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Iraq & Syrian Civil Wars - Page 414

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Please guys, stay on topic.

This thread is about the situation in Iraq and Syria.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6209 Posts
April 14 2018 12:49 GMT
#8261
That report makes sense. The use of terror against enemies (sometimes in combination with letting enemies who surrender / leave go or leave without any harm) has been a strategy used in warfare since forever. Since the west doesn't really do anything against it except fire some symbolic missiles there's really not that much of a risk for Assad by using chemical weapons.
Dan HH
Profile Joined July 2012
Romania9118 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-14 13:06:24
April 14 2018 13:04 GMT
#8262
On April 14 2018 12:38 BigFan wrote:
^ pretty much.

Show nested quote +
On April 14 2018 12:10 xDaunt wrote:
On April 14 2018 11:55 BigFan wrote:
On April 14 2018 11:31 Mohdoo wrote:
On April 14 2018 11:27 BigFan wrote:
^ I believe they are airstrikes as you mentioned.

It's nice to see that the US and its allies are playing judge, jury and executioner here as usual and no one seems to bat an eye considering that it's incredibly stupid for Assad and Syria to even try something like a chemical attack when they've already claimed victory against the terrorists.

Who do you think launched the chemical attack?

I don't believe there was a chemical attack at all. Silly, I know? After all, we have complete footage and experts all telling us that it happened so it must've happened.

What I heard on NPR is that the latest chemical weapons attack wasn’t isolated. There had been an sustained uptick in more minor chemical weapons use by Syria over the past several months. This suggests to me that Assad may very well have been responsible for this attack. Plus, I suspect that tonight’s attacks would have been more thorough had the US really been looking for a reason to get more involved in Syria.

I listen to Arabic sources, much more legit and trustable imo. From what they have been saying, it didn't take place and is being used as justification here. Not much else to add unfortunately (too lazy/busy to write more in-depth).

Care to share some of those sources? To me the more people from unrelated organizations/institutions an alternative explanation requires to be in on a lie the further it gets from being plausible. Why would people volunteering for medical work in Syria be helping intelligence agencies to create a pretext for intervention and do so with no one breaking the line like they're all some hardened agents?

That would be a more elaborate hoax than faking the moon landing, and for what? Removing a Russian ally that may or may not be replaced by someone better? Does France even give a shit about that?

On the other hand I do understand skepticism about who did it, since determining it is purely a matter of intelligence that involves a much smaller circle of people from agencies with a spotty reputation. Though this one comes with problems of its own, such as access or the targets involved.
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9650 Posts
April 14 2018 14:29 GMT
#8263
You can always tell when someone's asking the right questions because they get cut off by a major news network...

RIP Meatloaf <3
lastpuritan
Profile Joined December 2014
United States540 Posts
April 14 2018 15:00 GMT
#8264
i think the operation reached its goals.

macron restored his public support?
trump changed american news narrative.
uk avenged russia for that assassination.

there’s a turkish saying for these situations.

“let neighbors see me shopping”
plated.rawr
Profile Blog Joined June 2008
Norway1676 Posts
April 14 2018 15:46 GMT
#8265
I dunno about you guys, but I'm getting 'Iraq totally has WMDs'-vibe from this entire thing.
Savior broke my heart ;_; || twitch.tv/onnings
Disregard
Profile Blog Joined March 2007
China10252 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-14 16:13:49
April 14 2018 16:12 GMT
#8266
Not to sound like a complete jerk but considering how difficult it is for other countries and agencies to find credible evidence against the Syrian government of indiscriminately bombarding areas of conflict with chlorine and crude munitions, why wouldn't they do it as it is a very effective weapon especially for a rather third-world MENA military. Their perspective is if these people don't want to leave, then they are one with their "terrorist" or "rebel-aligned" enemies and that opens up all possibilities. It gives justification and the green light as stated by Russia to bomb said areas.

Russia and Iran, two of Syria's adamant backers do a very impressive job of making any investigations and reports credible anyway, they can just deny it and everyone moves on even if there might or might not be substantial evidence. It's a losing battle against countries that have total control over the media sphere and influences of their own peoples for many more years to come. It's quite amazing how effective and reaching the social media and news machines are especially of Russia and also Turkey after the recent events.
"If I had to take a drug in order to be free, I'm screwed. Freedom exists in the mind, otherwise it doesn't exist."
Disregard
Profile Blog Joined March 2007
China10252 Posts
April 14 2018 16:16 GMT
#8267
On April 14 2018 23:29 Jockmcplop wrote:
You can always tell when someone's asking the right questions because they get cut off by a major news network...

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CpdT79rm1ts


The man is brave, that awkward moment when you speak of the truth and ask completely logical questions.

"If I had to take a drug in order to be free, I'm screwed. Freedom exists in the mind, otherwise it doesn't exist."
Starlightsun
Profile Blog Joined June 2016
United States1405 Posts
April 14 2018 17:38 GMT
#8268
On April 14 2018 21:23 Gorsameth wrote:
Since people have questioned the attack and why Assad did it.
France has declassifed their report on the chemical attack, including why he uses it.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-france-intellige/french-declassified-intelligence-report-on-syria-gas-attacks-idUSKBN1HL0N1


Thanks for providing this.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-14 17:46:59
April 14 2018 17:42 GMT
#8269
On April 14 2018 23:29 Jockmcplop wrote:
You can always tell when someone's asking the right questions because they get cut off by a major news network...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CpdT79rm1ts

Reminds me of this one from a couple years ago. Less blatant cutoff, but watch the way the host flounders on the response.

Edit: That French "intelligence report" is impressive in how much it pussyfoots around the issue of providing proof. It's basically:

1. A chemical attack happened.
2. Syrian govt was making advances in the area at the time.
3. It makes sense that Syrian govt would use those attacks [citation needed].
4. Other chemical attacks have happened before in Syria and we assume Assad did those as well.
5. Therefore, Assad used chemical weapons this time.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
April 14 2018 18:17 GMT
#8270
Agreed that Sky segment is weird...not sure what the context of the cutoff is, commercials?

I think the 'this is not the most logical move for the Syria regime and therefore they didn't do it' defense is not very strong though. Lots of decisions get made without being the best most logical option every day. Humans are kind of bad at it, especially under the duress of say, a years long civil war. I really don't think their field commanders think very often about 'how will the international community react' before doing things. They've already done tons of other terrible things.

Like it or not it's extremely likely it was Assad forces who used the chem weapons given the circumstances. Is this enough reason to just bomb a country? Not so sure, since bombing rarely solves anything. But neither does appeasement for chemical weapon usage. So it's a shit situation all around.
Neosteel Enthusiast
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11350 Posts
April 14 2018 18:21 GMT
#8271
On April 15 2018 01:16 Disregard wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2018 23:29 Jockmcplop wrote:
You can always tell when someone's asking the right questions because they get cut off by a major news network...

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CpdT79rm1ts


The man is brave, that awkward moment when you speak of the truth and ask completely logical questions.


Well, what's the alternative explanation then? Skynews is part of the plot to launch some missiles at Syrian facilities?
Moderator"In Trump We Trust," says the Golden Goat of Mars Lago. Have faith and believe! Trump moves in mysterious ways. Like the wind he blows where he pleases...
Disregard
Profile Blog Joined March 2007
China10252 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-14 18:28:15
April 14 2018 18:23 GMT
#8272
Independent researchers skilled with geo-location are more impressive at finding more credible sounding evidence then those "declassified" official intelligence reports that are more akin to political statements more than anything substantial.

https://www.bellingcat.com/news/mena/2018/04/11/open-source-survey-alleged-chemical-attacks-douma-7th-april-2018/
"If I had to take a drug in order to be free, I'm screwed. Freedom exists in the mind, otherwise it doesn't exist."
Disregard
Profile Blog Joined March 2007
China10252 Posts
April 14 2018 18:27 GMT
#8273
On April 15 2018 03:21 Falling wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2018 01:16 Disregard wrote:
On April 14 2018 23:29 Jockmcplop wrote:
You can always tell when someone's asking the right questions because they get cut off by a major news network...

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CpdT79rm1ts


The man is brave, that awkward moment when you speak of the truth and ask completely logical questions.


Well, what's the alternative explanation then? Skynews is part of the plot to launch some missiles at Syrian facilities?


The praise is towards the fact that he can challenge such claims referring to the current situation about Assad winning this battle against the US and it's allies.
"If I had to take a drug in order to be free, I'm screwed. Freedom exists in the mind, otherwise it doesn't exist."
Jockmcplop
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
United Kingdom9650 Posts
April 14 2018 22:03 GMT
#8274
On April 15 2018 03:21 Falling wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2018 01:16 Disregard wrote:
On April 14 2018 23:29 Jockmcplop wrote:
You can always tell when someone's asking the right questions because they get cut off by a major news network...

+ Show Spoiler +
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CpdT79rm1ts


The man is brave, that awkward moment when you speak of the truth and ask completely logical questions.


Well, what's the alternative explanation then? Skynews is part of the plot to launch some missiles at Syrian facilities?


This is what Peter Ford thinks:



Its a little bit conspiracy theory but these guys are well respected, involved people who are asking questions no-one seem to be permitted to ask,
If military tension is escalating all over the place we need to be more careful about the consequences of what we are doing, and look at the bigger picture.
RIP Meatloaf <3
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United Kingdom13775 Posts
April 14 2018 22:16 GMT
#8275
It'd be nice if at the very least we could have gotten the 2013 chemical attack investigated by now. By now we should know at least whether that one was staged or not. Either way, regardless of where you stand on who did it, I think plenty of people can come to the consensus that this attack wasn't really about chemical missiles, it was about trying to butt into Syria for the umpteenth time over the past decade.

Minor scuffle between "every single one of our missiles hit in our perfect strike" Trump and the Syrian govt that says they shot down 70% or so. Would be interesting from a military standpoint to figure out which is accurate. I'm leaning towards it not being "perfect 100% ideal attack" given that cruise missile use suggests risk aversion in using direct airstrikes and there is actually fairly decent AA hardware in the Syrian govt's possession.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
raga4ka
Profile Joined February 2008
Bulgaria5679 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-14 23:24:28
April 14 2018 22:22 GMT
#8276
On April 14 2018 21:23 Gorsameth wrote:
Since people have questioned the attack and why Assad did it.
France has declassifed their report on the chemical attack, including why he uses it.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-france-intellige/french-declassified-intelligence-report-on-syria-gas-attacks-idUSKBN1HL0N1


1. I still see no clear evidence that it was Assad's forces that have used the chemical weapons, testimonies from West funded organization like "The White helmets" are not very credible. France apparently gets it's evidence from images and videos published online without naming their sources, "but are generally considered reliable".

2. I don't see an explanation of the timing of the use of the weapons:
a.when Syria and Russia have all but captured Ghouta, like hours away from completely capturing the region
b.right after Trump declared he would withdraw US forces from Syria. What's even the purpose of the 2 US basess in the oil rich region of Syria, as well as the french bases, since Daesh is already defeated, are they protecting the oil?

3. Why didn't the US and allies wait for the OPCW investigation which is on the way, before conducting an Air-strike, not to mention that it was Illegal with no UN resolution, which by now shows that it is not needed to wage an attack on a foreign state (act of war).

4. If Assad really bombs and gasses syrian civilians only, why hasn't the 21 million population of Syria turned against him, and he still enjoys support from the overwhelming majority of the syrian population. Maybe the reason for the majority of the civilian casualties is because the terrorists/moderate rebels were using them as hostages/ human shield. Normally when a civilian's life is in danger they would flee to a safer place, which was the case to those who were able flee to government owned territories. Most of the so called free syrian army (FSA) by now is made from foreign funded mercenaries and terrorists.

FueledUpAndReadyToGo
Profile Blog Joined March 2013
Netherlands30548 Posts
April 14 2018 23:45 GMT
#8277
On April 15 2018 07:22 raga4ka wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 14 2018 21:23 Gorsameth wrote:
Since people have questioned the attack and why Assad did it.
France has declassifed their report on the chemical attack, including why he uses it.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-france-intellige/french-declassified-intelligence-report-on-syria-gas-attacks-idUSKBN1HL0N1


4. If Assad really bombs and gasses syrian civilians only, why hasn't the 21 million population of Syria turned against him, and he still enjoys support from the overwhelming majority of the syrian population. Maybe the reason for the majority of the civilian casualties is because the terrorists/moderate rebels were using them as hostages/ human shield. Normally when a civilian's life is in danger they would flee to a safer place, which was the case to those who were able flee to government owned territories. Most of the so called free syrian army (FSA) by now is made from foreign funded mercenaries and terrorists.

Are you serious? The population did turn against him for killing civilians. 7 years ago...it started a civil war that still hasn't ended. Read page 1 of the thread to see what happens if you protest Assad.
Neosteel Enthusiast
Tekkenmicro
Profile Joined April 2018
1 Post
April 15 2018 01:32 GMT
#8278
Does the use chemical weapons challenge the strength of NATO? Is NATO a monopoly?
AssyrianKing
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia2111 Posts
April 15 2018 02:23 GMT
#8279
I personally hope Assad stays, or atleast inviduals from his sect have control. I've been told that Alawite muslims are secular minded & quite tolerant of other religions in Syria, which is why almost every single other religious group supports him. It would be a disaster for other religious groups in the population if any of the opposition parties took control.

A good example is Mohamed Morsi & Egypt. As soon as he and the muslim brotherhood came into power it was a nightmare for Coptic Christians. Over 100 churches were attacked and half of them burnt down. Kidnapping of christian women is epidemic happening in the country. The scariest part was, The Musim Brotherhood started forming false accustations of Christians which led to violence against them. El-sisi came and removed the muslim brotherhood.

People are always screaming opposition! opposition! opposition! But none of you even realise the reprucussions it would have. Christians from Iraq loved and hated Saddam Hussain. Yes he was a power hungry asshole, but he kept the population under control and did not tolerate sectarianism, something which the future government has failed in doing. In 2003 Iraq had 1.5 million Assyrians, that number has now decreased to less than 300,000 and is only decreasing.
John 15:13
iPlaY.NettleS
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Australia4332 Posts
Last Edited: 2018-04-15 03:50:08
April 15 2018 03:47 GMT
#8280
Israel now targetting Iranian bases and personnel inside Syria?

https://mobile.twitter.com/majdkhalaf1993/status/985258961258598400

https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/www.timesofisrael.com/large-scale-explosion-reported-at-iranian-base-in-syria/amp/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7PvoI6gvQs
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