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US Politics Mega-thread - Page 2882

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Read the rules in the OP before posting, please.

In order to ensure that this thread continues to meet TL standards and follows the proper guidelines, we will be enforcing the rules in the OP more strictly. Be sure to give them a re-read to refresh your memory! The vast majority of you are contributing in a healthy way, keep it up!

NOTE: When providing a source, explain why you feel it is relevant and what purpose it adds to the discussion if it's not obvious.
Also take note that unsubstantiated tweets/posts meant only to rekindle old arguments can result in a mod action.
Deleted User 3420
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
24492 Posts
February 10 2016 18:03 GMT
#57621
Some people, including myself, find lineages and "ruling families" to be a giant red flag.

We have hundreds of millions of people in this country. I don't want to vote in the wife of a former president. It's ridiculous.

Honestly that's good enough reason to not vote for her. It really is. Can people really not see this? Do people not care whether or not we are ruled by an oligarchy?
cLutZ
Profile Joined November 2010
United States19574 Posts
February 10 2016 18:04 GMT
#57622
On February 11 2016 02:45 KwarK wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2016 02:40 cLutZ wrote:
On February 11 2016 00:34 KwarK wrote:
On February 10 2016 21:45 oneofthem wrote:
the much higher middle class tax burden

You need to look at tax statistics. The US middle class are fucked. The poor are too poor to have anything worth taxing and the rich are too rich to pay more than 15%. The superrich do still pay a lot of tax but that's only because 15% of 90% of the money is still far more than 40% of the remaining 10% of the money.


That's actually not true. Even accounting for % of national income, the US rich pay the highest % of overall tax burden of any OECD country.

http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/422013187855

You completely missed my point. They pay a lot because they have so much more than the middle class, not because they're taxed at a higher rate.

Imagine there are ten cookies. The rich guy takes 9, the middle class guy takes 1, the poor guy takes none. The rich guy is taxed one cookie, the middle class guy half a cookie and then the rich guy bitches to the middle class guy about how the poor guy didn't even have to pay any.

Same principle. Yes in absolute terms the rich guy gave up the 2/3 of the total cookies taxed (1 out of 1.5). However that's a very bad way of measuring what happened.


Read what I posted

If you divide the number taxed by the number earned the US is still the highest. In your scenario it would be 1/9 vs .5/1, aka a regressive system. In ours its more like this:

100 cookies Top 1/3 get 50, 25 taxed, next third get 30, 10 taxed, next third get 20, 0 taxed.
Freeeeeeedom
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
February 10 2016 18:06 GMT
#57623
On February 11 2016 03:03 travis wrote:
Some people, including myself, find lineages and "ruling families" to be a giant red flag.

We have hundreds of millions of people in this country. I don't want to vote in the wife of a former president. It's ridiculous.

Honestly that's good enough reason to not vote for her. It really is. Can people really not see this? Do people not care whether or not we are ruled by an oligarchy?

I generally base my vote on what I feel is best for the country and me, rather than some abstract idea of what the person represents. If forced to choose between Trump or Clinton, it’s easy. Same with her and almost all of the Republican candidates.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
February 10 2016 18:08 GMT
#57624
trump
is
a clinton mole

this is the storyline im going with
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Deleted User 3420
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
24492 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-10 18:11:54
February 10 2016 18:10 GMT
#57625
On February 11 2016 03:06 Plansix wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2016 03:03 travis wrote:
Some people, including myself, find lineages and "ruling families" to be a giant red flag.

We have hundreds of millions of people in this country. I don't want to vote in the wife of a former president. It's ridiculous.

Honestly that's good enough reason to not vote for her. It really is. Can people really not see this? Do people not care whether or not we are ruled by an oligarchy?

I generally base my vote on what I feel is best for the country and me, rather than some abstract idea of what the person represents. If forced to choose between Trump or Clinton, it’s easy. Same with her and almost all of the Republican candidates.


I tend to just admit I don't know. I honestly don't know what most of the presidential candidates actually would do, or even what they could accomplish if they wanted to try.

I don't actually care to vote for a candidate unless I think they are a trustworthy person who is more interested in helping the country or humanity than they are in playing some sort of game where they get more power, money, or influence for themselves or their clique.

This is why I have never voted. Because I have never thought that. And time and time again I have been proven right by what actually happens in the following 4 years.

Bernie Sanders would be the first time I would bother voting.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5669 Posts
February 10 2016 18:11 GMT
#57626
On February 11 2016 03:01 TheTenthDoc wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2016 02:44 xDaunt wrote:
On February 11 2016 02:38 kwizach wrote:
On February 11 2016 02:24 xDaunt wrote:
On February 11 2016 02:04 LemOn wrote:
On February 10 2016 23:29 TheTenthDoc wrote:
On February 10 2016 21:51 LemOn wrote:
Man did Rubio fuck up with the debate performance
Can trump be actually the nominee now? This is like the first time even the bookies see him as a big favorite.

Can he actually...be a president? Hillary looks to win the nom, and there's no question who's better head to head in debates.

I mean it's great entertainment and I'm loving it but it was because it was safe to say he can't actually make it.


Trump has never head to head debated anyone really. His style will not work well with it imo. He thrives on multiple people chiming in, all nailing him on different things, and thus all looking contradictory, then sitting back and saying something vague that people interpret however they want.

That may be, but Hillary just comes across so bad with her insincere body language, constant writing down and looking at her papers controlled style. I mean maybe she's improved since she imploded against Obama, but based on look at her rallies, public appearances etc. I doubt that

I don't think that Hillary will be able to deal with Trump in a debate. Trump will flatten Hillary in a debate through sheer force of unrelenting shamelessness. Unlike everyone else, Trump won't hesitate to throw haymakers at Hillary.

The delusion is strong with this one. Trump is absolutely terrible at debating, and the contrast between the two in terms of actual knowledge of the issues will be incredibly stark. If it's Clinton vs Trump, the Democrats have the election in the bag.

Apparently you're not paying close enough attention to the dynamics of the republican debates. Do you really think that Clinton's policy wonk responses are really going to hold up to Trump's barrage of criticism -- particularly on foreign policy issues? It's going to be like shooting fish in a barrel for Trump. And when Hillary brings up her feminist credentials? Trump will slap her down as an empowerer of a serial womanizer/abuser of women/rapist/however far down that particular rabbit hole Trump wants to go. These debates aren't going to be graded and assessed by the voting public in an informed, technical sense. It's going to be a brawl in the mud, and no candidate can hang with Trump in that arena.


Trump is better than Hillary in Republican shouting contests debates.

This is not in any way whatsoever a reflection of his future ability in presidential debates. It's like comparing basketball skills with golf skills. I mean I'm sure Paul Ryan would have been lovely in Republican debates in 2012, but against Biden he failed incredibly hard.

By the same token, Democratic debates wouldn't be comparable to general election debates.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
February 10 2016 18:11 GMT
#57627
On February 11 2016 02:44 xDaunt wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2016 02:38 kwizach wrote:
On February 11 2016 02:24 xDaunt wrote:
On February 11 2016 02:04 LemOn wrote:
On February 10 2016 23:29 TheTenthDoc wrote:
On February 10 2016 21:51 LemOn wrote:
Man did Rubio fuck up with the debate performance
Can trump be actually the nominee now? This is like the first time even the bookies see him as a big favorite.

Can he actually...be a president? Hillary looks to win the nom, and there's no question who's better head to head in debates.

I mean it's great entertainment and I'm loving it but it was because it was safe to say he can't actually make it.


Trump has never head to head debated anyone really. His style will not work well with it imo. He thrives on multiple people chiming in, all nailing him on different things, and thus all looking contradictory, then sitting back and saying something vague that people interpret however they want.

That may be, but Hillary just comes across so bad with her insincere body language, constant writing down and looking at her papers controlled style. I mean maybe she's improved since she imploded against Obama, but based on look at her rallies, public appearances etc. I doubt that

I don't think that Hillary will be able to deal with Trump in a debate. Trump will flatten Hillary in a debate through sheer force of unrelenting shamelessness. Unlike everyone else, Trump won't hesitate to throw haymakers at Hillary.

The delusion is strong with this one. Trump is absolutely terrible at debating, and the contrast between the two in terms of actual knowledge of the issues will be incredibly stark. If it's Clinton vs Trump, the Democrats have the election in the bag.

Apparently you're not paying close enough attention to the dynamics of the republican debates. Do you really think that Clinton's policy wonk responses are really going to hold up to Trump's barrage of criticism -- particularly on foreign policy issues? It's going to be like shooting fish in a barrel for Trump. And when Hillary brings up her feminist credentials? Trump will slap her down as an empowerer of a serial womanizer/abuser of women/rapist/however far down that particular rabbit hole Trump wants to go. These debates aren't going to be graded and assessed by the voting public in an informed, technical sense. It's going to be a brawl in the mud, and no candidate can hang with Trump in that arena.

voter base will be different. not all americans do gop primary
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
WhiteDog
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
France8650 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-10 18:22:20
February 10 2016 18:13 GMT
#57628
On February 11 2016 01:45 oneofthem wrote:
well it's not that flattering to say a field's theory is entirely inadequate starting point and only manage to adjust because of mistakes too large to ignore. maybe when the agency based models get sophisticated enough we'll get something better and less theory laden. i'd like to be a corrupt bureaucrat in such a model making arbitrary decisions

It is not mathematics that is at the core of neoclassical economy's flaws, but its epistemology. Social sciences are not refutable, every context is impossible to "saturate" (derrida) and thus there are no laws. Neoclassical economy is not dynamic, doesn't imagine the effect of anything in a context (it is everything equal and out of time), and thus makes huge mistakes in the relationship it enlight between variables.
See, for exemple, how the neoclassical economy destroyed the phillips curve : they thought Phillips analysed a possible trade off between inflation and unemployment, and thus thought that the simple existence of a high unemployment and a high inflation was a possible refutation to Phillips' work - and then proposed that phillips was only right in the short run. In reality, Phillips (in the article, I suggest reading it, it is one of the best piece of economy made in the XXth century, and it's ten page long) analysed a non linear and multicausal relation between the level of unemployment, the variation of wages with various other secondary variables, such as the role of syndicates, politics, negotiations and the desire to "control the economy", but neoclassical economists were not able to even understand the non linear, dynamic model that Phillips proposed.
There are mathematical ways to build dynamic models with multicausal relationships between variables, but economists can't do it unless they completly forget about the idea of equilibrium (because most dynamic models are unstable, and revolve around one or X equilibriums) that is at the core of neoclassical ideology.
"every time WhiteDog overuses the word "seriously" in a comment I can make an observation on his fragile emotional state." MoltkeWarding
{CC}StealthBlue
Profile Blog Joined January 2003
United States41117 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-10 18:13:58
February 10 2016 18:13 GMT
#57629
Clinton lost young Women by 60 points, or 4 out of 5... Holy fuck. I dont think anyone saw that coming.
"Smokey, this is not 'Nam, this is bowling. There are rules."
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21787 Posts
February 10 2016 18:13 GMT
#57630
On February 11 2016 03:03 travis wrote:
Some people, including myself, find lineages and "ruling families" to be a giant red flag.

We have hundreds of millions of people in this country. I don't want to vote in the wife of a former president. It's ridiculous.

Honestly that's good enough reason to not vote for her. It really is. Can people really not see this? Do people not care whether or not we are ruled by an oligarchy?

No I think its a dumb reason to rule out anyone.
Politicians should be judged on their merit, not on who they are related or married to.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-10 18:16:05
February 10 2016 18:14 GMT
#57631
political dynasties are not all bad. there is some long term thinking in there as opposed to revolving dooring.

kennedy was doing ok
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21787 Posts
February 10 2016 18:15 GMT
#57632
On February 11 2016 03:13 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Clinton lost young Women by 60 points, or 4 out of 5... Holy fuck. I didn't anyone saw that coming.

Just being a women doesn't get women to vote for you, same with race.
You have to actually have a message they care about.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
February 10 2016 18:16 GMT
#57633
"I went to nasdaq on september of 2007 and told them to cut it out" Hehe
rip passion
Deathstar
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
9150 Posts
February 10 2016 18:17 GMT
#57634
On February 11 2016 03:15 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2016 03:13 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Clinton lost young Women by 60 points, or 4 out of 5... Holy fuck. I didn't anyone saw that coming.

Just being a women doesn't get women to vote for you, same with race.
You have to actually have a message they care about.


That's not true. AFAIK in SC, and nationally, many black people consider Bill Clinton an honorary black person and they will stay loyal to his wife. That's the extent of their politics.
rip passion
oneofthem
Profile Blog Joined November 2005
Cayman Islands24199 Posts
February 10 2016 18:18 GMT
#57635
whitedoge we used different phrasing for same issue i believe
We have fed the heart on fantasies, the heart's grown brutal from the fare, more substance in our enmities than in our love
Plansix
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
United States60190 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-10 18:23:09
February 10 2016 18:21 GMT
#57636
On February 11 2016 03:17 Deathstar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2016 03:15 Gorsameth wrote:
On February 11 2016 03:13 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Clinton lost young Women by 60 points, or 4 out of 5... Holy fuck. I didn't anyone saw that coming.

Just being a women doesn't get women to vote for you, same with race.
You have to actually have a message they care about.


That's not true. AFAIK in SC, and nationally, many black people consider Bill Clinton an honorary black person and they will stay loyal to his wife. That's the extent of their politics.

Extent of “their” politics? Are you for real right now? Are you sure that blacks don’t vote with Clinton because Bill listened to their issues and they expected the same from his wife? And the Republicans have really be courting the black vote for a while, right? And by courting it, I mean not making any effort to attract black voters.

Edit: Also, can we put a stop of the posting of rando youtube videos by people with 1000 subscribers? That is some facebook level garbage.
I have the Honor to be your Obedient Servant, P.6
TL+ Member
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5669 Posts
February 10 2016 18:21 GMT
#57637
On February 11 2016 03:14 oneofthem wrote:
political dynasties are not all bad. there is some long term thinking in there as opposed to revolving dooring.

kennedy was doing ok

Executives are supposed to be switched often in the US system. The rest of your political career can be somewhere else doing long-term things, like as a legislator. We should be skeptical (but open) right off the bat of the likelihood of people with the same last name all being exceptional enough to hold the highest office arguably on the planet.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Gorsameth
Profile Joined April 2010
Netherlands21787 Posts
February 10 2016 18:26 GMT
#57638
On February 11 2016 03:17 Deathstar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2016 03:15 Gorsameth wrote:
On February 11 2016 03:13 {CC}StealthBlue wrote:
Clinton lost young Women by 60 points, or 4 out of 5... Holy fuck. I didn't anyone saw that coming.

Just being a women doesn't get women to vote for you, same with race.
You have to actually have a message they care about.


That's not true. AFAIK in SC, and nationally, many black people consider Bill Clinton an honorary black person and they will stay loyal to his wife. That's the extent of their politics.

Some people will think like that, the vast majority will not.

If Carson won the republican nomination, would he sweep in 80% of the black vote because he is black?
Is Fiorina getting every female republican's vote?

If your message is shit, it doesn't matter what your race or gender is.
It ignores such insignificant forces as time, entropy, and death
Doublemint
Profile Joined July 2011
Austria8569 Posts
February 10 2016 18:27 GMT
#57639
why do you think die hard reps/hillary haters want her to lose?

they know they will lose the general because their field is weak and in disarray AF. bernie winning the primary would be christmas and easter bunny combined.

get a grip people like xdaunt, you had a rough awakening after romneybot lost. you will have a second one when hillarybot wins I reckon ^^

big picture did not change - not even a bit.
Deleted User 3420
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
24492 Posts
Last Edited: 2016-02-10 18:30:08
February 10 2016 18:28 GMT
#57640
On February 11 2016 03:13 Gorsameth wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 11 2016 03:03 travis wrote:
Some people, including myself, find lineages and "ruling families" to be a giant red flag.

We have hundreds of millions of people in this country. I don't want to vote in the wife of a former president. It's ridiculous.

Honestly that's good enough reason to not vote for her. It really is. Can people really not see this? Do people not care whether or not we are ruled by an oligarchy?

No I think its a dumb reason to rule out anyone.
Politicians should be judged on their merit, not on who they are related or married to.


I feel like this is very naive when you start examining the friends and family connections between those in power in the U.S. "Merit" is interesting. Do you think it's harder or easier to get jobs in politics when you are deeply entrenched in a network of super rich politicians and businessmen?
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