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TL Mafia XXVI - Page 3

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bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 12 2010 15:55 GMT
#1348
Holy shit I keep saying I'll get around to more clue work, but by the time I do, mafia makes it as complicated as possible. THANKS ALOT ASSHOLES.

i havent been in pm contact with anyone :/ ill try to get a bit more active tonight, but i was at my friends gig and i just woke up at his house lol.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 12 2010 23:19 GMT
#1367
I'm absolutely baffled no one is calling darth out on this. The chances of this happening are ludicrous unless somehow laxer let it slip to a random that he was a BG, WHY WOULD HE DO THAT EVER. And then after they lets say "figure out" who the BG is, they hit..... yellow? Um ok. Why would you go for the pardoner, a role that really cant hurt mafia too much, rather then the mayor who gets that 3x? I think you all need to get your heads out of your asses and think this through.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 12 2010 23:27 GMT
#1373
And did that medic still not come out through someone and clear MTF? We keep talking about all this improbability of things and classifying complete random scenarios as certainties. Half of you are all following this "His posts are pretty, he must be town" mindset, and then you take anything that is less then efficient for mafia to do an act of a townie. This is a game of psychology and logic. Not one of gut instincts and chance, at least not to the point where you depend on it.

But who cares right, apparently no one. This game will either boil down to mafia being downright stupid, or mafia playing us all an laughing at how retarded we act at times. Really felt I shoulda played this differently in the beginning. Damn my coming of age!
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 12 2010 23:31 GMT
#1374
Are you fucking kidding me?

Oh fucking great now im a fucking miller. GENIUS ROLE FLAMEWHEEL. Sure lets fuck up common sense and and everything with complete uncertainty. What did you expect bum? Of course this would happen yeah of course. Now I have to get lynched no matter what because some people in clues were looking at things funny and you get blessed with this wonderful outcome! Oh look now hes starting to post decent stuff! LETS SCREW HIM OVER!
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 03:51 GMT
#1397
Alright, I've thought this through, and I think it's best for the town if I die. Then we can get to the bottom of this alot easier. The only thing I ask is

1) I want Darth's people to find another liable person that knows who they are. I'm not going to suggest anyone, but I'd suggest MTF. Revamped what my thoughts were. The clues I came up with were relatively far fetched, and the situation he was posed in makes little sense to me anymore if he is mafia. They can barely afford kills like that even for that one time. I was just trying to stir up a kind of thought process of people having "inklings" about people's roles.

2) Darth is probably mafia. Unless the mafia have been going deep into this plan, which after the double hits on MTF screw-up doesn't seem very likely. That DT could be a rogue, if he exists, and they knew darth would be under watch if they ousted the last BG and yellow, and darth has 2 DTs now right? He's going to get caught in cross-fire, which would seem a very brilliant plan by mafia to take out the mayor and buy a day for themselves. But then I look at the people they were hitting and I laugh a this possibility.

We still have plenty of time to dig this matter up. Just don't trust anyone unless you rolecheck someone and the Godfather's head is in your backpack.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 03:53 GMT
#1399
And why are we killing hugo? That guys gonna kill himself in due time.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 04:02 GMT
#1401
^NOT THE SAME DT HES DIFFERENT
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 04:20 GMT
#1403
On June 13 2010 08:22 DarthThienAn wrote:
BTW guys. Second DT PMed me. bumatlarge got cluechecked to be mafia.


Um no DCL Im merely correcting facts, There is a 2nd DT that PM'd darth. Point to one post that says I'm going off the deep end.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 04:24 GMT
#1405
On June 13 2010 13:20 DarthThienAn wrote:
Zyrre, I'm going to mostly ignore your post and let the results speak for themselves. Lynch bumatlarge first, and then lynch me if he's not mafia/miller.

The outcome if bumatlarge is green: you lynch me and I'm mafia. Mafia are down to 3, with only 3 voting power. Town has 13 - 1 - 2 (assuming perfect hits), 10 vs 3, still pretty good odds, especially if we still have 2 dts and 2 medics and 1-2 veterans in there.

Does that sound good? If you disagree with this, then a) you're mafia b) you're being incredibly unreasonable or c) I can write out why your post doesn't quite work.


MTF hasn't gotten back to me, but I told him the DT's name. I don't know why you say I don't trust MTF, it's him who [didn't] trust me as a knee jerk reaction to the night kills.


kneejerk my foot scum
+ Show Spoiler +
hey dead townies can have fun to right? cant reserve that for people like oni
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 04:36 GMT
#1408
Well Ill punch you in your knee, jerk.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 05:03 GMT
#1410
On June 13 2010 13:54 DarthThienAn wrote:
...lol wat.


Hm let me analize darth's post to derive whether or not he is mafia.

If we see he put 3 periods preceeding the text, so we can safely assume he hesitated, which may give away a somewhat mafi-esque posting personality.

The "lol wat" can be take a variety of ways. The simpleton would take this as a joke so I'll try to break this down for you.

lol wat - reverse it
wat lol - we now switch the last letters
wal lot - Hm....
wallet

From this we can assume that because of his mayoral status that he has a hunger for power. And with this hidden gem we can assume he is greedy. The answer is staring us in the face...
+ Show Spoiler +
im insane
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 05:08 GMT
#1411
On June 13 2010 13:28 DCLXVI wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 13 2010 13:20 bumatlarge wrote:
On June 13 2010 08:22 DarthThienAn wrote:
BTW guys. Second DT PMed me. bumatlarge got cluechecked to be mafia.


Um no DCL Im merely correcting facts, There is a 2nd DT that PM'd darth. Point to one post that says I'm going off the deep end.

pg 69...
I did not say you misstated facts.


Aw this one is a bit simpler but ill go slow. We see his reference to the page 69 used so self consciously that one would be wary of jumping to conclusions. Thus I question DCLXVI's sexuality. He seems defensive also but firm. Like a fortress. Of sticks. We all know that you need alot of sticks to build one, somewhere in the hundreds for at least a small-ish one correct? So with his inconclusive homosexual status and his wooden demeanor we can gather that he is a
+ Show Spoiler +
Faggot
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 05:32 GMT
#1412
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 13 2010 08:31 MTF wrote:
Time for some posting analysis on Oni/3 Lions, with the aid of knowing that they were Mafia this time.

(gonna steal crate's format, kinda, because I'm shorter on time than usual)


3 Lions:
+ Show Spoiler +

Summary:
+ Show Spoiler +

- Points a clue at MooCow, Darth later comments on it being a "really nice catch".
- Points clues at MooCow, Onihunter, Zeks, and Tyranos_Nivek.
- "Sorry for inactivity" post.
- Points clues at TheGilaBoy, Tyranos_Nivek, and Littlechava, which helps start off a bandwagon towards killing TheGilaBoy.


Observed Relations:
+ Show Spoiler +

None, never talked to anyone directly. Just posted clues.


Conclusions:
+ Show Spoiler +

3 Lions was probably just trying to look somewhat active by doing very light cluework.

The fact that he implicated one of his teammates in a post means very little when the way he did it was weak. However, he later very specifically points at TheGilaBoy, singling him out with stronger connections than to either Littlechava or Tyranos_Nivek.

I believe this clears TheGilaBoy of suspicion, at this point. I do not think Mafia would have put so much pressure on one of their own in that way. Littlechava's clue connection was very weak, though, so the suspicion is not cleared there.



Onihunter:
+ Show Spoiler +

Summary:
+ Show Spoiler +

- Asks zeks why it's good to lynch inactives, cites self-newbieness.
- Posts about there being a lot to read. Mentions Darth's cluelist (he lists zeks, Tyranos, and TheGilaBoy) as being a good place to start looking for people to kill once the time comes. Reiterates newbieness.
- Is against voting for YellowInk, claims he wants someone in that has no clues attached to him.
- Continues to mention that we need someone without clues in office, continues being against electing YellowInk.
- "bedtime, will read when I return kthxbai" type post.
- "I'm back, gonna catch up now" type post. (Told you guys to look out for these)
- "Caught up, response now" type post. Supports Darth, still against YellowInk.
- Supports crate's strategy, talks about "mafia's evil hands", and calls out the inactives.
- Agrees again with crate about wanting more information from candidates. Reiterates his strong support of Darth. Says he wants to lynch inactives, again.
- Tentively agrees with LunarDestiny's way-out-there suggestion to lynch the Pardoner upon election. Posts general comments about the candidates:

On June 04 2010 14:21 onihunter wrote:
Darth: General agreement is he posts like a townie, so that's a plus. Also experienced, but that's neither a plus nor a minus. He also seems clear-headed.

Yellow: Posts a LOT. Seems quite defensive when criticized, and I can't really say that I like the guy =/. Just personal preference though, nothing really concrete. Also inciting lots of arguing and conflict that is unnecessary at this point in the game.

Beardude: I really liked him until he responded to Inkguy's attack. His responses weren't that coherent though imo, and he seemed really emotional in that post to me. Also he himself stated that it's personal between the two now, sort of alienating me. However, he IS running for pardoner specifically.

Zeks: There isn't really that much past the few posts that contained mistakes, so can't say much. Suspicious in that he's not a newbie to this game, but I think it's forgivable.

Overall, no one's quite solid, but I'd say that Darth slightly edges out the rest. Basically even for the rest.


Once again, Darth is above all other runners.
- Near the end of voting is suddenly alright with YellowInk/DarthTheinAn being voted in together.
- Once again, supports DTA over YellowInk, mentions him having no clues connected to him again as well. Wants LaXer to die first.
- Mentions that the active posters will probably not be protected tonight, is disagreed with by BrownBear and LunarDestiny is quick succession.
- "bedtime, SAT test tomorrow".
- Doesn't support YellowInk's plan to have a minimum posting limit per cycle on players. "Will post later when things occur to me".
- More supporting activeness over inactiveness.
- Posts about the probability of Mafia hitting medic/DT randomly.
- For lynching Deucegladlier based on inactivity.
- Argues against lynching MooCow, reiterates that we should kill off Deuce.
- Says that MooCow talking a lot should be an easy indicator of if he's Mafia.
- Reactionary post to the vigi modkill, as well as to MooCow being green.
- Comment to LunarDestiny about it being okay that he switched to MooCow.
- More probabilities of hitting blue roles.
- Responds to an analysis done by Zyrre (who says he has a high chance of being Mafia) for three posts in a row.
- Clarifies what Darth means when he says he's half-naked after a bodyguard goes down.
- Talks about the clues against 3 Lions, without directly talking about 3 Lions at the time (this was after LD posted his cluework).
- From here out it's just "don't kill me, lawl!" It still seems quite odd that he's giving up here without any sort of struggle. It feels almost like strong-arming the vote towards lynching him.


Observed Relations:
+ Show Spoiler +

Heavily for: DarthTheinAn
For: crate
Neutral: zeks, BrownBear, LunarDestiny
Against: YellowInk
Heavily Against: ~


Conclusions:
+ Show Spoiler +

More than ever, I'm worried about Darth being Mafia. This is solely because of the fact that Onihunter was so consistently against voting for YellowInk, but almost immediately for voting for Darth.

Several other things to note. First, he makes liberal use of the "I'll be back later" types of posts, with no content to them. While these can certainly be legitimate, I have noted their danger before. These are filler posts, even if you do come back and post something later. It mimics activity so that the mental slate with your name on it and a timer next to it is wiped clean from other posters minds.

Second, Zyrre is very unlikely to be Mafia in my eyes. He targeted Onihunter specifically in his analysis (who responded defensively), as well as mentioned 3 Lions being a suspect of his.

Third, he had an pro-active stance against inactivity, frequently calling for people to post. This shows to anybody who hasn't encountered this before how a Mafia member can try to blend in well by posting a lot, seemingly supporting town ideals, but really adding no content.

Finally, it seems very unlikely to me that Deucegladlier is Mafia, due to Onihunter's strong stance for lynching him.


And now, to ease my curiousity:
(all in order of occurrence)

Compilation of Heavy/Quick Darth Supporters:
+ Show Spoiler +
LunarDestiny (because of previous game with and clues/behavior against YellowInk)
LittleChava (because of lack of clues as well as posting)
Onihunter (because of general "vibe")
BrownBear (because of lack of clues as well as posting/previous game with)


Compilation of Those With Issues Towards YellowInk in Mayoral Race:
+ Show Spoiler +
zeks (clues as validation)
DarthTheinAn (theory on Mafia-plan, later on clues as validation)
Onihunter (clues against/aggressive campaigning)
MTF (clues as validation)
MooCow (clues against/aggressive campaigning)
Hugoboss21 (clues against)
Pyr0ma5ta (clues against)
LunarDestiny ("suspicious actions")
deconduo (aggressive campaigning)
littlechava (because of clues against and behavior)
BrownBear (clues against/aggressive campaigning)
DCLXVI (aggression)


Compilation of "Need Mayor With No Clues" Sorts:
+ Show Spoiler +
Onihunter
BumAtLarge



TL;DR Version:
+ Show Spoiler +

1. I believe Zyrre, TheGilaBoy, and Deucegladlier have a high chance of being town-aligned.
2. I am worried (not at all certain, but worried) about Darth being Mafia.
3. Be cautious of activity/pro-active town stances with no other valuable substance. It is easy to post in support of something. It is far more time consuming to put forth a new (or good) argument.
4. Also, be on the look-out for all people posting excuses for not being active/that they'll post later even though they clearly are on the computer long enough to post (looking at BumAtLarge here) now. More complicated reasons are more suspicious than regular ones.


Finally, one thing we haven't considered in clearing Darth on the Onihunter kill: Suppose that Darth is in contact with a legitimate DT, who was pressing Darth to announce for him that he'd cluechecked Onihunter? This gives him motivation without establishing any credibility towards his being town, and would help to explain why Onihunter went down without a fight.


I guess it's up to me to analyze this gem. He not afraid to be organized and uses color coding format appealing to the eye. He's not afraid to admit he uses the format of someone else. He knows you're fucking lazy so he puts a lovely TL;DR for your convenience you ungrateful piece of pie. Thinks that mafia always lie. If mafia always lie, can they lie about lying? therefore speaking truth? Or is a lie just the absence of truth, like evil is the absence of good? But then would that make a simple object like a rock evil? Does it possess no good? No, it does, because it serves it's purpose, which is to exist (it does that quite well thank you very much), which is the simplest form of all religions, that everything serves a purpose. But on a mental plane, is this true? How are we to know our purpose? It is said to come naturally, that you find it. Let me relate a story that happened to me that I hold very dear to my heart, I was in my senior year of highschool, my gym teacher would make us run laps for apparently no reason. We would test what it was that triggered him to make us run all of a sudden. It came to me that he was up to no good, and that he was going to make trouble. I challenged him to a fight and he nailed me in the eye that was completely unfair, and my mama said you're moving to with your auntie and uncle in bel air. I whistled for a cab and when it came near the license plate said fresh and there was dice in the mirror. If anything Id say that this cab was rare but i said nah forget it yo homes to bel air. Pulled up to the house around seven or eight and I yelled to the cab yo homes smell ya later. Looked up at my kingdom I was finally there sit on my throne as the prince of bel air. And that leads us mostly to believe just about anything in this world that will give us any semblance of comfort. Which ultimately leads me to believe that MTF is the godfather with a cool little hat and everything. Fedora? and a pinstriped suit.
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bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 19:50 GMT
#1422
I agree we should definitely oust darth and not hugo, because is a fagtron. Thats hugo you spineless wench, you dont deserve the towns attention. Not that hes mafia or anything, how would I know
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 23:14 GMT
#1434
On June 14 2010 07:13 Zyrre wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
oya, and I gave you guys a bonus one through modkill yesterday too, when I could have just had him lynched and saved onihunter for another day and left mafia with 3 KP.


Not sure if you are doing this intentionally, but MTF already said why you could not do this and I quoted him.

Anyway, I was only pushing it this hard since DTA being mafia would be the only way we could lose this. But since I wasn't getting any reaction, I'll stop. Maybe I'm just overestimating the mafia.


Hey man, dont self depreciate yourself like that, you did the best you could


On June 14 2010 04:52 flamewheel wrote:
bumatlarge, language.


I apologize almighty one!
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 23:15 GMT
#1436
On June 14 2010 06:52 zeks wrote:
I'll go with the town majority and vote Hugo for my 2nd.

I was really skeptical of DTA yesterday with all the clues suggesting it was him (force push, force lightning, heavy breathing, that inexplicable leg explosion thingy on YI) but I know better than to lynch on clues alone. DTA has done enough to warrant my trust - as have MTF/crate suggested also.

Nothing really to add. I was more skepetical of DTA when bum RCed Miller and weirdly oni didn't. But seeing the way bum is acting right now I don't regret voting for him even if he does end up miller.


Well thats not cool, you should never regret anything! Trust your instincts!
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 13 2010 23:17 GMT
#1437
On June 14 2010 08:15 DarthThienAn wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 14 2010 07:13 Zyrre wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
oya, and I gave you guys a bonus one through modkill yesterday too, when I could have just had him lynched and saved onihunter for another day and left mafia with 3 KP.


Not sure if you are doing this intentionally, but MTF already said why you could not do this and I quoted him.

Anyway, I was only pushing it this hard since DTA being mafia would be the only way we could lose this. But since I wasn't getting any reaction, I'll stop. Maybe I'm just overestimating the mafia.


it was a joke t.t. Don't got to be all technical about it.


Oh look posting at the same time as me. Lynch him ASAP.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 14 2010 00:20 GMT
#1441
I am a green townie.
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bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 14 2010 01:41 GMT
#1474
Really was lookin forward to having a fake DT, but half our squad afk'd.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
June 14 2010 14:30 GMT
#1566
Honestly darth and crate palyed fabulously. I felt bad because I knew if I tried to take positive happy go lucky attitude, I was bound to snap. I wish I took more of a role in who we killed, because thats the only place I think crate and darth fell short. Hitting MTF twice :/ then killing you last BG and pardoner? I gess I kinda assumed darth had his reasons.

Thing that murdered us was just lack of effort from 3lions and hugo. Oni did his best and i thought we had a shoe in from darth and crates acceptance. Really wanted to fake a dt to yellow but by that time oni was being lynched and hugo and lions were mia

I wasnt trying to backstab darth, i was just attempting to clear his name when i got lynched. GG fellas hope i didnt hurt any feelings >:D
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