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[spoiler] ELO Peaks - Page 42

Forum Index > BW General
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Crunchums
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States11144 Posts
May 07 2010 15:40 GMT
#821
the real spoiler is that when it isn't bumped you know flash lost
brood war for life, brood war forever
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
May 07 2010 15:44 GMT
#822
On May 08 2010 00:33 HeadhunteR wrote:
stop spoiling..... this thread has to be closed the next day every time flash plays


Nah, the title just needs to be changed to [spoiler] Flash won
"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
Jackal03
Profile Joined October 2009
Brazil7469 Posts
May 07 2010 15:49 GMT
#823
flash winning is almost no spoiler
BW is back
maneatingshoe
Profile Joined April 2009
Canada484 Posts
May 07 2010 15:59 GMT
#824
On May 08 2010 00:37 Holgerius wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 08 2010 00:33 HeadhunteR wrote:
stop spoiling..... this thread has to be closed the next day every time flash plays

This thread has been bumped even when there wasn't an ELO record. Today, for example.

he broke his TvP record! which puts him two points behind being the all time leader in vP
HopLight
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Sweden999 Posts
May 07 2010 16:06 GMT
#825
On April 29 2010 22:51 bugus wrote:
I'm guessing in each match there are 20 points to split between players. Against mvp it was

+2 if win
-18 if loss

Max would be -19 when losing, so I guess he was pretty close to the limit. I dont know how much you were expecting him to lose.


As far as I know, the Starcraft ELO system is modeled the same way as other elo systems (most famously in chess for instance). This means that there is no absolute cap, for instance I remember JD losing to some scrub around 2000 ELO and dropping a huge amount of points. Wikipedia goes into it pretty well here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system
Cpadolf
Profile Joined August 2009
Sweden1199 Posts
May 07 2010 16:41 GMT
#826
To put it in simple terms, your expected win rate against a certain player is calculated by a comparison between your ELO and your opponents ELO, and then the number of points you win or lose is decided by a predetermined K value. For example, if your ELO is 2400 and you play someone with an ELO of 2200, you are expected to win 76% of the time, and so if you do win you get K*0.24 points, and if you lose you lose K*0.76 points (and your opponent wins K*0.76 if he wins and loses K*0.24 if he loses)

The K value used on teamliquid is 20 (as far as I can tell from previous changes in score), so there isn't necessarily 20 points split between the two players, but it is the maximum you can win or lose, and it is also the highest possible change in difference between the ELO of two players after a game.
Fenrax
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States5018 Posts
May 13 2010 12:09 GMT
#827
Let's not forget that every new ELO peak after a loss is another milestone. He had to pull 11 straight wins, 9 of them in best of threes, to get to the 2443. Should he lose the next match, this might be the highest ELO ever that a player achieves.

One question regarding the ELO system: Is the K value higher for MSL or OSL KO rounds than for regular PL games?
integral
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
United States3156 Posts
May 13 2010 12:16 GMT
#828
Yes, he had to win 11 straight, and kid is ridiculous, and this might be the highest he ever reaches (if he wins both leagues I imagine he'll rest up a bit) -- but he only had to climb so high because he lost twice in short succession and MVP was so far below his ELO. I'm not sure but I don't think he would've lost nearly so many points vs Jaedong or Kal. If he wins each finals 3-1 I expect him to stay within striking distance of setting the bar even higher.
Scorch
Profile Blog Joined March 2008
Austria3371 Posts
May 13 2010 12:20 GMT
#829
+ Show Spoiler [Spoilers required in this thread?] +
Not only is Flash at an all-time high, he's also a cool 235 points ahead of ELO #3 (who he just 3-0'd). What a one man show today's Starcraft is. Two if you wanna count Jaedong.
bugus
Profile Joined November 2008
Romania133 Posts
May 13 2010 12:46 GMT
#830
On May 13 2010 21:09 Fenrax wrote:
One question regarding the ELO system: Is the K value higher for MSL or OSL KO rounds than for regular PL games?



seems is always 20
okum
Profile Blog Joined February 2009
France5778 Posts
May 13 2010 12:53 GMT
#831
84% win rate since Proleague started in October, with 113 games played.

Distribution of winning streak lengths:

12: 1
11: 1
10: 1
7: 2
6: 4
5: 2
4: 1
3: 2
2: 1
1: 2
Flash fan before it was cool | Coiner of "jangbang"
Wings
Profile Joined January 2010
United States999 Posts
May 13 2010 12:55 GMT
#832
On May 13 2010 21:53 okum wrote:
84% win rate since Proleague started in October, with 113 games played.

Distribution of winning streak lengths:

12: 1
11: 1
10: 1
7: 2
6: 4
5: 2
4: 1
3: 2
2: 1
1: 2

i guess Flash doesn't like the numbers 8 & 9
The probability of Kim Carrier getting all those predictions wrong is similar to the probability Flash loses a TvT. Kim Carrier MUST BE a genius. His only big mistake... STORK.
GTR
Profile Blog Joined September 2004
51531 Posts
May 13 2010 13:12 GMT
#833
how long until flash gets 2500 elo -_-
Commentator
tnud
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Sweden2233 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-13 13:19:50
May 13 2010 13:16 GMT
#834
On May 13 2010 22:12 GTR wrote:
how long until flash gets 2500 elo -_-

Weeeelll, 4-0 in the upcoming PL matches then 3-0 Kal/Effort in the finals should do the trick..
~9 days ;-)
EDIT: wait... his ELO is too high for him to actually gain any points from that lol..
- ಠ_ಠ - | disinfect wrote: AHAHHAHAHA 2DG FUCK ME ALREADY.
Fenrax
Profile Blog Joined January 2010
United States5018 Posts
May 13 2010 14:55 GMT
#835
Lol, not even close. He gains 3-4 points from beating #3 in the Elo Rank. That means 2-3 point for the average player. So he has to go ~ 20-0 from now on for reaching 2500.
BlueApex
Profile Joined May 2010
63 Posts
May 13 2010 15:43 GMT
#836
On May 13 2010 23:55 Fenrax wrote:
So he has to go ~ 20-0 from now on for reaching 2500.


Easy for flash
The very best, I want to be
Gann1
Profile Joined July 2009
United States1575 Posts
May 13 2010 15:43 GMT
#837
2500 is probably out of the question, but I wouldn't be surprised if he reaches 2450. As long as he doesn't lose in proleague he should be able to do it in the OSL final, no matter who his opponent is.
I drop suckas like Plinko
niteReloaded
Profile Blog Joined February 2007
Croatia5282 Posts
May 13 2010 15:55 GMT
#838
holy.fucking.shit

[image loading]
Shivaz
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Canada1783 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-05-13 16:01:19
May 13 2010 15:59 GMT
#839
On May 14 2010 00:55 niteReloaded wrote:
holy.fucking.shit

[image loading]


remember when people said flash's tvp is not up to par to his great other mus @ 68%, no problem make it 71%+
Jakalo
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Latvia2350 Posts
May 13 2010 16:04 GMT
#840
[image loading]
Nostalgia is not as good as it used to be.
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