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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
GreenHorizons
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States24369 Posts
August 01 2016 18:20 GMT
#92141
Thought it might be helpful to have a visual representation of what 538 is calling a bigger convention bump for Hillary.

+ Show Spoiler +
(The lines represent the starting date of each convention)[image loading]
"People like to look at history and think 'If that was me back then, I would have...' We're living through history, and the truth is, whatever you are doing now is probably what you would have done then" "Scratch a Liberal..."
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11607 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 18:24:18
August 01 2016 18:22 GMT
#92142
I think McCain played it pretty cool and calm. He barely defended himself when Trump made his initial attack against McCain's military record and intelligence (did he at all?). Instead he's going up to bat for others connected to the military. Take a gut punch for yourself, shrug it off and then later defend others from the same attacker. Pretty cool guy, imo (and the best sort of vengeance.)
ModeratorWake me up when Trump's term is finished. Slava Ukraini.
TheTenthDoc
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United States9561 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 18:30:56
August 01 2016 18:24 GMT
#92143
On August 02 2016 03:20 GreenHorizons wrote:
Thought it might be helpful to have a visual representation of what 538 is calling a bigger convention bump for Hillary.

+ Show Spoiler +
(The lines represent the starting date of each convention)[image loading]


Since a fair number of the bigger polls are still half before the convention, the bounce hasn't been fully priced in yet. But you don't do more than read headlines of sources you disagree with, of whom 538 is now one, so I wouldn't expect you to factor that into your presentation of the data.

The short-term velocities look about the same at the trailing end, though, which is a good sign.

On August 02 2016 02:51 LegalLord wrote:
I don't think there's any way to say "you're wrong about your dead son" without coming off as a complete prick.

It of course doesn't mean the original speaker is automatically correct either.


There's also pretty much no good reason to say "you're wrong about your dead son" at all if you're running for President of the United States. Even if they said mean things about you.
LegalLord
Profile Blog Joined April 2013
United States13779 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 18:29:20
August 01 2016 18:27 GMT
#92144
On August 02 2016 03:00 zlefin wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 02:51 LegalLord wrote:
I don't think there's any way to say "you're wrong about your dead son" without coming off as a complete prick.

It of course doesn't mean the original speaker is automatically correct either.

certainly difficult to do. though I think some way could do it and only come off as rather a prick rather than a complete prick.
It also helps if you've got a much better case about them being wrong than that jerk had.
I've done enough roleplaying as a courtier (l5r), that I'm sure with some serious effort, I could write up a letter that was only moderately prickish.

Meh, I think it's a little petty to hold it against someone that they came off as "more of a prick than they could have" when they were going to be seen as a prick either way.

On August 02 2016 03:22 Falling wrote:
I think McCain played it pretty cool and calm. He barely defended himself when Trump made his initial attack against McCain's military record and intelligence (did he at all?). Instead he's going up to bat for others connected to the military. Take a gut punch for yourself, shrug it off and then later defend others from the same attacker. Pretty cool guy, imo (and the best sort of vengeance.)

To be honest I'm not really sure that John Rambo McCain's support is exactly a good thing to have. He's widely seen as a Bush-like figure, and that group has really fallen out of favor right now.
History will sooner or later sweep the European Union away without mercy.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 18:39:33
August 01 2016 18:39 GMT
#92145
A broad coalition of US black activist groups including the Black Lives Matter Network released a policy document demanding reparations and an “end to the wars against Black people” on Monday, as the second anniversary of Mike Brown’s death in Ferguson, Missouri, approaches.

“We are dreamers and doers and this platform is meant to articulate some of our vision,” the agenda reads.

More than 25 groups including the Black Lives Matter Network, Black Youth Project 100 (BYP100), Dream Defenders and the Million Hoodies Movement for Justice joined together under the banner the “Movement for Black Lives (M4BL)” to present the expansive demands that span issues of economic, social, environmental and racial inequality.

Many of the organizations involved began working in the wake of George Zimmerman’s acquittal over the 2012 shooting death of Trayvon Martin in Sanford, Florida, and increasingly gained traction as police killings like those of African Americans such as Brown, Eric Garner and Tamir Rice put national focus on the racially disparate use of police force against black people.

The demands include an end to bail, privatized prisons, solitary confinement, and the death penalty, along with the complete decriminalization of drugs and prostitution.

“We seek radical transformation, not reactionary reform,” said Michaela Brown, communications director of Baltimore Bloc, one of the groups involved. “As the 2016 election continues, this platform provides us with a way to intervene with an agenda that resists state and corporate power, an opportunity to implement policies that truly value the safety and humanity of Black lives, and an overall means to hold elected leaders accountable.”

The coalition also demands an end to what it calls the “mass surveillance of Black communities”, including the elimination of police body cameras. The recording devices have been rapidly adopted by municipalities nationwide to quell outrage over police killings. Other activists have called for a greater use of such cameras, to deter police from using disproportionate force and provide evidence if they do.


Source
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Falling
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
Canada11607 Posts
August 01 2016 18:47 GMT
#92146
On August 02 2016 03:27 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 03:22 Falling wrote:
I think McCain played it pretty cool and calm. He barely defended himself when Trump made his initial attack against McCain's military record and intelligence (did he at all?). Instead he's going up to bat for others connected to the military. Take a gut punch for yourself, shrug it off and then later defend others from the same attacker. Pretty cool guy, imo (and the best sort of vengeance.)

To be honest I'm not really sure that John Rambo McCain's support is exactly a good thing to have. He's widely seen as a Bush-like figure, and that group has really fallen out of favor right now.

Oh it might do absolutely nothing to people supporting Trump. It might very well be open season on veterans not with Trump. But I'm saying I respect how he handled himself.
ModeratorWake me up when Trump's term is finished. Slava Ukraini.
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 01 2016 18:52 GMT
#92147
On August 02 2016 03:39 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Show nested quote +
A broad coalition of US black activist groups including the Black Lives Matter Network released a policy document demanding reparations and an “end to the wars against Black people” on Monday, as the second anniversary of Mike Brown’s death in Ferguson, Missouri, approaches.

“We are dreamers and doers and this platform is meant to articulate some of our vision,” the agenda reads.

More than 25 groups including the Black Lives Matter Network, Black Youth Project 100 (BYP100), Dream Defenders and the Million Hoodies Movement for Justice joined together under the banner the “Movement for Black Lives (M4BL)” to present the expansive demands that span issues of economic, social, environmental and racial inequality.

Many of the organizations involved began working in the wake of George Zimmerman’s acquittal over the 2012 shooting death of Trayvon Martin in Sanford, Florida, and increasingly gained traction as police killings like those of African Americans such as Brown, Eric Garner and Tamir Rice put national focus on the racially disparate use of police force against black people.

The demands include an end to bail, privatized prisons, solitary confinement, and the death penalty, along with the complete decriminalization of drugs and prostitution.

“We seek radical transformation, not reactionary reform,” said Michaela Brown, communications director of Baltimore Bloc, one of the groups involved. “As the 2016 election continues, this platform provides us with a way to intervene with an agenda that resists state and corporate power, an opportunity to implement policies that truly value the safety and humanity of Black lives, and an overall means to hold elected leaders accountable.”

The coalition also demands an end to what it calls the “mass surveillance of Black communities”, including the elimination of police body cameras. The recording devices have been rapidly adopted by municipalities nationwide to quell outrage over police killings. Other activists have called for a greater use of such cameras, to deter police from using disproportionate force and provide evidence if they do.


Source

Although I don’t agree with everything in their demand and it’s a clear “shoot the moon” style document, the surveillance angle of body cameras is no something I thought about. I’m still very pro-body camera, but there should be clear rules for when video is destroyed if its not used in an investigation. And limits on how it can be used without probable cause.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 01 2016 19:02 GMT
#92148
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
ticklishmusic
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
United States15977 Posts
August 01 2016 19:17 GMT
#92149
On August 02 2016 04:02 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aOOzteXCmVM


from the man that called avoiding STD's his own personal vietnam, i'm somehow not surprised.
(╯°□°)╯︵ ┻━┻
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 19:22:53
August 01 2016 19:22 GMT
#92150
On August 02 2016 03:27 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 03:00 zlefin wrote:
On August 02 2016 02:51 LegalLord wrote:
I don't think there's any way to say "you're wrong about your dead son" without coming off as a complete prick.

It of course doesn't mean the original speaker is automatically correct either.

certainly difficult to do. though I think some way could do it and only come off as rather a prick rather than a complete prick.
It also helps if you've got a much better case about them being wrong than that jerk had.
I've done enough roleplaying as a courtier (l5r), that I'm sure with some serious effort, I could write up a letter that was only moderately prickish.

Meh, I think it's a little petty to hold it against someone that they came off as "more of a prick than they could have" when they were going to be seen as a prick either way.

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 03:22 Falling wrote:
I think McCain played it pretty cool and calm. He barely defended himself when Trump made his initial attack against McCain's military record and intelligence (did he at all?). Instead he's going up to bat for others connected to the military. Take a gut punch for yourself, shrug it off and then later defend others from the same attacker. Pretty cool guy, imo (and the best sort of vengeance.)

To be honest I'm not really sure that John Rambo McCain's support is exactly a good thing to have. He's widely seen as a Bush-like figure, and that group has really fallen out of favor right now.


Trump didn't have to say anything to the dad or mom, and didn't have to come off as a prick. It was just Trump being petty as usual after being criticized, not being able to let it go. So after the DNC it was a Trump pettiness tour. #DiceRoll
Piledriver
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States1697 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 19:53:02
August 01 2016 19:27 GMT
#92151
On August 02 2016 04:02 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aOOzteXCmVM


Trump supporters and surrogates are as disgusting as Trump himself.

Seriously, Mitt Romney positively looks like a saint now and would have absolutely crushed Hillary if he had been nominated this year.

On August 02 2016 03:27 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 03:00 zlefin wrote:
On August 02 2016 02:51 LegalLord wrote:
I don't think there's any way to say "you're wrong about your dead son" without coming off as a complete prick.

It of course doesn't mean the original speaker is automatically correct either.

certainly difficult to do. though I think some way could do it and only come off as rather a prick rather than a complete prick.
It also helps if you've got a much better case about them being wrong than that jerk had.
I've done enough roleplaying as a courtier (l5r), that I'm sure with some serious effort, I could write up a letter that was only moderately prickish.

Meh, I think it's a little petty to hold it against someone that they came off as "more of a prick than they could have" when they were going to be seen as a prick either way.


All Trump needed to do was let this issue die out of the news cycle, just issue a press release thanking Mr. Khan for their family's sacrifice, but saying something to the effect of - "While I understand Mr.Khan's views, the current cycle of terrorism demands far more radical policy positions than at any previous time in history" .

That's all there was to be done. A little bit of humility and nuance are all that is needed. Instead he dragged himself into it like a pig and drew the entire discourse into the gutter by insulting his wife and insinuating that he had made comparable sacrifices to a soldier who gave up his life. The only sacrifices he made were the marriages to his ex-wives in pursuit of his next younger, prettier conquest. Truly a contemptible human being.
Envy fan since NTH.
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
August 01 2016 19:46 GMT
#92152
Why can't Trump bring back the "Hillary is only here because she's a female" and "Hillary lacks the strength and stamina" arguments? I think those would work well with women.
zlefin
Profile Blog Joined October 2012
United States7689 Posts
August 01 2016 19:47 GMT
#92153
On August 02 2016 03:27 LegalLord wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 03:00 zlefin wrote:
On August 02 2016 02:51 LegalLord wrote:
I don't think there's any way to say "you're wrong about your dead son" without coming off as a complete prick.

It of course doesn't mean the original speaker is automatically correct either.

certainly difficult to do. though I think some way could do it and only come off as rather a prick rather than a complete prick.
It also helps if you've got a much better case about them being wrong than that jerk had.
I've done enough roleplaying as a courtier (l5r), that I'm sure with some serious effort, I could write up a letter that was only moderately prickish.

Meh, I think it's a little petty to hold it against someone that they came off as "more of a prick than they could have" when they were going to be seen as a prick either way.

Show nested quote +
On August 02 2016 03:22 Falling wrote:
I think McCain played it pretty cool and calm. He barely defended himself when Trump made his initial attack against McCain's military record and intelligence (did he at all?). Instead he's going up to bat for others connected to the military. Take a gut punch for yourself, shrug it off and then later defend others from the same attacker. Pretty cool guy, imo (and the best sort of vengeance.)

To be honest I'm not really sure that John Rambo McCain's support is exactly a good thing to have. He's widely seen as a Bush-like figure, and that group has really fallen out of favor right now.


I see no pettiness involved from me or others.
There are many degrees of poor behavior, and ample justification for distinguishing between them.
Great read: http://shorensteincenter.org/news-coverage-2016-general-election/ great book on democracy: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/10671.html zlefin is grumpier due to long term illness. Ignoring some users.
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 01 2016 19:58 GMT
#92154
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-08-01 20:03:33
August 01 2016 20:02 GMT
#92155
Fareed has no choice but to use gutter language so that the yokel will get it through their thick skull Trump is full of shit. It won't help but it's amusing to see
rip passion
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 01 2016 20:06 GMT
#92156
Now the fire marshals are part of the conspiracy!

"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Doodsmack
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States7224 Posts
August 01 2016 20:06 GMT
#92157
Wonder if Manafort is still getting paid by anyone from Ukraine/Russia?
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
August 01 2016 20:12 GMT
#92158
On August 02 2016 05:06 Doodsmack wrote:
Wonder if Manafort is still getting paid by anyone from Ukraine/Russia?

I think the Times and the Post are trying to confirm he is on Trumps payroll and not working "for free".
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
August 01 2016 20:13 GMT
#92159
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
KwarK
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
United States44353 Posts
August 01 2016 20:19 GMT
#92160
The 2016 election doesn't really obey conventional ideas of more or less likely. I'd probably answer less likely to vote Trump following the convention but that's not really accurate, 0% is still 0%. The divide in this election is more absolute than it has perhaps ever been. One side is literally calling for the other to be jailed etc.
ModeratorThe angels have the phone box
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