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Newbie Mini Mafia XLVII - Page 4

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 15:25 GMT
#360
On September 06 2013 00:22 DarthPunk wrote:
Vote Count!

HolyFlare (0): Umasi

Lord Velocity (2): Chairman Ray, killerdog

Heavenz (1): Umasi

Bereft (0): Lord Velocity

Vote myRZeth (2): Holyflare, Lord Velocity

Currently Lord Velocity is set to be lynched!

REMINDER: Voting is mandatory! The Person with the most votes at the end of the day will be lynched!

Deadline is at 22:00 GMT (+00:00)!



you missed myrzeth's vote on me
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 15:28 GMT
#362
On September 06 2013 00:26 myRZeth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 00:25 Holyflare wrote:
On September 06 2013 00:22 DarthPunk wrote:
Vote Count!

HolyFlare (0): Umasi

Lord Velocity (2): Chairman Ray, killerdog

Heavenz (1): Umasi

Bereft (0): Lord Velocity

Vote myRZeth (2): Holyflare, Lord Velocity

Currently Lord Velocity is set to be lynched!

REMINDER: Voting is mandatory! The Person with the most votes at the end of the day will be lynched!

Deadline is at 22:00 GMT (+00:00)!



you missed myrzeth's vote on me



was just about to point that out



glad you're pointing SOMETHING out
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 16:20 GMT
#374
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 06 2013 01:10 killerdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 01:01 Blurry wrote:
While I agree that he (myrzeth) isn't worth keeping around it may just be a waste of a vote to lynch him today. I'm assuming that the mafia has a QT which they can use during the day? If that is the case, if he really was just a lurking mafia his buddies would have given him stuff to say in order to save him.

I just don't think there is enough to go on piling on the easiest target because he is just a lurker, and it may very well be that a lot of the pressure on him is coming from mafia themselves. Be careful in voting for him because he is the easiest target for mafia to get a mislynch right now compared to anyone else.


The chances of us getting a for sure mafia lynch night 1 are quite low though, in a 12 man set up we're allowed 3-4 mislynches, and using one to get rid of a lurker is, in my opinion, worth it.

I'm confused by your logic that "we shouldn't pressure him because he might say things which can save him." If he's mafia having him give some reads which are informative enough for us to want to lynch someone else instead is vastly preferable to lynching someone else but not getting those reads. Also by saying this, you've implied that you think him not giving any information at all even under threat of lynch is a town move, something i strongly disagree with.

Besides, if you don't want lynch him, that means you think town would benefit more from lynching someone else then they would from lynching him. Who do you think is the better lynch?

Show nested quote +
On September 05 2013 13:21 Blurry wrote:
Expect to hear from me in the morning about other players and how i think we should proceed going into night 1.


Maybe you can include it in your writeup.



On September 06 2013 00:32 myRZeth wrote:


My role being i can t contribute a lot, just analyze your posts and if i have i lead i would gladly share it.



This makes me think he's just a useless vanilla townie. It's really really frustrating seeing how people can stick to their ideals like this. On the one hand I REALLY want to lynch him for being a lurker and pretty much useless but that post annoys me for thinking that.

As for my pressure on infii and heavenz I think they have cleaned up their acts reasonably well and so my only other candidate that would be viable is ray. However, I am more than comfortable lynching lurkers over him.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 16:20 GMT
#375
On September 06 2013 01:17 killerdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 01:10 killerdog wrote:
in a 12 man set up we're allowed 3-4 mislynches,


Wait sorry, I think my math was bad there,

d1 = 8 v 3
n1 = 7 v 3
d2 = 6 v 3
n2 = 5 v 3
d3 = 4 v 3
n3 = 3 v 3

So if we mislynch three times in a row we lose.

Also worth noting if parcyd3 gets modkilled tonight, and we mislynch tonight then

d1 = 8 v 3
modkill = 7 v 3
n1 = 6 v 3
d2 = 5 v 3
n2 = 4 v 3
d3 = 3 v 3 (if mislynch

So regardless of whether parcyd3 gets modkilled or not, worst case scenario is still we need to lynch a mafia at the latest day 3, or we lose.


modkills should normally be replaced first before being killed out and I've done the math in like my first post
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 19:54 GMT
#395
Let me also tell you guys that I have played a lot of mafia and the first people in that game to get lynched are always the quiet people so when he says that I have no faith in his ability to play now or later.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 19:54 GMT
#396
SC2 mafia*
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 20:01 GMT
#398
that's what I'm debating right now :/

Want me to make a quick case on an alternative. Been tempted to make it for a while now.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 20:07 GMT
#401
yeh but does that make him scum or a person that 'didnt get a role that can get information' a shit VT that doesn't want to do any reading
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 20:39 GMT
#409
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 04 2013 07:36 Chairman Ray wrote:
Regardless of the math, a day 1 lynch as the norm gets people talking. No lynch = no incentive to give up information. Unless everyone is super cooperative and gives great information, we lynch.



+ Show Spoiler +
On September 04 2013 08:16 Chairman Ray wrote:
A lynch on day 1 incentivizes people to avoid being the scummiest looking player since that player WILL be lynched
A possible no lynch on day 1 doesn't achieve this incentive since unless you completely crumble and blurt our something incriminating, then you don't get lynched

So under the first case, as long as every genuine townsperson is being very active and contributing, then mafia is forced to do the same. Even if we lynch a town on the first day, we're still on a good start. If not every genuine townsperson is active or contributing, lynching them isn't a big loss.



+ Show Spoiler +
On September 05 2013 03:32 Chairman Ray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 23:36 infii wrote:
Chairman Ray:

On September 04 2013 08:16 Chairman Ray wrote:
A lynch on day 1 incentivizes people to avoid being the scummiest looking player since that player WILL be lynched
A possible no lynch on day 1 doesn't achieve this incentive since unless you completely crumble and blurt our something incriminating, then you don't get lynched

So under the first case, as long as every genuine townsperson is being very active and contributing, then mafia is forced to do the same. Even if we lynch a town on the first day, we're still on a good start. If not every genuine townsperson is active or contributing, lynching them isn't a big loss.

Took part in the early discussion about Day1 lynch with 2 posts saying the exact same thing.
Also I disagree a bit with you here, because you don't have to actually execute the lynch to get people talking. A lynch threat is more than enough. Don’t you think lynching a less active townmember early on is a loss?
Because they could still improve on Day 2 for example.


Since there's already been a few people suggesting they would rather no lynch than risk killing a quiet townie, then I'm gonna go ahead and say it: yes, there's a possibility of voting no lynch on first day. We threaten to lynch on the first day, and in the back of our minds we think about the option of no lynch. However the threat of a first day lynch no longer is a threat if people say it's just going to be a threat. By vocalizing that it's just a threat and we're actually allowing quiet people to live the first day, then the mafia will know that they have that option. So what we're all supposed to do is pretend that lynch is mandatory until the very end to make people think they need to talk, and then at the very end, we decide what's best.

Now that this info is out there, I think we should actually do mandatory lynch. myRZeth has not said anything yet, and if that keeps up, then I will definitely be voting him. Who's in agreement?



These 3 posts are all talking about no-lynching. This is fair enough seeing as the topic at the time was that, however, the third post was after the whole conversation had ended and infii had posted this post: + Show Spoiler +
On September 04 2013 23:36 infii wrote:
I would also love to see more participation from the people with the lower post counts (of course including me), so I did dive a bit into the filters.
heavenz:

Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 15:26 heavenz wrote:
Umasi, is very aggressive, which is a townlike nature, but beeing aggressive on the first day with everyone just getting into isn't a big feat, so that reduces my town read of him at the moment, at least he called me out for my opening post, which was indeed worthless, and thought to be just a bit of a discussion starter before I went to bed (I didn't think the game would actually start yesterday).

Considering the fact that the discussion about yes/no-lynch on D1 was already going on for about 1 hour at the time you posted this, why did you go ahead and claim it to be 'a bit of a discussion starter' with your second post?

myrzeth:

Show nested quote +
On August 24 2013 23:12 myRZeth wrote:
/in

Yup... we need to hear more from you merzeth. What is your opinion on lynching the most inactive player on Day1?

Pharcyd:

Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 09:44 Pharcyd3 wrote:
Heavenz post was extremely bizarre. I'm not sure what that post accomplishes but to make people distrust you

His only post, though he stated before that he would have plenty of time to keep up with the thread. So why not also contribute to the discussion?

Chairman Ray:

Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 08:16 Chairman Ray wrote:
A lynch on day 1 incentivizes people to avoid being the scummiest looking player since that player WILL be lynched
A possible no lynch on day 1 doesn't achieve this incentive since unless you completely crumble and blurt our something incriminating, then you don't get lynched

So under the first case, as long as every genuine townsperson is being very active and contributing, then mafia is forced to do the same. Even if we lynch a town on the first day, we're still on a good start. If not every genuine townsperson is active or contributing, lynching them isn't a big loss.

Took part in the early discussion about Day1 lynch with 2 posts saying the exact same thing.
Also I disagree a bit with you here, because you don't have to actually execute the lynch to get people talking. A lynch threat is more than enough. Don’t you think lynching a less active townmember early on is a loss?
Because they could still improve on Day 2 for example.

Ok basically everyone listed above should step up and contribute to the discussion. You can start by answering my questions.


On another note:

Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 14:23 Umasi wrote:
##UNVOTE HOLYFLARE

Do you think what I did was bad play? you can go to bed and address this when you wake up/whenever you want, I'm going to do homework.
tbth, this entire thing is pro-town since people will be able to talk about it, and it gives me more to go off of concerning you (and the people who comment about it), and possibly you more to go off of (regarding me and the people who comment), assuming you're town. If you're scum w.e.

For everyone, just a psa about me
I normally keep the person I think is the scummiest as my vote target, but since there are quite a few people I'm leery of, it rests on no one for now.

Don’t you think the effect of a lynch threat will be reduced when you always have someone voted? If you want other players to know who you are targetting just write it in this thread for everyone to see.

Notice how of all the information infii was pointing out chairman ray had only mentioned the stuff about him, nothing of noteworthy. He didn't even contribute to anything that anybody had said, he just rehashed the dead conversation. While, yes, his posts had a flavour of townsmanship at first, this defensive nature and the contentless posting made me suspicious of him.


To insinuate further confusion he posted this: + Show Spoiler +
On September 05 2013 04:03 Chairman Ray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2013 03:43 LoneMeow wrote:
While we're at it:

Chairman Ray, ignoring myRZeth who hasn't posted even once, who do you think is scum and why? And what do you think about the Umasi/HolyFlare argument?


I am currently working on my scum reads right now, and will post them in a sec.

As for Umasi/HolyFlare, one of the best scum tactics is to have two scum ragging on each other the first day. It monopolizes the discussion preventing productive town discourse, paints them both as very pro town, and in the case that one of them turns mafia, there's a strong argument for the other one being town. Because of this, I am not willing to read them both as town. Right now, there's a possibility of both being scum, both being town, or one being mafia, so lynching one will not give us ANY headway, I say keep them both alive on day 1. Based on who gets lynched and who gets killed by mafia, we may be able to eliminate one of the possibilities.



What better way to confuse townies than put them against each other? Stating that one of them is mafia and one of them is town is planting the seed for later when people get confused and re-read these things. Not to mention his 'scum' reads that come later are just as lackluster (will post that bit further down). The conversation had already stopped between me and umasi and then it was brought up again with possibilities. He states that a mafia strategy can be to divert attention to their argument and stifle the town but that whoever gets killed or lynched will reveal the alignment of the other. That is not true either, nothing can be sought at from those posts as they were merely a heated discussion about policies etc.


This is where it gets the most scum like. READ THIS ABOVE ALL ELSE. Who was his previous post about? Me and Umasi. Who did he say not to lynch day 1 because it would be a mistake? Me and Umasi.

Who is his scum read on?

+ Show Spoiler +
On September 05 2013 06:07 Chairman Ray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2013 05:28 Umasi wrote:
On September 05 2013 04:03 Chairman Ray wrote:
On September 05 2013 03:43 LoneMeow wrote:
While we're at it:

Chairman Ray, ignoring myRZeth who hasn't posted even once, who do you think is scum and why? And what do you think about the Umasi/HolyFlare argument?


I am currently working on my scum reads right now, and will post them in a sec.

As for Umasi/HolyFlare, one of the best scum tactics is to have two scum ragging on each other the first day. It monopolizes the discussion preventing productive town discourse, paints them both as very pro town, and in the case that one of them turns mafia, there's a strong argument for the other one being town. Because of this, I am not willing to read them both as town. Right now, there's a possibility of both being scum, both being town, or one being mafia, so lynching one will not give us ANY headway, I say keep them both alive on day 1. Based on who gets lynched and who gets killed by mafia, we may be able to eliminate one of the possibilities.


......so in other words, you prefer to ignore the entire thing because one or both of us might be scum or town.

Here, ray, let me say this much
a good scum tactic is to look town. (shocking, I know).

Based on who gets lynched and who gets killed by mafia


I agree with the who gets killed by mafia, kind of. If I get shot, it slightly implicates holyflare because of my read on him.
However, based on who gets LYNCHED?
HOLYFLARE HAS SPECIFICALLY KEPT HIMSELF AWAY FROM ASSOCIATIONS.
CLEARLY.
Like, did you even pay attention to anything? That was the original point, he didn't want to share reads.

That paragraph is pretty null, as in you said little of worth. Why do you think that pressure, however obvious, is counterproductive discourse?


My intention was not to suggest ignoring the entire discussion. My intention was two things: firstly, to the few people suggesting that either you or Holy may be town (or both), I disagree completely and I would like to consider both of you just as much as everyone else. Secondly, your discussion with HolyFlare and everyone else set up a lot of variables and a few equations. This is the best thing to carry into the second round since we have almost enough information to deduce pairs of people who cannot both be mafia. This is why I'm suggesting lynching either you or holyflare first turn is unproductive for town.

I will give my first set of reads. When HolyFlare said that he was withholding his reads, he dug himself an obligation. By the end of this day, he must make a play justifying that he withheld his reads with good reason, or else he's mafia. If we see his posts and decide that there's no reason why he didn't give his reads in the first place, I think he's a good mafia candidate. When you started attacking HolyFlare and threw in a vote, I don't think at that point there was any good indication that HolyFlare is mafia. I think that either both of you are mafia, in which case the discourse was counterproductive for town because you misled everyone, or you are town, in which case you were both pressuring HolyFlare and seeing who would ride the lynch train. This gives me a reason to ease up on the possibility that you are mafia and HolyFlare is town.



Me and Umasi. lol? It isn't even a scum read or anything it just states the same thing as his last post. That we could be both town both mafia or one of each, that's just nothing of value.

Not to mention the rest of his posts.


+ Show Spoiler +
On September 05 2013 07:48 Chairman Ray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2013 07:35 Lord Velocity wrote:
Nvm. This post was irrelevant, let me fix my keyboard brb in a few hours


Irrelevant post? Fixing keyboard? How do these two things even relate?

Did anyone see the post before it was edited?

I actually think we had a slipup.

#vote Lord Velocity

What was the post before you edited?



He jumps right on top of velocity and hasn't unvoted him since. With no new information at all.


That is why instead of voting out the lurker who may just be total crap to begin with I think this is a bigger scum tell for me so;


##Unvote
##Vote: Chairman Ray
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 20:51 GMT
#411
Come on guys don't afk in the last hour...
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:05 GMT
#420
We can talk at night after the night post yes. Also why wait till after the lynch to post that stuff because right now I'm not sure I believe you until you do post it.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:09 GMT
#427
inb4 clusterfuck voting 1 minute before deadline again............
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:12 GMT
#431
On September 06 2013 06:11 Bereft wrote:
also as a side note I know I said I wanted myrzeth to respond in the last 2 hours and he didn't, but given that it was a small window and he may not have seen it, I'd like to encourage the rest of the town to keep him alive and give him a chance to prove himself, ie let's give him an ultimatum before the next lynch before we cut him.


So we can lynch him and kill off 2 townies instead? Nice try scum.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:17 GMT
#435
How do YOU know that qt is capitalised?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:19 GMT
#436
also why does that clear umasi and me seeing as umasi was vindicating him and moving the topic to somebody else?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:27 GMT
#444
I did?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:36 GMT
#450
On September 06 2013 06:15 myRZeth wrote:
##unvote


##vote Chairman Ray



I thought we had to post votes in here to show people as well as the vote thread?
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:42 GMT
#457
/deadline hype!
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:44 GMT
#459
On September 06 2013 06:40 Blurry wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 06:00 Chairman Ray wrote:
Not all of my posts thus far have been genuine to my feelings, but rather baits to get certain reactions. After thorough analysis, I have concluded that HolyFlare and Umasi are both town, and I am about 95% sure of it. I will post a very long analysis during the nighttime since there's only 1 hour left.


This screams scum "Disregard my suspicious actions because I actually meant to be suspicious."


screams scum > scum is targeting lord velocity > you are targeting lord velocity > you are scum > lynch you = profit
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30774 Posts
September 05 2013 21:49 GMT
#467
Totally situational but blue roles shouldn't be playing like he has been either so I wouldn't believe it if he said so.
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