for scum. Zealos also seems scum but again I think we need more information.

Two flips(assuming two kp although there might be three) tomorrow will grant us more than enough information to lynch someone.



Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 19:55 GMT
#1005
On September 14 2013 04:49 Koshi wrote:
Also. I am certain that Kush is not scum.

Please remove votes from him. Pandain? Old Partner?


He seems scum to me because contrary to what you guys say is his "dont' give a shit" style, he attempted to become townie, probably because he can't just yolo away and fuck himself if he is scum.

Still hasn't done anything, and while this is circumstantial the fact that no real support for an obvious lynch like this is indicative that there's not a bandwagon. Instead actually the two most logical people are the ones supporting this.

Isn't that weird?
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 19:57 GMT
#1009
Kush is the play it safe option, we won't really gain any more information on him as indicative of what he's posted. Has clearly indicated he's not going to read the thread(keeps posting currently without effort to read). Scum aren't going to kill him and we shouldn't waste a vig when we can use it for late-game scenarios.

SnB will result in town, if you guys lynch him than the only good thing that will happen is you will realize to listen to me for once. We can win this game if we play it safe and smart, rely around obtaining information and then good scum-hunting.

I advocate lynching Kush because town has to deal with him eventually and it'll result in a lynch anyway of him later on.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 19:59 GMT
#1014
On September 14 2013 04:58 Papa_Smurf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2013 04:55 Pandain wrote:
On September 14 2013 04:49 Koshi wrote:
Also. I am certain that Kush is not scum.

Please remove votes from him. Pandain? Old Partner?


He seems scum to me because contrary to what you guys say is his "dont' give a shit" style, he attempted to become townie, probably because he can't just yolo away and fuck himself if he is scum.

Still hasn't done anything, and while this is circumstantial the fact that no real support for an obvious lynch like this is indicative that there's not a bandwagon. Instead actually the two most logical people are the ones supporting this.

Isn't that weird?


My main problem is that he said "ill read and make reads"

Then says "I won't do it don't have time", but continues to post stupid shit

Then votes GK, who was never in the main discussion for lynch, and whom also got replaced.

Kush is usually in the main thick of things as town (despite how good or bad his contributions are), which he isn't doing at all here


He also seems, as evidenced by his post two above, that he honestly doesn't care(doesn't make sense if he's town), or he's trying to seem like he doesn't care and thus justify an anti-town playstyle (makes sense if scum, not if town).
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 20:05 GMT
#1027
On September 14 2013 04:59 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2013 04:57 Pandain wrote:
Kush is the play it safe option, we won't really gain any more information on him as indicative of what he's posted. Has clearly indicated he's not going to read the thread(keeps posting currently without effort to read). Scum aren't going to kill him and we shouldn't waste a vig when we can use it for late-game scenarios.

SnB will result in town, if you guys lynch him than the only good thing that will happen is you will realize to listen to me for once. We can win this game if we play it safe and smart, rely around obtaining information and then good scum-hunting.

I advocate lynching Kush because town has to deal with him eventually and it'll result in a lynch anyway of him later on.

Can you explain hoe kushmasta is "unreadable" or whatever you think? I think kushmasta has contributed way more to the game than SnB has.


Uh he hasn't contributed like at all. That's a lie. Look at his filter http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=427569&user=kushm4sta&currentpage=2

Also SnB is clearly busy, that is why he isn't posting and is true regardless if he is scum or not. You are tunneled and need to try and play smart scum-hunting rather than desperate scum-hunting.

On September 14 2013 05:00 Koshi wrote:
Pandain
Oats plays solo as town. He never consolidates and picks his target. He ends up being the only one voting for a person a lot. I remember Titanic.

Kush you are seriously going to ask people to vote for you? Can I reveal who I think you are?


Maybe, not sure given he's only posted like three times, just he played a bit suspicious so far and gave a vote which doesn't make sense even from an uninformed town aspect. Of course he could just have skimmed fast and made poor decisions, or have another opinion on the case he hasn't elaborated on yet.

On September 14 2013 05:00 kushm4sta wrote:
also it's day 1 wheni never have any clue whats going on.


Well shit you're certainly then not going to catch up on these 50 pages.

On September 14 2013 05:02 Koshi wrote:
Hmm, with 4 scummers I would like to consolidate on a target.

Also Pandain you think there will be 3 flips in the night??? Wtf SK, Vigi and Scum?


I assume scum has 2-3 KP. That's most we can objectively tell considering 1 or 4 is a heavily imbalanced game.

On September 14 2013 05:03 kushm4sta wrote:
k ima vote for blubbers night all


Isn't giving a shit trying to find scum.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 20:07 GMT
#1033
My argument, rayne, is that we are going to end up lynching kush later.
You said he will play like this always, ok then we're going to lynch him later for being unproductive. A vig shot is wasteful and assumes we have a vig.

Instead we can lynch players like blub later when we have more information and can raise that, as you said 5% chance, to possibly a 20% or even a 1%.
Kush also is clearly not blue given the fact he just peaced without possibly claiming.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 20:09 GMT
#1036
On September 14 2013 05:08 Papa_Smurf wrote:
Btw I am willing to vote kush as long as it's for certain SnB will not be lynched


I agree with this general sentiment.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 20:17 GMT
#1061
On September 14 2013 05:13 Papa_Smurf wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 14 2013 05:11 strongandbig wrote:
can people tell me why they think rayn is town? All i've seen so far is because "he's being aggressive" but do you really think he's not capable of that as scum?


I'm starting to get there on a scum read on him, but it's not certain. If he is town, I want him because, hell, hapa apparently really respects his play so he might be some good. Kush/Blubb (mainly kush) have a much better chance of flipping


I don't think he's scum yet. Or rather, I think it's a possibility but given other people who I think are scum (WoS for general uselessness despite contributing, Oats for bad vote as I said, and Zealous), it's hard to say he's objectively more scummy.

I think, as is obviously true, we will be way more knowledgeable on where everyone stands after this lynch.

Sudden bandwagon on Original Person despite no real talk on it?

Holy shit what the fuck. He at least doesn't make this thread hard to read. He at least is contributing and has shown he will contribute. He at least will be able to analyze later.

If the order in which we could lynch is OP-Kush and Kush-OP, than I would rather it be Kush-OP, given the fact that the reasons which are inevitably going to be lynching kush are on his play he has already shown. And sorry Rayn, he isn't going to make a sudden scumslip like you hope, and you can't expertly analyse him.

I don't want to seem like I'm way confident kush is scum, but I'm far more comfortable lynching him than Bubbles or OP who we can analyze after tommorow night. It's by far the better option with rolechecks and flips.
Pandain
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
United States12989 Posts
September 13 2013 20:19 GMT
#1068
I am going to sing a song now.

*why are people retarded*
*it is clear OP isn't mafia, there's no active resistance to his lynch*
*It's going so well*
*he also isn't spamming and will contribute*
*also why do people vote him and then say peace out without any analysis*
*why are people retarded*
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