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[spoiler] ELO Peaks - Page 37

Forum Index > BW General
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e_i_pi_1_0
Profile Joined September 2009
933 Posts
April 14 2010 17:43 GMT
#721
Jaedong TvP: 117 wins - 53 losses (68.82%) 2291 ELO


I didn't know Jaedong played TvP
Jaedong and Hwaseung Oz fan.
J1.au
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Australia3596 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-04-14 17:45:54
April 14 2010 17:44 GMT
#722
On April 15 2010 02:43 e_i_pi_1_0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
Jaedong TvP: 117 wins - 53 losses (68.82%) 2291 ELO


I didn't know Jaedong played TvP

Hahaha, 3:44 AM. Too much Terran in my brain. The point still stands however, Jaedong's ZvP is clearly not more dominant that Flash's TvT and TvZ.
Waximus
Profile Joined November 2009
China6 Posts
April 14 2010 17:45 GMT
#723
On April 15 2010 02:43 e_i_pi_1_0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
Jaedong TvP: 117 wins - 53 losses (68.82%) 2291 ELO


I didn't know Jaedong played TvP


Indeed, but I wonder how good he would be...
No one hears you.
LucasWoJ
Profile Blog Joined May 2007
United States936 Posts
April 14 2010 17:52 GMT
#724
On April 15 2010 02:44 J1.au wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2010 02:43 e_i_pi_1_0 wrote:
Jaedong TvP: 117 wins - 53 losses (68.82%) 2291 ELO


I didn't know Jaedong played TvP

Hahaha, 3:44 AM. Too much Terran in my brain. The point still stands however, Jaedong's ZvP is clearly not more dominant that Flash's TvT and TvZ.


Quoting lifetime percentages that somewhat omit the various evolutions in the matchup (brought up by both of these players) to prove "dominance," one way or the other, is the wrong way to do it. Over roughly the last six months:

Since 10/01/10, Jaedong's ZvP is
Record: 16 wins - 1 losses (94.12%) (20-2 (90%) including WCG)

Flash's TvP since 10/01/10 is
20 wins - 4 losses (83.33%)

Flash's TvT since 10/01/10 is
Record: 19 wins - 4 losses (82.61%)

You are still correct in saying that his ZvP is not clearly more dominant than Flash's TvZ or TvT. It is, however, more dominant than both (just not clearly).



"Of all the words of mice and men, the saddest are it could have been." - Kurt Vonnegut
J1.au
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Australia3596 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-04-14 17:59:46
April 14 2010 17:58 GMT
#725
On April 15 2010 02:52 LucasWoJ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2010 02:44 J1.au wrote:
On April 15 2010 02:43 e_i_pi_1_0 wrote:
Jaedong TvP: 117 wins - 53 losses (68.82%) 2291 ELO


I didn't know Jaedong played TvP

Hahaha, 3:44 AM. Too much Terran in my brain. The point still stands however, Jaedong's ZvP is clearly not more dominant that Flash's TvT and TvZ.


Quoting lifetime percentages that somewhat omit the various evolutions in the matchup (brought up by both of these players) to prove "dominance," one way or the other, is the wrong way to do it. Over roughly the last six months:

Since 10/01/10, Jaedong's ZvP is
Record: 16 wins - 1 losses (94.12%) (20-2 (90%) including WCG)

Flash's TvP since 10/01/10 is
20 wins - 4 losses (83.33%)

Flash's TvT since 10/01/10 is
Record: 19 wins - 4 losses (82.61%)

You are still correct in saying that his ZvP is not clearly more dominant than Flash's TvZ or TvT. It is, however, more dominant than both (just not clearly).




Flash's TvP since 1/1/10 is
18 wins - 2 losses (90.00%)

Jaedong's ZvP since 1/1/10 is
9 wins - 1 losses (90.00%)

Am I missing something? Seriously, where the hell did you get those numbers from!? Jaedong's ZvP is CLEARLY not more dominant.
BobbYt3hBobbY
Profile Joined December 2008
256 Posts
April 14 2010 18:03 GMT
#726
I think he meant starting from 1st of October 2009. Otherwise WCG wouldnt make sense.
love1another
Profile Blog Joined December 2009
United States1844 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-04-14 18:04:26
April 14 2010 18:03 GMT
#727
Well this argument has given additional evidence to the adage that there are lies, damned lies, and statistics.
"I'm learning more and more that TL isn't the place to go for advice outside of anything you need in college. It's like you guys just make up your own fantasy world shit and post it as if you've done it." - Chill
TwoToneTerran
Profile Joined March 2009
United States8841 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-04-14 23:56:03
April 14 2010 23:53 GMT
#728
On April 15 2010 02:52 LucasWoJ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2010 02:44 J1.au wrote:
On April 15 2010 02:43 e_i_pi_1_0 wrote:
Jaedong TvP: 117 wins - 53 losses (68.82%) 2291 ELO


I didn't know Jaedong played TvP

Hahaha, 3:44 AM. Too much Terran in my brain. The point still stands however, Jaedong's ZvP is clearly not more dominant that Flash's TvT and TvZ.


Quoting lifetime percentages that somewhat omit the various evolutions in the matchup (brought up by both of these players) to prove "dominance," one way or the other, is the wrong way to do it. Over roughly the last six months:

Since 10/01/10, Jaedong's ZvP is
Record: 16 wins - 1 losses (94.12%) (20-2 (90%) including WCG)

Flash's TvP since 10/01/10 is
20 wins - 4 losses (83.33%)

Flash's TvT since 10/01/10 is
Record: 19 wins - 4 losses (82.61%)

You are still correct in saying that his ZvP is not clearly more dominant than Flash's TvZ or TvT. It is, however, more dominant than both (just not clearly).





Right, but if you want to cherry pick times when players are better why not pick a longer time? Like say last year from early april for 8 more months? Why, Flash's TvT is 22-0!

I'll bet you money Jaedong's ZvP won't be as close over 22 games or 8 months.

Elo doesn't misrepresent anything. It has no real flaws aside from inflation and/or new players coming in (like how Flash got freebe points for beating an amateur in WCG). It's quite possible for Jaedong to surpass his current ZvP, but had he beaten Stork earlier he would have a higher ZvP. Had he, oh so long ago, not lost to Rock 3-0, his current ZvP Elo would probably be different.

Elo doesn't pretend to quantify what a player is capable of in the future, but it quantifies how good a player is up to present until considered otherwise fairly well. Better than any other system I've seen, alteast.

All that said, Flash has 3 matchups that are either the best or second best of all time (Best vT by far, second vZ of all time and best currently, second vP all time and second currently) to Jaedong, who has 2 that are best or second best of all time (vZ was best, is second. vP is best and best of all time). If someone supplants him then someone supplants him. Jaedong is excellent in his field but slightly less rounded than Flash, so who cares?

Well, aside from slumps.
Remember Violet.
Rewera
Profile Joined April 2010
Poland354 Posts
April 15 2010 18:18 GMT
#729
Ok są let's make some goals for any player to achieve in ELO.

We have following picks:

1) A v A
2) MyRace v A
3) A v T
4) MyRace v T
5) A v Z
6) MyRace v Z
7) A v P
8) My Race v P

Where "My Race v" anything is lesser and "A v" anything is better. There can be also category between but I don't want it to look like pumping statistics.

Flash till now has:

1) A v A
2) MyRace v A

3) A v T
4) MyRace v T

5) A v Z
6) MyRace v Z
7) A v P
8) My Race v P

and he is very close to A v Z and A v P which would make him complete ELO champion. I hope there will be some way to remove flaws from ELO so we could test if this is really positive for all times.



MountainDewJunkie
Profile Blog Joined June 2009
United States10346 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-04-16 00:45:11
April 15 2010 18:38 GMT
#730
wrong thread
[21:07] <Shock710> whats wrong with her face [20:50] <dAPhREAk> i beat it the day after it came out | <BLinD-RawR> esports is a giant vagina
saltywet
Profile Blog Joined August 2009
Hong Kong1316 Posts
April 15 2010 20:50 GMT
#731
On April 15 2010 08:53 TwoToneTerran wrote:
Show nested quote +
On April 15 2010 02:52 LucasWoJ wrote:
On April 15 2010 02:44 J1.au wrote:
On April 15 2010 02:43 e_i_pi_1_0 wrote:
Jaedong TvP: 117 wins - 53 losses (68.82%) 2291 ELO


I didn't know Jaedong played TvP

Hahaha, 3:44 AM. Too much Terran in my brain. The point still stands however, Jaedong's ZvP is clearly not more dominant that Flash's TvT and TvZ.


Quoting lifetime percentages that somewhat omit the various evolutions in the matchup (brought up by both of these players) to prove "dominance," one way or the other, is the wrong way to do it. Over roughly the last six months:

Since 10/01/10, Jaedong's ZvP is
Record: 16 wins - 1 losses (94.12%) (20-2 (90%) including WCG)

Flash's TvP since 10/01/10 is
20 wins - 4 losses (83.33%)

Flash's TvT since 10/01/10 is
Record: 19 wins - 4 losses (82.61%)

You are still correct in saying that his ZvP is not clearly more dominant than Flash's TvZ or TvT. It is, however, more dominant than both (just not clearly).





Right, but if you want to cherry pick times when players are better why not pick a longer time? Like say last year from early april for 8 more months? Why, Flash's TvT is 22-0!

I'll bet you money Jaedong's ZvP won't be as close over 22 games or 8 months.

Elo doesn't misrepresent anything. It has no real flaws aside from inflation and/or new players coming in (like how Flash got freebe points for beating an amateur in WCG). It's quite possible for Jaedong to surpass his current ZvP, but had he beaten Stork earlier he would have a higher ZvP. Had he, oh so long ago, not lost to Rock 3-0, his current ZvP Elo would probably be different.

Elo doesn't pretend to quantify what a player is capable of in the future, but it quantifies how good a player is up to present until considered otherwise fairly well. Better than any other system I've seen, alteast.

All that said, Flash has 3 matchups that are either the best or second best of all time (Best vT by far, second vZ of all time and best currently, second vP all time and second currently) to Jaedong, who has 2 that are best or second best of all time (vZ was best, is second. vP is best and best of all time). If someone supplants him then someone supplants him. Jaedong is excellent in his field but slightly less rounded than Flash, so who cares?

Well, aside from slumps.



because they are talking about dominance at present time, so if anything comparisons should be made from start of dominance, ie for flash last year from early april to now
TheTeamLiquidTiger
Profile Blog Joined April 2009
United States627 Posts
April 15 2010 21:56 GMT
#732
i certainly hopes he can break the 2300 mark
but by the looks of his condition, i don't think that's likely
SlayerS_BoxeR FTW ///// Long live the Emperor
SuperArc
Profile Blog Joined March 2009
Austria7781 Posts
April 16 2010 12:28 GMT
#733
Movie is getting close to Stork and Bisu's ELO, I guess it's really the end for taek-bang.
Snow - future of protoss! :) Nada = baller
gondolin
Profile Blog Joined September 2007
France332 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-04-23 10:25:42
April 23 2010 10:25 GMT
#734
OSL Spoilers
+ Show Spoiler +

With his win against baby, Flash is now on a 10 games winning streak making up for his 2 consecutive losses earlier and should set up a new ELO record yet again!
J1.au
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Australia3596 Posts
Last Edited: 2010-04-23 10:46:52
April 23 2010 10:41 GMT
#735
This thread should be called "Flash ELO Peaks". I wouldn't even add a spoiler tag as Flash wins every game so there is nothing to spoil.

EDIT: Seriously though, this thread is bumped every time Flash gets close to his peak or sets a new one. One has only to glance at this thread's title to be spoiled.
borso
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary28 Posts
April 23 2010 10:52 GMT
#736
On January 04 2009 11:17 BanZu wrote:
Anyone know how ELO is calculated? Like how much BiSu would get from beating Movie?


yeah:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elo_rating_system
Science. It works bitches!
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
April 23 2010 11:01 GMT
#737
On April 23 2010 19:41 J1.au wrote:EDIT: Seriously though, this thread is bumped every time Flash gets close to his peak or sets a new one. One has only to glance at this thread's title to be spoiled.


We just need to bump it every time Flash loses but when a win would have given him a new Elo peak.
"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
~ava
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Canada379 Posts
April 23 2010 13:31 GMT
#738
Ditto, OSL result ruined by this thread bump...
Fx_
Profile Joined April 2008
503 Posts
April 23 2010 13:58 GMT
#739
On April 15 2010 02:43 e_i_pi_1_0 wrote:
Show nested quote +
Jaedong TvP: 117 wins - 53 losses (68.82%) 2291 ELO


I didn't know Jaedong played TvP

LOL
Power is your Intelligence
Demand2k
Profile Blog Joined November 2009
Norway875 Posts
April 23 2010 14:05 GMT
#740
Like 3 threads bumped every time Flash wins, lol
Kinda impossible to avoid the results
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