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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
sharkie
Profile Blog Joined April 2012
Austria18518 Posts
November 09 2016 11:47 GMT
#122301
Majority of Republicans in both houses is imo way more shocking than Trump

pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1366 Posts
November 09 2016 11:47 GMT
#122302
Its the end of the power of the media,thank heaven for that. They send so much crap into the air that the people simply don't care and listen to them anymore. Maybe they will learn from this,but most likely not.
Supter
Profile Joined February 2011
France382 Posts
November 09 2016 11:48 GMT
#122303
You guys are the second country in the World when it comes to carbon dioxyde emission, and just voted in a guy who believes climate change is a Chine hoax.

I don't can if you want to fuck up your own country, but don't ruin this planet for the rest of us God damnit.
Simberto
Profile Blog Joined July 2010
Germany11629 Posts
November 09 2016 11:52 GMT
#122304
On November 09 2016 20:46 Introvert wrote:
Don't know why I'm still up, but she does, in the end, win the popular vote. You Democrats have got to stop packing yourselves into these states! Spread out, the rest of America isn't so bad!


This also shows a big weakness in the US election system. Somehow, a minority of the population is able to control a majority in all parts of the legislative, the highest court of the iudicative and control the executive. This is obviouly broken. 2 party FPTP with so many weird archaic relics as in the US means that instead of simply winning the people over, you have to win in a very convoluted game with weird rules that make no sense whatsoever.

I am not quite certain why people accept that as normal. I get that it isn't easy to change, but i think a lot of the US population has to no idea that other democractic election systems exist. Which don't have those problems.
Impervious
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada4211 Posts
November 09 2016 11:53 GMT
#122305
They fucking played "You can't always get what you want" by the Rolling Stones at the end of that speech. Holy fuck.
~ \(ˌ)im-ˈpər-vē-əs\ : not capable of being damaged or harmed.
pmh
Profile Joined March 2016
1366 Posts
November 09 2016 11:53 GMT
#122306
On November 09 2016 14:16 zeo wrote:
What a huge fuck you to the mainstream media. Feels so good.



ya this so much

User was warned for this post
Noidberg
Profile Joined June 2011
United States17 Posts
November 09 2016 11:53 GMT
#122307
On November 09 2016 20:44 papaz wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 20:34 ForTehDarkseid wrote:
Politics is all about chosing only what you like and what you feel and believe.

You can't say that nearly half of USA citizens are out of their mind. You just can't stand them and that would be actually an acurrate representation of the reality. Didn't eveyone know it before?


Honest question, why couldn't nearly half of the USA be out of their minds?

Why is that so hard to imagine?

Being out of ones mind in this case refers to the fact that Trump focus more on things he hates, people he want to see in jail, walls he wants to build among other things and there are people cheering for that. Nearly half of USA.

That is scary.

I'm not saying that Clinton is a saint and should have won but never in my life have I heard a person being so hateful, angry and down right wrong in so many areas but yet get so much support. So sorry for not understanding why it's not possible for half of the US citizens be out of their minds.

Why wouldn't people instead of voting for Trump or Clinton vote for someone else if they think the candidates are so bad?


Clinton wanting to war with russia means total disaster. If you cant see clintons greed and hate you are blind.
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21952 Posts
November 09 2016 11:54 GMT
#122308
On November 09 2016 20:53 Impervious wrote:
They fucking played "You can't always get what you want" by the Rolling Stones at the end of that speech. Holy fuck.

Didn't he play the same song during the primary?
Maybe he just likes the song.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Velr
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
Switzerland10809 Posts
November 09 2016 11:54 GMT
#122309
On November 09 2016 20:47 pmh wrote:
Its the end of the power of the media,thank heaven for that. They send so much crap into the air that the people simply don't care and listen to them anymore. Maybe they will learn from this,but most likely not.


A reality TV-Star is the end of the media?

Uhm, shit like this is what i just can't understand.
NukeD
Profile Joined October 2010
Croatia1612 Posts
November 09 2016 11:55 GMT
#122310
On November 09 2016 20:39 Penev wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 20:29 NukeD wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:49 Penev wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:48 NukeD wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:44 Penev wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:42 NukeD wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:36 Penev wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:35 NukeD wrote:
No, this is a glorious day. This is a much needed wake up call.

explain

Nah sry i wont explain myself. You made us pro Trumpers explain ourselves to death in this thread, while dismissing everything we said with witty remarks and disgust. Well now the tables have turned so please do explain why you think this is a bad thing.

I did no such thing, I didn't post in this thread before this day

now pls explain

You are welcome to read trough my posts in this thread.

Or, you know, you could just be nice and answer a question

Ah ok, here is a video that sums up my opinion:

+ Show Spoiler +

But I take it you agree Trump is a disgusting individual then?

Yeah i do.
sorry for dem one liners
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28503 Posts
November 09 2016 11:56 GMT
#122311
On November 09 2016 20:44 bardtown wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 20:34 Dan HH wrote:
On November 09 2016 20:24 bardtown wrote:
On November 09 2016 20:18 Blisse wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:56 Miragee wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:46 a_flayer wrote:
On November 09 2016 19:44 StarStruck wrote:
On November 09 2016 18:40 CorsairHero wrote:
On November 09 2016 18:30 Orcasgt24 wrote:
Well the world just got alot less predictable...

As a Canadian, I hop his stance on NAFTA is swayed or in some way impossible because if that gets axed....we are in trouble.

Good thing we have a trade agreement with the EU now


Looks pretty darn good now considering if Trump undoes a lot of things the States is going to have a lot of major setbacks.When you make the primary focus about attacking someone else it usually loses you an election more often than not. It's odd because Trump was throwing and slinging just as much mud and it wasn't just against Clinton.


His mudslinging regarding the polls was apparently correct. The fact that he praised them when they showed him on the rise slightly means very little, as they were still relatively inaccurate compared to the actual results despite the slight sway in his favour.


Those polls and the whole statistic behind it is utter nonsense. Asking 500 people for something so reliant on more than just demograhic, which alone is very complex already, to create "accurate" statistics for millions of people is a pretty retarded idea. I really don't understand why so much attention is payed to the polls. They only show large movements but they aren't even remotely accurate when it comes to exact calls.


Again, that's how modelling and statistics work. Ignoring the news outlets who do this stuff with no formal math background, but pollsters are highly aware that biases and blindsides exist. That's why all models are created with ranges in mind, where you account for the likelihood of biases and blind spots. For large, important, non-repeatable events like elections, there can be completely new blind spots, like Trump supporters underrepresenting their support because they're shamed for it. This data destroys the ranges devised by the current model, but helps the next time by calculating whether the situation is similar and expanding or contracting that range calculation. Imagine a model of the weather 30 years ago, and then we find out that the ozone layer is deteriorating and we have to reevaluate the model. And then we realized the polar ice caps melted which messed with El Niño and we have to reevaluate the model. And so on and so on. It's like science experiments.

Well-done polling for repeatable, low variance events can be accurate but it's not like it's an exact science, so like all pollsters will tell you, trust only the final poll. Blame media outlets for copping out and reporting on polls instead of having reporters investigate real stories.


In fairness, there's been a succession of polls falling to the same pitfall in the past year. In the UK we had Conservatives very significantly underrepresented in generation election polling, and then Brexit voters significantly underrepresented in the EU referendum polls. Huffington Post was touting a 98% chance for Hillary to win before the results started coming in. That is insane to me, given that she was leading by 4 points - the same polling margin as Remain in the EU referendum - in somewhat similar circumstances to the EU referendum.

Precedents have been completely dismissed. Modifications to methodologies have been designed, but I guess most pollsters considered them too new or untested to be used for such a significant event.

I fail to see the problem. Her RCP average lead this past week was hovering between 2 and 3%. And she is projected to win the popular vote by slightly over 1%. Margin of error for the difference between two candidates is 5 to 7%.

Polls being wrong by 2% or so on average is pretty damn accurate. Wisconsin is the one place where you can say pollsters failed.


The point is that they are consistently wrong because they are failing to take into account effects that have been observed in similar votes as recently as a few months ago. And then that the media somehow go from a margin of error lead to a 98% chance of victory.

Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 20:41 Gorsameth wrote:
On November 09 2016 20:37 Simberto wrote:
On November 09 2016 20:27 Penev wrote:
On November 09 2016 20:20 Simberto wrote:
On November 09 2016 20:10 Gorsameth wrote:
Fighting climate change, gone

LGBT rights, gone

I wonder if the Republicans will have the guts to actually remove the ACA since there is no replacement.

Say goodbye to all the progress the US made in the past decades.

Guess Idiocracy was right.

American, you done fucked up.


Yeah, i have to say, i simply can not explain this election result. It just makes no sense. Why would anyone vote for someone like trump is beyond me. I would vote for a literal stone over that guy.

Does this mean that US politics is now completely unhinged from reality? Apparently it does not matter what is actually going on, the only thing relevant is what you claim. You can lie however much you want and still get elected president.

And lets not even start about Pence. Pence is just disgusting. That man manages to demonstrate that he has no idea how science works, and still despises it in just 5 minutes of talking about evolution. And gay conversion camps...

It is just so unimaginably insane to vote these people into a position of power, and actually give those people more power than Obama had. They can actually make laws, because they somehow control both houses of the US legislation, and they can not have those laws challenged because they control the supreme court, because the republicans were so incredibly dickish to just keep a slot in there open for a year just in case they won the election. This alone should have lost them the election. But for some reason it didn't.

I agree that the US electoral system is horrifyingly stupid, but still, even with that horrible system you should have been able to elect someone less insane than trump. Elect a log of wood. It's still better than Trump.

I just hope that he only fucks up your country, and doesn't manage to drag the EU down with him somehow.

Having an economy of the size like the US go bad is bad for everyone. Besides, I don't want any people to suffer.

But I agree, why vote for such a disgusting man, or why even vote for the political right even? If anything the US needed a yank.. to the left.


Oh i agree, it would be even better if he also doesn't fuck up the US.

Sadly, with everything i have heard so far, i do not think that that will happen. The US will probably not explode or anything, but it will be significantly worse after a Trump presidency than before. That is just something i see as sadly unavoidable after this result. I just hope that the rest of the world will not also be worse. Because we did not vote for this insanity.

But i also never understood how the republican party gets elected in the first place, even without trump. Their positions on evolution, healthcare, religion, climate change, economics, abortion and pretty much anything they ever talk about are just simply the direct opposite of what i believe is correct, and even far away from anything i can reasonably imagine a person supporting. So i guess voting for the worst person i can imagine in office is a logical conclusion to that?

Socially the US is a century behind Europe. That's why we cant imagine someone like Trump being elected.
Its like looking back in time at the 1800's / early 1900's.


Spoken like an imbecile who has never been to the US.

He's exaggerating and should have said western Europe
I Protoss winner, could it be?
JimmyJRaynor
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada16998 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 11:58:52
November 09 2016 11:56 GMT
#122312
how long is it before Congress can become controlled by teh Democrats?

On November 09 2016 20:41 Gorsameth wrote:
Socially the US is a century behind Europe. That's why we cant imagine someone like Trump being elected.
Its like looking back in time at the 1800's / early 1900's.

so Trump is a six foot two Napoleon. thanks for the laugh.

the US doesn't have to follow Europe.."socially". who says doing things in lock step with Europe is good any way. if Trump gets the economy rockin' i'm happy.
Ray Kassar To David Crane : "you're no more important to Atari than the factory workers assembling the cartridges"
SoSexy
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Italy3725 Posts
November 09 2016 11:58 GMT
#122313
Did Kwark get ban?
Dating thread on TL LUL
NukeD
Profile Joined October 2010
Croatia1612 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 11:59:51
November 09 2016 11:59 GMT
#122314
sorry for dem one liners
Grettin
Profile Joined April 2010
42381 Posts
November 09 2016 11:59 GMT
#122315
On November 09 2016 20:58 SoSexy wrote:
Did Kwark get ban?


Pretty sure he admitted defeat and took the 90 days. There was a post earlier.
"If I had force-fields in Brood War, I'd never lose." -Bisu
Introvert
Profile Joined April 2011
United States4862 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 12:01:32
November 09 2016 11:59 GMT
#122316
On November 09 2016 20:52 Simberto wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 20:46 Introvert wrote:
Don't know why I'm still up, but she does, in the end, win the popular vote. You Democrats have got to stop packing yourselves into these states! Spread out, the rest of America isn't so bad!


This also shows a big weakness in the US election system. Somehow, a minority of the population is able to control a majority in all parts of the legislative, the highest court of the iudicative and control the executive. This is obviouly broken. 2 party FPTP with so many weird archaic relics as in the US means that instead of simply winning the people over, you have to win in a very convoluted game with weird rules that make no sense whatsoever.

I am not quite certain why people accept that as normal. I get that it isn't easy to change, but i think a lot of the US population has to no idea that other democractic election systems exist. Which don't have those problems.


It still isn't 2000 bad, Clinton should not have lost PA, WI, or MI at all. Shw might also lose NH. She earned this loss, if that makes sense. And 55 from CA is a great advantage for democrats. I just find this super interesting from a process point of view.

Protection against the majority indeed.
"But, as the conservative understands it, modification of the rules should always reflect, and never impose, a change in the activities and beliefs of those who are subject to them, and should never on any occasion be so great as to destroy the ensemble."
MyTHicaL
Profile Joined November 2005
France1070 Posts
November 09 2016 11:59 GMT
#122317
On November 09 2016 20:56 JimmyJRaynor wrote:
how long is it before Congress can become controlled by teh Democrats?

Show nested quote +
On November 09 2016 20:41 Gorsameth wrote:
Socially the US is a century behind Europe. That's why we cant imagine someone like Trump being elected.
Its like looking back in time at the 1800's / early 1900's.

so Trump is a six foot two Napoleon. thanks for the laugh.

the US doesn't have to follow Europe.."socially". who says doing things in lock step with Europe is good any way. if Trump gets the economy rockin' i'm happy.


Napoleon was 5'9 or something fyi. his guarde de corps were 6'2 minimum. But the French measured people differently.
RvB
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Netherlands6250 Posts
November 09 2016 12:00 GMT
#122318
2 years in theory? Dunno if enough Republican Senate seats are up for election which the Democrats have a realistic chance of grabbing though.
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
November 09 2016 12:00 GMT
#122319
there is such a thing as qualitative analysis after all, but in conjunction with data. the trump turnout of rural people, some low propensity voters among them, would get studied and labeled as a thing in the future, but this was always there to get uncovered for those who cared to look.

the other large trend of women underperforming their polling avg shows polling as an act itself invokes polite behavior, but when the underlying judgment becomes social impropriety vs perceived crimes or corruption former is not strong enough. it was always incumbent on hrc to fight the policy argument fight. against a populist headwind to be sure, but polling obscured need for this. messaging strategy is a fail for only engaging with aboveboard narratives and failing to engage the derided alts from both left and right. this was difficult but it had to be done, given extreme reliance on fake news and social media.

the other fallout is that right or not, the third way people on left would lose some influence and politics turn more into class struggle and anti-capitalist. it is probably going to involve a war in the dem side. conceding the messaging to the populists seems to be compelled by circumstance. this would in turn expose the other fact during this election, middle upper class vote for selfish reasons. if there is a stark class war of the bernie vs trumpish republican kind, the republican would win.

the circumstances are such that the left would not learn the right lessons. doubling down on populism would be the thing to do, but it is really a case of center weakness and not left strength. a pure left-populist message would not win if framed as threat to suburban sensibilities.
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
DannyJ
Profile Joined March 2010
United States5110 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-11-09 12:01:39
November 09 2016 12:01 GMT
#122320
Pretty sure people are overreacting to this. It's certainly worrisome in some concrete ways but the man isn't going to destroy the world in 4 years. Presidents aren't omnipotent, especially ones like Trump who will even have members of his own party giving him endless shit.

Not to mention Donald is such a wildcard who in the flying fuck knows what he will really do when he actually has power. I'm pretty sure he knew most if not all of his grand ideas were impossible. He just knew he could strike a cord with the dullard masses and become President saying it...
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