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President Obama Re-Elected - Page 239

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Hey guys! We'll be closing this thread shortly, but we will make an American politics megathread where we can continue the discussions in here.

The new thread can be found here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=383301
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 02 2012 21:19 GMT
#4761
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Defacer
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada5052 Posts
August 02 2012 21:28 GMT
#4762
So,

I'm perusing this study by the Tax Policy Center, and it's a reasonably objective and matter-of-fact analysis. It does confirm that it based it projections on the 'progressive' elimination of tax preferences, meaning that it assumes that the loopholes that benefit the wealthiest would be closed first until the plan became revenue neutral.

The table on page 16 sums up the impacts of the Romney tax cuts, with and without it being revenue neutral, pretty nicely.

PDF of Tax Policy center study.

For example, for people making > million, they would see a income increase of 8.3% with existing tax preferences, and an increase of 4.1 % if they were eliminated.

Defacer
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Canada5052 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-02 21:32:43
August 02 2012 21:32 GMT
#4763
On August 03 2012 06:04 DoubleReed wrote:


To be fair, tax policies are probably the worst thing to ask about if you want honesty from politicians.

By the way, I totally didn't know about the hilarious flip-flopping on the israel-palestine thing. Truly amazing.


Oh that video is too funny.
aksfjh
Profile Joined November 2010
United States4853 Posts
August 02 2012 21:40 GMT
#4764
On August 03 2012 04:41 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 03:48 DoubleReed wrote:
On August 03 2012 03:42 JonnyBNoHo wrote:
On August 03 2012 03:11 kwizach wrote:
On August 03 2012 02:56 coverpunch wrote:
On August 03 2012 02:02 Vega62a wrote:
On August 03 2012 01:33 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
A new study describing Mitt Romney’s tax cut proposals as an average tax increase for 95% of Americans is “a joke,” according to Romney adviser Eric Ferhnstrom. But policy aides offered no indication they plan to offer more details on Romney’s plan in order to clarify how it would be paid for and what they assume its effects would be.

The Romney camp has decried the report by the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center as “biased,” suggesting that their own expectations are that an explosion of economic growth thanks to their policies will make up any revenue gaps in the plan that indicate it will be a drag on middle class Americans.

But asked on a conference call whether the Romney campaign would offer up any more details on how they believe their plan would work instead, policy adviser Jonathan Burks demurred, saying it would be up to Congress to help fill in the blanks.

“The governor’s plan essentially lays out the parameters that he wants to achieve: lowering the tax rate by 20 percent, achieving revenue neutrality, and maintaining progressivity and within that he would write a tax plan that achieves those goals,” he said. “So, it’s not a question of ‘today we have a 2000 page tax plan that could be scored.’”


Source


The saddest thing about this is the part where the Romney camp derides the report from a nonpartisan institute as biased.

The Republican hook is all about "common sense," and "what they'd do on main street," and yet I'm an engineer in a small town, and I know for a fact that if I derided a finding on my peer review as "biased" I'd be laughed at and then told to fix it.

Why is it that we now think it's okay to paint facts which do not support our worldview as non-facts? And why does this practice so strongly seem to be perpetuated by the right? I would like to think it's a human flaw, rather than a flaw of one's political affiliation, but am struggling to find evidence to support it.

The second saddest part is that they expect people to believe that a tax policy could ever cause "an explosion" of economic growth. They're trying to sell us a magic bullet because they know we'll want to buy it, because we've demonstrated that we're unwilling to fix a problem the right way. That's actually physically revolting.

Well, you're failing to note that the author of the report did serve in the Obama administration on the Council of Economic Advisors. So the institution is nonpartisan in the sense that it doesn't take money from either side, but that's different from saying its members are unbiased.

It's also false to claim this is something that only happens on the right. Obama had his own unforced error and mass backpedaling with the whole "you didn't build that" thing.

How the hell is this even remotely connected to the response of the Romney campaign to the study? That was Obama getting taken out of context, as it has already been thoroughly explained here. It has nothing to do with the issue at hand, namely the complete discarding of the study by the Romney campaign without any sort of valid explanation other than "they're biased" and "the economy will boom under our plan".


The study is valid in some respects - that 'broadening the base' won't be enough to pay for the rate cuts. But it is clearly biased since they decided to assume that revenue neutrality would be achieved by taxing the poor and middle class. That assumption seems pretty deliberately designed to make headlines.


Isn't broadening the base just a euphemism for taxing the poor and middle class?

Edit: oh and happy birthday!


By broadening the base they mean closing loopholes, tax credits and exemptions which can apply to both the poor and the rich.

The study says that it won't be enough - hence the need for taxing the poor and middle classes more, since the study doesn't go into spending cuts and assumes that tax cuts for the rich are an absolute priority. The study also makes a lot of assumptions as to how far you go in broadening the tax base.

FWIW the study isn't bad - it just goes a bit far. It would have sufficed to say that broadening the base wouldn't be enough (realistically) and then toss up the question of how revenue neutrality will be achieved.

The assumptions it makes is that there will be no reform to investment income (capital gains). Other than that, they''re going by what we know: closing tax loopholes to regain as much revenue as possible. Since most loopholes are aimed at the middle class, but also benefit the wealthiest, eliminating those hit them hardest. The exception comes from capital gains, but again, those appear to be out of the discussion.
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-02 21:44:06
August 02 2012 21:42 GMT
#4765
On August 03 2012 04:56 Mohdoo wrote:
I'm curious how members of TL will be impacted by the tax plans suggested by Romney and Obama.

http://www.barackobama.com/tax-calculator

Takes 5 seconds and tells you how much you will be impacted by tax changes.

For me:

Tax Savings Under Obama
2013
$1,000

2009-2012
$1,200

Tax Increase Under Romney
2013
$183

This tax calculator is funny.

This is at single, 0 dependents, although marriage status doesn't matter.

Tax savings at $497,499:
Obama $8,225
Romney $4,016

Tax savings at $497,500:
Obama $8,295
Romney $36,319

I'm not sure why but there's a bright line at that income. The website doesn't say why.
nucLeaRTV
Profile Joined May 2011
Romania822 Posts
August 02 2012 22:03 GMT
#4766
I'm not a US citizen, but I want to see how people think about Gary Johnson. I've heard some people speaking about him wishing to be the 3rd party to this election. He has some interesting ideas and I don't understand why nobody talks about him.
"Having your own haters means you are famous"
DocTheMedic
Profile Joined January 2011
United States79 Posts
August 02 2012 22:14 GMT
#4767
On August 03 2012 06:32 Defacer wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 06:04 DoubleReed wrote:


To be fair, tax policies are probably the worst thing to ask about if you want honesty from politicians.

By the way, I totally didn't know about the hilarious flip-flopping on the israel-palestine thing. Truly amazing.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mix3yZ8hfhM


Oh that video is too funny.


Well, in fairness, he wasn't apologizing during the second flipflop; he said it never happened, and people took it out of context. Which of course is stupid because that's exactly what he said (and then later wrote). Of course, it's always classic Mitt Romney to demand an apology from the media and the Palestinians for misinterpreting his words that could not be interpreted any other way.
Saryph
Profile Joined April 2010
United States1955 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-02 22:15:09
August 02 2012 22:14 GMT
#4768
On August 03 2012 07:03 nucLeaRTV wrote:
I'm not a US citizen, but I want to see how people think about Gary Johnson. I've heard some people speaking about him wishing to be the 3rd party to this election. He has some interesting ideas and I don't understand why nobody talks about him.



Because he has no chance of winning and the two party system is so ingrained into our way of thinking of politics almost no one gives him a second thought. To the extent that most people have never heard of him.
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
August 02 2012 22:21 GMT
#4769
On August 03 2012 07:03 nucLeaRTV wrote:
I'm not a US citizen, but I want to see how people think about Gary Johnson. I've heard some people speaking about him wishing to be the 3rd party to this election. He has some interesting ideas and I don't understand why nobody talks about him.

He is the libertarian candidate. But he already tried and failed early to get the Republican nomination. He's just not ready for primetime and he has nothing special for US national politics. He's from an obscure state (New Mexico), he holds views that alienate too many people, and he's frankly the kind of guy that adds even more fuel to the sentiment that the Republican candidates are a joke. And that's before anyone has dug into the skeletons in his closet.

MethodSC
Profile Joined December 2010
United States928 Posts
August 02 2012 22:28 GMT
#4770
On August 03 2012 07:03 nucLeaRTV wrote:
I'm not a US citizen, but I want to see how people think about Gary Johnson. I've heard some people speaking about him wishing to be the 3rd party to this election. He has some interesting ideas and I don't understand why nobody talks about him.


I'll be voting for him gladly. He's the best candidate this country has by far. As you can already tell with just the couple other comments, people just don't know anything about him. And he's not a republican, libertarians are not republicans, they are liberals, classical liberals.
DoubleReed
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States4130 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-02 22:55:52
August 02 2012 22:50 GMT
#4771
On August 03 2012 07:28 MethodSC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 03 2012 07:03 nucLeaRTV wrote:
I'm not a US citizen, but I want to see how people think about Gary Johnson. I've heard some people speaking about him wishing to be the 3rd party to this election. He has some interesting ideas and I don't understand why nobody talks about him.


I'll be voting for him gladly. He's the best candidate this country has by far. As you can already tell with just the couple other comments, people just don't know anything about him. And he's not a republican, libertarians are not republicans, they are liberals, classical liberals.


Aren't all the parties classical liberals? I mean our country was sort of founded on classical liberalism...

Edit: Or is it more about fighting over who gets to call themselves classical liberals?
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 02 2012 23:28 GMT
#4772
MITT ROMNEY’S latest controversial remark, about the role of culture in explaining why some countries are rich and powerful while others are poor and weak, has attracted much comment. I was especially interested in his remark because he misrepresented my views and, in contrasting them with another scholar’s arguments, oversimplified the issue.

It is not true that my book “Guns, Germs and Steel,” as Mr. Romney described it in a speech in Jerusalem, “basically says the physical characteristics of the land account for the differences in the success of the people that live there. There is iron ore on the land and so forth.”

That is so different from what my book actually says that I have to doubt whether Mr. Romney read it. My focus was mostly on biological features, like plant and animal species, and among physical characteristics, the ones I mentioned were continents’ sizes and shapes and relative isolation. I said nothing about iron ore, which is so widespread that its distribution has had little effect on the different successes of different peoples. (As I learned this week, Mr. Romney also mischaracterized my book in his memoir, “No Apology: Believe in America.”)

That’s not the worst part. Even scholars who emphasize social rather than geographic explanations — like the Harvard economist David S. Landes, whose book “The Wealth and Poverty of Nations” was mentioned favorably by Mr. Romney — would find Mr. Romney’s statement that “culture makes all the difference” dangerously out of date. In fact, Mr. Landes analyzed multiple factors (including climate) in explaining why the industrial revolution first occurred in Europe and not elsewhere.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
coverpunch
Profile Joined December 2011
United States2093 Posts
August 02 2012 23:38 GMT
#4773
On August 03 2012 08:28 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
MITT ROMNEY’S latest controversial remark, about the role of culture in explaining why some countries are rich and powerful while others are poor and weak, has attracted much comment. I was especially interested in his remark because he misrepresented my views and, in contrasting them with another scholar’s arguments, oversimplified the issue.

It is not true that my book “Guns, Germs and Steel,” as Mr. Romney described it in a speech in Jerusalem, “basically says the physical characteristics of the land account for the differences in the success of the people that live there. There is iron ore on the land and so forth.”

That is so different from what my book actually says that I have to doubt whether Mr. Romney read it. My focus was mostly on biological features, like plant and animal species, and among physical characteristics, the ones I mentioned were continents’ sizes and shapes and relative isolation. I said nothing about iron ore, which is so widespread that its distribution has had little effect on the different successes of different peoples. (As I learned this week, Mr. Romney also mischaracterized my book in his memoir, “No Apology: Believe in America.”)

That’s not the worst part. Even scholars who emphasize social rather than geographic explanations — like the Harvard economist David S. Landes, whose book “The Wealth and Poverty of Nations” was mentioned favorably by Mr. Romney — would find Mr. Romney’s statement that “culture makes all the difference” dangerously out of date. In fact, Mr. Landes analyzed multiple factors (including climate) in explaining why the industrial revolution first occurred in Europe and not elsewhere.


Source

Oversimplifications of oversimplifications. Straw men everywhere (which would be a great Halloween theme). Must be election season!
Speece
Profile Joined April 2011
United States50 Posts
August 02 2012 23:50 GMT
#4774
Obama is a stronger candidate in literally every way. Can someone explain what Romney has going for him other than he is not Obama?
Funnytoss
Profile Blog Joined August 2007
Taiwan1471 Posts
August 02 2012 23:54 GMT
#4775
On August 03 2012 08:50 Speece wrote:
Obama is a stronger candidate in literally every way. Can someone explain what Romney has going for him other than he is not Obama?


The economic recovery has not gone as smoothly as hoped, and Obama is black.
AIV_Funnytoss and sGs.Funnytoss on iCCup
Vega62a
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
946 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-03 00:08:30
August 03 2012 00:07 GMT
#4776
On August 03 2012 08:50 Speece wrote:
Obama is a stronger candidate in literally every way. Can someone explain what Romney has going for him other than he is not Obama?


The economy still hasn't recovered, which is clearly 100% the fault of Obama. If he were a competent president he would have used a magic bullet by now. That's why, if you elect Romney, he'll fire that magic bullet and Make Jobs Happen.
Content of my posts reflects only my personal opinions, and not those of any employer or subsidiary
StateofReverie
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
United States633 Posts
August 03 2012 00:07 GMT
#4777
obamis great. he extended bush era tax cuts on dividends to stay at 15% which is great
sunprince
Profile Joined January 2011
United States2258 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-08-03 00:10:21
August 03 2012 00:07 GMT
#4778
On August 02 2012 20:52 DoubleReed wrote:
Show nested quote +

On August 02 2012 10:17 DoubleReed wrote:
You keep saying this is all due to political correctness for some reason. I'm not exactly sure where this comes from. Science is not afraid of dealing with that kind of thing. It's not political correctness, it's just accuracy because we understand more.


I keep saying that this is due to political correctness because I keep getting attacked on grounds of "racism" instead of legitimate arguments (though this has improved as the thread has continued). The idea that science is not afraid with dealing with that kind of thing is ludicrous, and you can see proof of what I'm saying when you look at every single study on ethnic groups and how they preface or otherwise remind the reader that they're not trying to be racist.

On August 02 2012 10:17 DoubleReed wrote:
Edit: Wait, did you read that article that you linked to??? It says outright:
“This is another example of over-reaching by people in the field of medical genetics who seem to have no understanding of population genetics, or of the historical events they seek to explain,” he said. “Africa is the most genetically diverse place on earth for humans — so the very idea that you can easily separate out ‘European’ genes from ‘African’ ones is not founded in good science, or good history.”


We're not "separating European genes from African ones" in the discussion at hand. The only point I'm making with regards to this is that the theory of evolution and natural selection obviously applies to all life, and humans are no exception. Certain liberals tend to insist that we humans are special snowflakes who are immune to this, and that the only differences between groups (regardless of genetics or history) are external.

Those politically correct arguments from cultural determinists are completely wrong, and ignoring the realities of selection effects only makes it harder to fix the problems faced by ethnic minorities in the United States.


Of course it applies to us as well. Yes, intelligence is hereditary. These are things we understand quite well. I never said anything different. Except racial factors are extraordinarily minor to intelligence (and are pretty minor in general). Although, technically everyone is a special snowflake because we're all unique.


Stop talking about race already. You keep bringing up that strawman to inject emotional arguments related to racism instead of addressing the actual issue. No one is arguing that "racial factors" have anything to do with intelligence; the argument is that genetics and natural selection is relevant to SES (which is affected by, among other things, intelligence).

On August 02 2012 20:52 DoubleReed wrote:
What I'm disagreeing with here if your actual statement of these selection effects. The only study you showed me showed very minor effects, and not to anything affecting intelligence. And yet you're the one accusing me ignoring realities. You are the one not being scientifically rigorous here. The evidence we have suggests there could be a very minor effect (maybe only slightly greater than racial factors on intelligence, which is very slim), but it is simply not as massively significant as cultural factors.


The study I showed merely demonstrates that humans evolve at a comparable rate to other species. Considering that only 50 years of breeding was enough to produce significant changes in the silver fox, it's not a stretch to argue that several centuries of slavery results in significant effects (not to mention the selection effect behind slave capture).

On August 02 2012 20:52 DoubleReed wrote:
Your assumption is that "genetics => intelligence" implies "race => intelligence." This is simply not the way it works. There is massive genetic variability in a race, and the genetic distance between the different races is pathetically small, even to isolated island tribes.


Again, stop with the bullshit about "race". It's a strawman. "Race" is not a valid scientific concept (e.g. skin color is not a defining part of genetics). Ethnic groups are (e.g. mitochondrial DNA haplogroups).

On August 02 2012 20:52 DoubleReed wrote:
And even more than that, because African Americans are not Africans. They are a hybrid.


All humans are hybrids. Nevertheless, reasonable inferences can be made about population clusters based on their general characteristics.
HunterX11
Profile Joined March 2009
United States1048 Posts
August 03 2012 00:13 GMT
#4779
On August 03 2012 09:07 sunprince wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2012 20:52 DoubleReed wrote:

On August 02 2012 10:17 DoubleReed wrote:
You keep saying this is all due to political correctness for some reason. I'm not exactly sure where this comes from. Science is not afraid of dealing with that kind of thing. It's not political correctness, it's just accuracy because we understand more.


I keep saying that this is due to political correctness because I keep getting attacked on grounds of "racism" instead of legitimate arguments (though this has improved as the thread has continued). The idea that science is not afraid with dealing with that kind of thing is ludicrous, and you can see proof of what I'm saying when you look at every single study on ethnic groups and how they preface or otherwise remind the reader that they're not trying to be racist.

On August 02 2012 10:17 DoubleReed wrote:
Edit: Wait, did you read that article that you linked to??? It says outright:
“This is another example of over-reaching by people in the field of medical genetics who seem to have no understanding of population genetics, or of the historical events they seek to explain,” he said. “Africa is the most genetically diverse place on earth for humans — so the very idea that you can easily separate out ‘European’ genes from ‘African’ ones is not founded in good science, or good history.”


We're not "separating European genes from African ones" in the discussion at hand. The only point I'm making with regards to this is that the theory of evolution and natural selection obviously applies to all life, and humans are no exception. Certain liberals tend to insist that we humans are special snowflakes who are immune to this, and that the only differences between groups (regardless of genetics or history) are external.

Those politically correct arguments from cultural determinists are completely wrong, and ignoring the realities of selection effects only makes it harder to fix the problems faced by ethnic minorities in the United States.


Of course it applies to us as well. Yes, intelligence is hereditary. These are things we understand quite well. I never said anything different. Except racial factors are extraordinarily minor to intelligence (and are pretty minor in general). Although, technically everyone is a special snowflake because we're all unique.


Stop talking about race already. You keep bringing up that strawman to inject emotional arguments related to racism instead of addressing the actual issue. No one is arguing that "racial factors" have anything to do with intelligence; the argument is that genetics and natural selection is relevant to SES (which is affected by, among other things, intelligence).

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2012 20:52 DoubleReed wrote:
What I'm disagreeing with here if your actual statement of these selection effects. The only study you showed me showed very minor effects, and not to anything affecting intelligence. And yet you're the one accusing me ignoring realities. You are the one not being scientifically rigorous here. The evidence we have suggests there could be a very minor effect (maybe only slightly greater than racial factors on intelligence, which is very slim), but it is simply not as massively significant as cultural factors.


The study I showed merely demonstrates that humans evolve at a comparable rate to other species. Considering that only 50 years of breeding was enough to produce significant changes in the silver fox, it's not a stretch to argue that several centuries of slavery results in significant effects (not to mention the selection effect behind slave capture).

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2012 20:52 DoubleReed wrote:
Your assumption is that "genetics => intelligence" implies "race => intelligence." This is simply not the way it works. There is massive genetic variability in a race, and the genetic distance between the different races is pathetically small, even to isolated island tribes.


Again, stop with the bullshit about "race". It's a strawman. "Race" is not a valid scientific concept (e.g. skin color is not a defining part of genetics). Ethnic groups are (e.g. mitochondrial DNA haplogroups).

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2012 20:52 DoubleReed wrote:
And even more than that, because African Americans are not Africans. They are a hybrid.


All humans are hybrids. Nevertheless, reasonable inferences can be made about population clusters based on their general characteristics.


How about YOU stop talking about this altogether, you ignorant racist.

User was warned for this post
Try using both Irradiate and Defensive Matrix on an Overlord. It looks pretty neat.
NovaTheFeared
Profile Blog Joined October 2004
United States7222 Posts
August 03 2012 00:16 GMT
#4780
On August 03 2012 08:50 Speece wrote:
Obama is a stronger candidate in literally every way. Can someone explain what Romney has going for him other than he is not Obama?


Economy seems likely to be the #1 issue and polling on Obama's handling of the economy is upside down. But the other advantage Romney has is fundraising. This is the first Presidential election since Citizen's United and it's related cases paved the way for unlimited corporate spending. And the rich/corporations are backing the more rich/corporate friendly candidate, Mitt Romney. In some ways it makes me glad not to be in a swing state, because the avalanche of campaign ads is going to be like nothing seen before.
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