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Newbie Mini Mafia XLVII - Page 19

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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myRZeth
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany1047 Posts
September 05 2013 15:26 GMT
#361
On September 06 2013 00:25 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 00:22 DarthPunk wrote:
Vote Count!

HolyFlare (0): Umasi

Lord Velocity (2): Chairman Ray, killerdog

Heavenz (1): Umasi

Bereft (0): Lord Velocity

Vote myRZeth (2): Holyflare, Lord Velocity

Currently Lord Velocity is set to be lynched!

REMINDER: Voting is mandatory! The Person with the most votes at the end of the day will be lynched!

Deadline is at 22:00 GMT (+00:00)!



you missed myrzeth's vote on me



was just about to point that out
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 05 2013 15:28 GMT
#362
On September 06 2013 00:26 myRZeth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 00:25 Holyflare wrote:
On September 06 2013 00:22 DarthPunk wrote:
Vote Count!

HolyFlare (0): Umasi

Lord Velocity (2): Chairman Ray, killerdog

Heavenz (1): Umasi

Bereft (0): Lord Velocity

Vote myRZeth (2): Holyflare, Lord Velocity

Currently Lord Velocity is set to be lynched!

REMINDER: Voting is mandatory! The Person with the most votes at the end of the day will be lynched!

Deadline is at 22:00 GMT (+00:00)!



you missed myrzeth's vote on me



was just about to point that out



glad you're pointing SOMETHING out
infii
Profile Joined March 2010
Germany153 Posts
September 05 2013 15:29 GMT
#363
In my last bigger post I only focused on the guys with a low post count to get more information out of them, I don’t get why this was considered scummy... Unfortunately that didn’t work very well. Myrzeth even stated himself being a lurker. (wut?)
I think I will be able to post a quick summary on my reads and my vote shortly before the day ends.

For this approach I will analyse different cases instead of single people:


Case 1 – First discussion about lynching Day 1

Coming soon/when I have the time


Case 2 – Holyflare’s denial of posting reads early on

The main post:
On September 04 2013 12:28 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 12:20 Umasi wrote:
I am around to talk to, class finished and I'm at my computer.
I'm not telling you my scum reads or especially my town reads at this moment in time.

Why not?
missed this somehow earlier -- was posting from my phone. ray what do you mean by "everyone"? thought only mafia and masons get this privilege......

he was like 'oh hoh hoh this is a clever way to catch scum'
or he's a troll.
or he's legitimately confused by how this game is played.

On September 04 2013 11:09 Blurry wrote:
This discussion is pretty slow so how about this.
Everyone answer the following questions.

Who is your strongest town read?
Who is your strongest scum read?

This will let us see where peoples allegiances lie. Also, give reasons for your choices.

Strongest town read: Holyflare, active, trying to provide analysis
Strongest scum read: Lord Velocity, hes just following along with Umasi's ideas, not really providing any of his own stuff.


strongest town read:You for asking this question and trying to talk about something productive.
strongest scum read: vel, for calling me out as town and ignoring the other parts of my reads post, it feels like he thought I was a threat to be appeased. I also am leery of heavenz for ignoring the discussion.


I'm not going to go into the revealing town reads in day 1 crap discussion again, what does it add? Nothing! Who cares who I THINK is town when everyone has posted like 1 post so far. Not only is there nothing to go on but revealing who I think is town just gives scum people to target if I die.

As far as scum it's too early to tell really, yeh there's some scummy looking shit but until we hear more than 1 post from everyone there is nothing else to go on. Remember deus' first post in XLV, yeh, he was town. Admittedly, he cut the bs pretty quickly and went crazy aggressive but we've yet to see more from heavenz so it could all change. Any other 'reads' you all have at the moment are crazy speculation for now.


Reactions from Umasi and my thoughts:
+ Show Spoiler +
First reply:
On September 04 2013 12:34 Umasi wrote:
Alright holyflare.
We've beaten the subject of no lynching to death, which ended in you backtracking
You've told us that we shouldn't talk about town/scum reads day one
You didn't reveal your scum or town reads.
Why am I here again? What are we talking about?

moreover
didn't you have questions for me? Did you forget them/forget to ask them?

Umasi is over reacting here imo. Ok you finished one discussion and you don’t think there are other topics which could be discussed apart from reads and thoughts?
Instead you propose (indirectly) to speculate over subjective opinions for the next 40 hours? I don’t see that to be more productive or helpful for town.

Holy’s defense:

On September 04 2013 12:45 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 12:34 Umasi wrote:
Alright holyflare.
We've beaten the subject of no lynching to death, which ended in you backtracking
You've told us that we shouldn't talk about town/scum reads day one
You didn't reveal your scum or town reads.
Why am I here again? What are we talking about?

moreover
didn't you have questions for me? Did you forget them/forget to ask them?



Totally just responded to Bereft that's why it's 'backtracked' or if you're implying I've changed my stance, I haven't. I'd like you to see what I wrote, It's just telling people that no-lynching is an option and it should be used within this game.

Also, I never said not to talk about scum reads, just how can you possibly formulate a case on somebody so quickly????? If you want to accuse someone of being scum why would you publicly announce it SO early with the offchance that they could 180 on their whole style of writing because you picked out their name. Why not keep it to yourself and formulate the case based on your initial suspicions and when it comes close to actually lynching someone you'd have substantial reasoning for a lynch rather than, 'oh his first post was scummy but then he became better'...

As for questions towards you, I asked for you to elaborate first before I asked the questions but now you've mimicked other peoples responses because you were away so I don't need to ask the questions anymore.


Next post:
On September 04 2013 13:02 Umasi wrote:
ended in you backtracking the fucking conversation, not you backtracking your stance on it.

I guess I was unclear.
let me phrase this differently and in a totally explicit manner

Show nested quote +
Why am I here again? What are we talking about?


Holyflare, why are you against discussion? You helped get it going in the beginning, but you sure aren't anymore. In fact, it could be said that you are against discussion from occuring. That is blatantly scum agenda.

##VOTE HOLYFLARE

Umasi even increasing his aggression and going totally over board. Holy never been against discussion as we know he played a big part in the first one (see above).
It looks like Umasi is desperately trying to find a reason to call Holy scummy and vote on him asap because if you read Holy’s root post and his defense it makes no sense to presume that Holy is against discussion.

The discussion goes back and forth in the same manner as above until:
On September 04 2013 14:23 Umasi wrote:
##UNVOTE HOLYFLARE

Do you think what I did was bad play? you can go to bed and address this when you wake up/whenever you want, I'm going to do homework.
tbth, this entire thing is pro-town since people will be able to talk about it, and it gives me more to go off of concerning you (and the people who comment about it), and possibly you more to go off of (regarding me and the people who comment), assuming you're town. If you're scum w.e.

For everyone, just a psa about me
I normally keep the person I think is the scummiest as my vote target, but since there are quite a few people I'm leery of, it rests on no one for now.


Yes this discussion was pro town. But even though you try to phrase it in a positive way, this discussion sheds a scummy light on you Umasi because:

- Your reasoning about it being pro town is weak
- You could have explained your ‘vote behaviour’ beforehand to everyone. Now it just looks like an excuse
- You didn’t apply your ‘vote behaviour’ in the last game we played together at all


Reactions from Blurry and my thoughts:
+ Show Spoiler +

On September 04 2013 12:53 Blurry wrote:
The reason you voice your suspicions is because it puts pressure on that person. When someone is under pressure they make mistakes and reveal things they shouldn't. Write about your hunches, it also allows us to see if you are innocent, and yes, when you are town you need to prove your innocence by providing good analysis and leading the discussion.


First post addressing the topic in a considered manner. It is a valid point but applies more to after the first day than before, as holy mentioned shortly after.

Later on:
On September 04 2013 13:38 Blurry wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2013 13:24 Lord Velocity wrote:
Well because I scimmed over the posts and why wouldn't I address things concerning me? I'm not trying to have a misslynch day 1 and give scum a one up, but in no way was I saying "He's pro town" I was simply stating that your logic made sense, but:

Strongest town read: Nobody so far because I don't think we've heard from everybody? so I can't really base it off of like, the 5 people that actually talked and not about the day 1 lynch thing.

Strongest Scum read: Umasi due to his fast vote on Holyflare and his super aggressive early play.


Two things:

Scum read in retaliation to him questioning you is pretty suspicious. You aren't helping your case with that, especially because your analysis is flawed.

Aggression at the start is in no way indicative of scum, and if anything, is more a town indicator than anything, especially when he is leading the charge against a player.

It is really risky for scum to be so direct because it draws so much attention to them. Umasi is probably my biggest town read for that reason right now.


He is right on that point. However I consider his aggression fake (see above why). In that case it would mean the exact opposite, which puts also the relation of Blurry and Umasi in question. Is he defending him? Or is he just voicing his opinion?



Case 3 – The LV slipup

Coming soon/ when I have the time

Damn I’m running out of time here and won’t be able to finish it until I have to leave. So instead I’ll just post it unfinished and add the other cases on a later time when I can afford to write it. :/

I have the overall feeling that we are town led by scum because of the chaotic back and forth of discussions, random accusations and fake aggressiveness. Everyone needs to focus on the facts at hand and not let himself be guided by lurish arguments.
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 15:30 GMT
#364
On September 05 2013 14:38 Umasi wrote:

Killerdog, I'm having trouble understanding what exactly you think, because you give a lot of summations of peoples posts, and your thoughts (which is good!) but you don't actually draw conclusions from it all. Instead of going X did A and Y did B which had a scummy result, be like 'this is why he is scummy/not scummy'.
I can't tell what you're actually trying to communicate in your post =/



I thought I sort of did that in the long post I made while ago, but it might have been a bit hard to find because the post got a bit bloated :p

I'll just put players in an abridged list of reads, in vague town to mafia order

Town-
Killerdog: (fuck yeah)
Umasi: + Show Spoiler +
Currently town read, hasn't been as much as some people, but the the posts he did make all seemed to serve a purpose, and I feel like he's been consistent in calling out behaviour he disagrees with. Also amde a few good town guiding posts. As the game progresses I'd hope for a little more reads/pressure coming from him, but he's definitely not what I'd call n1 lynch potential at all.

Blurry: + Show Spoiler +
I got a very town read off blurry, for reasons I said last post. However he's provided no content (other then a "good post tomorrow" promise) in the last 36 or so hours. I'm keeping him high on my town list under the assumption that he's going to make a really good town post in the next few hours, if he doesn't post, or just parrots some other opinions then he's going quite far down the list very quickly. Don't feel like he'd be a good n1 lynch just because I'm loath to abandon someone who read so town at start, but if he doesn't have a reason for vanishing or if he posts nothing of value before the voting deadline I'll reassess.

Holyflare: + Show Spoiler +
Holyflare's been very very active, even if a lot of the posts have been a bit fulffy with regards to relevant content. I felt like he spent most of day 1 arguing about how "mafia should be played" rather then actually playing it, which can read as scum given how he didn't want any associations thrown on him, but he god into three arguments really quickly with blurry, bereft and Umasi and didn't back down from any of them (to the point where Umasi voted him.) I feel that's a point in his favour as town, because it would take a very brave mafia to be willing to thrust himself into the limelight that quickly. He's also made two decent posts since the, one calling out heavenz and infii for their relative lack of content. While ragging on people who haven't been very productive is by no means enough to put you as a pure town read, I liked his posts, and unless he suddenly locks up would like to keep him around.

Worth noting is that I think having at this stage in the game, I voting off a vocal player who might be a bit scummy is a worse play then voting off someone who has contributed nothing. We really don't want to punish contributing, and potentially end up on day 3 or 4 with a few players who have yet to commit to anything, and have all the people we've pushed hard (and have lots of post to reference and analyse) be dead.

it gets a bit fuzzier here
Lord Velocity: + Show Spoiler +
It feels a bit like he wears his heart on his sleeve, he goes super from a little pressure, then with a little reassurance goes super starts posting normally, then goes super defensive/apologetic from some more pressure, then a little reassurance and he's back to posting normally, even being willing to knock other people for being suspicious of him because he feels he's been cleared. I don't think a mafia would be this confident in towns opinion of him, and would be a little more wary given how many times he's been under heavy suspicion. I also like that he's actively posting and engaging in discussion. Again, I really don't see him as a n1 lynch candidate right now, just because he's active, unafraid despite already having been under the gun twice, and as I said in holyflares area. Even if someone is reading a bit scummy, as long as they're active and contributing I'd rather lynch someone who's being super non-committal on the first day or 2. I get that that some people might disagree with that statement but if they do then I'd ask that we have that discussion day 2 rather then now, as we have only got 9 hours left to decide on a lynch, and I'd rather leave "meta policy" discussions or whatever until we've decided on a lynch for tonight.

Bereft: + Show Spoiler +
Honestly have no idea what to do with him right now, he argued with holyflare early on, then made a post about another game being funny and vanished. It feels like he didn't re-read the thread closely enough on returning or something, but he was making some accusations/quoting things out of context which didn't really make sense at the time he got back. He's not been afraid to give opinions on multiple people though, and I wouldn't mind keeping him around as long as he posts more/says more. If he keeps vanishing then coming back and quoting things out of context he's gonna go down the list pretty fast.

Lonemeow: + Show Spoiler +
Have trouble getting a read right now, doesn't have very many posts, but he's asking questions when he see's things which don't make sense to him and is giving his opinion on things. While he's part of the trio of inii/heavenz/lonemeow who I feel have been a little sparse with regards to putting their foot down, and would like to see a bit more pressure applied towards him, I feel out of those three he's been asking questions indiscriminatingly which puts him above the other two for now..

Heavenz: + Show Spoiler +
Same boat as lonemeow right now, he moans about inactives but has a grand total of 6 posts, only two of which contained actual analysis. While his longest post isn't poorly written and contains some decent insight, but is a bit sparse with actual reads (only clear read is him saying velocity is town), 2 or 3 good points isn't really much to your name after almost 48 hours of play. Personally I don't think he's a good n1 lynch, because he's shown the potential for decent analytical posts, and is willing to throw suspicion on people, however if he doesn't start posting more regurarly and being a bit clearer with what he thinks things actually mean then he's not going any higher on my list.

Infii: + Show Spoiler +
Hasn't posted much at all, he promised a big post today, and based on that he'll either go up in the list or stay here, I'll probably make my decision on whether he feels like a valid day 1 lynch or not based off that.

Chairman ray: + Show Spoiler +
Said he was working on his scum reads but hasn't mentioned *anyone* except holyflare and umasi, where are you reads? Also jumped really hard on Lord Velocity, I know I did too but I've explained my reasoning, and I'm curious what Ray's is. Hasn't really done anything except say things about holyflare and umasi, who aren't really relevant (imo) with regards to the day1 lynch, and has shown no signs of changing, He's probably the non afk player I would be most willing to lynch at this point.

Pharcyd3: + Show Spoiler +
afk-ed, probably gonna get mod killed

myrzeth: + Show Spoiler +
claims he's been active but hasn't posted shit. That means he's read all our posts saying he needs to come out and hasn't done anything. This isn't a game where everyone does their own thing in a corner, it's a game where town has to work together, not sure if he's really bad town, creative mafia, or trolling but he's my current #1 lynch
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 15:31 GMT
#365
##unvote: Lord Velocity
##vote: myRZeth

yeah... no.
Lord Velocity
Profile Joined August 2013
84 Posts
September 05 2013 15:32 GMT
#366
My "slip up" wasn't really a slip up... But okay lol. I just want to know where everyone's going to stand by the end of the night phase but I might be posting one liners for the next like, 5 or 6 hours of school. I apologize ahead of time
myRZeth
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany1047 Posts
September 05 2013 15:32 GMT
#367
On September 06 2013 00:30 killerdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2013 14:38 Umasi wrote:

Killerdog, I'm having trouble understanding what exactly you think, because you give a lot of summations of peoples posts, and your thoughts (which is good!) but you don't actually draw conclusions from it all. Instead of going X did A and Y did B which had a scummy result, be like 'this is why he is scummy/not scummy'.
I can't tell what you're actually trying to communicate in your post =/



I thought I sort of did that in the long post I made while ago, but it might have been a bit hard to find because the post got a bit bloated :p

I'll just put players in an abridged list of reads, in vague town to mafia order

Town-
Killerdog: (fuck yeah)
Umasi: + Show Spoiler +
Currently town read, hasn't been as much as some people, but the the posts he did make all seemed to serve a purpose, and I feel like he's been consistent in calling out behaviour he disagrees with. Also amde a few good town guiding posts. As the game progresses I'd hope for a little more reads/pressure coming from him, but he's definitely not what I'd call n1 lynch potential at all.

Blurry: + Show Spoiler +
I got a very town read off blurry, for reasons I said last post. However he's provided no content (other then a "good post tomorrow" promise) in the last 36 or so hours. I'm keeping him high on my town list under the assumption that he's going to make a really good town post in the next few hours, if he doesn't post, or just parrots some other opinions then he's going quite far down the list very quickly. Don't feel like he'd be a good n1 lynch just because I'm loath to abandon someone who read so town at start, but if he doesn't have a reason for vanishing or if he posts nothing of value before the voting deadline I'll reassess.

Holyflare: + Show Spoiler +
Holyflare's been very very active, even if a lot of the posts have been a bit fulffy with regards to relevant content. I felt like he spent most of day 1 arguing about how "mafia should be played" rather then actually playing it, which can read as scum given how he didn't want any associations thrown on him, but he god into three arguments really quickly with blurry, bereft and Umasi and didn't back down from any of them (to the point where Umasi voted him.) I feel that's a point in his favour as town, because it would take a very brave mafia to be willing to thrust himself into the limelight that quickly. He's also made two decent posts since the, one calling out heavenz and infii for their relative lack of content. While ragging on people who haven't been very productive is by no means enough to put you as a pure town read, I liked his posts, and unless he suddenly locks up would like to keep him around.

Worth noting is that I think having at this stage in the game, I voting off a vocal player who might be a bit scummy is a worse play then voting off someone who has contributed nothing. We really don't want to punish contributing, and potentially end up on day 3 or 4 with a few players who have yet to commit to anything, and have all the people we've pushed hard (and have lots of post to reference and analyse) be dead.

it gets a bit fuzzier here
Lord Velocity: + Show Spoiler +
It feels a bit like he wears his heart on his sleeve, he goes super from a little pressure, then with a little reassurance goes super starts posting normally, then goes super defensive/apologetic from some more pressure, then a little reassurance and he's back to posting normally, even being willing to knock other people for being suspicious of him because he feels he's been cleared. I don't think a mafia would be this confident in towns opinion of him, and would be a little more wary given how many times he's been under heavy suspicion. I also like that he's actively posting and engaging in discussion. Again, I really don't see him as a n1 lynch candidate right now, just because he's active, unafraid despite already having been under the gun twice, and as I said in holyflares area. Even if someone is reading a bit scummy, as long as they're active and contributing I'd rather lynch someone who's being super non-committal on the first day or 2. I get that that some people might disagree with that statement but if they do then I'd ask that we have that discussion day 2 rather then now, as we have only got 9 hours left to decide on a lynch, and I'd rather leave "meta policy" discussions or whatever until we've decided on a lynch for tonight.

Bereft: + Show Spoiler +
Honestly have no idea what to do with him right now, he argued with holyflare early on, then made a post about another game being funny and vanished. It feels like he didn't re-read the thread closely enough on returning or something, but he was making some accusations/quoting things out of context which didn't really make sense at the time he got back. He's not been afraid to give opinions on multiple people though, and I wouldn't mind keeping him around as long as he posts more/says more. If he keeps vanishing then coming back and quoting things out of context he's gonna go down the list pretty fast.

Lonemeow: + Show Spoiler +
Have trouble getting a read right now, doesn't have very many posts, but he's asking questions when he see's things which don't make sense to him and is giving his opinion on things. While he's part of the trio of inii/heavenz/lonemeow who I feel have been a little sparse with regards to putting their foot down, and would like to see a bit more pressure applied towards him, I feel out of those three he's been asking questions indiscriminatingly which puts him above the other two for now..

Heavenz: + Show Spoiler +
Same boat as lonemeow right now, he moans about inactives but has a grand total of 6 posts, only two of which contained actual analysis. While his longest post isn't poorly written and contains some decent insight, but is a bit sparse with actual reads (only clear read is him saying velocity is town), 2 or 3 good points isn't really much to your name after almost 48 hours of play. Personally I don't think he's a good n1 lynch, because he's shown the potential for decent analytical posts, and is willing to throw suspicion on people, however if he doesn't start posting more regurarly and being a bit clearer with what he thinks things actually mean then he's not going any higher on my list.

Infii: + Show Spoiler +
Hasn't posted much at all, he promised a big post today, and based on that he'll either go up in the list or stay here, I'll probably make my decision on whether he feels like a valid day 1 lynch or not based off that.

Chairman ray: + Show Spoiler +
Said he was working on his scum reads but hasn't mentioned *anyone* except holyflare and umasi, where are you reads? Also jumped really hard on Lord Velocity, I know I did too but I've explained my reasoning, and I'm curious what Ray's is. Hasn't really done anything except say things about holyflare and umasi, who aren't really relevant (imo) with regards to the day1 lynch, and has shown no signs of changing, He's probably the non afk player I would be most willing to lynch at this point.

Pharcyd3: + Show Spoiler +
afk-ed, probably gonna get mod killed

myrzeth: + Show Spoiler +
claims he's been active but hasn't posted shit. That means he's read all our posts saying he needs to come out and hasn't done anything. This isn't a game where everyone does their own thing in a corner, it's a game where town has to work together, not sure if he's really bad town, creative mafia, or trolling but he's my current #1 lynch



My role being i can t contribute a lot, just analyze your posts and if i have i lead i would gladly share it.
DarthPunk
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Australia10859 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-09-05 15:37:20
September 05 2013 15:35 GMT
#368
Vote Count!

HolyFlare (1): Umasi, myZReth

Lord Velocity (1): Chairman Ray, killerdog

Heavenz (1): Umasi

Bereft (0): Lord Velocity

myRZeth (3): Holyflare, Lord Velocity, Killerdog

Currently myRzeth is set to be lynched!

REMINDER: Voting is mandatory! The Person with the most votes at the end of the day will be lynched!

Deadline is at 22:00 GMT (+00:00)!

"If I wanted your opinion, I'd have told you what it was."
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 15:40 GMT
#369
On September 06 2013 00:32 myRZeth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 00:30 killerdog wrote:
On September 05 2013 14:38 Umasi wrote:

Killerdog, I'm having trouble understanding what exactly you think, because you give a lot of summations of peoples posts, and your thoughts (which is good!) but you don't actually draw conclusions from it all. Instead of going X did A and Y did B which had a scummy result, be like 'this is why he is scummy/not scummy'.
I can't tell what you're actually trying to communicate in your post =/



I thought I sort of did that in the long post I made while ago, but it might have been a bit hard to find because the post got a bit bloated :p

I'll just put players in an abridged list of reads, in vague town to mafia order

Town-
Killerdog: (fuck yeah)
Umasi: + Show Spoiler +
Currently town read, hasn't been as much as some people, but the the posts he did make all seemed to serve a purpose, and I feel like he's been consistent in calling out behaviour he disagrees with. Also amde a few good town guiding posts. As the game progresses I'd hope for a little more reads/pressure coming from him, but he's definitely not what I'd call n1 lynch potential at all.

Blurry: + Show Spoiler +
I got a very town read off blurry, for reasons I said last post. However he's provided no content (other then a "good post tomorrow" promise) in the last 36 or so hours. I'm keeping him high on my town list under the assumption that he's going to make a really good town post in the next few hours, if he doesn't post, or just parrots some other opinions then he's going quite far down the list very quickly. Don't feel like he'd be a good n1 lynch just because I'm loath to abandon someone who read so town at start, but if he doesn't have a reason for vanishing or if he posts nothing of value before the voting deadline I'll reassess.

Holyflare: + Show Spoiler +
Holyflare's been very very active, even if a lot of the posts have been a bit fulffy with regards to relevant content. I felt like he spent most of day 1 arguing about how "mafia should be played" rather then actually playing it, which can read as scum given how he didn't want any associations thrown on him, but he god into three arguments really quickly with blurry, bereft and Umasi and didn't back down from any of them (to the point where Umasi voted him.) I feel that's a point in his favour as town, because it would take a very brave mafia to be willing to thrust himself into the limelight that quickly. He's also made two decent posts since the, one calling out heavenz and infii for their relative lack of content. While ragging on people who haven't been very productive is by no means enough to put you as a pure town read, I liked his posts, and unless he suddenly locks up would like to keep him around.

Worth noting is that I think having at this stage in the game, I voting off a vocal player who might be a bit scummy is a worse play then voting off someone who has contributed nothing. We really don't want to punish contributing, and potentially end up on day 3 or 4 with a few players who have yet to commit to anything, and have all the people we've pushed hard (and have lots of post to reference and analyse) be dead.

it gets a bit fuzzier here
Lord Velocity: + Show Spoiler +
It feels a bit like he wears his heart on his sleeve, he goes super from a little pressure, then with a little reassurance goes super starts posting normally, then goes super defensive/apologetic from some more pressure, then a little reassurance and he's back to posting normally, even being willing to knock other people for being suspicious of him because he feels he's been cleared. I don't think a mafia would be this confident in towns opinion of him, and would be a little more wary given how many times he's been under heavy suspicion. I also like that he's actively posting and engaging in discussion. Again, I really don't see him as a n1 lynch candidate right now, just because he's active, unafraid despite already having been under the gun twice, and as I said in holyflares area. Even if someone is reading a bit scummy, as long as they're active and contributing I'd rather lynch someone who's being super non-committal on the first day or 2. I get that that some people might disagree with that statement but if they do then I'd ask that we have that discussion day 2 rather then now, as we have only got 9 hours left to decide on a lynch, and I'd rather leave "meta policy" discussions or whatever until we've decided on a lynch for tonight.

Bereft: + Show Spoiler +
Honestly have no idea what to do with him right now, he argued with holyflare early on, then made a post about another game being funny and vanished. It feels like he didn't re-read the thread closely enough on returning or something, but he was making some accusations/quoting things out of context which didn't really make sense at the time he got back. He's not been afraid to give opinions on multiple people though, and I wouldn't mind keeping him around as long as he posts more/says more. If he keeps vanishing then coming back and quoting things out of context he's gonna go down the list pretty fast.

Lonemeow: + Show Spoiler +
Have trouble getting a read right now, doesn't have very many posts, but he's asking questions when he see's things which don't make sense to him and is giving his opinion on things. While he's part of the trio of inii/heavenz/lonemeow who I feel have been a little sparse with regards to putting their foot down, and would like to see a bit more pressure applied towards him, I feel out of those three he's been asking questions indiscriminatingly which puts him above the other two for now..

Heavenz: + Show Spoiler +
Same boat as lonemeow right now, he moans about inactives but has a grand total of 6 posts, only two of which contained actual analysis. While his longest post isn't poorly written and contains some decent insight, but is a bit sparse with actual reads (only clear read is him saying velocity is town), 2 or 3 good points isn't really much to your name after almost 48 hours of play. Personally I don't think he's a good n1 lynch, because he's shown the potential for decent analytical posts, and is willing to throw suspicion on people, however if he doesn't start posting more regurarly and being a bit clearer with what he thinks things actually mean then he's not going any higher on my list.

Infii: + Show Spoiler +
Hasn't posted much at all, he promised a big post today, and based on that he'll either go up in the list or stay here, I'll probably make my decision on whether he feels like a valid day 1 lynch or not based off that.

Chairman ray: + Show Spoiler +
Said he was working on his scum reads but hasn't mentioned *anyone* except holyflare and umasi, where are you reads? Also jumped really hard on Lord Velocity, I know I did too but I've explained my reasoning, and I'm curious what Ray's is. Hasn't really done anything except say things about holyflare and umasi, who aren't really relevant (imo) with regards to the day1 lynch, and has shown no signs of changing, He's probably the non afk player I would be most willing to lynch at this point.

Pharcyd3: + Show Spoiler +
afk-ed, probably gonna get mod killed

myrzeth: + Show Spoiler +
claims he's been active but hasn't posted shit. That means he's read all our posts saying he needs to come out and hasn't done anything. This isn't a game where everyone does their own thing in a corner, it's a game where town has to work together, not sure if he's really bad town, creative mafia, or trolling but he's my current #1 lynch



My role being i can t contribute a lot, just analyze your posts and if i have i lead i would gladly share it.

A town who can't contribute a lot isn't worth keeping around, either you're a townie who isn't helping point out leads, or more worryingly you're a mafia who will come in after having been quiet for a few days and abuse the fact that you have no past posts which can be used against you.

In forum mafia it isn't enough to no be mafia, you have to prove yourself town and you haven't done that.
Blurry
Profile Joined August 2010
Switzerland125 Posts
September 05 2013 16:01 GMT
#370
While I agree that he (myrzeth) isn't worth keeping around it may just be a waste of a vote to lynch him today. I'm assuming that the mafia has a QT which they can use during the day? If that is the case, if he really was just a lurking mafia his buddies would have given him stuff to say in order to save him.

I just don't think there is enough to go on piling on the easiest target because he is just a lurker, and it may very well be that a lot of the pressure on him is coming from mafia themselves. Be careful in voting for him because he is the easiest target for mafia to get a mislynch right now compared to anyone else.
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 16:10 GMT
#371
On September 06 2013 01:01 Blurry wrote:
While I agree that he (myrzeth) isn't worth keeping around it may just be a waste of a vote to lynch him today. I'm assuming that the mafia has a QT which they can use during the day? If that is the case, if he really was just a lurking mafia his buddies would have given him stuff to say in order to save him.

I just don't think there is enough to go on piling on the easiest target because he is just a lurker, and it may very well be that a lot of the pressure on him is coming from mafia themselves. Be careful in voting for him because he is the easiest target for mafia to get a mislynch right now compared to anyone else.


The chances of us getting a for sure mafia lynch night 1 are quite low though, in a 12 man set up we're allowed 3-4 mislynches, and using one to get rid of a lurker is, in my opinion, worth it.

I'm confused by your logic that "we shouldn't pressure him because he might say things which can save him." If he's mafia having him give some reads which are informative enough for us to want to lynch someone else instead is vastly preferable to lynching someone else but not getting those reads. Also by saying this, you've implied that you think him not giving any information at all even under threat of lynch is a town move, something i strongly disagree with.

Besides, if you don't want lynch him, that means you think town would benefit more from lynching someone else then they would from lynching him. Who do you think is the better lynch?

On September 05 2013 13:21 Blurry wrote:
Expect to hear from me in the morning about other players and how i think we should proceed going into night 1.


Maybe you can include it in your writeup.
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 16:17 GMT
#372
On September 06 2013 01:10 killerdog wrote:
in a 12 man set up we're allowed 3-4 mislynches,


Wait sorry, I think my math was bad there,

d1 = 8 v 3
n1 = 7 v 3
d2 = 6 v 3
n2 = 5 v 3
d3 = 4 v 3
n3 = 3 v 3

So if we mislynch three times in a row we lose.

Also worth noting if parcyd3 gets modkilled tonight, and we mislynch tonight then

d1 = 8 v 3
modkill = 7 v 3
n1 = 6 v 3
d2 = 5 v 3
n2 = 4 v 3
d3 = 3 v 3 (if mislynch

So regardless of whether parcyd3 gets modkilled or not, worst case scenario is still we need to lynch a mafia at the latest day 3, or we lose.
Lord Velocity
Profile Joined August 2013
84 Posts
September 05 2013 16:20 GMT
#373
Well you also might want to remember we can have cop checks, Vigi shots, etc
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 05 2013 16:20 GMT
#374
+ Show Spoiler +
On September 06 2013 01:10 killerdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 01:01 Blurry wrote:
While I agree that he (myrzeth) isn't worth keeping around it may just be a waste of a vote to lynch him today. I'm assuming that the mafia has a QT which they can use during the day? If that is the case, if he really was just a lurking mafia his buddies would have given him stuff to say in order to save him.

I just don't think there is enough to go on piling on the easiest target because he is just a lurker, and it may very well be that a lot of the pressure on him is coming from mafia themselves. Be careful in voting for him because he is the easiest target for mafia to get a mislynch right now compared to anyone else.


The chances of us getting a for sure mafia lynch night 1 are quite low though, in a 12 man set up we're allowed 3-4 mislynches, and using one to get rid of a lurker is, in my opinion, worth it.

I'm confused by your logic that "we shouldn't pressure him because he might say things which can save him." If he's mafia having him give some reads which are informative enough for us to want to lynch someone else instead is vastly preferable to lynching someone else but not getting those reads. Also by saying this, you've implied that you think him not giving any information at all even under threat of lynch is a town move, something i strongly disagree with.

Besides, if you don't want lynch him, that means you think town would benefit more from lynching someone else then they would from lynching him. Who do you think is the better lynch?

Show nested quote +
On September 05 2013 13:21 Blurry wrote:
Expect to hear from me in the morning about other players and how i think we should proceed going into night 1.


Maybe you can include it in your writeup.



On September 06 2013 00:32 myRZeth wrote:


My role being i can t contribute a lot, just analyze your posts and if i have i lead i would gladly share it.



This makes me think he's just a useless vanilla townie. It's really really frustrating seeing how people can stick to their ideals like this. On the one hand I REALLY want to lynch him for being a lurker and pretty much useless but that post annoys me for thinking that.

As for my pressure on infii and heavenz I think they have cleaned up their acts reasonably well and so my only other candidate that would be viable is ray. However, I am more than comfortable lynching lurkers over him.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
September 05 2013 16:20 GMT
#375
On September 06 2013 01:17 killerdog wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 01:10 killerdog wrote:
in a 12 man set up we're allowed 3-4 mislynches,


Wait sorry, I think my math was bad there,

d1 = 8 v 3
n1 = 7 v 3
d2 = 6 v 3
n2 = 5 v 3
d3 = 4 v 3
n3 = 3 v 3

So if we mislynch three times in a row we lose.

Also worth noting if parcyd3 gets modkilled tonight, and we mislynch tonight then

d1 = 8 v 3
modkill = 7 v 3
n1 = 6 v 3
d2 = 5 v 3
n2 = 4 v 3
d3 = 3 v 3 (if mislynch

So regardless of whether parcyd3 gets modkilled or not, worst case scenario is still we need to lynch a mafia at the latest day 3, or we lose.


modkills should normally be replaced first before being killed out and I've done the math in like my first post
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 16:27 GMT
#376
On September 06 2013 01:20 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 06 2013 01:17 killerdog wrote:
On September 06 2013 01:10 killerdog wrote:
in a 12 man set up we're allowed 3-4 mislynches,


Wait sorry, I think my math was bad there,

d1 = 8 v 3
n1 = 7 v 3
d2 = 6 v 3
n2 = 5 v 3
d3 = 4 v 3
n3 = 3 v 3

So if we mislynch three times in a row we lose.

Also worth noting if parcyd3 gets modkilled tonight, and we mislynch tonight then

d1 = 8 v 3
modkill = 7 v 3
n1 = 6 v 3
d2 = 5 v 3
n2 = 4 v 3
d3 = 3 v 3 (if mislynch

So regardless of whether parcyd3 gets modkilled or not, worst case scenario is still we need to lynch a mafia at the latest day 3, or we lose.


modkills should normally be replaced first before being killed out and I've done the math in like my first post


I know, but I'm not sure there are any replacements available. The only one on the list is koshi and he's definitely not a newbie :p

And I'm aware the maths already got brought up, I just felt it was relevant to point out that, even if there is a modkill, we should still kill tonight as a mod kill doesn't change the fact we lose in 3 mislynches. (and also i wanted to clarify my maths fail in saying we could have 3-4 mislynches)

On September 06 2013 01:20 Lord Velocity wrote:
Well you also might want to remember we can have cop checks, Vigi shots, etc

Of course cop checks and vigi shots count, but I was talking about the worst case scenario. I decided not to accoutn for Vigi randomly shooting a townie before we find any mafia because that would just be really dumb.
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 17:21 GMT
#377
4 hours 45 minutes until the deadline,

Blurry,
On September 05 2013 13:21 Blurry wrote:
Expect to hear from me in the morning about other players and how i think we should proceed going into night 1.

Lets hear it

Remember
Infii
Heavenz
bereft
pharcyd3
lonemeow
blurry

You all need to vote or you're gonna get modkilled in under 5 hours.
heavenz
Profile Joined August 2013
Austria301 Posts
September 05 2013 17:39 GMT
#378
thanks holyf. that was good of you (the advice part).

regarding blurry

+ Show Spoiler +
I agree we should try and lynch day 1, but we need to do so intelligently based on pressuring information out of players allegiances. The thing you should do as town is try and post as actively as possible, but avoid any fluff. If you can't figure out who look scummy figure out who looks like a town player.


You enter the discussion with the pro lynch opinion, and generally a decent townopinon.

+ Show Spoiler +

This discussion is pretty slow so how about this.
Everyone answer the following questions.

Who is your strongest town read?
Who is your strongest scum read?

This will let us see where peoples allegiances lie. Also, give reasons for your choices.

Strongest town read: Holyflare, active, trying to provide analysis
Strongest scum read: Lord Velocity, hes just following along with Umasi's ideas, not really providing any of his own stuff.


later you try to get more people involved by asking for reads, and giving some ok reads, at that point in time was even less than now.

You later goes into discussion about reading and writing with Lord Velocity, it has been said.

And your last post is this.

+ Show Spoiler +
While I agree that he (myrzeth) isn't worth keeping around it may just be a waste of a vote to lynch him today. I'm assuming that the mafia has a QT which they can use during the day? If that is the case, if he really was just a lurking mafia his buddies would have given him stuff to say in order to save him.

I just don't think there is enough to go on piling on the easiest target because he is just a lurker, and it may very well be that a lot of the pressure on him is coming from mafia themselves. Be careful in voting for him because he is the easiest target for mafia to get a mislynch right now compared to anyone else.
]


So much for the summarization.

You're a player that's showing no edges, and behave on neutral ground. You picked on Velocity, who played the nooby card as hard as possible peaking in editing. It has been said, there is no opinion about him right or wrong.

You show the most pro town opinions possible (safe lynch ftw!), and keep yourself covered. I attack that you have not said much that can be attacked.

You say you don't want myrezth to die, but voice no opinion who should die instead.

You play like a survivor, not like a town.
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 18:17 GMT
#379
Heavenz, excluding myrzeth and pharcyd3, who are the people you would you be willing to vote for tonight?
killerdog
Profile Joined February 2010
Denmark6522 Posts
September 05 2013 18:17 GMT
#380
And the same question to the other people who haven't voted.
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