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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 3460

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Now that we have a new thread, in order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a complete and thorough read before posting!

NOTE: When providing a source, please provide a very brief summary on what it's about and what purpose it adds to the discussion. The supporting statement should clearly explain why the subject is relevant and needs to be discussed. Please follow this rule especially for tweets.

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micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24799 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-28 14:08:57
January 28 2022 14:08 GMT
#69181
We definitely need to do both: Fix the societal/systematic biases at all levels, and also appoint people to senior positions that are demographically representative of the country. If you say "I agree with the former but I don't agree with the latter (via intentionally selecting demographically diverse candidates)" then you are, whether intentionally or unintentionally, advocating for all the senior people in government to be almost entirely "old white men" for the foreseeable future until we somehow solve all the societal/systematic biases/problems.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
January 28 2022 14:22 GMT
#69182
On January 28 2022 23:08 micronesia wrote:
via intentionally selecting demographically diverse candidates

Via a priori discrimination that mandates a certain diversity quota for a certain position. Nah, that's a false equivalency; you can definitely encourage equality of outcomes without that particular brand of diversity engineering.

As was mentioned before, why specifically a black woman? There are plenty of other underrepresented groups we could also put on the court, like a Muslim, or atheist, Asian, Native American, etc. Almost sounds like this isn't really about diversity, but about discrimination based on some other form of political gain - paying back a favor to some black Democrat or other who helped them squeeze out Bernie Sanders perhaps? Purely speculative, but if that really is the reason, would that really be what you'd call good for diversity rather than just plain old quid pro quo under the cover of diversity?
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24799 Posts
January 28 2022 14:26 GMT
#69183
On January 28 2022 23:22 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2022 23:08 micronesia wrote:
via intentionally selecting demographically diverse candidates

Via a priori discrimination that mandates a certain diversity quota for a certain position. Nah, that's a false equivalency; you can definitely encourage equality of outcomes without that particular brand of diversity engineering.

As was mentioned before, why specifically a black woman? There are plenty of other underrepresented groups we could also put on the court, like a Muslim, or atheist, Asian, Native American, etc. Almost sounds like this isn't really about diversity, but about discrimination based on some other form of political gain - paying back a favor to some black Democrat or other who helped them squeeze out Bernie Sanders perhaps? Purely speculative, but if that really is the reason, would that really be what you'd call good for diversity rather than just plain old quid pro quo under the cover of diversity?

To the bolded text, how? I think the issue is not a false equivalency but rather you see this as a false dichotomy. How do we encourage the equality of outcomes in the short term (while working long-term on the systemic biases as well) while meeting your standards?
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 28 2022 14:36 GMT
#69184
--- Nuked ---
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18441 Posts
January 28 2022 14:39 GMT
#69185
On January 28 2022 22:34 JimmiC wrote:
Why is it strange to have a group of people who jishe your society to try to better match that group? Like if it was already all black women Id get it, but there is none.

Im sure there is marginal differnces between all the top candidates from a legal perspective as well so adding someone with the experienecs of a black woman growing up in America likely adds value.


Most of the talk around diversity in large companies now it is not about meeting quotas it is getting a wide range of people with different back grounds amd experieneces because they can add differnt helpful perspectives. For example a Asian Canadian will likely know how to sell something better to Asian Canadians then a white one.

Someones experiences and background can play an important part in how they interprut law. It would be an important voice to hear when these decisions are being made and I can see why many people would want that voice.

I can also see why people scared of change and happy with the status quo or would even want to move backwards would not. Most would rather remain ignorant of those experiences because it is easier than hearing them and they fear that their expeirences will get worse.

Unsurprisingly, old white males like things exactly the way things are. Because things are very good for old white (cis) males. Often at the expense of absolutely everybody else.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24799 Posts
January 28 2022 14:40 GMT
#69186
On January 28 2022 23:36 JimmiC wrote:
We should be saying the quiet part out loud and we should be explaining why it is a benefit.

I don't know about that. I think the optics of this topic are pretty tricky. If half the country can't handle the truth when presented in a brutally honest way, it needs to be presented in a softer way while still accomplishing the same objective. Longer term, we need to educate that half of the population in the ways you likely envision, but in the short term it may be counterproductive to be fully transparent about the thinking behind looking so closely at race and other demographics when selecting people for high offices.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18441 Posts
January 28 2022 14:43 GMT
#69187
On January 28 2022 23:36 JimmiC wrote:
At some point people need to shift their thinking like most top companies have where they see diversity as an asset not a liability. And that goes beyond race and gender but also to things like where you were born (a white American in rural Florida and a White American who grew up in Seattle have had very different experiences and likely outlooks), socio economic, and so on.

The diversity itself is an asset, it can not be the only thing you look at but it can most definitely be part of the criteria. If Biden picks a qualified person who is also a Black women then great, she is likely the most qualified and her being a Black woman can and should be part of that.

We should be saying the quiet part out loud and we should be explaining why it is a benefit. This whole Biden should have picked Harris but not said why is stupid because it leads to people thinking it is unfair instead of a valuable part of the criteria.

If you are picking a doctor for palliative care you probably want compassion to be a component over maybe the top grades. If they are a virologist than compassion may not matter as much as grades. Making and interrupting the rules is an area where having representation from all parts of the group those rules pertain too is important. It is a tenant of well function democracy.

This has been known for a rather long time now, and it is quite mindboggling that it still needs explaining. Here is a Scientific American article (they do them every few years, because people just don't seem to get the message) about how much value diversity adds: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/diversity-in-science-why-it-is-essential-for-excellence/
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-28 15:03:37
January 28 2022 14:59 GMT
#69188
On January 28 2022 23:26 micronesia wrote:
To the bolded text, how? I think the issue is not a false equivalency but rather you see this as a false dichotomy.

Semantic quibble.

On January 28 2022 23:26 micronesia wrote:How do we encourage the equality of outcomes in the short term (while working long-term on the systemic biases as well) while meeting your standards?

One option - a general "underrepresented minority" factor for all positions with no particular preference towards any one minority group, but that overall weighs it in favor of any group that is underrepresented in the field. So, say, if you're being hired by your grade on X number of weighted criteria on a grade of 1-10 (a good policy in general for hiring, it turns out), maybe URM (field-specific, probably) is one of those criteria. Unambiguously has to focus on the low levels first and foremost, because if you're not building a bench of qualified candidates then all you have is an anomalous diversity hire. But not excluding from senior positions either. It should still be the case that the obviously more qualified non-URM candidate still wins out, but that the preference is tuned enough that overall, URMs get a boost to get a benefit over historic trends.

Playing it like "I want SCJ to be a black woman" just opens the door to many forms of bad behavior under the guise of diversity. As mentioned before, it would be great cover for quid pro quo for a black political ally or their kin. Maybe if a SCJ wants Asian women as their clerks, it's for the sex appeal. Feel free to think up perverse incentive #3 that you could disguise as "next choice will be this specific URM group."

It seems that a lot of people believe that opposing specific poorly conceived forms of reverse discrimination means opposing all attempts to add diversity. Not true, but it's an easy straw man and I guess those are popular.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9246 Posts
January 28 2022 15:12 GMT
#69189
On January 28 2022 23:22 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2022 23:08 micronesia wrote:
via intentionally selecting demographically diverse candidates

There are plenty of other underrepresented groups we could also put on the court, like a Muslim, or atheist, Asian, Native American, etc. Almost sounds like this isn't really about diversity, but about discrimination based on some other form of political gain


This is the part where the others lose me. Ethically, excluding people from the hiring process because of their ethnicity/gender/sexuality/religion is virtually the same as firing someone because of their ethnicity/gender/sexuality/religion as far as I'm concerned.

I'm okay with Biden having a preference for what underrepresented boxes a candidate should ideally tick, but promising to not even look at anyone that doesn't tick 2 specific boxes before even having a name to advance is utterly wrong.
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24799 Posts
January 28 2022 15:15 GMT
#69190
On January 28 2022 23:59 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2022 23:26 micronesia wrote:
To the bolded text, how? I think the issue is not a false equivalency but rather you see this as a false dichotomy.

Semantic quibble.
I don't think this is a semantic quibble. They mean different things. If I don't know whether you were claiming a false equivalency or a false dichotomy, it's hard for me to understand the basis of your position.


Show nested quote +
On January 28 2022 23:26 micronesia wrote:How do we encourage the equality of outcomes in the short term (while working long-term on the systemic biases as well) while meeting your standards?

One option - a general "underrepresented minority" factor for all positions with no particular preference towards any one minority group, but that overall weighs it in favor of any group that is underrepresented in the field. So, say, if you're being hired by your grade on X number of weighted criteria on a grade of 1-10 (a good policy in general for hiring, it turns out), maybe URM (field-specific, probably) is one of those criteria. Unambiguously has to focus on the low levels first and foremost, because if you're not building a bench of qualified candidates then all you have is an anomalous diversity hire. But not excluding from senior positions either. It should still be the case that the obviously more qualified non-URM candidate still wins out, but that the preference is tuned enough that overall, URMs get a boost to get a benefit over historic trends.
Does this method actually work to overcome the problems we've been discussing? How do you know?

I can't imagine a top position, which is highly politicized, like a SCOTUS pick, can be selected this way though.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 28 2022 15:38 GMT
#69191
--- Nuked ---
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 28 2022 15:39 GMT
#69192
--- Nuked ---
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9246 Posts
January 28 2022 16:02 GMT
#69193
On January 29 2022 00:39 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2022 00:12 Dan HH wrote:
On January 28 2022 23:22 LegalLord wrote:
On January 28 2022 23:08 micronesia wrote:
via intentionally selecting demographically diverse candidates

There are plenty of other underrepresented groups we could also put on the court, like a Muslim, or atheist, Asian, Native American, etc. Almost sounds like this isn't really about diversity, but about discrimination based on some other form of political gain


This is the part where the others lose me. Ethically, excluding people from the hiring process because of their ethnicity/gender/sexuality/religion is virtually the same as firing someone because of their ethnicity/gender/sexuality/religion as far as I'm concerned.

I'm okay with Biden having a preference for what underrepresented boxes a candidate should ideally tick, but promising to not even look at anyone that doesn't tick 2 specific boxes before even having a name to advance is utterly wrong.

If he said he was only going to pick someone with a 4.0 grade point average in College would that be wrong to exclude all the others that did not?

I'm sorry but this is an asinine question, the answer is obviously no based on my first paragraph. Surely you see the difference between telling someone you're firing them because they have the lowest sales vs telling someone you're firing them because they are muslim.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
January 28 2022 16:13 GMT
#69194
--- Nuked ---
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14208 Posts
January 28 2022 16:14 GMT
#69195
I think a mistake that I'm seeing here and other places is mistaking exactly what a supreme court pick should be. You're not selecting the best judge end of sentence but the best judge for the court itself and the country at large. Having yet another uncontroversial white person would be the most purely logical choice for the first but the second requires I believe to take into consideration the gender and race of the person being different as a plus and not a minus. Having a diverse set of opinions and backgrounds on the high court should be seen as the ideal. It shouldn't be looked at that Biden is excluding all white people and all men but that he considers that there needs to be a black female voice on the court to enrich it the most.

In sports we see that the best teams promote balance and a diverse set of qualities to promote its excellence. We see this is business and I think we need to see this in the court as well.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
micronesia
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States24799 Posts
January 28 2022 16:19 GMT
#69196
That's true and there's also a difference between posting a job ad on monster.com which says "Hiring paralegals, don't bother applying unless you are a black woman" and trying to decide who to select for the next SCOTUS vacancy. Judges don't actually apply for that role.
ModeratorThere are animal crackers for people and there are people crackers for animals.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
January 28 2022 16:20 GMT
#69197
On January 29 2022 00:15 micronesia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 28 2022 23:59 LegalLord wrote:
On January 28 2022 23:26 micronesia wrote:
To the bolded text, how? I think the issue is not a false equivalency but rather you see this as a false dichotomy.

Semantic quibble.
I don't think this is a semantic quibble. They mean different things. If I don't know whether you were claiming a false equivalency or a false dichotomy, it's hard for me to understand the basis of your position.

It's a false equivalency in that you are equivocating "I don't support this specific policy" with "I don't support hiring URMs."

OR

It's a false dichotomy in that you are saying "either you are in support of this policy, or you are against hiring URMs."

Either way, in context the two mean virtually the same thing, and the difference between the two amounts to a semantic quibble. Bottom line, you know what I meant, because in context it should be clear.

On January 29 2022 00:15 micronesia wrote:
Show nested quote +

On January 28 2022 23:26 micronesia wrote:How do we encourage the equality of outcomes in the short term (while working long-term on the systemic biases as well) while meeting your standards?

One option - a general "underrepresented minority" factor for all positions with no particular preference towards any one minority group, but that overall weighs it in favor of any group that is underrepresented in the field. So, say, if you're being hired by your grade on X number of weighted criteria on a grade of 1-10 (a good policy in general for hiring, it turns out), maybe URM (field-specific, probably) is one of those criteria. Unambiguously has to focus on the low levels first and foremost, because if you're not building a bench of qualified candidates then all you have is an anomalous diversity hire. But not excluding from senior positions either. It should still be the case that the obviously more qualified non-URM candidate still wins out, but that the preference is tuned enough that overall, URMs get a boost to get a benefit over historic trends.
Does this method actually work to overcome the problems we've been discussing? How do you know?

I can't imagine a top position, which is highly politicized, like a SCOTUS pick, can be selected this way though.

In general it's a good way to hire people; there are good studies done to that effect (a bit busy so I won't dig for them at the moment). I haven't seen it studied for URM in particular, but given that said method is generally effective at reducing hiring bias I see it as a decided improvement over arbitrary reverse discrimination that at the same time adds a systematic URM preference to achieve the intended goal in the long run.

There's certainly politics involved in selecting a highly public appointee, but I'd rather focus on using a semi-reliable system with some tweaks for the complexity (e.g. a criteria for "likelihood of passing confirmation") of the position in question. Though if the criteria are "political / financial kickback potential for hiring" or something of the sort, those would rightfully be looked down upon. In an arbitrary selection process, such criteria would be present but need not be explicitly called out.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9246 Posts
January 28 2022 17:28 GMT
#69198
On January 29 2022 01:13 JimmiC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2022 01:02 Dan HH wrote:
On January 29 2022 00:39 JimmiC wrote:
On January 29 2022 00:12 Dan HH wrote:
On January 28 2022 23:22 LegalLord wrote:
On January 28 2022 23:08 micronesia wrote:
via intentionally selecting demographically diverse candidates

There are plenty of other underrepresented groups we could also put on the court, like a Muslim, or atheist, Asian, Native American, etc. Almost sounds like this isn't really about diversity, but about discrimination based on some other form of political gain


This is the part where the others lose me. Ethically, excluding people from the hiring process because of their ethnicity/gender/sexuality/religion is virtually the same as firing someone because of their ethnicity/gender/sexuality/religion as far as I'm concerned.

I'm okay with Biden having a preference for what underrepresented boxes a candidate should ideally tick, but promising to not even look at anyone that doesn't tick 2 specific boxes before even having a name to advance is utterly wrong.

If he said he was only going to pick someone with a 4.0 grade point average in College would that be wrong to exclude all the others that did not?

I'm sorry but this is an asinine question, the answer is obviously no based on my first paragraph. Surely you see the difference between telling someone you're firing them because they have the lowest sales vs telling someone you're firing them because they are muslim.


I do, but firing and hiring are also difference. Once is based on actual performance and one is based on potential performance.

Being a 4.0 student vs a 3.7 student does not make one better at most jobs, I'm not even sure if there is any data to say that there is any correlation at all and yet we are OK with it as criteria.

There is tons of data that say that a more diverse group preforms better, so why would you not make that a criteria when talking about hiring for a group. The thing with SCJ is it is a group and putting the 7 best individuals together by any criteria will not necessarily give the best outcomes. It is harder to see when they are hiring just one person because it feels "unfair" but if you want the highest preforming group you want to see what your group has, what it is missing and then add the missing part.

We're ok with it as a criteria because you have at least some degree of control over it. And performance numbers can be misleading as well. That's not the issue and neither is the consequentialist approach to diversity/representation.

There are two distinct actions here:

- actually appointing a black woman
- announcing that you are excluding all but black women from consideration

All the outcome-based arguments here in favor of Biden's approach only apply to the former, and all the criticisms only apply to the latter.

Our positions aren't incompatible. If he had just named an actual person that is a black woman directly we wouldn't be having this conversation and nothing would be lost. Bragging beforehand about discriminating against all other underrepresented groups because they happen to be less politically useful at this time is not a step towards the society we want.

I'm sure that if before naming anyone, Trump would have preceded that by announcing that the next SCJ will be a white christian you would have seen this distinction clearly.
JimmiC
Profile Blog Joined May 2011
Canada22817 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-01-28 17:46:32
January 28 2022 17:41 GMT
#69199
--- Nuked ---
DarkPlasmaBall
Profile Blog Joined March 2010
United States46428 Posts
January 28 2022 17:52 GMT
#69200
On January 29 2022 02:28 Dan HH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 29 2022 01:13 JimmiC wrote:
On January 29 2022 01:02 Dan HH wrote:
On January 29 2022 00:39 JimmiC wrote:
On January 29 2022 00:12 Dan HH wrote:
On January 28 2022 23:22 LegalLord wrote:
On January 28 2022 23:08 micronesia wrote:
via intentionally selecting demographically diverse candidates

There are plenty of other underrepresented groups we could also put on the court, like a Muslim, or atheist, Asian, Native American, etc. Almost sounds like this isn't really about diversity, but about discrimination based on some other form of political gain


This is the part where the others lose me. Ethically, excluding people from the hiring process because of their ethnicity/gender/sexuality/religion is virtually the same as firing someone because of their ethnicity/gender/sexuality/religion as far as I'm concerned.

I'm okay with Biden having a preference for what underrepresented boxes a candidate should ideally tick, but promising to not even look at anyone that doesn't tick 2 specific boxes before even having a name to advance is utterly wrong.

If he said he was only going to pick someone with a 4.0 grade point average in College would that be wrong to exclude all the others that did not?

I'm sorry but this is an asinine question, the answer is obviously no based on my first paragraph. Surely you see the difference between telling someone you're firing them because they have the lowest sales vs telling someone you're firing them because they are muslim.


I do, but firing and hiring are also difference. Once is based on actual performance and one is based on potential performance.

Being a 4.0 student vs a 3.7 student does not make one better at most jobs, I'm not even sure if there is any data to say that there is any correlation at all and yet we are OK with it as criteria.

There is tons of data that say that a more diverse group preforms better, so why would you not make that a criteria when talking about hiring for a group. The thing with SCJ is it is a group and putting the 7 best individuals together by any criteria will not necessarily give the best outcomes. It is harder to see when they are hiring just one person because it feels "unfair" but if you want the highest preforming group you want to see what your group has, what it is missing and then add the missing part.

We're ok with it as a criteria because you have at least some degree of control over it. And performance numbers can be misleading as well. That's not the issue and neither is the consequentialist approach to diversity/representation.

There are two distinct actions here:

- actually appointing a black woman
- announcing that you are excluding all but black women from consideration

All the outcome-based arguments here in favor of Biden's approach only apply to the former, and all the criticisms only apply to the latter.

Our positions aren't incompatible. If he had just named an actual person that is a black woman directly we wouldn't be having this conversation and nothing would be lost. Bragging beforehand about discriminating against all other underrepresented groups because they happen to be less politically useful at this time is not a step towards the society we want.

I'm sure that if before naming anyone, Trump would have preceded that by announcing that the next SCJ will be a white christian you would have seen this distinction clearly.


There is literally a 100% chance that at least one person would have eventually brought up that [future black woman SCJ] was not qualified and, rather, surely must have been a diversity hire, even if Biden hadn't made a proactive public statement about it.

That being said, I agree with you that some positions aren't incompatible.
"There is nothing more satisfying than looking at a crowd of people and helping them get what I love." ~Day[9] Daily #100
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