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2020 US Election - Page 198

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TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 06 2020 03:12 GMT
#3941
On November 06 2020 12:09 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 12:01 TheTenthDoc wrote:
On November 06 2020 11:52 FlaShFTW wrote:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1324544395706834945?s=20

At least there's one thing Nate knows how to do, and that's meme/shitpost. This is funny.


Personally I think regardless of which gets called first PA deserves the MVP over GA this year. Recount, provisional, and overseas in GA will be a thing, and I think a couple decision desks literally can't call it with the numbers of outstanding votes.

Though honestly I could also see it going for FL, even though the state went to Trump, given that it firmly ruled out the "Biden landslide" possibility.


A recount will change very little and will only happen if the result is within .10%.

Provisional and overseas ballots are also going to be a very small number of votes.

I think that Biden's margin will actually hold in GA.


Oh, it probably will (I'd say ~90% chance of it doing so). But that 90% includes like a 15% chance it holds for Biden but pulls within recount range.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
November 06 2020 03:14 GMT
#3942
On November 06 2020 12:12 Toadesstern wrote:
ABC is claiming that GA still has 16k votes left? I think most of the math in here is based on 5-6k left


That amount could include the military/overseas/provisional
Something witty
TheYango
Profile Joined September 2008
United States47024 Posts
November 06 2020 03:14 GMT
#3943
It bears mentioning that if the election is this close with Trump utterly botching the COVID response, it would have been an absolute landslide in favor of Trump without it. COVID was the real winner of this election.

Congratulations to the winner of the 2020 US Presidential Election: SARS-CoV-2.
Moderator
ShoCkeyy
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
7815 Posts
November 06 2020 03:14 GMT
#3944
On November 06 2020 12:14 IyMoon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 12:12 Toadesstern wrote:
ABC is claiming that GA still has 16k votes left? I think most of the math in here is based on 5-6k left


That amount could include the military/overseas/provisional


NY times also reporting GA has 16k votes left.
Life?
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-06 03:15:47
November 06 2020 03:15 GMT
#3945
Yeah, I think it almost certainly includes the 9K that *could* arrive by tomorrow. Kind of like how NC technically has 118K that *could* arrive by November 12th.
CorsairHero
Profile Joined December 2008
Canada9491 Posts
November 06 2020 03:16 GMT
#3946
On November 06 2020 11:44 Nevuk wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 11:38 CorsairHero wrote:
In other news Steve Bannon got banned on twitter

What did he tweet? I know he was suggesting beheading Fauci on his show, but I thought that only got you arrested by the FBI, not banned on twitter.

same thing
In an email sent to The Hill, Twitter said Bannon's account was suspended for violating "our policy on the glorification of violence.”
© Current year.
Stratos_speAr
Profile Joined May 2009
United States6959 Posts
November 06 2020 03:16 GMT
#3947
On November 06 2020 12:14 TheYango wrote:
It bears mentioning that if the election is this close with Trump utterly botching the COVID response, it would have been an absolute landslide in favor of Trump without it. COVID was the real winner of this election.

Congratulations to the winner of the 2020 US Presidential Election: SARS-CoV-2.


There's no guarantee that the pandemic actually had that effect.

Exit polls repeatedly showed that the pandemic was only the 2nd or 3rd most important topic for voters.
A sound mind in a sound body, is a short, but full description of a happy state in this World: he that has these two, has little more to wish for; and he that wants either of them, will be little the better for anything else.
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-06 03:18:20
November 06 2020 03:18 GMT
#3948
Yes. I had my PCP doctor, literally today, tell me that she was more worried about people being politically correct than she was about covid. She didn't tell me her vote or why she was stressed about the election, but it's not hard to guess from there.

I think COVID only mattered in that it killed more Trump voters than Biden ones.
Sbrubbles
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil5776 Posts
November 06 2020 03:26 GMT
#3949
On November 06 2020 12:00 WombaT wrote:
I suppose the one silver lining of all this interminable delay is I can bring out my absolutely shite ‘he’s been Biden his time’ puns anyway


You know why Trump can't go to the white house anymore? Cause it's for Biden.
Bora Pain minha porra!
Dante08
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Singapore4179 Posts
November 06 2020 03:28 GMT
#3950
On November 06 2020 12:14 TheYango wrote:
It bears mentioning that if the election is this close with Trump utterly botching the COVID response, it would have been an absolute landslide in favor of Trump without it. COVID was the real winner of this election.

Congratulations to the winner of the 2020 US Presidential Election: SARS-CoV-2.


Yes agreed, I mentioned this earlier in the thread as well. The economy was doing well and nobody even mentions impeachment anymore (lol).

With every single high profile democrat, celebrity, mainstream media blasting Trump for COVID over the past few months and it's still so close which is unbelievable. Biden will win the popular vote by quite abit but it's worth noting that more than half would come from CA.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland27238 Posts
November 06 2020 03:30 GMT
#3951
On November 06 2020 12:26 Sbrubbles wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 12:00 WombaT wrote:
I suppose the one silver lining of all this interminable delay is I can bring out my absolutely shite ‘he’s been Biden his time’ puns anyway


You know why Trump can't go to the white house anymore? Cause it's for Biden.

Solid.
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32754 Posts
November 06 2020 03:32 GMT
#3952
On November 06 2020 12:00 WombaT wrote:
I suppose the one silver lining of all this interminable delay is I can bring out my absolutely shite ‘he’s been Biden his time’ puns anyway

The "You're Fired!" headlines man.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10530 Posts
November 06 2020 03:33 GMT
#3953
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324555085469356033?s=20

PA Update: Lead down to 37k
Trump: +2.4k
Biden: +8k
77% Biden gain.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10530 Posts
November 06 2020 03:34 GMT
#3954
On November 06 2020 12:32 PhoenixVoid wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 12:00 WombaT wrote:
I suppose the one silver lining of all this interminable delay is I can bring out my absolutely shite ‘he’s been Biden his time’ puns anyway

The "You're Fired!" headlines man.

Music plays: NO CHANCE IF THATS YALL GOT

BAH GAWD THATS VINCE MCMAHONS MUSIC
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-06 03:37:59
November 06 2020 03:34 GMT
#3955
Man. NV really screwed the decision desks by not steadily releasing counts. How are they going to justify the inevitable Nevada calls right after the Georgia calls when nothing new has come out of Nevada for hours?

(well, the desks that can issue calls in GA, anyway; the margin is unlikely to meet some of their thresholds)
Dante08
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Singapore4179 Posts
November 06 2020 03:34 GMT
#3956
On November 06 2020 12:16 Stratos_speAr wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 06 2020 12:14 TheYango wrote:
It bears mentioning that if the election is this close with Trump utterly botching the COVID response, it would have been an absolute landslide in favor of Trump without it. COVID was the real winner of this election.

Congratulations to the winner of the 2020 US Presidential Election: SARS-CoV-2.


There's no guarantee that the pandemic actually had that effect.

Exit polls repeatedly showed that the pandemic was only the 2nd or 3rd most important topic for voters.


That's just not true, it affected everything Trump had going for him on jobs, economy, trade etc. And allowed the democrats to continue bashing him for mishandling the pandemic. He didn't do a good job for sure but I think any president of the US would have found it hard to keep it under control.
KOFgokuon
Profile Blog Joined August 2004
United States14912 Posts
November 06 2020 03:38 GMT
#3957
Any other president might have tried to do literally anything except claim fake news

Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
November 06 2020 03:38 GMT
#3958
Last update from NV was 9 hours ago. They're just sitting this out
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
Dante08
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Singapore4179 Posts
November 06 2020 03:40 GMT
#3959
Yeah Trump shot himself in the foot many times, if he just kept quiet it would have been much better
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10530 Posts
November 06 2020 03:42 GMT
#3960
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324555884471660544?s=20

Another PA update, Trump lead down to 26-27k. Its coming
Trump + 1.7k
Biden +12k
87.5% Biden gain. Massive gain there.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
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