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TLADT24920 Posts
On November 05 2020 11:29 FlaShFTW wrote:Show nested quote +On November 05 2020 11:28 BigFan wrote:On November 05 2020 11:27 FlaShFTW wrote:On November 05 2020 11:26 BigFan wrote: Imagine if Trump wins Georgia, Arizona, NC and somehow wins Pennsylvania. That'd be a win overall, right? I haven't crunched the numbers, but figured someone can say a quick yes/no on this. This is correct, Trump must currently run the gauntlet. I mean, it's not that out there tbh. I would say his toughest fight is Pennsylvania. Georgia and Arizona seem like states he can win and NC is close, but possible. Pennsylvania is the toughest one out of the lot imo. Yeah, PA is definitely the most Biden right now. Philly still hasn't updated yet and Biden already closed the gap to 190k. You're gonna see some serious shit when Philly drops their dump Indeed. Now you just gotta wait another week or so to get those final results lol.
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It would kill me inside if it turns out Trump wins all the swing states. Technically all Biden needs right now is Pennsylvania to eke out a 273 EC win, but I'd be worried about faithless electors or any lawsuits that could sabotage his win. He really needs Nevada and/or Arizona for a cushion I think.
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On November 05 2020 10:58 Shingi11 wrote: So the likely picks for 2024 if Biden only want to do 1 term in no particular order.
Harris
AOC(will she be old enough)
Beto
Yang
Warren
Pete
I think beto has the best shot, has enough creed with both progressives and moderates to get the vote
No way for AOC currently I think, she's way too hated by the right to contest for a presidential election. And she might not even get out of primaries seeing how Bernie did.
Maybe in 10-20 years when the political landscape changes?
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United States10402 Posts
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On November 05 2020 11:34 Dante08 wrote:Show nested quote +On November 05 2020 10:58 Shingi11 wrote: So the likely picks for 2024 if Biden only want to do 1 term in no particular order.
Harris
AOC(will she be old enough)
Beto
Yang
Warren
Pete
I think beto has the best shot, has enough creed with both progressives and moderates to get the vote No way for AOC currently I think, she's way too hated by the right to contest for a presidential election. And she might not even get out of primaries seeing how Bernie did. Maybe in 10-20 years when the political landscape changes? Republicans didn't significantly peel towards Biden, so the Democratic party needs to pull head out of ass and stop pretending it's gonna happen, and that it's worth alienating genuine progressive voters.
'Course, I say this assuming the party has a real interest in bending progressive. Some parts do, some really don't.
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United States10402 Posts
Little update on Michigan in case we forgot: 98%+ reporting, Biden final tally shows him up 2.2% and wins by 120k votes.
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United States10402 Posts
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United States10402 Posts
Alright well I should definitely actually do some homework tonight. I'll be back at 9pm PST/12am EST to check in on those Arizona votes. Otherwise, I don't expect too much noise from Georgia or PA. Georgia wrapped up voting for tonight so they'll come back in 9am EST to resume. PA I suspect has done the same for the night, no updates in the past hour.
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Fox news is apparently standing by calling AZ for Biden, btw. Trump team is super pissed about it.
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On November 05 2020 11:44 Nevuk wrote: Fox news is apparently standing by calling AZ for Biden, btw. Trump team is super pissed about it.
Honestly I think they should retract it. It's probably 70-30 Biden but I don't think places should call at that point (right now if I had to pick one I'd pick PA over AZ).
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On November 05 2020 11:46 TheTenthDoc wrote:Show nested quote +On November 05 2020 11:44 Nevuk wrote: Fox news is apparently standing by calling AZ for Biden, btw. Trump team is super pissed about it. Honestly I think they should retract it. It's probably 70-30 Biden but I don't think places should call at that point.
I would actually give it to Trump at this point. The votes that are out are the votes that he needs
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United States10402 Posts
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United States10402 Posts
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Man. I kind of want somewhere to have the balls to call PA for Trump even though it's currently 187K votes in his favor. I'm pretty sure it's a safer call than AZ, and his reaction would be something for the ages.
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United States10402 Posts
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Trump supporters 4 years ago
"God Hillary wants recounts, what a loser. Can't accept the will of the people
Trump supporters now
Guys we need to recount everything. Dems obviously printed fake ballot.
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Wasn't there a large amount of mail-in ballots that weren't counted and disrupt any analysis of these numbers a little bit?
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Personally, I welcome recounts. The more data we can get about how much impact they can actually have on election results, the better. Someday we might even tweak the recount margins to be more sane instead of allowing them in cases where obviously nothing will change...
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United States10402 Posts
On November 05 2020 12:21 Nebuchad wrote:Wasn't there a large amount of mail-in ballots that weren't counted and disrupt any analysis of these numbers a little bit? Not entirely sure, I haven't really cared or done my research on florida after it went to Trump well early into yesterday night.
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Trumps Faith Advisor is now pulling all the stops and asking for extra angelic reinforcements from Africa and South America (?)
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