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2020 US Election - Page 137

Forum Index > General Forum
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BigFan
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
TLADT24920 Posts
November 05 2020 02:31 GMT
#2721
On November 05 2020 11:29 FlaShFTW wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2020 11:28 BigFan wrote:
On November 05 2020 11:27 FlaShFTW wrote:
On November 05 2020 11:26 BigFan wrote:
Imagine if Trump wins Georgia, Arizona, NC and somehow wins Pennsylvania. That'd be a win overall, right? I haven't crunched the numbers, but figured someone can say a quick yes/no on this.

This is correct, Trump must currently run the gauntlet.

I mean, it's not that out there tbh. I would say his toughest fight is Pennsylvania. Georgia and Arizona seem like states he can win and NC is close, but possible. Pennsylvania is the toughest one out of the lot imo.

Yeah, PA is definitely the most Biden right now. Philly still hasn't updated yet and Biden already closed the gap to 190k. You're gonna see some serious shit when Philly drops their dump

Indeed. Now you just gotta wait another week or so to get those final results lol.
Former BW EiC"Watch Bakemonogatari or I will kill you." -Toad, April 18th, 2017
PhoenixVoid
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
Canada32754 Posts
November 05 2020 02:34 GMT
#2722
It would kill me inside if it turns out Trump wins all the swing states. Technically all Biden needs right now is Pennsylvania to eke out a 273 EC win, but I'd be worried about faithless electors or any lawsuits that could sabotage his win. He really needs Nevada and/or Arizona for a cushion I think.
I'm afraid of demented knife-wielding escaped lunatic libertarian zombie mutants
Dante08
Profile Blog Joined February 2008
Singapore4179 Posts
November 05 2020 02:34 GMT
#2723
On November 05 2020 10:58 Shingi11 wrote:
So the likely picks for 2024 if Biden only want to do 1 term in no particular order.

Harris

AOC(will she be old enough)

Beto

Yang

Warren

Pete

I think beto has the best shot, has enough creed with both progressives and moderates to get the vote


No way for AOC currently I think, she's way too hated by the right to contest for a presidential election. And she might not even get out of primaries seeing how Bernie did.

Maybe in 10-20 years when the political landscape changes?
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10534 Posts
November 05 2020 02:35 GMT
#2724
https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1324177989853216768?s=20

So if this line of 59/41 holds for Trump, he will take Arizona. Just gotta hope the next patch at 9pm PST is gonna be better news.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
NewSunshine
Profile Joined July 2011
United States5938 Posts
November 05 2020 02:36 GMT
#2725
On November 05 2020 11:34 Dante08 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2020 10:58 Shingi11 wrote:
So the likely picks for 2024 if Biden only want to do 1 term in no particular order.

Harris

AOC(will she be old enough)

Beto

Yang

Warren

Pete

I think beto has the best shot, has enough creed with both progressives and moderates to get the vote


No way for AOC currently I think, she's way too hated by the right to contest for a presidential election. And she might not even get out of primaries seeing how Bernie did.

Maybe in 10-20 years when the political landscape changes?

Republicans didn't significantly peel towards Biden, so the Democratic party needs to pull head out of ass and stop pretending it's gonna happen, and that it's worth alienating genuine progressive voters.

'Course, I say this assuming the party has a real interest in bending progressive. Some parts do, some really don't.
"If you find yourself feeling lost, take pride in the accuracy of your feelings." - Night Vale
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10534 Posts
November 05 2020 02:39 GMT
#2726
Little update on Michigan in case we forgot: 98%+ reporting, Biden final tally shows him up 2.2% and wins by 120k votes.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10534 Posts
November 05 2020 02:40 GMT
#2727
PA math crunch: https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1324169165763043328?s=20

Given how Biden has been crushing those votes and Philly is gonna come out with some dark blue vote dump, I think PA could honestly be called right about now.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10534 Posts
November 05 2020 02:43 GMT
#2728
Alright well I should definitely actually do some homework tonight. I'll be back at 9pm PST/12am EST to check in on those Arizona votes. Otherwise, I don't expect too much noise from Georgia or PA. Georgia wrapped up voting for tonight so they'll come back in 9am EST to resume. PA I suspect has done the same for the night, no updates in the past hour.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Nevuk
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
United States16280 Posts
November 05 2020 02:44 GMT
#2729
Fox news is apparently standing by calling AZ for Biden, btw. Trump team is super pissed about it.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-05 02:47:14
November 05 2020 02:46 GMT
#2730
On November 05 2020 11:44 Nevuk wrote:
Fox news is apparently standing by calling AZ for Biden, btw. Trump team is super pissed about it.


Honestly I think they should retract it. It's probably 70-30 Biden but I don't think places should call at that point (right now if I had to pick one I'd pick PA over AZ).
IyMoon
Profile Joined April 2016
United States1249 Posts
November 05 2020 02:47 GMT
#2731
On November 05 2020 11:46 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2020 11:44 Nevuk wrote:
Fox news is apparently standing by calling AZ for Biden, btw. Trump team is super pissed about it.


Honestly I think they should retract it. It's probably 70-30 Biden but I don't think places should call at that point.


I would actually give it to Trump at this point. The votes that are out are the votes that he needs
Something witty
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10534 Posts
November 05 2020 02:55 GMT
#2732
Just kidding, Georgia still has some votes coming in: https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1324182602882994177?s=20

Latest update: Biden +1.3k vs Trump +500 from the last dump. This is about 5:2 in favor of Biden, which is above the 2:1 line he needs to catch up.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10534 Posts
November 05 2020 03:11 GMT
#2733
https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1324185909974085632?s=20

more Georgia updates.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-05 03:15:52
November 05 2020 03:15 GMT
#2734
Man. I kind of want somewhere to have the balls to call PA for Trump even though it's currently 187K votes in his favor. I'm pretty sure it's a safer call than AZ, and his reaction would be something for the ages.
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10534 Posts
November 05 2020 03:17 GMT
#2735
https://twitter.com/LaurenLeatherby/status/1324144924728664069?s=20

County level data from Florida for Miami-Dade. Really interesting stuff. Cubans really wanted to vote for Trump.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
Shingi11
Profile Joined May 2016
290 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-05 03:21:10
November 05 2020 03:20 GMT
#2736
Trump supporters 4 years ago

"God Hillary wants recounts, what a loser. Can't accept the will of the people

Trump supporters now

Guys we need to recount everything. Dems obviously printed fake ballot.
Nebuchad
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Switzerland12491 Posts
November 05 2020 03:21 GMT
#2737
On November 05 2020 12:17 FlaShFTW wrote:
https://twitter.com/LaurenLeatherby/status/1324144924728664069?s=20

County level data from Florida for Miami-Dade. Really interesting stuff. Cubans really wanted to vote for Trump.


Wasn't there a large amount of mail-in ballots that weren't counted and disrupt any analysis of these numbers a little bit?
No will to live, no wish to die
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2020-11-05 03:22:39
November 05 2020 03:22 GMT
#2738
Personally, I welcome recounts. The more data we can get about how much impact they can actually have on election results, the better. Someday we might even tweak the recount margins to be more sane instead of allowing them in cases where obviously nothing will change...
FlaShFTW
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
United States10534 Posts
November 05 2020 03:23 GMT
#2739
On November 05 2020 12:21 Nebuchad wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 05 2020 12:17 FlaShFTW wrote:
https://twitter.com/LaurenLeatherby/status/1324144924728664069?s=20

County level data from Florida for Miami-Dade. Really interesting stuff. Cubans really wanted to vote for Trump.


Wasn't there a large amount of mail-in ballots that weren't counted and disrupt any analysis of these numbers a little bit?

Not entirely sure, I haven't really cared or done my research on florida after it went to Trump well early into yesterday night.
Writer#1 KT and FlaSh Fanboy || Woo Jung Ho Never Forget || Teamliquid Political Decision Desk
TL+ Member
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
November 05 2020 03:24 GMT
#2740
Trumps Faith Advisor is now pulling all the stops and asking for extra angelic reinforcements from Africa and South America (?)

Neosteel Enthusiast
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