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Newbie Mini Mafia XXXI - Page 48

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
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Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
November 29 2012 17:03 GMT
#941
Oh, you mean that just lynching Oats would be better.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 17:04 GMT
#942
Unless we wanna settle with doc and not JK counterclaiming. But in that case if we have no counterclaim, we have to accept the risk of there either being 1) a JK blocking the NK or 2) a JK blocking scums night action.

Can we really live with that risk?
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 17:05 GMT
#943
On November 30 2012 02:03 HeloKnight wrote:
Oh, you mean that just lynching Oats would be better.


Yes.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 17:09 GMT
#944
Am I missing somehing? Where did everyone go?
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 17:11 GMT
#945
Seriously, in lack of a breadcrumb AND with how scummy Oats has been, how is this not a no-brainer lycnh?
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 17:13 GMT
#946
##vote Oats
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
November 29 2012 17:14 GMT
#947
I see what you're saying.
If he really is doctor, however, this would be really terrible.
Kickstart
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States1941 Posts
November 29 2012 17:14 GMT
#948
I already admitted I am bad at following this kind of argument about role possibilities and such, but I agree that Oats has been scummy and that him claiming blue does nothing in terms of making any of his actions any less scummy but I am having a really hard time justifying lynching a claimed blue when there is no evidence that he is lying about it. Can you maybe more succinctly say why just lynching him is the best option - because I am not following you and am hesitant about doing something like that.
Chromatically
Profile Joined January 2012
United States1700 Posts
November 29 2012 17:15 GMT
#949
##Unvote
at least for now, I still need to read the other game.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 17:42 GMT
#950
On November 30 2012 02:14 Kickstart wrote:
I already admitted I am bad at following this kind of argument about role possibilities and such, but I agree that Oats has been scummy and that him claiming blue does nothing in terms of making any of his actions any less scummy but I am having a really hard time justifying lynching a claimed blue when there is no evidence that he is lying about it. Can you maybe more succinctly say why just lynching him is the best option - because I am not following you and am hesitant about doing something like that.


I don't think I can make it easier than this:


Exhibit A: Why we don't want just doc to counterclaim.

On November 30 2012 01:54 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:
We could do like this:

1. Doc, please counterclaim!
a) Counterclaim happens: we lynch scum Oats and lose our doc.
b) If counterclaim doesn't happen, proceed to 2.

2. JK, please counterclaim!
a) Counterclaim happens: we lynch Oats (who might still be doc)
b) Counterclaim doesn't happen: we have confirmed Oats

Scenario 1: Oats is doc
a) We have a JK: we've outed our JK and we've mislynched our doc (lol)
b) We don't have a JK: we have confirmed Oats

Scenario 2: Oats is scum
c) We have doc: we've outed our doc and lynched scum Oats
d) We have a JK: we've outed our JK and lynched scum Oats

a) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats
b) is good
c) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats
d) is stricly dominated by just lynching Oats

Conclusion: JK claiming seems bad


Exhibit B: Why we don't want to counterclaim with doc but not JK

On November 30 2012 02:04 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:
Unless we wanna settle with doc but not JK counterclaiming. But in that case if we have no doc counterclaim we have to assume Oat is doc AND we have to accept the risk of there either being a JK that 1) blocked the NK or 2) blocked scum's night action. If that's the case, Oats' claim can still be fake


1. We don't want both doc and JK to counterclaim.
2. We don't want just doc to counterclaim
Conclusion: We don't want to counterclaim, we want to lynch Oats
Kickstart
Profile Blog Joined May 2008
United States1941 Posts
November 29 2012 18:00 GMT
#951
Makes sense. Yeah, a counterclaim would do no good - it would confirm/deny Oats' claim but also out the blue claiming.

##vote: Oatsmaster
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 18:45 GMT
#952
Does it really though? Did everyone lose interest? Where's "OMG we have scum hunt" Yamato?
iamperfection
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9645 Posts
November 29 2012 19:28 GMT
#953
Votecount:

Oatsmaster (5): Jacob Strangelove,Sonic Death Monkey,Kickstart,Aquanim,Yamato77,Sonic Death Monkey,Kickstart
Jacob Strangelove (0) HeloKnight,Oatsmaster
Yamato77(1):Oatsmaster
Not voting (2):Mr. Cheesecake,HeloKnight


If you see your (or another's ) vote to be wrong, it would be kind to notify us.
Currently Oatsmaster is set to be lynched

7.5 hours remain

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=406168&currentpage=78#1551
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 19:36 GMT
#954
On November 30 2012 02:11 Sonic Death Monkey wrote:
Seriously, in lack of a breadcrumb AND with how scummy Oats has been, how is this not a no-brainer lycnh?


No I have to stick to this.

On November 29 2012 23:42 Oatsmaster wrote:
Since the votes dont look like moving,
Ima gonna claim.
I am a Doctor
I healed SDM n1 because he was my best townread.
I didnt breadcrumb because I couldnt really make it subtle.


I mean, how is he even making this argument? He couldn't make it subtle? It's super fucking easy to make at least some kind of breadcrumb. The claim is super convenient. He's been scummy. Besides I'm soon off to bed and don't know who last-minute-switch to anyway.
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
November 29 2012 19:43 GMT
#955
I have class and then work. thought I had more time. Vote stays with oats.
Writer@WriterYamato
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
November 29 2012 20:54 GMT
#956
On November 30 2012 01:14 JacobStrangelove wrote:
Also if we lynch oats and he is doctor we lose sdm (or aqua if sdm is an amazing scum) Aqua sdm scum team guys (lol) <-- if that happens I would officially quit life.

I've been thinking the same thing about you and sonic. :/

Also, I'm pretty sure we can have two doctors... though it would be pretty silly.

Could there be two doctors in this setup?
This possibility seems to be specifically indicated in the preliminaries to the role list, but since noone else is considering it I'll check.
iamperfection
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9645 Posts
November 29 2012 20:56 GMT
#957
On November 30 2012 05:54 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2012 01:14 JacobStrangelove wrote:
Also if we lynch oats and he is doctor we lose sdm (or aqua if sdm is an amazing scum) Aqua sdm scum team guys (lol) <-- if that happens I would officially quit life.

I've been thinking the same thing about you and sonic. :/

Also, I'm pretty sure we can have two doctors... though it would be pretty silly.

Could there be two doctors in this setup?
This possibility seems to be specifically indicated in the preliminaries to the role list, but since noone else is considering it I'll check.

From the op

This is semi-open setup. That is, the roles possible are known, but not if they exist or if there are multiple. Town wins when all mafia are eliminated; mafia win when they outnumber town or nothing can prevent this. There are 7 townies and 2 mafia.
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=406168&currentpage=78#1551
yamato77
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
11589 Posts
November 29 2012 21:00 GMT
#958
Alright last post before I head to work.

I suggest to the rest of my townie buddies that you look for someone else today. My time is going to be limited Friday and Saturday due to previous commitments. Tonight I will come back and do some real hard reads on people's filters to try to make more sense of this game.

I think my criteria of town being unsure of itself this game is one to REALLY consider. Mafia has done a good job sowing extra layers of doubt in people's heads about allegiances. This is a vague criteria to look for but something to consider when reading people for tone.
Writer@WriterYamato
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 21:00 GMT
#959
On November 30 2012 05:54 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 30 2012 01:14 JacobStrangelove wrote:
Also if we lynch oats and he is doctor we lose sdm (or aqua if sdm is an amazing scum) Aqua sdm scum team guys (lol) <-- if that happens I would officially quit life.

I've been thinking the same thing about you and sonic. :/

Also, I'm pretty sure we can have two doctors... though it would be pretty silly.

Could there be two doctors in this setup?
This possibility seems to be specifically indicated in the preliminaries to the role list, but since noone else is considering it I'll check.


Possible like iamp says, but highly unlikely.
Sonic Death Monkey
Profile Joined July 2011
Sweden991 Posts
November 29 2012 21:12 GMT
#960
On November 30 2012 06:00 yamato77 wrote:
Alright last post before I head to work.

I suggest to the rest of my townie buddies that you look for someone else today. My time is going to be limited Friday and Saturday due to previous commitments. Tonight I will come back and do some real hard reads on people's filters to try to make more sense of this game.

I think my criteria of town being unsure of itself this game is one to REALLY consider. Mafia has done a good job sowing extra layers of doubt in people's heads about allegiances. This is a vague criteria to look for but something to consider when reading people for tone.


So scum is pretending to be confident in their reads in order to sow confusion? I feel like I've been one of the most confused AND confusing players in this game. The only thing I seem to have been able to establish is my own townieness.

Don't get me wrong, players who seems to deliberately sow confusion is scummy. Sometimes being confused yourself will sow confusion.

Jesus Christ, this post is confusing.
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