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2020 US Election - Page 139

Forum Index > General Forum
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TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 05 2020 03:51 GMT
#2761
Yeah, at best we'll have a firmer idea on AZ in an hour or so. I suspect we will just end up awaiting the next batch of ballots, though.
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
November 05 2020 03:51 GMT
#2762
I think we all go to bed and wake up to have a good idea of AZ.
Something witty
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10402 Posts
November 05 2020 03:52 GMT
#2763
https://twitter.com/MrDanZak/status/1324191985352220672?s=20

So... in Michigan Trump supporters are saying stop the count, in Arizona they are saying count the votes. Which one is it?
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
tofucake
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Hyrule19213 Posts
November 05 2020 03:52 GMT
#2764
It's obviously only count the votes where it's good for Trump
Liquipediaasante sana squash banana
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13996 Posts
November 05 2020 03:52 GMT
#2765
hilariously an Arizona flip wont matter if Biden does nothing but flip PA
Engage, Zero target Engage, Engage, Kagari target Engage, Engage.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States23957 Posts
November 05 2020 03:53 GMT
#2766
AZ is the most likely to have Republicans appoint faithless electors if Trump does lose imo.

I worry for the people of the ATL area if they put Biden over the top in Georgia and become the target of the Trump voting parts of Georgia.
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-05 03:56:58
November 05 2020 03:56 GMT
#2767
Biden's down to needing only 63.1% of the outstanding ballots in PA to take it. I don't think he'll be in recount range.
Batmankills
Profile Joined February 2016
145 Posts
November 05 2020 03:57 GMT
#2768
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12463 Posts
November 05 2020 03:57 GMT
#2769
On November 05 2020 12:52 FlaShFTW wrote:
https://twitter.com/MrDanZak/status/1324191985352220672?s=20

So... in Michigan Trump supporters are saying stop the count, in Arizona they are saying count the votes. Which one is it?


As usual, important to remind everyone that this is not hypocrisy, this is them being very honest: they want the things that benefit them regardless of principles or circumstances. It's when they pretend that they do hold to certain principles that they are being hypocritical.
No will to live, no wish to die
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32747 Posts
November 05 2020 03:57 GMT
#2770
Someone wrote a useful guide for where we are in the remaining swing states and for how much Biden needs to win by.

"Georgia;
Biden requires ~66% of remaining ~2% votes to flip
Last two hours Biden has won ~73% of votes counted

North Carolina;
Biden requires ~62% of remaining ~6% votes to flip
Last two hours no change...

Pennsylvania:
Biden requires ~63% of remaining ~11% votes to flip
Last two hours Biden has won ~72% of votes counted

Arizona;
Biden requires ~40% of remaining ~14% votes to maintain
Wasn't tracking this state earlier so unsure of change..."

Georgia is possible, borderline leaning Biden. NC is an unknown because they count their mail-ins until like the 12th, but I've seen it put as lean Trump for now. Pennsylvania seems to be very good for Biden (cross my fingers). Arizona is a toss-up.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10402 Posts
November 05 2020 03:59 GMT
#2771
On November 05 2020 12:57 PhoenixVoid wrote:
Someone wrote a useful guide for where we are in the remaining swing states and for how much Biden needs to win by.

"Georgia;
Biden requires ~66% of remaining ~2% votes to flip
Last two hours Biden has won ~73% of votes counted

North Carolina;
Biden requires ~62% of remaining ~6% votes to flip
Last two hours no change...

Pennsylvania:
Biden requires ~63% of remaining ~11% votes to flip
Last two hours Biden has won ~72% of votes counted

Arizona;
Biden requires ~40% of remaining ~14% votes to maintain
Wasn't tracking this state earlier so unsure of change..."

Georgia is possible, borderline leaning Biden. NC is an unknown because they count their mail-ins until like the 12th, but I've seen it put as lean Trump for now. Pennsylvania seems to be very good for Biden (cross my fingers). Arizona is a toss-up.

Important to note that Philly still hasn't been counted (yes i know I've said this like 20 times but I think it's that important to mention). So Philly is gonna be a landslide of 80/20 for Biden. That alone will push him over the top.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
tofucake
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Hyrule19213 Posts
November 05 2020 04:04 GMT
#2772
Pretty standard for Philly to be blue. My vote is listed as recorded so there's definitely some of the mail in votes recorded already
Liquipediaasante sana squash banana
Shingi11
Profile Joined May 2016
290 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-05 04:05:30
November 05 2020 04:04 GMT
#2773
I wonder how the special is going to go without trump at the top of the ticket. If biden can win then i could defiantly see warnock taking it without trump to drag repbus to the polls.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
November 05 2020 04:06 GMT
#2774
On November 05 2020 13:04 Shingi11 wrote:
I wonder how the special is going to go without trump at the top of the ticket. If biden can win then i could defiantly see warnock taking it without trump to drag repbus to the polls.


It depends if it's a double special (increasingly likely) or single. If it's a double, I think there's a good chance of the typical "oh let's split R/D" states seem to love. If it's single, I think it will be tough for D's to get a single seat.
Cricketer12
Profile Blog Joined May 2012
United States13996 Posts
November 05 2020 04:08 GMT
#2775
Repubs are def over performing across the board...really not pleased with these senate results
Engage, Zero target Engage, Engage, Kagari target Engage, Engage.
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10402 Posts
November 05 2020 04:08 GMT
#2776
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324201477494198273?s=20

Not the best news, not sure where the votes were counted, but only about 4.5k vs 2.8k gain for Biden over Trump, That's 62% gain, below his necessary 66% line.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
November 05 2020 04:13 GMT
#2777
On November 05 2020 13:08 FlaShFTW wrote:
https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324201477494198273?s=20

Not the best news, not sure where the votes were counted, but only about 4.5k vs 2.8k gain for Biden over Trump, That's 62% gain, below his necessary 66% line.


There are sections of PA that are not going to go above 66%. But thats only 7k votes vs the 70k that Biden will get above 75% in
Something witty
Shingi11
Profile Joined May 2016
290 Posts
November 05 2020 04:14 GMT
#2778
On November 05 2020 13:06 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2020 13:04 Shingi11 wrote:
I wonder how the special is going to go without trump at the top of the ticket. If biden can win then i could defiantly see warnock taking it without trump to drag repbus to the polls.


It depends if it's a double special (increasingly likely) or single. If it's a double, I think there's a good chance of the typical "oh let's split R/D" states seem to love. If it's single, I think it will be tough for D's to get a single seat.


lol i thought predue had it. Dems path to 50 stays alive with some life support. Would be some justice if both georgia went blue on the presidential level and gave dems the majority. Not going to happen but a man can dream.
Toadesstern
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Germany16350 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-05 04:16:47
November 05 2020 04:16 GMT
#2779
another update on NYT for PA, Trump up by 164k.

Seems to be a different update than the DecisionDeskHQ one above? 5k more votes for Biden in the NYT one, 4k more for Trump
<Elem> >toad in charge of judging lewdness <Elem> how bad can it be <Elem> also wew, that is actually p lewd.
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10402 Posts
November 05 2020 04:17 GMT
#2780
On November 05 2020 13:16 Toadesstern wrote:
another update on NYT for PA, Trump up by 164k.

Seems to be a different update than the DecisionDeskHQ one above? 5k more votes for Biden in the NYT one, 4k more for Trump

Yeah its weird, they seem to be having some overlap, but also some difference in what they've reported. Not liking this non-synced reporting.

still using nyt to try to figure out where the vote is coming from. I think the last batch was from allagheny
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
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