Paranoid Mafia - Page 7

On July 02 2011 12:26 sinani206 wrote:
Five people claimed DT.
1 died and 2 outed their results before me. It would have looked scummy to not out my results.

On July 02 2011 13:47 Pyo wrote:


Difference is that they got scum reads...

On July 02 2011 11:55 Misder wrote:
I don't get why you think claiming now is not useful.
And information, although useful, is not going to win us the game, scumhunting will. And it seems like youre unwilling to do that.

I rather dts claim now then us lose information. Also, although it's very helpful to have sane cops alive, we don't lose the game if they are not.

On July 02 2011 16:02 Pyo wrote:


Am I the only one who thinks that this whole like of thinking is completely non-sensical. Why would giving away an advantage be a good thing?

First you say, "information, although useful, is not going to win us the game."

Then you say "I rather dts claim now then us lose information."

You're contradicting yourself. You want scum-hunting, there you have it. I was going to vote for whoever's brilliant idea it was to have DT's out themselves day 1 when nothing can be confirmed by it, and low and behold, it's you.

Until I see evidence to the contrary, I think we've just found our mafia pair: sinani206 and Misder.

##vote: Misder

On July 02 2011 16:23 sinani206 wrote:



You call that scumhunting?
All you did was find the tiniest little thing that possibly could be considered noob town at worst and declare that you've already found the scum.

I'm pressure voting for RoL because he hasn't posted yet today and I know that he's a good player.
##Vote: RebirthOfLegend

On July 02 2011 22:41 Misder wrote:
Pyo, dts have info. if they die without getting the info out, then it's wasted. However, again, and something you're not getting at, is that scumhunting is a big part of the game. At the very least, I dont want you to tunnel on a Misder+sinani scum team.


Here is what I was thinking overnight.

Today we lynch a townie claim. Vig shoots the other tonight, and we got scum either today, that night or the following day. At worst we get 2 confirmed townies, 1 confirmed sane, and more info from the other cops vs 1 scum. Scum has to choose between trying to kill the vig or killing sinani tonight.


Also, ROL and VE, what do you think of a Misder+sinani scum team?

On July 02 2011 19:57 supersoft wrote:
sandroba: K, checked RoL got scum. GG.

sinani206: Checked misder, got townie.

supersoft: checked pyo, got scum

nard: Sandroba is Mafia.

_________________________________________

if misder and sinani206 are scum, we would have 3 insane DTs. Or mafia framed pyo/RoL/sandroba

i don't know, I don't think misder and sinani206 is our scumpair

On July 03 2011 00:37 sinani206 wrote:
People who are not confirmed:

3. RebirthOfLeGenD
4. VisceraEyes
5. Sandroba
6. Pyo
7. supersoft
8. nard

Of the three townie claims here, one is town, one is vigilante, and one is mafia.
Of the three detective claims here, two are detectives and one is mafia.

If vigilante claims:
We have one mafia and one town left.

A) If we kill the townie today, vigilante can shoot the mafia tonight and the Mafia will use their KP on me, misder, or the vigilante: the confirmed sane detective or the two confirmed townies.
If they kill me there will be 2 detectives, 2 townies, and 1 mafia left. 1/3*1/2 = 1/6
If they kill a town there will be 3 detectives, 1 townie, and 1 mafia left. 2/3*1/2 = 1/3

B) If we kill the mafia today, vigilante can shoot an unconfirmed detective tonight and have a 1/3 chance of hitting the second mafia, and Mafia will still kill me, misder, the vigilante, or the townie.
If the vigilante hits a Mafia, town wins. 1/3*1/2 = 1/6
If the vigilante hits a detective and Mafia kills me there will be 2 detectives, 2 townies, and 1 mafia left. 2/3*1/4*1/2 = 1/12
If the vigilante hits a detective and Mafia kills a townie there will be 3 detectives, 1 townie, and 1 mafia tonight. 2/3*3/4*1/2 = 1/4

Chance of 2/2/1: 3/12 25%
Chance of 3/1/1: 7/12 58%
Chance of win: 2/12 17%

I think that the vigilante claiming is our best course of action.

On July 03 2011 00:38 sinani206 wrote:


Fixed a fraction and put percentages.