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Iraq & Syrian Civil Wars - Page 418

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Please guys, stay on topic.

This thread is about the situation in Iraq and Syria.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 17 2018 21:51 GMT
#8341
It would be preferable if the Syrian civil war could be fought without foreign interference. But the CIA was arming rebels and Russia/Iran are backing Assad. Of course, its not like the potential rebels and Assad are going to stop looking of the US, Russia and Iran all stop messing around in the region. These groups are going to seek allies from outside their country. And I doubt either side is going to stop any time soon, so the conflict will grind on. The Vietnam war dragged on for 20 years, even with direct US involvement.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
kollin
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United Kingdom8380 Posts
April 17 2018 22:29 GMT
#8342
Also worth mentioning that retaliation against US military action does come in the guise of terrorism/radicalisation/whatever
Aquanim
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia2849 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-18 00:51:21
April 18 2018 00:43 GMT
#8343
On April 18 2018 02:42 Starlightsun wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 17 2018 22:00 Broetchenholer wrote:
If the States decide they wanna throw a few missiles at buildings that belong to a masskilling dictator in the middle east, i don't really care. Call me when they start to violate a states right that does not deserve it and can actually retaliate of if they want to do more then a publicity stunt. Also, when they are not probably right about their allegations of the other party using chemical weapons against the public.


But isn't that kind of disturbing that certain countries can just launch missile strikes into other countries as a punitive action, not even being at war? It's only a concern when the country being bombed has the capability to retaliate? I just can't imagine any scenario where any middle eastern country could launch missiles into Europe or North America without it being a full declaration of war.

On the one hand, we live in a world where might makes right and the US can just missile strike other countries and not expect a military response from anybody.

On the other hand, we also live in a world where a government can perpetuate atrocities against its own people and not be immediately ostracised by the global community (or at least, every member of the UN security council with a veto).

+ Show Spoiler +
Hell, at least two of those veto powers commit human rights abuses on the regular themselves...


If we didn't live in the second world I'd object a lot more to the first. Even if I suspect the US abuses its privileges.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
April 18 2018 01:32 GMT
#8344
Speaking of who can and can’t bomb others with impunity, Israel is expecting, and actively preparing for, military retaliation from Iran over Israel’s repeated strikes against Iranian assets in Syria.
IgnE
Profile Joined November 2010
United States7681 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-18 02:36:01
April 18 2018 02:35 GMT
#8345
On April 18 2018 09:43 Aquanim wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2018 02:42 Starlightsun wrote:
On April 17 2018 22:00 Broetchenholer wrote:
If the States decide they wanna throw a few missiles at buildings that belong to a masskilling dictator in the middle east, i don't really care. Call me when they start to violate a states right that does not deserve it and can actually retaliate of if they want to do more then a publicity stunt. Also, when they are not probably right about their allegations of the other party using chemical weapons against the public.


But isn't that kind of disturbing that certain countries can just launch missile strikes into other countries as a punitive action, not even being at war? It's only a concern when the country being bombed has the capability to retaliate? I just can't imagine any scenario where any middle eastern country could launch missiles into Europe or North America without it being a full declaration of war.

On the one hand, we live in a world where might makes right and the US can just missile strike other countries and not expect a military response from anybody.

On the other hand, we also live in a world where a government can perpetuate atrocities against its own people and not be immediately ostracised by the global community (or at least, every member of the UN security council with a veto).

+ Show Spoiler +
Hell, at least two of those veto powers commit human rights abuses on the regular themselves...


If we didn't live in the second world I'd object a lot more to the first. Even if I suspect the US abuses its privileges.


American military actions are always police actions. War has been abolished, except within countries. All war is civil war nowadays. Interfering in civil wars is simply humanitarian.
The unrealistic sound of these propositions is indicative, not of their utopian character, but of the strength of the forces which prevent their realization.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14203 Posts
April 18 2018 02:36 GMT
#8346
I can't imagine a rational Iran playing into Israels hands like that. Isreal will retaliate a lot more effectively and a lot more viciously then the regime can probably handle at the moment. Iran has been bleeding for years while Isreal has been sitting cocooned in its relatively safe shell without so much as a headline about them other then settlements.

How many assets has Iran seriously had to take away from Lebanon in order to hold on to syria in the dark days of ISIS's strength?
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
April 18 2018 02:44 GMT
#8347
The last time folks attacked Israel it ended really poorly. I can't believe they are just going to yolo some missles into a nation that gives no fucks.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
April 18 2018 03:03 GMT
#8348
On April 18 2018 11:36 Sermokala wrote:
I can't imagine a rational Iran playing into Israels hands like that. Isreal will retaliate a lot more effectively and a lot more viciously then the regime can probably handle at the moment. Iran has been bleeding for years while Isreal has been sitting cocooned in its relatively safe shell without so much as a headline about them other then settlements.

How many assets has Iran seriously had to take away from Lebanon in order to hold on to syria in the dark days of ISIS's strength?

Iran is pretty dedicated to establishing a permanent military presence in Syria and, eventually, Lebanon. As long as this remains their goal, Israel is going to keep attacking them, making it very unlikely that Iran will do nothing. Iran has the capacity to respond, and probably will. The retaliation will probably take the form of missile strikes or some other ranged bombardment from Syria.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
April 18 2018 03:33 GMT
#8349
Probably easier to just stick it to Israel via Hezbollah really. Give them better rockets or something. The direct approach is too troublesome.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14203 Posts
April 18 2018 03:58 GMT
#8350
On April 18 2018 12:33 LegalLord wrote:
Probably easier to just stick it to Israel via Hezbollah really. Give them better rockets or something. The direct approach is too troublesome.

How much of Hezbollah is left though? I remember reading some stories about how awfully they were suffering during the dark days of the regime. I can't imagine that they want to invite retaliation on what they have left.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
Starlightsun
Profile Blog Joined June 2016
United States1405 Posts
April 18 2018 04:19 GMT
#8351
On April 18 2018 07:29 kollin wrote:
Also worth mentioning that retaliation against US military action does come in the guise of terrorism/radicalisation/whatever


True yet this terrorism and radicalization has overwhelmingly hurt countries in the Middle East and Africa. So yet again, western nation commits acts of war with impunity yet other country's people are the ones to die and suffer the consequences for it. And yeah this creation and expansion of Israel is just another example.
xDaunt
Profile Joined March 2010
United States17988 Posts
April 18 2018 04:47 GMT
#8352
On April 18 2018 12:58 Sermokala wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2018 12:33 LegalLord wrote:
Probably easier to just stick it to Israel via Hezbollah really. Give them better rockets or something. The direct approach is too troublesome.

How much of Hezbollah is left though? I remember reading some stories about how awfully they were suffering during the dark days of the regime. I can't imagine that they want to invite retaliation on what they have left.

Actually, Hezbollah is probably at the apex of its power right now. They've been armed to the teeth by Iran, are battle-hardened, and have more support in Lebanon than they've ever had thanks to ISIS polarizing the region. Israel will still run them over (and the rest of Syria and Lebanon) if there's a war, but it will be very costly.
Sermokala
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United States14203 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-18 05:31:00
April 18 2018 05:24 GMT
#8353
On April 18 2018 13:47 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 18 2018 12:58 Sermokala wrote:
On April 18 2018 12:33 LegalLord wrote:
Probably easier to just stick it to Israel via Hezbollah really. Give them better rockets or something. The direct approach is too troublesome.

How much of Hezbollah is left though? I remember reading some stories about how awfully they were suffering during the dark days of the regime. I can't imagine that they want to invite retaliation on what they have left.

Actually, Hezbollah is probably at the apex of its power right now. They've been armed to the teeth by Iran, are battle-hardened, and have more support in Lebanon than they've ever had thanks to ISIS polarizing the region. Israel will still run them over (and the rest of Syria and Lebanon) if there's a war, but it will be very costly.

I don't agree. They may have the arms and experience but it has had to come at the cost of a lot of manpower. A lot of that experience is against an army that wasn't in the same century of warfare that Isreal is at. ISIS didn't have active anti tank missile defenses and a legitimate airforce.
A wise man will say that he knows nothing. We're gona party like its 2752 Hail Dark Brandon
AssyrianKing
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia2118 Posts
April 18 2018 07:41 GMT
#8354
Is it just me, or it seems as if Israel actually wants a war
John 15:13
xM(Z
Profile Joined November 2006
Romania5299 Posts
April 18 2018 08:13 GMT
#8355
it would have the most to win for sure.
And my fury stands ready. I bring all your plans to nought. My bleak heart beats steady. 'Tis you whom I have sought.
L1ghtning
Profile Joined July 2013
Sweden353 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-18 09:58:16
April 18 2018 09:49 GMT
#8356
Quite a remarkable welcome to the army who gassed them and their allies.



User was warned for this post.
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1967 Posts
April 18 2018 14:28 GMT
#8357
You are the guy telling us we cannot trust our media because they are all lying to us, but russian state television is obviously okay? Note that they are claiming in that video, that it never happened, not that a rebel group did it. Which was your strongest move so far, saying the rebels did it to lure the americans back into a war. So now Russia says it never happened, so what exactly is the "think for your self"- reasoning now? America just wanted to fire some Tomahawks for fun, so they staged a chemical attack? Or did the rebels stage a chemical attack so damn well, that the whole world believed it, except for the people living there. Because noone asked them

Seriously...
Acrofales
Profile Joined August 2010
Spain18434 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-18 14:39:10
April 18 2018 14:37 GMT
#8358
On April 18 2018 23:28 Broetchenholer wrote:
You are the guy telling us we cannot trust our media because they are all lying to us, but russian state television is obviously okay? Note that they are claiming in that video, that it never happened, not that a rebel group did it. Which was your strongest move so far, saying the rebels did it to lure the americans back into a war. So now Russia says it never happened, so what exactly is the "think for your self"- reasoning now? America just wanted to fire some Tomahawks for fun, so they staged a chemical attack? Or did the rebels stage a chemical attack so damn well, that the whole world believed it, except for the people living there. Because noone asked them

Seriously...

In addition, it is not very surprising regardless of who did it. The Syrian media is no doubt yelling on all frequencies that the rebels/US did it, and Assad and his allies are the only thing keeping them safe from these terrorists.

So if you believe the rebels/US dropped gas bombs on your town, of course you'll welcome "your saviors" with open arms.


Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9999 Posts
April 18 2018 16:17 GMT
#8359
On April 18 2018 23:28 Broetchenholer wrote:
You are the guy telling us we cannot trust our media because they are all lying to us, but russian state television is obviously okay? Note that they are claiming in that video, that it never happened, not that a rebel group did it. Which was your strongest move so far, saying the rebels did it to lure the americans back into a war. So now Russia says it never happened, so what exactly is the "think for your self"- reasoning now? America just wanted to fire some Tomahawks for fun, so they staged a chemical attack? Or did the rebels stage a chemical attack so damn well, that the whole world believed it, except for the people living there. Because noone asked them

Seriously...



Anyone who believes the Russian state media is clearly in the midst of a confirmation bias, but the same could be said of Western media.
When it comes to bombing stuff abroad, motivations are often complex and hidden, and rely on a variety of factors other than just wanting to make the world a better place. For the UK, specifically some within our government, there are plenty of reasons to want to bomb stuff:
https://evolvepolitics.com/theresa-mays-husbands-investment-firm-made-a-financial-killing-from-the-bombing-of-syria/
(yeah I know the source is bad, in fact I would go as far as to say its propaganda, but as far as demonstrating possible motives - this article does the job.)
I'd believe the BBC over RT any day of the week, but I still wouldn't believe the BBC, because they get their information from people who have a vested interest in keeping the public uninformed on *some* matters.
RIP Meatloaf <3
Broetchenholer
Profile Joined March 2011
Germany1967 Posts
April 18 2018 21:06 GMT
#8360
Sure, but the BBC actually has reporters in it that, if they find a story unbelievable, can follow that and find out it's bullshit. Most western media simply goes after AP or reuters or whatever, but some create their own stories and if they get it wrong, they get called out for it.
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