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On June 10 2013 06:42 Hapahauli wrote: Actually hell, vote me for mayor.
I'm essentially leading the town anyway, and I want to use the fancy mysterious powers I will gain to kill scum.
##Unvote Mayor: ##Vote Mayor: Hapahauli
Well at least the last phase is over.
##Unvote Mayor: ##Vote Mayor: Hapahauli
and oh look actual reasoning: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=18851240
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@vayne Earlier i asked you a question in this post. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=18848066 While I am you didnt answer it. The post below has the kind of content i was looking for. So consider the last question answered, providing you go on posting content, as opposed to the stuff I could call 'dodging' that you did earlier.
On June 10 2013 08:02 VayneAuthority wrote:Show nested quote +On June 10 2013 07:11 Hapahauli wrote:On June 10 2013 07:06 VayneAuthority wrote: Oats/jampi Can you explain your reads a bit? I think I heard a decent amount from you on Oats, but I'm more curious about Jampi. Is there 2 or 3 scum? I'd assume either 3 scum or 2 powerful scum + an SK. If 3 i'd give filler slot to that lurker gravityman, everyone else seems fine DarthPunk also hasn't posted. Also, what do you think about Sylencia? yea I forgot about DP so ignore that then Sylencia no read yet Jampi is playing a bit lurky and reactive, when I played with him in my newbie game he was much more proactive and died night 1 as a result. Not seeing any of his analysis here so ill give him some more time but if he doesn't do anything leaning scum. I always think oats is scum so far except in Carnival Cruise game, so I don't even know if it's a good read but he's generally hard to read since he just spams the ever living shit out of people and it has no alignment indications
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On June 10 2013 09:01 VayneAuthority wrote: I quoted your post and tried to make the best sense I could of your questions. They really weren't clear in my eyes. oops. Oh fuck me, not reading the thread 'properly'. Well I was reading, your back and forth with oats trying to work out who was answering and who was evading or looking busy, then stutters and BH popped out of nowhere... and I ignored my own posts reply... {blush}
as said your recent posts (the ones i did focus on reading) satisfy(for now) what I was trying to get earlier, aka stuff that I think I can analyse to see if your brain is engaged and scum hunting, or just dodging.
+ Show Spoiler +This is possibly a clarification or not as needed. Most of that post defines how you talk about "Oh we get zero information without flips... blah blah..." and looks to me like way of saying nothing but making posts. With reference to this post of yours, which worried, with its to me false claim of zero information. + Show Spoiler +On June 09 2013 15:25 VayneAuthority wrote:Show nested quote +On June 09 2013 15:22 ShiaoPi wrote: I am intersted in getting sylencia back here right now. What is your stance on my campaign? Null until everyone votes, if there's just one mayor and everyone votes him we gain zero info, thats what scum wants. @Vayne The question was. " Independent of how the votes pan out, because sometimes at the end of the day there is one no brainer candidate. If we discussed the mayoral campaign, and found out who was shy about commenting during the day before the result was clear, would that help find scum or would it as you seem to suggest yield 'zero information'. "I can now make the point clearer... Just recently the idea of voting, hapa appeared... (which may or may not have surprised some) If we had discussed the mayoral campaign in more depth earlier, and found out who was shy about commenting during the day before the result was clear, would that help find scum or would it as you seem to suggest yield 'zero information'. What I was wanted was reasoned answers from you, on something, on anything, because at that time I hadn't seen them. Your back and forth with oats and the stuff since is what I was actually seeking to get to happen. Now there are some posts by you with content.
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@people who think they understand setup balance. I am happy with my hapa vote, but have an unresolved issue of the trade offs involved.
Re the implications of these two posts. + Show Spoiler +On June 10 2013 06:29 VayneAuthority wrote: remember that this is semi-closed setup so we dont even know if theres a medic or anything. Getting voted as mayor is pretty much a death sentence and I think BH sees it the same way I do. Don't want a fucking target on my back to start the game. On June 10 2013 06:39 Hapahauli wrote:Show nested quote +On June 10 2013 06:29 VayneAuthority wrote: remember that this is semi-closed setup so we dont even know if theres a medic or anything. Getting voted as mayor is pretty much a death sentence and I think BH sees it the same way I do. Don't want a fucking target on my back to start the game. Setup-speculation wise, I'd imagine the mayor would have some sort of veteran or bodyguard mechanic. Else it would just be really poor game design and de-incentivize any vets from wanting to be elected.
You can't "de-incentivize any vets from wanting to be elected" if you don't tell them what the mechanic is and we have not been told. The vets (eg BH?) however might be worried about whether or not it is a poisoned chalice. What the powers actually are does not effect that choice. I personally suspect, that unless there is incentive for a vet to be mayor, and it is not quite as Vayne says a death sentence then it would be a bit bastardy('poor game design'), but I know I have no idea what is and isn't "normal" (I even proved it in my first post ) One point at which my brain goes WTF is on this question, how does the mayor and its powers likely balance out the games size issues.(11 is to me an odd number for a game size.) To be sure I have the correct balance in how sure I am a 'candidate is town', vs 'the skill' with which they will use the powers (or if the, towny town mayor, lacked skill how reliably they will do what the informed town tells them too? )
I think I could do with some well informed rationally justified speculation on the powers and the condition..., no hurry. I have as I suggested my own guesses, that I based the vote for hapa on, and at the moment he ticks both my boxes.
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I do have to stop making my first reads based on the users name... Trouble is I keep being right... + Show Spoiler +Name+long long silence => lame joke was incoming I user hope gravity man appreciates the gravity of choosing to be the most fashionably late entrant and can now live up to it.
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On June 10 2013 10:47 GravityMan wrote:Show nested quote +On June 10 2013 10:43 AxleGreaser wrote:I do have to stop making my first reads based on the users name... Trouble is I keep being right... + Show Spoiler +Name+long long silence => lame joke was incoming I user hope gravity man appreciates the gravity of choosing to be the most fashionably late entrant and can now live up to it. What exactly does my entrance to the thread have to do with living up to what people may or may not expect of me?
I am not sure what you are asking perhaps because you are not sure what I said. so...
(outside of the newbies games) In my experience people typically turn up in threads late, either because of actually true IRL issues. or because they estimate themselves to be a good enough player, that they can turn up late, and either through reputation, but in your case as you are a smurf, through their actions in the thread establish their innocence enough to live through the first lynch.
This has side effect benefit in say BHs case of increasing the chances he will live through the night.
Turning up late, if you are scum, like lurking is a strategy that might be used to avoid giving input until you see the lay of the land (who has time to play how well this game) and work out how to position your scum strategy in the game. As it can benefit scum, it is a thing they would want to do, however as it is thing they would want to do people not giving input (by lurking, turning up late) looks scummy. Because it looks scummy, scum tend not to do it...etc unto infinite recursion, hence what i label as WIFOM. While it is WIFOM the conditional probabilities are not entirely null.
it thus changes my expectations of you.
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very Late (unimportant?) EBWOP
On June 10 2013 10:43 AxleGreaser wrote:I do have to stop making my first reads based on the users name... Trouble is I keep being right... + Show Spoiler +Name+long long silence => lame joke was incoming I usersure hope gravity man appreciates the gravity of choosing to be the most fashionably late entrant and can now live up to it.
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On June 10 2013 11:36 GravityMan wrote:Show nested quote +On June 10 2013 11:20 AxleGreaser wrote:On June 10 2013 10:47 GravityMan wrote:On June 10 2013 10:43 AxleGreaser wrote:I do have to stop making my first reads based on the users name... Trouble is I keep being right... + Show Spoiler +Name+long long silence => lame joke was incoming I user hope gravity man appreciates the gravity of choosing to be the most fashionably late entrant and can now live up to it. What exactly does my entrance to the thread have to do with living up to what people may or may not expect of me? I am not sure what you are asking perhaps because you are not sure what I said. so... (outside of the newbies games) In my experience people typically turn up in threads late, either because of actually true IRL issues. or because they estimate themselves to be a good enough player, that they can turn up late, and either through reputation, but in your case as you are a smurf, through their actions in the thread establish their innocence enough to live through the first lynch. This has side effect benefit in say BHs case of increasing the chances he will live through the night. Turning up late, if you are scum, like lurking is a strategy that might be used to avoid giving input until you see the lay of the land (who has time to play how well this game) and work out how to position your scum strategy in the game. As it can benefit scum, it is a thing they would want to do, however as it is thing they would want to do people not giving input (by lurking, turning up late) looks scummy. Because it looks scummy, scum tend not to do it...etc unto infinite recursion, hence what i label as WIFOM. While it is WIFOM the conditional probabilities are not entirely null. it thus changes my expectations of you. Your explanation is somewhat sufficient, thank you for the clarification. What is not clear to me however, is your actual read of me. Do you regard me as scum or town currently, based on what little you know of me and what I have posted in this thread? I assume you would regard me differently if I were another person, so let me also ask you: if I were a well-known player who is known for strong scumhunting skills how would you regard me given my posting being exactly the same?
Gravity man appears to have no allergy to copious words. Thus most of my reply are in spoilers as they are not likely to be useful the thread at large but I expect them to communicate with you(gravman). I have certain affinity for things robotic and computational and when I explain things computers(not people) usually always understand me. (I write bug free code!(yeah right)) + Show Spoiler [nature of the answer] + If this doesnt make sense sorry, it means I made a wrong assumption/guess. Ok. Low hanging fruit questions are a useful commodity. They can be used to check the operational efficacy of low hanging computers. I try not to waste those questions by answering them. This for instance answers a question not asked. The above paragraph, will either acks(geek speak(makes sense)) or it doesn't.
+ Show Spoiler [Kind of Reads of GravityWell] +These are 'kind of reads' I think they provide the required information anyway. How to read Smurfs 101. Well BHs diagram + Show Spoiler + clearly does not apply as there is not "What they do as" as we have no history data for and until you flip we don't know which one you are this time. However what we need to do is relabel that diagram as What is hard for scum to do. What town really cant have a reason for doingNow the problem is, there are things that it is hard for newbie player to do as scum that are not hard for an experienced one. So we simply can not yet make use of the diagram unless we tweak it some more. Given an estimate of how good this player is: What is hard for scum to do. What town really cant have a reason for doingSo armed with that diagram I need an estimate of how good you are, before I work out what of your posts goes in the What is hard for scum to do. part of the diagram or the other...dum dum da dah. here is where for me it gets interesting. A large part of your opening post, can be written off by some, (as non productive fluff and nonsense), it actually is a claim, but not he usual kind. It is claim regarding your facility and capabilities with language and the thoughts inside. As such it can well be relevant to: Given an estimate of how good this player is: What is hard for scum to do. These: Questions to hapa: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=18852266Are good questions, in the sense that hapas answer to them will give me a stronger read on him. That you can identify good questions, also indicates that you are a capable player. Does it yet meet the criteria What is hard for you if you are scum to do?Well as my read on how good you are, is good enough, I am not really going to say, except so far so good. A next test will be yes, you asked hapa the right questions to ask hapa, for me a next test will be how well you choose who else to ask questions of. I will also say on this point that there thigns that if newbie player does them then What town really cant have a reason for doingbut sometimes if the player is better, they choose to do things ... Hmm IIRC, palmer claims all the time, I think he once stated in thread he couldnt talk right now because he was busy posting in the QT...., now you would have to be really dumb before that was scum slip but not many townies do that.
+ Show Spoiler [second pargrahs answer] + You asked: I assume you would regard me differently if I were another person, so let me also ask you: if I were a well-known player who is known for strong scumhunting skills how would you regard me given my posting being exactly the same?
Assumptions are dangerous things and let you, as you perceive me, to accidentally see false thoughts in my head. (its also how the tricksiest scum I can imagine, set people up, so far i am yet to be sure they (such very tricksy scum) exist.)
hmm: pedant: "I assume you would regard me differently if I were another person," if you were another person id regard you differently because you would play differently in this game.
ahh but you want me to assume somehow a different person made the same posts? partly see above regarding hard for scum to do depends on how good the person is.
I expect there is a significant probability you are "a well-known player who is known for strong scumhunting skills" so your question is a bit moot due to faulty premise/assumption.
However if i knew which player you were, it would reduce the error margin in the estimate I have of how good you are: I would (because it is part of how I hunt scum ) still apply the 'hard to do as scum test', but with a better estimate of how hard that would be for you.
Further by knowing which specific player you were I could go and read your previous play, and look for things that I thought you would find hard to change that were intrinsic and natural to you and how you play as scum and town. However as the sample size of such measures is small that has dangers of error. Thus I like words usually lots of them so Bhs original categories are for me more like.
Things this particular player frequently/usually/moreoften does as scum but are also consider robust and unlikely to vary over time and RL circumstance. Discount needs to be applied for how old the meta is blah blah blah... lots can go wrong. Finally from some reading i have done on evolutionary biology, humans have evolved as social animals, some RL humans have always been scummy, and so when they went to stab the mamoth (a risky task) some humans always happened to stab last... other humans ferreted out these scum. The scum and the town evolved... it is called a red queen race in the literature. Thus, simply, gut instincts, gut reads, actually work. If I knew who you were and had long enough experience reading you and testing that, I might be able to do my 'wet finger test'.
Wet finger test: For some payers, I read their posts one at a time out of context, look in my gut and say "scum" or "town" whichever one doesn't make me feel queezy. If most or all posts are one or the other that is their alignment no matter what the wizz kids(local experts) say.
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On June 10 2013 11:36 GravityMan wrote:
I assume you would regard me differently if I were another person, so let me also ask you: if I were a well-known player who is known for strong scumhunting skills how would you regard me given my posting being exactly the same?
I just came across the post where vayne explains he cant understand my posts. To people in that position: One solution is we discuss things.
My previous post was me answering to you questions you asked. I spoilered it a lot, as I expect a significant number of posters wont like reading it all and it would waste their time.
As you asked the question, if you don't like the answer try again.
If other people have a related or even the same question, ask it, the answer you get would be different.
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Fucking LOL....
On June 10 2013 15:44 Oatsmaster wrote:Why is BH being SO chill??? Like no ego anywhere to be seen, no flame wars. Show nested quote + And of course I'm the best, most experienced, and most intelligent player here, Found the ego. Still not as much as before. Im not used to this. Go back to that BH. Whats the point of you praising VA BH? Whos scum BH?
oats> Why is BH being SO chill??? You so silly, he just told you. a couple of posts back... BH> Obviously, his meta speculation is unfounded, since my 3p game (so far, at least) has been characterized by strident aggressive play.
See: he is so chill, because he is not 3P.
oats> Whos scum BH? BH>##vote oatsmaster
On June 10 2013 15:49 Oatsmaster wrote: why. Why am I always the one to get unexplained votes. Every game man.
because you asked so nicely for someone (BH this time) to vote you?
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+ Show Spoiler +On June 10 2013 15:31 Blazinghand wrote: I consider myself and Hapa to be the two vets here. We both play a strong town game and use our votes in a valuable way. Although Hapa differs from me in his style (I find myself typically playing a more strident game), he nonetheless uses his vote to great effect. I'm reasonably certain Hapa is town from his inquisitive posting, and his comment on me being 3p, in retrospect, doesn't seem like the kind of comment scum would make.
Now that I think about it, I'm beginning to think it's actually a towntell. I'm fairly certain a scum player who sees Blazinghand playing in a different way will push him in a sidelong way but not say he's 3p. Hapa saw me playing in a different way, but Hapa knows how I play as scum, and this isn't it. It seems a reasonable though process to say "BH is acting different, but not like the scum BH I know. Is he 3p?", and although I gave him some crap for it, it's not a good move for him to make as scum. Obviously, his meta speculation is unfounded, since my 3p game (so far, at least) has been characterized by strident aggressive play.
Hapa is certainly smart and experienced enough to fool me if he's scum, but this kind of excited utterance reveals to me that he actually has a town mindset. He's a smart guy and is one of the few people truly capable of using the mayor position properly.
##mayorify: hapahauli
As for VA, I have been nothing but impressed by his play that I've seen. He's been a capable scumhunter, and he utterly hoodwinked me in Les Mafia. Whereas most of the player list is cluttered with jubjubs and followers (if you're reading this, I'm not talking about you, I'm talking about the other guys), VA is smart. He's not a veteran in terms of games played but for his excellent play in my interactions with him I consider him a vet. That being said, the guy DID utterly hoodwink me, which means the fact that I have a townread on him is meaningless. I can't catch him when he's scum-- or at least, not yet. Anyone that good I'd keep an eye on-- but if he's town, he can use the power wisely. Given my strong townread on hapa though I see no reason to entrust VA with the power.
And of course I'm the best, most experienced, and most intelligent player here, so I'd naturally consider myself for the job. It's just not in the cards for me this game, though. Hapa's willing to do it, and he's town, so the man's got my vote.
Note i too am not interested at this time in looking for the 3P if there was one, personally id be guessing they were smoke to make 11 look plausibly balanced when mayor was the answer. (but I am bad at that kind of guessing) So before 3P is on the agenda Id like to have some indication there was one... besides with the scum hunting time spent on mayor voting after our sloooooow start, I feel we are behind on the day.
But BH just in case you hadn't noticed, there are multiple kinds of 3P in this game (SK+survivor), and the size of this game is (probably) different to your previous games, and so comparison about whether in the past, in probably different contexts, whether or not you were 3p, strident as an indicator for what you rolled you is not, to me, useful.
but yeah basically your post is fine with me, but I dont like finding broken logic in your or hapas posts. it makes me go hmmmm,
Oats.... different bucket oats does oats things. This time I LOL'd
@Blazinghand Also a question. As it is your Venn diagram I keep using, I thought I ought ask you about it. if you rolled any particular alignment in the next game(assume Im host). And I pmed you after you had got it with random choice of you had to be 'strident' or 'not strident', do you think you could choose to play that way.
If in that game you could choose arbitrarily, how much attention should I pay to whether you are strident or not in this game, especially seeing as your the one that pointed it out. (well hapa started it)
Also just to be clear, from memory I think your game as whole has been changing across multiple games. Several experienced players in completed games seem to be playing differently over time, marv has been like a hot cold roller door,
basically while I love your diagram and will quote it a lot.... I think this meta stuff is harder to use than simply 'strident' or not. "A diagram has got to know its limitations" (DHarry)
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On June 10 2013 17:03 Blazinghand wrote: Oh yeah, I could play however I want-- I am a talented guy. I mean obviously meta has its limits. The Venn diagram is just a guide mostly to say "ignore this part". not everything outside the orange is relevant, but the orange is guaranteed irrelevant.
yeah I knew were talented, what I wanted to check, if (how easily) you would admit to being that talented. As I perceive things you doing so was a risk. ta. I am slowly getting better at working out which bits to ignore. The venn diagram is as you say only a guide, what I like about it is it is the bit in the middle of so much of how to play mafia.
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Dear hosts does Vayne have two mayoral Votes? Sylencia and hapa. + Show Spoiler +On June 10 2013 17:41 Blazinghand wrote: Yeah you know what, I don't buy Oats logic at all for not buying my hapa townread and also voting me. If he really thinks I'm scum, his objection to my hapa townread wouldn't be based on the idea of hapa as scum pushing a non-scum blazinghand. Whatever flaws Oats may have as a player, this chain of logic really doesn't make sense to me. You can say you think we both can't be scum, and I'm scummier, but that still doesn't explain why you don't buy the logic in my statement of a townread on hapa. The scenario in which my townread and the logic behind it are not correct (ie, i'm town and hapa is scum) shouldn't really be prevelant in your mind if you really think I'm scum.
I just can't square any of your explanation with "I think blazinghand is scum, and i don't buy his townread on hapa since hapa could be scum and pushing blazinghand who isn't scum". You have backtracked how sure you are that I'm scum, which is clever, but you also state that hapa would be making a genuine read as scum. I don't see a town perspective that leads to this. I don't see it at all.
##vote: oatsmaster Dear BlazingHand you may be talented, but there is a voting thread.
On June 10 2013 18:19 Blazinghand wrote:Oh, absolutely. As scum if you can exclusively inhabit the orange zone you will highly successful. While you're here, i was wondering if you could update your reasoning for voting Oats beyond what you initially said (link). Weighing in on what I said specifically would also be nice.
Um first up. You have actually read that stuff in that post. (not just that I voted...right?) I was playing with myself (pun intended). I was the only person in the thread. So I started posting stuff. For people to pick on or whatever. k. Huh?
yeah I will weigh in but its going to hurt.
mentioned earlier in spoiler reply to gravityman I mentioned wet finger reads.
I don't have them for just anyone. I usually don't have them for oats, even though I played with him a lot, most of my feel for his scum game from playing with him is old and from His second newbie, so Id expect he changed. I will have read other games he played too... still.. normally not wet finger read material.
However as I read this latest exchange, I didn't get a sense of him trying to achieve a purpose other than his stated one. However in terms of finding scum I am starting to have to look under the rocks to find scum posting in the thread.
I will try harder,
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one problem is I already had views on Hapas towniness. They colour everything I see, so if at some point in the analysis I try and guess is it reasonable for someone else to either see or not see what I do it gets messy fast.
On June 10 2013 18:19 Blazinghand wrote:Oh, absolutely. As scum if you can exclusively inhabit the orange zone you will highly successful. While you're here, i was wondering if you could update your reasoning for voting Oats beyond what you initially said (link). Weighing in on what I said specifically would also be nice.
First, in terms of hapa reaction to you being different
On June 10 2013 06:14 Hapahauli wrote: Are you a 3rd party or something? You sound so... different.
Your logic. goes like: hapa waves 3P at you... "If he were scum, he'd be infinitely more cautious about pushing a guy like me, " Better yet why would a Hapa, who is a likely mayor if he is scum wave that at you. He IMO cant as scum want to lynch you, hed nk you sometime and try and get you to share the blame for the lynches the rest. I can propose, he might think he needed to push you a bit to look genuine. hard to drink.
However what I feel, is "inquisitiveness". I'd do that as the less hard I push you then see what happens the cleaner I can interpret the response. FYI: I also push harder on occasions. Scum can want soft pushes too, but they smell like seeing what mud will stick. So what does the quality of the read of hapa mean about you or Oats.
Re BH: Finding hapa as town using that was not something I saw for myself. Even though you pointed it out its not something you talked me into.
For you to be scum you need to be working pretty hard to find your town reads to find that. This makes it harder than average to drink. (do remember you claimed to be talented) I still claim its harder than average to drink (AKA I don't think your that talented.) + Show Spoiler +{go on object and claim you really are talented enough to fake that!}
Re Oats: Thats harder. As i understand it he though hapa as as towny as i do and .... problem: I cant work out what hes thinking. Normally when hes scum he is thinking. So IDK in some cack handed way that it makes no sense means ...
I will try some more...
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On June 10 2013 18:19 Blazinghand wrote:Oh, absolutely. As scum if you can exclusively inhabit the orange zone you will highly successful. While you're here, i was wondering if you could update your reasoning for voting Oats beyond what you initially said (link). Weighing in on what I said specifically would also be nice.
Did I answer you yet? Weighing in on which bit of what you said with oats. I think I addressed the central thesis, which is how do I see that read of hapa, and what if anything does it imply about you? I imagine knowing what is important is important.
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On June 10 2013 19:21 AxleGreaser wrote: one problem is I already had views on Hapas towniness. They colour everything I see, so if at some point in the analysis I try and guess is it reasonable for someone else to either see or not see what I do it gets messy fast.
[...]
Re Oats: Thats harder. As i understand it he though hapa as as towny as i do and .... problem: I cant work out what hes thinking. Normally when hes scum he is thinking. So IDK in some cack handed way that it makes no sense means ...
I will try some more...
Apparently I couldnt work out what i was thinking either.
Ok: oats exchange with you did not feel scum to me .... I am missing an ingredient. you say: Here you conclude: BH: I don't see a town perspective that leads to this. I don't see it at all.
See the struck out bit from a previous post of mine. you wont find a town perspective in those words either. I had brain fart.
Can you show what scum plan oats had in that interaction with you? Was he scum trying to get you lynched? Would oats try that? Was he scum trying to see if he could throw some mud look busy and leave.
near as i can tell he got hold the idea in this post http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=18853635 and didnt let go.
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prequel: as I wrote this, I can feel in my bones, I will be brain farting this morning. If what is say is more that usual ask, at sometime appropriate. Were kinda busy now. ==== Ok, I am here again. its 9am where I live barring coffees, I should be here for Lynch.
I have read the thread once. As a reminder to myself and the thread, stuff has happened between my last post and here. (yeah obv is obv) but no matter how hard I or you try everybody ought read this bit again after lynch. (yeah obv is obv) I am still rubbing sleep out of my eyes. The sorts of things i wont see is,second order effects, which people didnt push stuff, but muddied the waters.
Anyways: First order of business, because for me its simplest. I have not seen anything I noticed that, in anyway convinced me to change my mayor vote. So vote on Hapa stays, and is reaffirmed as current.
Hapa For mayor. + Show Spoiler [ignorable as long as hapa is mayor] + Lots of stuff hasn't been said about this: so i will quickly. What if the mayoral power is immunity to cop checks.(although our cop having claimed probably wont get to be that useful.) Anyway I always liked hapa for mayor, for the other obv reasons but also because (even I was wrong and he's scum) I think wed still work it out, as he posts so many reads. Conversely putting someone like Vayne, who Bh says fooled him last time in as mayor where powers might leave us up the creek. Also given Vayne closed, style of play, nah not mayor. Too much risk. Remember way back when I (I think) flagged risk benefit analysis for mayor, this is the kind of stuff thinking I meant. Hapa for mayor.
Potentially viable(someone wanted/was pushing them) lynches when I went to bed, included : Re: Oats vs BH that occupied me last up. BH: Reading through the thread once. Gut read. I still wouldn't lynch him today, period. hes probably townier than that but that is irrelevant if I am just not going to vote to lynch him. Oats: Like I said I cant usually gut read oats, as i have to read him(the whole thread in context) specifically only thinking about his motives. However, didnt want to lynch him yesterday wouldnt today.
There had been stuff on jampi, I wasn't keen at the time, so I didn't vote, indeed for time i was worried by the looming concept of lurker lynches. We had two back then, Shiaopi and DP. DP is being replaced, so that ought be off in case the replacement plays and is readable town. Shioapi appearing like that after so long rubs me wrong, but i think its me thing not a proper feel.
Vayne: I know i cant do a gut read on this, but logic tells me we cant lynch a cop claim much to much risk. basically Not Lynch: Elapsed time is very likely to resolve the situation with a high degree of certainty, and scum is given harder choices. whereas lynch: if he's the cop, then we lose the cop AND scum is free to kill a high priority good player target. That would be bad.
So i cant vote vayne:
##vote: jampidampi
A said i am here. I will be trying to critically analyse the newer stuff said on jampi unlessomeones talking. Indeed the trhead probably moved since i started writing.
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Actually changed my mind, going to find smaller things to respond to, going turtle and thinking hard wont work in this time frame.
On June 11 2013 06:08 Stutters695 wrote:Show nested quote +On June 11 2013 05:16 VayneAuthority wrote: thats fine hap, if no roleblock is claimed tomorrow kill BH. If his scumslip is real scum is goon, framer, gf team so my role isnt that great anyway. im dead tonight unless we have medic so glhf. my last post for today Sorry I'm still catching up. What scum slip/how does a rb claim affect it? Don't both sides have a potential roleblock? I don't know for sure, Vayne would have to explain what he meant but it seems he doesn't. (aka please do) I saw that as I read here is what i recall of my guess. Vayne is heavily into vote analysis, kill analysis, and guessign at the setup. it appears to work where he comes from, how it can work here where scum players make their decision for different priorities remains a mystery to me. My guess was, BH was saying stuff about what ought happen, Vayne (guessed) BH was scum, and that he knew what roles scum had, and so was doing whatever it was BH did just before that as part of some scum plan, and that somehow this had let vayne reverse engineer the setup. it didnt read as valid analysis. I could be wrong but it seemed to align with a vayne survival motivation.
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On June 11 2013 06:50 Blazinghand wrote: the point is at the start of the game I thought VA would be a good town player.
Curious, i think your observation was of his scum game, could he have been a good scum player, whose skills wouldn't translate well to being good town. If he played his town game with meta that looked like the scum game you played with him, would it have been good town play?
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On June 11 2013 07:47 Hapahauli wrote: half this thread is annoyingly lurky
yeah, at the moment, 2hrs 20 to Lynch and i just spammed the thread !!
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