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On January 30 2013 22:24 SuckMyTopdeck wrote:Show nested quote +On January 30 2013 22:21 Clockwork Hydra wrote: Has snb taught you how to play magic yet?
~dandel No, we don't even have a QT yet ^^ He was so kind to provide me with the deck we are playing, though.
qts are for losers get on irc or skype
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On January 30 2013 23:24 SuckMyTopdeck wrote:Show nested quote +On January 30 2013 21:14 Clockwork Hydra wrote:
Additionally, Marv evades questions with a reflection, while doing none of his usual town play. You know what happened last time Marv lurked through day 1? He flipped scum.
You best be providing some good evidence for this one. Here's a fun-counter one, which I can actually prove: you know the last time marv was suspected as mafia on Day 1? Never. -marvelbabe
lol yeah if we were scum theres no way marv would be letting me play like this
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On January 31 2013 03:58 Acrofales wrote: Alternative scenario is that scum proposed a plan which they thought would give lots of people lots of cards, which they figured they could deal with. Then they saw it would give one person lots of zombies instead. Panic into derp.
Not saying this is what happened, but making up cute QT conversations is not very useful. Most likely is that there was no QT convo between MG and Oats on this. Here's how it goes from town: MG: K, I got a plan to win this as town. We play blablabla.
Oats: ok, well, I'm not entirely sold on the idea because A, B, C.
MG: counterarguments.
Oats: well, I'm posting A, B and C in the thread anyway.
This convo seems equally unlikely, so they probably never had any convos about it and any cutesy QT convos you invent are a figment of your imagination, no more, no less.
However, I agree that the whole play was probably just not thought out at all, moving it back down to not indicative of alignment. I will reread Bin and see what I think.
/Acro This is a really good point that I hadn't thought of.
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On January 31 2013 03:09 BinOnFire wrote:Show nested quote +On January 31 2013 02:52 (DontFear)ThePoster wrote:@Midnight: Nice of you to finally join us  Please....post who you think is scum, post reads, etc. People seem not very fond of you+Oats because you are not really the paragon of pro-town-ness when coming down to scumhunting /G What do you mean, I've been posting whenever I've had the chance :O The filter comparison between SNB's MTGI and MTGII is pretty stark. This post in particular strikes me as very suspicious: Show nested quote +On January 30 2013 13:55 SuckMyTopdeck wrote: wut
also i will tap my forest to play wild growth on my savannah then i will tap that to put two mana into the other thing
also also arguing about how much gonzaw et al is/are posting is stupid. it's like you've never played a game with him before. i used to rage at him too but now i kind of just let the waves of posting wash over me. it makes deep analysis of the game pretty much impossible though, so you either have to filter specific people or else you have to just kind of play on general impressions. but with someone posting that much you can't try and read the whole game.
it's just kind of his/their thing. i really wish they would not do it but ive pretty much given up, what are you gonna do.
reads time: bin on fire is probably town because he feels town to me right now (lol) no but seriously bin on fire is probably town because of how he's being helpful and promoting discussion and shit. scumreads are tough but right now i'm pointing at whatever the acro hydra is. i really don't like how he was all "you gotta give me your power or else think i'm scum", forcing people into shitty dichotomies is not a good way to go about being townie. also how he's been running for mayor while refusing to acknowledge that he was running for mayor until we made him.
okay bedtime -snb As an SNB post, this feels very off to me. Not calling Minds Aglow by name, despite having specifically freaked out about it and Collective Voyage earlier, lol you serious? why would i waste my time calling things by name? i have better things to do with my time than type out "minds aglow", im already sneaking time off of work to post and then providing the vaguest excuse for a town-read ever, jars strongly with what I've read from him elsewhere. It's just so detached and apathetic, very different from town SNB in MTGI, but very close to how I would have predicted a mafia player to react to the Join Forces mechanic. yeah whatever. try comparing this game to my most recent mafia games, rather than to a game from over six months ago.If anything, he should be ecstatic by the plan, not alarmed, because putting everyone in the position of having huge creatures to attack with sooner makes his policy recommendation much more relevant. Instead of returning to consider the ramifications of that, he sinks further into inactivity. Show nested quote +On January 30 2013 06:19 SuckMyTopdeck wrote:On January 30 2013 05:31 Clockwork Hydra wrote: You also failed to answer the main question there: do you think we're scum? Sure, people's judgement in using 8/8 tramply beasts of awesome might not always be the best, but unless we actually GET some 8/8 tramply beasts of awesome on town side, we're just punching bags for the mafia creature. Minds Aglow seems by far the fastest way to get there.
Now obviously, if you think the 8/8 tramply creature (or in this case shambling herd of zombies) is going to scum, then by all means oppose it. But don't hide in policy crap. Come out and say "look guys, we should not draw millions of cards, because scum will get a shambling herd of zombies".
/Acro i dont have to think you're scum to not want you to get more powerful than anyone else. I just have to think you're likely to come to incorrect conclusions and not listen to me. I think that if you alone have a shambling herd of zombies, that's not good for town, regardless of whether you are town or not. This sounds like a deliberate obfuscation of the plan, which he seemed to perfectly understand a few posts ago. An attempt to cast doubt on CH, sowing seeds for him to return to later? This lets him pick a fight and feign productivity while discrediting a player I expect to be a powerful town asset. His theatrics in casting Oats and I as scum also seems forced and tacky. this is also dumb. its not obfuscation, my consistent and legitimate objection is to acro having a bunch of zombies and probably being retarded and using them to kill me. not to people drawing cards. as i've said, i don't dislike the plan, i dislike the fact that it disproportionately gives acro the ability to be a loose cannon.And his last few posts are all apologies for his MTG ignorance, when that's both easily corrected, and irrelevant to the fact that he hasn't been contributing. [green]this is also dumb, thats from marv.
yeah okay i get it i havent been all that active idgaf and you are being stupid
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Proactively casting spells that give the town cards at a 7:2 ratio is one of the dumbest things that a mafia player in this setup could do. It's almost as bad as the "shoot-your-scumbuddy-for-town-cred" line
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On January 31 2013 04:17 BinOnFire wrote:Proactively casting spells that give the town cards at a 7:2 ratio is one of the dumbest things that a mafia player in this setup could do. It's almost as bad as the "shoot-your-scumbuddy-for-town-cred" line 
people totes do that tho
just sayin'
although, i dont think many people in here woudl. marv sure, maybe grey/grok.
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Yo S&B, what do you think of Xfire? Do you still think CH is suspicious? Can you post a valid case instead of "he's too aggressive and self-centered, therefore is scum" ?
/G
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Fluff:
+ Show Spoiler +Posts correctly signed count, for gonzaw's pleasure:
Clockwork: 41 unsigned 56 signed DFTP: 63 unsigned 66 signed
ebwops with names and missposts on main accounts are condensed as "signed".
Observe the difference in ratio.
As you can clearly see in my exhibit, gonzaw is a narcissistic person that likes to delude himself into thinking he's on a greater realm than other people. When in reality, he is inhabitating a glass house.
Thank you for your attention.
~Dandel Ion - CEO of Quality Posts By Quality Posters Inc.
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Marv, baby, talk to me about how you read hopeless right now. I need some help.
P
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On January 31 2013 04:27 (DontFear)ThePoster wrote: Marv, baby, talk to me about how you read hopeless right now. I need some help.
P I had thought you prided yourself on being able to read hopeless relatively well?
~dandel
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On January 31 2013 04:22 (DontFear)ThePoster wrote: Yo S&B, what do you think of Xfire? Do you still think CH is suspicious? Can you post a valid case instead of "he's too aggressive and self-centered, therefore is scum" ?
/G
crossfire seems overwhelmed. legitimate reaction for someone who doesnt know mtg and doesnt have a partner to ask about it.
his big post about ch is interesting. hes right that theres a contradiction in the first two posts he identifies, but the contradiction is completely explainable by ch reacting differently towards crossfire (relative noob) and igrok (very vet), ch took the same question seriously from igrok. i dont see scum motivation in that contradiction, and (to both his blame (bad townie play) and credit (at least he didnt try to make up some bullshit)) crossfire doesnt explain the possible scum motivation at all.
however, in his second point he is kind of pointing out a contradiction that does have scum motivation. the quotes that he has from ch do seem to indicate "beware of giving any one person too much power" "oh wait i mean, unless its me lol".
everything else in his filter is either self defense or just expressing being overwhelmed.
i guess i like that he tried to do some analysis anyway.
overall conclusion: possible scum? hes doing a lot of defense and "oh me oh my" ing but otoh this is a fast paced game with weird ass mechanics where we are all talking about the mechanics all the time. id wait a few days before lynching him to give him a chance to feel less overwhelmed. good thing we can't lynch anyone today anyway.
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On January 31 2013 03:14 BinOnFire wrote:My other high-priority read is RockHydra, mostly due to this empty promise of his: Show nested quote +On January 30 2013 17:41 RockHydra wrote: Read most of the posts. Seems like there is a lot of posts, but most of it involves the raging and is fairly useless. I will try to actually do some scumhunting tonight.
going to also contribute a mana to the card drawing thingie Show nested quote +On January 30 2013 18:44 RockHydra wrote:On January 30 2013 07:59 (DontFear)ThePoster wrote: Rock (zeb especially): I want to hear more from you. I know how excited you were for this and I happen to know you better than anyone in this game (since I was your town coach) give me something to work with here. p I realize I haven't posted much. I will try to get some contributions in tonight. So what does he actually post? Show nested quote +On January 31 2013 00:34 RockHydra wrote:Nice work, grok/aperture pretty impressed with the effort. Hope it was fun for you  This is setting a high standard for analysis. I must admit I kinda missed the link at first too when I glanced over it. Never seen the spreadsheet approach before. Lazy sheeping, baaa. Actual contributions? Neigh!
Don't be an idiot. If I post in my morning that I'm going to post in the evening, you should wait till it's actually evening before complaining about empty promises. I'm now gonna do some reading n posting.
/zebezt
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I don't see the contradiction.
I said shouldn't give dubious people too much power, but we're not dubious.
We're blatantly town.
~dandel
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I have to go back to class soon, so let me leave you with my thoughts, framed in such a way that you can judge my attempts to demonstrate my innocence.
Here's the thing: as soon as Collective Voyage resolves, town immediately becomes much more favored to win the game.
The original plan was to draw enough cards off of Minds Aglow to make drawing Collective Voyage extremely likely. Then, if I cast it, town gets a huge advantage and goes on to win the game, most of the time. Had I rolled scum, I would never, ever cast it, for any reason.
So now we're in the position where, after I see what cards I draw, here's what you guys see on T2:
A) MG casts Collective Voyage - great, regardless of MG's alignment, town just became much more favored to win the game.
B) MG doesn't cast Collective Voyage - hmm, either MG is town and simply didn't draw Collective Voyage; or MG is a scum player that would allow the town to draw 7:2 cards in an elaborate ploy that may or may not gain credibility, the actions of his other hydra-head notwithstanding.
This is another reason why I wanted to draw more cards off of Minds Aglow - it gives you all a much stronger test for my alignment: If I drew enough cards that there's <5% of me not drawing Collective Voyage, but then I claim to not have drawn a copy of it, then you're left free to entertain whatever alternative hypotheses you want. That's perfectly fair and reasonable. Quantitatively, had we all drawn 16 cards, there'd have been a 91% chance for me to draw at least one Collective Voyage.
However, currently, Minds Aglow is only at X=6, so I only have a 67% chance to draw at least one Collective Voyage. I know I'm town, so if I haven't drawn it by T2 of course I'm going to be saying that I didn't draw it. I'm sure you all can see how that could get really awkward, really fast.
If I were mafia, could you honestly see me playing this suicidally? It just wouldn't make any sense at all.
Cheers, MG
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On January 31 2013 03:10 (DontFear)ThePoster wrote: So who do you think is that scum hydra? If you are not the scum hydra, at least help us get him.
Also that's the truth marv. Or rather it's something I know WILL happen in this game (it's kind of inevitable). You can't just say "Fuck you just make a decent read on me, if you don't it's your fault", mafia doesn't work like that.
/G
I find this whole "people assume there must be a scum hydra" thing of yours to be suspicious. I don't think anyone specifically said there must be a scum hydra. It seems like you are trying to push the discussion in a certain direction without a good reason.
Is it likely that there is a scum hydra? Yes, because there are so many hydra's. Is it unlikely there is no scum hydra? Not very unlikely. (12%)
It is as likely a lone player is scum, as that a hydra is scum, so why look at hydra's only?
/zebezt
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On January 31 2013 04:22 (DontFear)ThePoster wrote: Yo S&B, what do you think of Xfire? Do you still think CH is suspicious? Can you post a valid case instead of "he's too aggressive and self-centered, therefore is scum" ?
/G re clockworkhydra he's also reeeeally rolling hard with his gut read of me and marv being scum because i dont like him and dont want him to have zombies. and some of his other reasons why marv is being scummy are pretty dumb too. dont like it.
still that could just be me having a gut reaction to his gut reaction. not gonna pretend im perfect or anythign.
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EBWOP: zomg my math seems to be off.. make that 14%
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My thoughts on BinOnFire:
They seem town enough to me. MG makes a good point about the cards that they play. They are helpful to town. Of course we have to see how that pans out next turn, but right now we don't have much in the way of damage to throw around anyway. The main source of confusion seems to be oats, who is playing very weirdly. I think this is just down to bad play. Played with him in newbie game and he did not make a very strong impression on me there.
My thoughts on CW: Seems happy to have people play a card that will help him a lot, although he was wary of cards that help a certain person too much. Makes total sense to me. Anyone will be happy if a card is played that helps them, wether they are scum or town. I am wary of giving too much power to CW, but I would love it if a card would turn out great for me.
/zebezt
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Okay, I'm done reading Bin and it was rather unproductive.
It confirmed to me that Oats is all over the map. The scum explanation is as above: he throws oil on pointless conversations, hoping their ignition derails town. The town explanation is that he's a newbie who has no real clue what he is doing. Honestly, the former explanation requires Oats to be quite a lot more devious than I have seen from him in previous games. In CT he was also bullshitting his way around and making stupid posts. I have not yet read that newbie game where he was scum and got lynched D1, which insofar as I know is his only scum game.
MG brings up some good points about SnB (not playing to his town meta) and Marv (pointless theatrics, overdoing his town read on Bin), which I find myself agreeing with. Also, his MTG play seems town motivated, although I don't buy that he'd play the deck any differently as scum. He needs his lands out to do anything, and giving town lots of creatures is fine as long as you can avoid them attacking you (by looking like a super pro-town plan maker). I would like to see more in the line of his posts at SnB and less in the line of explaining how pro-town his plan is. If his strong card requires him to have 22 mana, he'd need to get that land out asap anyway.
This makes me null, with a slight lean towards town. Now back to SnB/Marv.
/Acro
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