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TL Mafia XVIII

Forum Index > TL Mafia
Post a Reply
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 09 2010 12:52 GMT
#4
Is this the signup thread?

I would like to join atleast
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 09 2010 20:53 GMT
#17
On February 10 2010 05:36 citi.zen wrote:
Show nested quote +
3. As soon as one mafia family falls down to 2 or fewer members, they've essentially lost the game- they cannot win, because either they will be wiped out (the other mafia family wins), or they will reduce the other mafia family to 1-2 members in which case the Town wins. What incentive is there for this mafia family to keep playing, considering they cannot win? Will they have some kind of secondary objective, like a consolation prize? e.g. maybe a secondary objective of theirs would be to not be wiped out, in which case once they fall down to 2 members, they have to push for a Town win rather than let the other mafia family win.


This is a very good question.


maybe they retire as mafia and join the townies ?
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 10 2010 23:47 GMT
#92
man yea that picture was awsome
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 11 2010 02:40 GMT
#97
soon full, cant wait for it to start
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 12 2010 02:27 GMT
#134
only 3 more
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 12 2010 15:13 GMT
#151
On February 12 2010 23:33 flamewheel91 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 12 2010 21:59 Abenson wrote:
It's gonna be really inactive until the game actually starts =.="

O yay i've hit 100 post count
IM STILL A FUCKING DRONE TT.TT


Haha I have 300+ and I'm still a drone
Hang in there.


got my zergling at 250 i think :D
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 13 2010 22:39 GMT
#197
And the game is on. Good luck and have fun everybody
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 14 2010 02:40 GMT
#296
i found a pretty vague connection. Quatol dies by beeing run over, and if you look at Ver's profile picture its someone in a bus running over someone in a bunker.

Just thought i should throw it out there.
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 14 2010 03:00 GMT
#309
I definatly agree that we should not lynch someone based on day one clues, unless someone can make a foolproof case. But they should definatly be discussed and looked through, cause they could help us put the pieces toghter at a later day.

And it also gives us something to talk about, and im pretty sure the more posts there are the more information one could gather from this game and put it togheter.
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 14 2010 05:24 GMT
#428
On February 14 2010 14:18 Faronel wrote:
I think Ace was right... It's kind of a RISK like game with mini alliances where the town acts like a mafia family with kp of 1. There's definitely some intrigue here.

So just to clear this up...

we have 5 people contending for mayor?
Ace, L, Citizen, l10f, meeple, and Ver.

Right now everyone has 1 vote except for Ace and Ver who have 2 votes.


Edit: So much "omg that's exactly what mafia would do!" b/w the L and Ace sides.
I've of teh opinion that both are vets, so they wouldn't be making any noob mistakes in terms of a scumtell. But isn't it a bit early to be throwing around some wild accusations as "that's what mafia would do. He must be mafia".
It seems the mayor vote is a bit of a lucky guess, because like in the last Incog mafia game, we have a mafia sheriff. We can only know so much about the candidates... and instead of throwing around accusations, focus on a plan for what happens are we have a mayor (like if we lynch the other runner or w/e).


FYI editing posts are illigal
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 14 2010 15:30 GMT
#553
L's point about beeing 20 mafia and that it will take a long time before we get two different clues on a single mafia i dont really think is true.

Last game i was in there was 8 mafia and they had 3kp. meaning at day 3 we in the worst case scenario had 1 mafia with double clues.

In this game there is 20 mafia and 6 KP, meaning in the worst case we would have 4 double clues at day 4. But you with there beeing possible 12 mafia kills and 2 lynces one should think/hope that some mafia would die, and we get double clues at day 3 again.

Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 15 2010 23:05 GMT
#1124
On February 16 2010 07:56 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2010 07:44 redtooth wrote:
On February 16 2010 06:25 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
Spamming the thread full of what shit? Posting an objective compilation of everyones arguments? Compiling voting history? Defending myself when redtooth and Ace accused me of being mafia? Finally getting Bill Murray to justify his statements? Don't put me on the same level as BM TT___TT

I guess for the time being Empyrean is our best bet. Ver did a great job of pointing out the inconsistency in his pro-town/mafia behavior from past games and the clue connection is just very very very very strong.

Redtooth did a decent job of defending himself, or at least why it doesn't make sense that he and Ace are both in the same mafia family. His argument for him and ace not being in different mafia families doesn't make sense. "Why would mafia defend a mafia from another family/not mafia"

Unless he wanted to discourage clue analysis because he fears it will hurt his mafia family, or wanted to defend Ace because regardless of Ace's role his argumentation is successfully dividing the town. If redtooth is mafia, he has no way of knowing Ace's role anyway, so saying "i wouldn't defend another families mafia" makes no sense because he doesn't know who those people are. I really doubt the mafia are going to ONLY defend one another, look what happened when I got lynched in the last game. By analyzing who I defended/supported/whose clues I ignored the entire rest of the mafia family was caught.

I'm not accusing you of being mafia redtooth, I'm just pointing out that the argument falls short.

I'm voting for L because so far his arguments have been extremely consistent, he's been trying to get the town moving/discouraging waste posts, and providing excellent clue analysis. Redtooth shouldn't have a problem with this, don't you want L as the other elected role anyway?
you're right. actually that's exactly what i want you to do. i want L as mayor and i want to be pardoner. no vigilantes means pardoner is very very powerful if he is mafia.

as for my argument in why it's sort of illogical for ace and me to be mafia in separate families is because consider the alternative: i could have silently held back and not brought attention to myself instead of being in the middle of controversy between the town. knowing previous games, L vs Ace was going to become a shitstorm whether i stepped in or not. instead i chose to argue a point, blew my top (admittedly more than a few times), and got into a position where my alignment was pretty damn clear. and if Ace isn't on my team (which would be the case if i was mafia and he wasn't in my family) then i would want him dead regardless of what role/alignment he was.

and guys i've said this before but i genuinely believed L was full of shit. now i only think he is half shitty but i've expressed my disdain for day 1 clues enough already.

so it's not about mafia ONLY defending each other. it's about a mafia risking his own neck to defend a good player that's not on his team. THAT is something that doesn't make sense. so if it doesn't make sense then that means i'm not mafia. yay we are finally caught up.


Fair point, now that is a good argument.

Why are we assuming day 1 clues are bad based off previous games? There are 20 mafia. It's highly unlikely that mafia will be getting 6 kills a night, I'd say 4 MAYBE 5 is more likely. Why?

1) Overlapping kills. The mafia are simply going to hit the same targets. Let's say, for example, Player X is green. He's been painted red by a lot of people and thus might be hit by both families. This could happen with anyone who was painted red but is not mafia of either family. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if even 2 kills overlap.

2) Smart medics. While mafia might avoid really big targets early on because they will be protected by medics, medics who are able to anticipate mafia goals will help reduce kills.

With 20 mafia, let's assume we get 5 hits a day. We don't see overlapping clues until DAY SIX

DAY SIX

If everyone feels uncomfortable with Day 1 clue analysis just based on previous experience, I guess there isnt really anything I can say. But let's please not ignore clues on Day 2. If someone makes an accusation based on clues at you, provide an alternative. Simply saying "day 1 clues are trash" isn't enough, especially when you aren't addressing the point of just how many mafia there are in this game and how strong clues need to be.

Also redtooth, I'd like you to clear something up for me. I found a mildly disturbing inconsistency in your arguments. While L was painting Ace red based on clues you said clue analysis on day 1 is trash; that's fine.

You also said the clues pointing to ace specifically were shaky and not well thought-out. Then merely a few posts later you said that the clues pointing toward Ace were so obvious/numerous he can't be mafia. Was there a change of heart here? what happened?


Man your so wrong about the overlapping clues thing. If we dont see overlapping clues before day 6, it is because the mafia only hits the town. And that is not realistic.

The mafia hitting 1/3 each lynch seems realistic if not to low to me. Then we have 6 dead by day 3. And already overlapping clues. Altho the mafia would prolly have overlapping hits.

But my point still stands. We will see overlapping hits WAY before day 6, and if we dont we're allready doomed cause we've lost half our town
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 15 2010 23:17 GMT
#1130
On February 16 2010 08:10 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2010 08:05 sidesprang wrote:
On February 16 2010 07:56 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
On February 16 2010 07:44 redtooth wrote:
On February 16 2010 06:25 DoctorHelvetica wrote:
Spamming the thread full of what shit? Posting an objective compilation of everyones arguments? Compiling voting history? Defending myself when redtooth and Ace accused me of being mafia? Finally getting Bill Murray to justify his statements? Don't put me on the same level as BM TT___TT

I guess for the time being Empyrean is our best bet. Ver did a great job of pointing out the inconsistency in his pro-town/mafia behavior from past games and the clue connection is just very very very very strong.

Redtooth did a decent job of defending himself, or at least why it doesn't make sense that he and Ace are both in the same mafia family. His argument for him and ace not being in different mafia families doesn't make sense. "Why would mafia defend a mafia from another family/not mafia"

Unless he wanted to discourage clue analysis because he fears it will hurt his mafia family, or wanted to defend Ace because regardless of Ace's role his argumentation is successfully dividing the town. If redtooth is mafia, he has no way of knowing Ace's role anyway, so saying "i wouldn't defend another families mafia" makes no sense because he doesn't know who those people are. I really doubt the mafia are going to ONLY defend one another, look what happened when I got lynched in the last game. By analyzing who I defended/supported/whose clues I ignored the entire rest of the mafia family was caught.

I'm not accusing you of being mafia redtooth, I'm just pointing out that the argument falls short.

I'm voting for L because so far his arguments have been extremely consistent, he's been trying to get the town moving/discouraging waste posts, and providing excellent clue analysis. Redtooth shouldn't have a problem with this, don't you want L as the other elected role anyway?
you're right. actually that's exactly what i want you to do. i want L as mayor and i want to be pardoner. no vigilantes means pardoner is very very powerful if he is mafia.

as for my argument in why it's sort of illogical for ace and me to be mafia in separate families is because consider the alternative: i could have silently held back and not brought attention to myself instead of being in the middle of controversy between the town. knowing previous games, L vs Ace was going to become a shitstorm whether i stepped in or not. instead i chose to argue a point, blew my top (admittedly more than a few times), and got into a position where my alignment was pretty damn clear. and if Ace isn't on my team (which would be the case if i was mafia and he wasn't in my family) then i would want him dead regardless of what role/alignment he was.

and guys i've said this before but i genuinely believed L was full of shit. now i only think he is half shitty but i've expressed my disdain for day 1 clues enough already.

so it's not about mafia ONLY defending each other. it's about a mafia risking his own neck to defend a good player that's not on his team. THAT is something that doesn't make sense. so if it doesn't make sense then that means i'm not mafia. yay we are finally caught up.


Fair point, now that is a good argument.

Why are we assuming day 1 clues are bad based off previous games? There are 20 mafia. It's highly unlikely that mafia will be getting 6 kills a night, I'd say 4 MAYBE 5 is more likely. Why?

1) Overlapping kills. The mafia are simply going to hit the same targets. Let's say, for example, Player X is green. He's been painted red by a lot of people and thus might be hit by both families. This could happen with anyone who was painted red but is not mafia of either family. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if even 2 kills overlap.

2) Smart medics. While mafia might avoid really big targets early on because they will be protected by medics, medics who are able to anticipate mafia goals will help reduce kills.

With 20 mafia, let's assume we get 5 hits a day. We don't see overlapping clues until DAY SIX

DAY SIX

If everyone feels uncomfortable with Day 1 clue analysis just based on previous experience, I guess there isnt really anything I can say. But let's please not ignore clues on Day 2. If someone makes an accusation based on clues at you, provide an alternative. Simply saying "day 1 clues are trash" isn't enough, especially when you aren't addressing the point of just how many mafia there are in this game and how strong clues need to be.

Also redtooth, I'd like you to clear something up for me. I found a mildly disturbing inconsistency in your arguments. While L was painting Ace red based on clues you said clue analysis on day 1 is trash; that's fine.

You also said the clues pointing to ace specifically were shaky and not well thought-out. Then merely a few posts later you said that the clues pointing toward Ace were so obvious/numerous he can't be mafia. Was there a change of heart here? what happened?


Man your so wrong about the overlapping clues thing. If we dont see overlapping clues before day 6, it is because the mafia only hits the town. And that is not realistic.

The mafia hitting 1/3 each lynch seems realistic if not to low to me. Then we have 6 dead by day 3. And already overlapping clues. Altho the mafia would prolly have overlapping hits.

But my point still stands. We will see overlapping hits WAY before day 6, and if we dont we're allready doomed cause we've lost half our town


Huh? I said we'll be seeing overlapping hits from Day 1, for sure.

I really didn't think about that. Mafia numbers will be decreasing from mafia hits, so I guess we'll probably be seeing overlapping clues around day 4ish. It depends on how successful mafia are with their hits. However, with a number of mafia this large and the probability for there to be very few actual kills per night compared to their total KP especially early on, it's gonna be a while.

The Day 1 clues seem fairly strong and unvague to me, why not analyze them?


yea lol, i meant to say. we will see overlapping clues WAY before day 6. And even tho i wrote wrong you should be able to see thats what i meant.

I'm all for analyzing clues from day 1. As it helps building a suspect list, that we can narrow down with time. And it will create alot of discussions, so the good players can prolly pick up if someone fucks up and contradicts himself.


Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 15 2010 23:46 GMT
#1169
On February 16 2010 08:45 Bill Murray wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2010 08:45 redtooth wrote:
actually don't know if this is a terrible play or not. hope it doesn't make you guys trust me any less than you already do...

buuuuut: i'm medic. .

and Ace could you stop associating yourself with me? it keeps making me look guilty.



you guys want someone who is roleclaiming day 1 into office?


dont want an annoying moron either...
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 16 2010 00:04 GMT
#1200
He won major if the last count was correct
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 21 2010 03:10 GMT
#1936
i changed my vote to quickstriker, but i dont see why we should not double lynch tomorrow. Since i feel we have alot of good clues to work of, and we will get more.

So you're gonna have to give more reasons for me to take away my double lynch vote.
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 23 2010 04:50 GMT
#2165
why dont we vote for L? If quickstriker does not vote he will get modkilled and we kill L.
And its not like we will lower Sumiyoshi KP if quickstriker dies anyhow.

I will await some arguments before i vote, but for now i think this is the best plan.
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
February 26 2010 07:59 GMT
#2476
On February 26 2010 16:00 Scamp wrote:
I'd also appreciate it if Sidesprang and Tredmasta would speak up. Especially Sidesprang in order to explain his last vote.


First, my votes are not set in stone. If so i would not have voted so early. But its the weekend coming up and i know im definatly going out on saturday(and the voting closes 1AM(or something like that) in norway. So i had to vote something in case i wont have the time later, ofc i could have abstained but i think scamp is mafia and that L might be and he

voting scamp, because of the cluelink towards you.

voting L, because he has lead this town on so many wrong turns. And i don't see any real proof of him beeing non mafia, and if he is mafia he has gotten away with far to much allready.

reasons for not voting johnnyspaz who i think is definatly mafia, let the other mafia team kill him.


And to the clue link from malongo, im not really sure what aristocracy of money means but for the rest of the first bold sentence i feel that is a huge strech. And im not decafchickens friend

And the bold part number two. That has to be a clue to johhnyspaz, i mean he gets turn into a pincushion. And he has a picture of sonic the hedgehog.
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
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