EPTGroup A:
Bisu 2-0Stork 1-1
YellOw[ArnC] 1-1July 0-2July vs Stork and Yarnc vs Bisu have yet to be played.
July is on the edge of dropping out of the OSL. He has to beat Stork, and then Yarnc has to lose to Bisu. Fortunately for him, neither should be that bad. However, if it doesn't happen exactly like that, then he's out (I think seeded to the ro36 next OSL). Assuming everything goes his way, then he's in tiebreakers with Stork and Yarnc, which is still tough. In past OSL's, tiebreakers for a single place have been played round-robin style, with the first person to win 2 games advancing. It would be sweet to see July still in the OSL after this, but it's a long shot.For
Stork, he has a very good chance to make it into the OSL if he beats July. The biggest problem is likely to be beating July. If he beats July, then he's up 2-1, and july is out. From there, if yarnc loses to Bisu, then Stork is in the ro8 right there. However, if yarnc beats Bisu, then there will be tiebreakers between Bisu, Stork, and July, but for 2 places instead of three. I'm pretty sure that it's also a round-robin, but the first person to lose to both of the others drops out, and the remaining two advance. However, if he loses to July, then he and July are both at 1-2, both waiting on the results for Yarnc vs Bisu. If Stork loses to July, and yarnc beats Bisu, then Stork is out. However, if after losing to July, Bisu beats Yarnc as expected, then Stork will be in tiebreakers with July and Yarnc, with only one player advancing. If Stork can win his game against July, then he has a great chance to go to the ro8. But with July the favorite against Stork, Stork is almost certainly going to wind up in tiebreakers with one good ZvPer, and one bad ZvPer. Since he'll only have one matchup to practice, I'd give him a fair chance of advancing--unless Tears of the Moon is played in the tiebreaker rounds, in which case he's fucked.YellOw[ArnC]'s chances depend on the previous week's game between July and Stork. If Stork beats July, then Yarnc is put into a must-win situation against the Revolutionist, which will only get him into tiebreakers for 2 slots with Bisu and Stork. If things go as planned, and July beats Stork, then Yarnc has the chance to safely advance by beating Bisu. In all likelihood, July is going to beat stork, and then Yarnc is going to lose to Bisu though, sending Yarnc to tiebreakers with Stork and July. I'd give yarnc a decent chance of advancing. A good chance of advancing, if he can play Stork on TotM during tiebreakers.Bisu has basically got it made. He's the huge favorite to beat Yarnc, which means he's sure to advance. Even if he loses to yarnc, he'll still advance without tiebreakers, unless Stork also beats July, in which case he's still the favorite against either Yarnc or Stork. Bisu is virtually a lock to make it out of his group. Goup B:
fantasy 2-0Leta 1-1by.hero 1-1Tester 0-2Tester vs Leta and by.hero vs Fantasy have yet to be played.
If
Tester loses to Leta, he's out. This is a must-win for tester. If he wins, he and leta will be at 1-2, both waiting to find out if by.hero beats fantasy. If by.hero beats fantasy, they both advance, and Tester and Leta are out. If by.hero loses to fantasy, he'll be tied at 1-2 with Leta and tester, and they'll go into tiebreakers. So for Tester to advance, he has to beat Leta (ouch) and by.hero has to lose to fantasy, and then he has to beat Leta and by.hero in tiebreakers. Poor guy.For
Leta, there is the potential for him to be in tiebreakers if he wins, or if he loses. If he loses to tester, his chances depend on by.hero losing to fantasy, in which case he'll go into tiebreakers with by.hero and Tester, where he's probably the favorite to advance (sorry by.hero). If Leta beats Tester, then he can advance if by.hero loses to fantasy. If by.hero beats fantasy, then Leta's advancement is in tiebreakers with fanatasy and by.hero, where two advance. Leta's chance for advancement looks quite good.by.hero is in the same situation as Leta. Win or lose, there is a potential to go into the tiebreak rounds. I like the guy though, so I hope he makes it out easily; which weould mean beating Fantasy, and having Leta lose to Tester. Not probable, but great for him. Realistically, he'll either win or lose to Fantasy, and Leta is likely to beat Tester. If by.hero loses to fantasy, while Leta beats Tester, then by.hero's out. If he beats fantasy, (after Leta beats Tester) then he's in tiebreakers for 2 spots with a pair of big, scary terrans. Or, if Leta loses to Tester, and by.hero loses to fantasy, then he's in tiebreakers for just 1 spot. I think by.hero's chances are slim at this point.fantasy is in a pretty good place. If he wins, he goes to the quarterfinals. If he loses, he might still advance without tiebreakers, depending on how the previous matches went. Let's just say that if Tester beats Leta, he won't have to practice very hard. If Leta wins, and fantasy loses to by.hero, then he'll be in tiebreakers for 2 slots, but even then, he's in a decent position. fantasy isn't a lock to get out of his group, but he has it easy.Group C:
Hwasin 1-1BeSt 1-1UpMagiC 1-1Flash 1-1Flash vs Best, and Hwasin vs Up have yet to be played.
This group is entirely straightforward. Since each player is at 1-1, whomever wins their game will be at 2-1, and the winner will then advance. My predictions are Flash and Hwasin, but I kind of hope Up will edge out Hwasin.
Group D:
Jaedong 2-0 (already guaranteed to advance)Kal 1-1Luxury 1-1GGPlay 0-2 (no remaining chance to advance)Kal vs Luxury and Jaedong vs GGplay have yet to be played.
Kal and Luxury are playing to see who will go up 2-1 and advance to the quarterfinals. Fortunately for Kal, it's not played on Tears of the Moon. I don't really know who'll win it. I like both players, but I liquibetted Lux, because Kal hasn't been his usual self with his monstrous PvZ.Jaedong vs GGPlay doesn't matter. Jaedong will probably demolish GGPlay so hard that Jaedong's monitor will burst into flames, becoming a living avatar of destruction, and it will devour GGPlay alive. Jaedong will then advance to the quarterfinals upon a magical blanket of sunshine, rainbows, unicorns, and the blood of the fallen. Overall, the first two groups are much more complicated than the last two, in terms of advancement. Personally, I'm hoping for any kind of tiebreaker round in Group A. Thanks to GrandInquisitor's R&S thread keeping for track of the games played in the groups.
