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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 24 2010 23:49 GMT
#520
Those were awesome posts and I wholeheartedly agree with you pandain, the only thing I don't agree with is you disavowing the link between the two teams. You really do shrug off the weird voting and behavior that kicks off day two by a lot. But like I said earlier I think they are both around equal in guilt I was just wondering if you can try to explain or further iterate why you think they aren't linked?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 25 2010 09:59 GMT
#536
O_O
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 25 2010 21:34 GMT
#541
On September 26 2010 03:39 Pyrrhuloxia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 25 2010 23:58 Foolishness wrote:
On September 25 2010 17:53 Incognito wrote:
Dang I'm good at being pro-mafia. I'm too disheartened to defend myself, so go ahead and lynch me. I will still be voting for Team 1, although nobody is in the clear at this point. This is our last chance to lynch a mafia, and nobody's really done a good job at looking pro-town at this point.

Did you really just say that?

That looks like the type of post I made every time I got an innocent lynched in Mafia XII.

This was the best mafia game ever rofl
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 26 2010 05:20 GMT
#557
On September 26 2010 10:53 Incognito wrote:
Its pretty sad I guessed wrong both times.

Night 1 it was between Ace and our team, tonight it was between Pandain/BB and Team 2. Guessed wrong both times and someone died. Actually my fault, since there were slightly more interesting reasons to protect both Ace + Pandain/BB. Not thinking T_T

lol seriously? This is ballsy.

Alright guys shits on the line now anyway. I am the medic and I have been self protecting every night.

Lets analyze Incognito's posts this entire game and take into account what he must be thinking going into the final day. First off, today is lylo and I am seeing incog looking at this as an end game situation and trying to end it on a balls deep move. Yesterday he was the first person to divert the lynch train from team 1 to team 7 which seemed really random considering how intense he was about them the previous day. Then when the day ended in an unfavorable lynch he ended emo mode. A mode I have seen before.
On September 25 2010 17:53 Incognito wrote:
Dang I'm good at being pro-mafia. I'm too disheartened to defend myself, so go ahead and lynch me. I will still be voting for Team 1, although nobody is in the clear at this point. This is our last chance to lynch a mafia, and nobody's really done a good job at looking pro-town at this point.


Pyrr actually mentions it later in this thread. In mafia XII (I believe?) me and pyrrhuloxia were mafia and everyday pyrr would mislead the town to a bad lynch and apologize profusely and say he understands if we want to lynch him THEN just kept leading the down astray. It was a beautiful play by him and won us the game. I feel like hes trying to add to our empathy for him by claiming medic because he didn't believe we actually had one. Now hes trying to force us to mislynch in a lylo situation.

Team 8 is mafia from incognitos suspect mislynches all the way up to his fake claim of being medic when we are in a lylo situation. If you guys honestly feel its necessary I can do a full analysis on team 8. But honestly think this is more than enough information to go on. Infundi has been playing the lurker mafia and Incognito has been leading us astray the entire game culminating in this final coup de grace.

Vote: Team 8
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 26 2010 05:53 GMT
#561
I understand that a lot of teams were advocating yesterdays lynch, I was even among them. The thing I am pointing out is why incognito started that? It is a really strange shift and on top of that you guys fake claim medic and are trying to get us to lynch foolishness it just really strange to me.

At the end of the day this is basically going to come down to one of two things. Lynch team 6 because you don't believe me, or lynch team 8 because you don't believe them. We can worry about who is after that if we are here tomorrow. So for now pick your sides. This should really let us figure out who the remaining mafia is considering how strong this power play is from team 8.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-09-26 07:49:16
September 26 2010 07:42 GMT
#569
On September 26 2010 15:18 Infundibulum wrote:

In fact, there would be no reason for mafia to fake claim medic at this point where it's LyLo. Here why:

1. the optimal mafia strategy at this point in the game is to pin suspicion on a vocal person who's been wrong in the past day or 2. This is because the town is sick of missing their lynches. They want to see red blood, god damnit, and who better than the guy that's been steadfastly going down the wrong trail? All the mafia need to do is goad the town into doing this, which is what you and RoL are trying to do. Note that I predicted this move earlier in the thread - it's very obvious.

I agree about that the mafia would try to push active/suspicious townie but a good townie just keeps analyzing and pushing and going with it. He pulled the same exact shit pyrrhuloxia did in XII and apologizes and "understands" if we want to lynch him. It is such a scum tell. Why do you feel the need to apologize and then you talk about us lynching you as if its not going to result in the end of the game if he IS NOT mafia. Its just such a ploy for town empathy.


2. Mafia claiming medic first is really risky because they don't know whether there's a medic or not. In a LyLo situation, it's the town that's at risk and not the mafia. There's no reason for the mafia to suddenly stop playing it safe and go balls out unless they want to "win with style." neither Incog nor I is that kind of player (granted that's a bit of wifom, but if you've played any games with either of us you should know that).

Its not that risky at all. In such a situation what is the point in claiming? Its to try and hold the idea that you are town so we don't kill you. Seriously, give me one reason why claiming adds to the town at that point? It just strikes me completely suspicious its not like you are a providing info on who we must lynch like a DT could. Claiming medic serves no purpose except to try to keep yourself alive which any decent arguing can do when you are truly innocent at least in this situation where the town NEEDS to hit that lynch. Now if there is a counterclaim the shit can hit the fan, but as mafia you might be able to just add enough chaos for a bad decision to be made and capitalize on it.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 26 2010 17:47 GMT
#581
All of a sudden you switch to the view that I am inactive? I clearly haven't been inactive. As for your medic "protects" they seem retarded to me, at least your second choice. Your supposed night one choice is between you and Ace/BM and you choice yourself. I could actually believe that protection since I think it was 50/50 based on usefulness of the individual and obviously you would choose yourself on the basis of self interest. However I can't see how the fuck you can run with same train of thought and decide to pick team 2 to protect over team 5.

When we look at there activeness and who posts what team 5 posts way more. If you look at the end pandain posts analysis on the two most suspect teams. Teams 1 and teams 7 which were really well done. Team 2 did nothing of substance yesterday, yet you claim you hastily protected them? That makes no sense.

As far as protecting myself goes, it was argued all over day one the usefulness of the medic and I even was speculating that it wasn't in the game to divert attention from the role. But the general consensus was an immortal medic who is self protecting is a good idea. Plus you can't always count on the mafia to hit in the way you expect, they could be blue hunting and I was acting a little blue. Moderately active posting + Blue role speculation + secondary analysis to stay out of limelight. If they were decent players I feel I would of been a good target, especially if they are trying to avoid obvious protections like you and ace/bm day one and teams 2 and 5 on day two. As another side note, I have done this before and self protected, because it makes sense.

and yeah foolishness I would really like you to elaborate on that. I don't see why you wouldn't vote for either team 8 or team 6 right now.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 26 2010 21:02 GMT
#584
On September 27 2010 02:23 Infundibulum wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 26 2010 22:27 LSB wrote:
This is a weird defense. Infun is saying that the medic should be like “Oh look there is no counterclaim, obviously infun is medic!”

That’s just dumb. The “Pointing out there is no counterclaim” is an incredibly stupid argument for a medic to rely on when straight out counterclaim is so much more stronger.

This convinces me that Infun is mafia



Please stop twisting my posts. My defense is that a mafia fakeclaim of medic at this point in the game makes little to no sense; neither Incog nor I are the types of players to do ballsy moves like that, I don't think anyone who's played with either of us will disagree about that. The town is who's in trouble right now, and there's no need for the mafia to come out and force a "1 team or the other is mafia because of this claim," situation, but that's what RoL did.

I'm pointing out that its dumb for RoL to counterclaim because he's the mafia, and by counterclaiming the mafia play the basic trump card - if he wanted he could have easily argued against our claim without counterclaiming first.

If RoL was actually a medic, a counterclaim would have been the right thing to do. But he's not the medic, because his claim makes no sense. As my partner pointed out, his claimed protections Night 1 and 2 are not logical and I'd expect better choices of protection from those 2 players.

Show nested quote +

Fun Fact™ for those who can't decide who's telling the truth: why do you think it was me who asked Korynne if the medic/protected person gets a PM notification? Don't you think that RoL, masquerading as the eager medic, would have wanted to know this important information?

Now that Infun pointed this out, I don’t think trying to read if Team 8 is medic is a good idea. Team 8 has probably been planning this claim for a while, planting information for a future defence.

+ Show Spoiler +
Anyone else wana claim medic?


This is implausible from a strategic standpoint. Think for a minute - why would the mafia plan a medic claim from Day 1 when they don't know which roles are in the game? If you are mafia, why go through the trouble just to fake claim medic day 3 (and 'breadcrumb' it day 1 and 2?), running the risk of a real medic coming out and forcing your team into a 1v1 situation? Especially with 2 town deaths already, the risk > reward so much that this can't even be WIFOM. A mafia claiming medic in the way my team did today would have to be playing intentionally poorly.

The reason I asked about PM notifications is that there was a lot of talk about medic confirmations and who the medic should protect. Being the medic, knowing whether or not there are PM notifications is pretty important in terms of planning what to do if we make a save, for example.

This is stupid to argue, I asked plenty of questions regarding medic as well. PM notification of saves doesn't really help us this game as there is no PMing unless you are mafia. If a hit misses the medic knows they saved someone. What does it matter if the individual knows they were saved? Its not like they get to know who saved them. I don't see how asking that question makes you any more of a medic then me.


Look, the only thing stopping me from knowing that you're red right now is the fact that you are so obviously defending RoL's counter claim. If RoL dies today you must know you're surely next based on your long and incorrect accusations of my team. Which means you must either be sure you can get my team lynched, or that you are town and genuinely believe that Team 6 is telling the truth. In case of the latter, shame on you :p

I wouldn't expect the second mafia team to be so visibly supportive of Team 6 because if Team 6 is lynched today that visible team [your team!] in all likelihood gets axed next day, since my team would be clear, and that's gg for them. I'd expect the mafia team to play like Teams 2 or 3 has been playing during this Day, especially if you, LSB the townie, are doing the dirty work for them. If you're still holding some animosity because we wanted to lynch you Day 1, please get over it and read the recent day or 2 from a neutral perspective.

Once again this doesn't support how I would play this from mafia. This is an insanely ballsy move that is completely unnecessary from me if I was mafia considering no one suspected me at all.


The key points are:

1. If Incog and I are red, this play is really bad from a strategic standpoint
2. RoL's counterclaim was poorly devised; his claims of protecting himself night 1 and 2 simply don't hold up under scrutiny. See Incog's post.
3. Team 1's vocal defense of Team 6 means they are either mafia trying to flat out win today without a backup plan, or that Team 1 is townie caught on the wrong side and the mafia is letting Team 1 do the arguing. This is because if team 6 dies, they will flip red, most heavily implicating Team 1. So if team 6 is lynched today, I implore the town not to immediately jump at the throats of Team 1 because the playstyle of Teams 2 and 3 this Day fits more closely to a mafia profile IMO.

1. You were going to die anyway, there are plenty of behavioral tells from the previous day like incogs apologetic to your medic claim. It reeks of desperate mafia play.
2. Wrong. Read my reasoning. Anytime a medic can self protect in a game, he should self protect. Plus the reason I can call you out is because the town is going to believe me and get rid of you and if for some reason they choose to lynch the OTHER mafia my ability to protect the other two remaining town makes it really hard for you to make a good hit, since you can't hit me otherwise it proves you are mafia.
3. So flipfloppy. I don't even know what to say to that. Plus your team mate contradicts you by believing Foolishness is 100% town. You can't even get your story strait.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 27 2010 02:43 GMT
#602
On September 27 2010 11:23 Divinek wrote:
actually you know what after reading through everyone's reasons for voting for who they did i've convinced myself that the likely combination for me is team1/team6

so

##unvote
##vote team6

Seriously? I am getting tired of this shit from your team and foolishness. Can we see your own reasoning? I can't make my points anymore solid than I have.
The way voting went is retarded from a mafia stand point anyway. Ideally mafia adds votes on during the last 20 minutes before voting closes. Not first 20 minutes so it looks so retardedly obvious.

Can you please at least do some analysis before you go ahead and throw the game away?
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 27 2010 04:33 GMT
#605
I swear to god this town is some form of retarded. Pyrrhuloxia have you just completely avoided reading the thread? Either vote for me or vote for incognito.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 27 2010 04:40 GMT
#607
On September 27 2010 13:37 bumatlarge wrote:
I CANT LET MY TEAM DOWN

##unvote
##vote team 6


Nice to see all this wriggling, thought I had something between teams 1 and 3, but I really fail at reading comprehension. Both teams 6 and 8 claimed medic for certain?

Yes. Analyze posts and figure out who you think is mafia. I swear to god if I see one more post that comes without an actual explanation or a reason I am just going afk for rest of the game.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 27 2010 16:48 GMT
#614
GG guys, I am off to school and won't be back until voting is over.
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
September 28 2010 02:36 GMT
#637
GG BACK TO SCHOOL WORK NOW
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
October 03 2010 02:45 GMT
#732
lol this game was full of failure.

GG guys
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RebirthOfLeGenD
Profile Blog Joined November 2008
USA5860 Posts
October 03 2010 02:46 GMT
#733
Basically todays entire plan was "Alright lets hope rastaban goes afk"
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