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On May 06 2013 11:56 jrkirby wrote: Vayne, you were talking about how a no lynch would be good, but you never did vote for one. Why?
Because I got such a poor reaction from it. Simple as that. I would have gladly no lynched today if it was agreed upon.
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Keep in mind this is night one and not day 2, its pretty much the same thing as day one. The real game starts after PR roles gain info and people get killed.
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On May 07 2013 00:10 AllHailHydraGod wrote:Hey! I'm highly suspicious of Spicydinosaur. His play seems calculated, coasting his vote on the guy who hasn't posted at all for 2/3 of Day 1 so he doesn't have to explain himself much when hopping on a wagon close to deadline. And the way his vote wound up on flowcaster is also "troubling". See his filter, in posts #3 and #4 he's asking questions which I would interpret as townie but then it's like he doesn't even care about them at all. His # 5 is this: Show nested quote +On May 06 2013 02:22 Spicydinosaur wrote: Voted for FloWcaster for no postings. Still waiting on a few others analysis to decide if im going to change it. Got a busy day but will hopefully be back in time for deadline. What happened to his inquiries regarding nobodywonder's reason to vote Vayne.. or shirokami's lack of content and postponing analysis? Does he find them satisfying or scummy or what, he simply votes for pressuring the non-poster instead of pursuing his suspicions, letting people know where he stands.. they must've given him some impression but my hunch is he's not willing to share them because he wants to keep his options of jumping on their wagon open. His catch-up post http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=18508502]#6 does not give the impression as if he's interested to find things out. There's something about the way he starts his posts, look: Show nested quote +On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: It seems at this point that flowcaster is going to be replaced so my vote for him is pointless and im going to change it. For the following reasons i am voting for Targe.
I had suspected shirokami because of his lack of posts, but once he got on he was talkative and gave his opinion.
First off he's like warming up to it by saying his vote on flowcaster is useless. This is either townie realizing he has been playing anti-town or apologetic, cheeky scum. I can't tell but judging by the way he says these are the reasons for voting for Targe .. i don't know, sounds like it's hard for him to do so and he's getting ready to write some fiction. I mean since scum talk in their QT about who's mislynch to push I feel like this is a coordinated move in that they decided that Targe should be Spicydinosaur's target but he seems like he's working hard to come up with reasons. But the next sentence is where I think he gave himself away: Show nested quote +On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: I had suspected shirokami because of his lack of posts, but once he got on he was talkative and gave his opinion. As I've said he probably kept his options open to jump on one of the two he has questioned, actually, the only 2 people he had any sort of interactions with and even with these folks he didn't bother to comment on their replies to his questions. So here we see him choosing one of these options. The way the post is designed it's really rather sincere, like saying I was coasting so now I'm voting for one of the two guys I have a few sentences of content against, being extra careful because voting for anyone else would raise questions and scum/I don't like to explain myself. Show nested quote +On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: I'll be on till vote time if anything needs help understanding. Understanding what? It's not like he left room for anything to misinterpret, he's scum and it's that simple. Others are concerned about switching the vote because JarJar doesn't seem scummy whereas he is concerned about people understanding his post. In fact I thought him and flowcaster where the scumteam and he used the inactivity of his scumbuddy to distance himself from him knowing well that if he fails to show up he'd get replaced, or that he could easily switch off him once he starts to post. That is not the case though. I'm town and you should sheep me on this one. I'll go over other people's filters shortly. My general impression is that jrkirby, nobodywonder, Targe and jampidampi are town. Also LAL means Lynch All Liars afaik. And lurkers aren't people who don't post at all but people who post little with little to no original content .. like Spicy. [/url]
I will come out and say at the least incase I die tonight that I agree a lot with this analysis. Targe and spicydinosaur are 2 of my prime suspects, also wary of espi.casey.
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On May 07 2013 03:34 nobodywonder wrote:@Hydra Hi, good I like your posting so far. Keep it up. What did you think about the outcome of the JarJar lynch? There may be a mafia on it perhaps so I'm very suscipious of casey. I also don't like the last minute random voting between jrkirby and spicydinosaur. that was weird. Show nested quote +On May 07 2013 03:23 VayneAuthority wrote:On May 07 2013 00:10 AllHailHydraGod wrote:Hey! I'm highly suspicious of Spicydinosaur. His play seems calculated, coasting his vote on the guy who hasn't posted at all for 2/3 of Day 1 so he doesn't have to explain himself much when hopping on a wagon close to deadline. And the way his vote wound up on flowcaster is also "troubling". See his filter, in posts #3 and #4 he's asking questions which I would interpret as townie but then it's like he doesn't even care about them at all. His # 5 is this: On May 06 2013 02:22 Spicydinosaur wrote: Voted for FloWcaster for no postings. Still waiting on a few others analysis to decide if im going to change it. Got a busy day but will hopefully be back in time for deadline. What happened to his inquiries regarding nobodywonder's reason to vote Vayne.. or shirokami's lack of content and postponing analysis? Does he find them satisfying or scummy or what, he simply votes for pressuring the non-poster instead of pursuing his suspicions, letting people know where he stands.. they must've given him some impression but my hunch is he's not willing to share them because he wants to keep his options of jumping on their wagon open. His catch-up post http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=18508502]#6 does not give the impression as if he's interested to find things out. There's something about the way he starts his posts, look: On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: It seems at this point that flowcaster is going to be replaced so my vote for him is pointless and im going to change it. For the following reasons i am voting for Targe.
I had suspected shirokami because of his lack of posts, but once he got on he was talkative and gave his opinion.
First off he's like warming up to it by saying his vote on flowcaster is useless. This is either townie realizing he has been playing anti-town or apologetic, cheeky scum. I can't tell but judging by the way he says these are the reasons for voting for Targe .. i don't know, sounds like it's hard for him to do so and he's getting ready to write some fiction. I mean since scum talk in their QT about who's mislynch to push I feel like this is a coordinated move in that they decided that Targe should be Spicydinosaur's target but he seems like he's working hard to come up with reasons. But the next sentence is where I think he gave himself away: On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: I had suspected shirokami because of his lack of posts, but once he got on he was talkative and gave his opinion. As I've said he probably kept his options open to jump on one of the two he has questioned, actually, the only 2 people he had any sort of interactions with and even with these folks he didn't bother to comment on their replies to his questions. So here we see him choosing one of these options. The way the post is designed it's really rather sincere, like saying I was coasting so now I'm voting for one of the two guys I have a few sentences of content against, being extra careful because voting for anyone else would raise questions and scum/I don't like to explain myself. On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: I'll be on till vote time if anything needs help understanding. Understanding what? It's not like he left room for anything to misinterpret, he's scum and it's that simple. Others are concerned about switching the vote because JarJar doesn't seem scummy whereas he is concerned about people understanding his post. In fact I thought him and flowcaster where the scumteam and he used the inactivity of his scumbuddy to distance himself from him knowing well that if he fails to show up he'd get replaced, or that he could easily switch off him once he starts to post. That is not the case though. I'm town and you should sheep me on this one. I'll go over other people's filters shortly. My general impression is that jrkirby, nobodywonder, Targe and jampidampi are town. Also LAL means Lynch All Liars afaik. And lurkers aren't people who don't post at all but people who post little with little to no original content .. like Spicy. I will come out and say at the least incase I die tonight that I agree a lot with this analysis. Targe and spicydinosaur are 2 of my prime suspects, also wary of espi.casey. if you think you are going to die, you might as well give us the dirt on Targe. I don't see the point of delaying your analysis any further. what do you think of the other posters, any that take your attention? what do you think of hydra's case on dino? [/url]
its worthless until any killing occur so if I die then so be it. I agree with his analysis on spicydinosaur for a couple of reasons.
1. he starts off the game by saying he was looking up ways, such as lurking, that would be considered anti-town. If that isnt suspicious I don't know what is. Onto more concrete evidence...
2. mafia tend to ask a lot of questions but don't have a lot of answers. asking why people are voting for others and what they think about others gives the illusion of productivity but in reality adds nothing.
3. Tons of bandwagoning and general agreeance with others. As soon as anybody pipes up about having suspicions about somebody else, he is right there to agree. I am also adding the flowcaster early vote to this.
4. Voting for targe late even though it has no impact on the vote. Shifts him away from the JarJar lynch and also separates scum into different places so as to cause confusion.
If targe or spicy flips mafia, I would strongly consider the other being mafia as well.
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On May 07 2013 03:57 Targe wrote:Show nested quote +On May 07 2013 03:52 VayneAuthority wrote:On May 07 2013 03:34 nobodywonder wrote:@Hydra Hi, good I like your posting so far. Keep it up. What did you think about the outcome of the JarJar lynch? There may be a mafia on it perhaps so I'm very suscipious of casey. I also don't like the last minute random voting between jrkirby and spicydinosaur. that was weird. On May 07 2013 03:23 VayneAuthority wrote:On May 07 2013 00:10 AllHailHydraGod wrote:Hey! I'm highly suspicious of Spicydinosaur. His play seems calculated, coasting his vote on the guy who hasn't posted at all for 2/3 of Day 1 so he doesn't have to explain himself much when hopping on a wagon close to deadline. And the way his vote wound up on flowcaster is also "troubling". See his filter, in posts #3 and #4 he's asking questions which I would interpret as townie but then it's like he doesn't even care about them at all. His # 5 is this: On May 06 2013 02:22 Spicydinosaur wrote: Voted for FloWcaster for no postings. Still waiting on a few others analysis to decide if im going to change it. Got a busy day but will hopefully be back in time for deadline. What happened to his inquiries regarding nobodywonder's reason to vote Vayne.. or shirokami's lack of content and postponing analysis? Does he find them satisfying or scummy or what, he simply votes for pressuring the non-poster instead of pursuing his suspicions, letting people know where he stands.. they must've given him some impression but my hunch is he's not willing to share them because he wants to keep his options of jumping on their wagon open. His catch-up post http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=18508502]#6 does not give the impression as if he's interested to find things out. There's something about the way he starts his posts, look: On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: It seems at this point that flowcaster is going to be replaced so my vote for him is pointless and im going to change it. For the following reasons i am voting for Targe.
I had suspected shirokami because of his lack of posts, but once he got on he was talkative and gave his opinion.
First off he's like warming up to it by saying his vote on flowcaster is useless. This is either townie realizing he has been playing anti-town or apologetic, cheeky scum. I can't tell but judging by the way he says these are the reasons for voting for Targe .. i don't know, sounds like it's hard for him to do so and he's getting ready to write some fiction. I mean since scum talk in their QT about who's mislynch to push I feel like this is a coordinated move in that they decided that Targe should be Spicydinosaur's target but he seems like he's working hard to come up with reasons. But the next sentence is where I think he gave himself away: On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: I had suspected shirokami because of his lack of posts, but once he got on he was talkative and gave his opinion. As I've said he probably kept his options open to jump on one of the two he has questioned, actually, the only 2 people he had any sort of interactions with and even with these folks he didn't bother to comment on their replies to his questions. So here we see him choosing one of these options. The way the post is designed it's really rather sincere, like saying I was coasting so now I'm voting for one of the two guys I have a few sentences of content against, being extra careful because voting for anyone else would raise questions and scum/I don't like to explain myself. On May 06 2013 10:21 Spicydinosaur wrote: I'll be on till vote time if anything needs help understanding. Understanding what? It's not like he left room for anything to misinterpret, he's scum and it's that simple. Others are concerned about switching the vote because JarJar doesn't seem scummy whereas he is concerned about people understanding his post. In fact I thought him and flowcaster where the scumteam and he used the inactivity of his scumbuddy to distance himself from him knowing well that if he fails to show up he'd get replaced, or that he could easily switch off him once he starts to post. That is not the case though. I'm town and you should sheep me on this one. I'll go over other people's filters shortly. My general impression is that jrkirby, nobodywonder, Targe and jampidampi are town. Also LAL means Lynch All Liars afaik. And lurkers aren't people who don't post at all but people who post little with little to no original content .. like Spicy. I will come out and say at the least incase I die tonight that I agree a lot with this analysis. Targe and spicydinosaur are 2 of my prime suspects, also wary of espi.casey. if you think you are going to die, you might as well give us the dirt on Targe. I don't see the point of delaying your analysis any further. what do you think of the other posters, any that take your attention? what do you think of hydra's case on dino? its worthless until any killing occur so if I die then so be it. I agree with his analysis on spicydinosaur for a couple of reasons. 1. he starts off the game by saying he was looking up ways, such as lurking, that would be considered anti-town. If that isnt suspicious I don't know what is. Onto more concrete evidence... 2. mafia tend to ask a lot of questions but don't have a lot of answers. asking why people are voting for others and what they think about others gives the illusion of productivity but in reality adds nothing. 3. Tons of bandwagoning and general agreeance with others. As soon as anybody pipes up about having suspicions about somebody else, he is right there to agree. I am also adding the flowcaster early vote to this. 4. Voting for targe late even though it has no impact on the vote. Shifts him away from the JarJar lynch and also separates scum into different places so as to cause confusion. If targe or spicy flips mafia, I would strongly consider the other being mafia as well. Finally you spill! I'd say that point 3 is a matter of my personality, not gameplay, I like to agree with people generally when it comes to a group, but you can read it how you want. [/url]
that isnt analysis of you, its of spicy. As I stated I cant analyze you until the night killings occur.
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Important: If we do have a cop in this game, please inspect targe or spicy. At the least, one of them is mafia or my 3 years of not playing is showing.
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great break for us, if cop sees mafia now you pretty much have to tell us. No way theres more than one miller...any mafia findings must be brought forward.
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On May 07 2013 22:07 shirokami wrote: So. I was role blocked.
if you're going to claim a PR role when you did not need to, you will need to elaborate. You're as good as dead tonight so...
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On May 08 2013 00:13 AllHailHydraGod wrote: Well that was quick. Vayne stop lurking and only posting when you're PR fishing, it makes me change my mind about you.
I was unaware of the rule that was just brought to light, I thought only PR roles would be notified of roleblocks. Such a weird ruling leads me to believe shirokuma is town but I suppose we will have to find out. now on to the second part of my analysis of targe...
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Second part Analysis of Targe
So, tonight the mafia killed somebody that pretty much nobody expected of being mafia which was interesting and raises some questions. Which of the 2 of Sugarfluff, targe, nobodywonder, and espi.casey is scum? which of Me, calgar, shirokami, and spicydinosaur is scum? If I had to guess this would be the distribution the mafia went with, 2 on the townie lynch and one in no man's land.
Jampi suspected both Targe and Espi.casey before he died, so we have to wonder if this a red herring or are these 2 really mafia? it's hard to tell. Targe was on the Jarjar lynch since the beginning, while espi jumped to it last second. This could be Targe being a sneaky mafia and carefully leading a wrong lynch, or it simply could be a townie that got a wrong read.
Probably my biggest reason for suspecting Targe right now is that I like to pinpoint a certain player in the beginning and see how they react. Much like in courts, you'll see the psychological reaction of some one that did not commit a crime and is being tried unfairly be angry/upset, while those that have committed the crime tend to be more lax and unemotional.
This has served me well in previous mafia games, where mafia will tend to just kind of semi-ignore your accusations and be pretty friendly about it as Targe has been doing.
Another reason I have for suspecting him is that he is very adamant throughout about jampi being town, and then jampi shows up as dead the first night....this fixation did not go unnoticed and was the reason I needed to see the night killing before posting this.
For the above reasons, I will be voting either Targe or Espi.casey tonight.
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On May 08 2013 05:12 Sugarfluff wrote:Show nested quote +On May 07 2013 00:30 AllHailHydraGod wrote: @Sugarfluff what do you think about calgar and nobodywonder's interaction with each other? Are you seriously implying that you know how an SK would play, and that Vayne is doing it? What's your experience with forum mafia? I have no experience, but I'd imagine he'd want to be helpful while at the same time making sure no cop looks him over or mafia targets him. Show nested quote +On May 08 2013 00:20 Spicydinosaur wrote:@sugarfluff seems kinda scummy to me. In the beginning he didn't really post all too often and when he did he used emoticons. I know that's not a huge red flag but it just felt off. They are used to lighten the mood and as a sign of joking, but this is mafia and town has to be serious to get scum. My real trouble with him starts with his voting of jarjar. He gives his reasoning below: On May 05 2013 16:46 Sugarfluff wrote:
Anyway, all of JarJarDrinks posts so far have been concerning policy lynching. No attempts at anything else, and if he really felt so strongly about the policy he would have voted, not spent all his posts discussing whether or not we should. My vote is for him.
At this point in sugarfluff's filter, he hasn't really said too much himself. His posts are virtually all about policy as well aside from his conversation with jampidampi on page 8. My main reason for starting what became the lynching of JarJar was not the fact that he only discussed the the lurker policy, but that he was for it and didn't actually vote for any lurkers to get them to start posting. Seemed suspicious and contradictory to me, it didn't to you? Show nested quote + The only true meaty post that he wrote is this:
He calls out calgar for passing over kirby and shows that they had similar suspicions. sugarfluff I think put too much emphasis on this "passing over." Most of us when we are giving analysis of the group only take a select portion. Heck sugarfluff didnt post any comments on me. His comments on the others are quite general and have already been reflected in other people's posts.
Yupp I did miss you, but then again I don't find you nearly as suspicious as I would have thought Calgar would have found jrkirby. Show nested quote + I feel overall that he is only posting general opinions with not much meat. His voting of jarjar first seems the most troubling to me because of the hypocrisy of it.
You are contradicting yourself here, my voting of JarJar was the first one, certainly not a general opinion at that time. Nor is it hypocritical, for reasons stated above. Show nested quote +On May 07 2013 03:12 calgar wrote: @sugarfluff - Is there a reason you've ignored my previous questions addressed to you? This makes me feel like you aren't reading what I'm saying. I assume this is what you are referring to? Show nested quote +You haven't really built a case on anyone - why is that? You've outlined a small amount jarjar - is he really your top scumread right now? What do you think about shirokami lurking hard and then popping in Yup, JarJar was my top read, I stand by the vote I cast at that time. I thought he was suspicious. Shirokami had a reason, yes his reason could be used as a tactic and maybe I am too trusting in this game. But at the time I certainly did not think he was that suspicious, nor do I think voting for him would have brought much. You've made no other questions, only stated your suspicions. Which I found quite baseless compared to other stuff in this thread. Show nested quote +On May 07 2013 01:42 jampidampi wrote:On May 07 2013 01:25 Sugarfluff wrote:On May 06 2013 22:37 jampidampi wrote:Sugarfluff, is there any non-jrkirby related reason that Calgar is scum? You really shouldn't associate before the flip. On May 06 2013 22:06 VayneAuthority wrote: Keep in mind this is night one and not day 2, its pretty much the same thing as day one. The real game starts after PR roles gain info and people get killed. Does this mean we won't your reasons for voting Targe until day two? I realize we will have more information when day 2 begins and those with roles have gathered some info but I thought we could begin early. Even if kirby isn't mafia Calgar seemed to pick his suspicions consciously and I definitely find that suspicious on its own. AllHailHydra seems like a good poster and I can't wait to study his reasoning's, I have to go now but looking forward to the game picking up. Sorry, my post was a little unclear, the second part was at Vayne. I'd like to hear more about your suspicions on Calgar, how are his suspicions picked consciously? How does that make him scum? Picked consciously as in he was very anti lurking/bad content posts and he brings that up but completely skips jrkirbys, whos big post doesn't come until later at which point Calgars reaction is nothing more than asking a short question to this lurker who up until that post has done nothing (I had not done much, but kirbys filter at that point is freakishly devoid of actual content). Show nested quote +On May 07 2013 03:54 Targe wrote: Sugarfluff: Your entire post concerning Calgar and kirby relies on them being scumbuddies, what read do you have on them as individuals?
Them being scumbuddies makes sense, and Calgars passing over kirby relies on that (if either one is town it's just weird behavior from Calgar) but Kirby on his own does not have a great track record. For the start he may as well have been lurking, his big post is not as inclusive as it could be, he brings up a scum team with very little evidence and in the following time he has done nothing to reinforce or change his view. He just makes sure everyone knows that he knew that JarJar was town. I'm staying in tonight btw, so if you want to ask more questions I will answer them sooner this time. Now for a late dinner.
Only 1 death tonight so I think we can rule out an SK.
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Uh I already explained why I hid my analysis, you guys either need to actually read the thread or stop posting.
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either shirokami is really good at playing the dumb mafia role or hes just garbage at this game, assuming the latter.
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Going to consolidate my vote to prevent a last second mafia bandwagon lynch
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why are you voting for random meaningless things when the lynch is between you and Targe? you aren't playing to win, kinda just fucking around.
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also, 1/5th of the players are about to get modkilled =/ this game looks over anyway
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hard to have interest in this game when the guy could have voted Targe and it would be at a 4-4 lynch, choosing instead to lynch himself as a town which clearly isnt playing to win.
Im aware its "newbie" mafia but this is just pathetic...
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On May 10 2013 02:27 Targe wrote:Show nested quote +On May 10 2013 00:36 AllHailHydraGod wrote:On May 06 2013 08:10 VayneAuthority wrote: Forgive me, but I fail to see how no lynching day 1 is so ridiculous in a game with PR roles. Killing town off before having evidence to go off of only helps the mafia. By lynching some one instead of not lynching, thats a whole day less of PR roles gathering info.
Could some one explain to me how no lynching is bad? All the people against that are very suspicious to me for the time being. On May 06 2013 08:10 VayneAuthority wrote: I have always played in small games with PR roles on epicmafia.com where day 1 lynching a lot of the time is obscene and would get you called a noob pretty harshly so I dunno why people are so vehemently against it. This is how I was taught to play. I find this hard to believe because PRs can claim to avoid being lynched. Basically if you don't lynch day 1 you can mislynch the same guy day 2, but get an extra night for PRs to use skills.
pretty much. Even in games where the cop/tracker finds a mafia the first night you dont trust them first night because the janitor (blocks who got killed that night) could have done it to the tracker/cop and the "tracker/cop" is actually a mafia. This allows another night of PR actions to see if you can catch them lying or not. Thats the most popular setup on that site.
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Also there's a lot of setups where PRs do want to claim immediately, to get bodyguard or medic attention.
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alright, well if nobody CCs you then or anything we have to figure out who is the town that voted for shirokami in that last vote. We can still win if we lynch correctly....you're dead tomorrow night spicy so lets think about this
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