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Blogs > oBlade
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oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5582 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-27 01:22:18
January 26 2017 06:54 GMT
#1
  • 13,800,000,000: Baryon asymmetry allows matter to somehow dominate antimatter so you can later exist

  • 4,600,000,000: Sun and planetary disk form, Earth now vulnerable to planetary impacts or being perturbed from its orbit at any point after this

  • 4,500,000,000: Earth/Theia impact forms the moon, fifth gas planet ejected

  • 4,100,000,000 - 3,500,000,000: Earliest life on the Earth

  • 1,500,000,000: Multicellular life on Earth (you need this to exist)

  • 1,200,000,000: Sexual reproduction (you exist to need this)

  • 850,000,000: Oxygen levels soar

  • 252,000,000: Most enormous extinction event

  • 243,000,000 - 231,000,000: Beginning of dinosaurs

  • 66,000,000: Most recent major extinction, dinosaurs are out of your way

  • 4,000,000: Your ancestors walked on two feet

  • 3,000,000: Your ancestors used stone stools

  • 1,000,000: Fire

  • 200,000 - 100,000: Your species emerges

  • 70,000: Near-extinction of your species (less than 10k individuals)

  • 40,000 - 25,000: Extinction of closest related species

  • 13,000 - 10,000: Domestication of rice

  • 1200: Iron Age

  • 0: There is actually no year 0, just 1 BC and 1 AD

  • 184-220: Significant war in Asia

  • 1206-1368: Mongol conquests

  • 1350: Black plague

  • 1821: Electric motor

  • 1826: First photograph

  • 1918: Global flu pandemic

  • 1928: First antibiotic

  • 1931-1945: Global total war and genocides culminating in emergence of nuclear weapons

  • 1942+: Species' first artifacts reach outer space

  • 1949: Nuclear proliferation

  • 1950s: Nuclear apocalypse/nuclear winter possible at any time after this

  • 1952: Nuclear proliferation

  • 1958: Technology for interstellar travel

  • 1960: Nuclear proliferation

  • 1960s: Technology now sufficient to guard against asteroid impactors (until such knowledge is lost again) - Rate of large impactors (5km+ diameter) is about 1 per 100 million years

  • 1963: Technology for interstellar travel politically stifled

  • 1964: Nuclear proliferation

  • 1970-2000: You were probably born

  • 1970s+: HIV pandemic

  • 1974: Nuclear proliferation

  • 1979: Nuclear proliferation

  • 1980s-2010s: Level of technology sufficient to colonize other worlds

  • 1998: Nuclear proliferation

  • 2006: Nuclear proliferation
YOU ARE HERE ------>>>> 2017: Still chugging along? <<<<------ YOU ARE HERE
  • 2010s: MRSA, NDM1, and more antibiotic-resistant superbugs

  • 2050: By now yet another party will get and/or detonate a nuclear weapon

  • 2100: You will be dead

  • 2200: Everyone you'll ever know will be dead and your body should have decomposed (depending on where you left it)

  • 3000 - 11,000: The probabilistic Doomsday Argument posits a 95% chance of human extinction by now

  • 3000 - 100,000: Time to terraform Mars

  • 100,000: Timescale of known fissile reserves

  • 1,000,000: Supervolcano eruption by now

  • 10,000,000 - 100,000,000: Descendants no longer the same species you were

  • 250,000,000: New supercontinent

  • 1,000,000,000: The Earth will have become too inhospitable for most life

  • 3,000,000,000: The Earth will have become too inhospitable for prokaryotes

  • 4,000,000,000: Collision with Andromeda Galaxy (Probable merger of supermassive black holes)

  • 7,000,000,000: Red giant Sun swallows the Earth

  • 9,000,000,000: Any atoms that were ever part of you or anything you knew (many of which will also have been transmuted to other elements) will have either been shot into interstellar space or buried in the no longer burning dead remnants of the Sun

  • 100,000,000,000: Local Group (Andromeda, Milky Way, and pets) cut off from universe - other galaxies no longer visible

  • 120,000,000,000,000: Stars no longer burning

  • 1,000,000,000,000,000: Earth ejected from orbit and no longer bound to Sun by now if it wasn't swallowed already

  • Beyond: Sun and Earth, if they were never ejected from the galaxy, fall into the supermassive black hole. If they were ejected, that's all, folks, otherwise-

  • 50,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000: Black hole evaporates.


****
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Jealous
Profile Blog Joined December 2011
10142 Posts
January 26 2017 07:32 GMT
#2
Can you tell me more about this fifth gas planet that was ejected? I'm interested.
"The right to vote is only the oar of the slaveship, I wanna be free." -- бум бум сучка!
AnythingThenDelete
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
381 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-26 09:44:47
January 26 2017 09:44 GMT
#3
13,000 - 10,000: Domestication of rice


This might be the most important stuff right there.

I am calling it a "1984-esque" article, based on your omissions of internet and starcraft.

I also now wonder if people are gonna dig this post in years and years and be like "they predicted this and that it is bound to happen!"
YokoKano
Profile Blog Joined July 2012
United States612 Posts
January 26 2017 13:57 GMT
#4
On January 26 2017 15:54 oBlade wrote:

[*]50,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000: DotA surrender protocol.
[/list]
IQ 155.905638752
Jerubaal
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States7684 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-26 21:03:33
January 26 2017 21:02 GMT
#5
I like how you put no events between 10k BC and year 0 and only included two events between 10k BC and 1900. I don't know what event you're talking about at 184-220.
I'm not stupid, a marauder just shot my brain.
Jerubaal
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States7684 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-26 21:03:27
January 26 2017 21:03 GMT
#6
Doublepost.
I'm not stupid, a marauder just shot my brain.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5582 Posts
January 26 2017 22:35 GMT
#7
On January 26 2017 16:32 Jealous wrote:
Can you tell me more about this fifth gas planet that was ejected? I'm interested.

That's maybe the most speculative thing on here. Some people doing simulations of the formation of our solar system thought it was easier to end up with what we have currently if there was originally another giant planet that got kicked out very early on when everything was closer together. It's called the Nice Model if you want to get some details on it.

On January 27 2017 06:02 Jerubaal wrote:
I like how you put no events between 10k BC and year 0 and only included two events between 10k BC and 1900. I don't know what event you're talking about at 184-220.

People just didn't have the capacity to do anything significant. Piled some rocks into a triangle? But I did put the Stone Age on here, so I probably should have added metalworking sometime in that period to be consistent. 184-220 was the Three Kingdoms War in China, and the Mongol conquests are comparable (and wider) so you might say I left those out. They were both huge for their time. It's mainly meant to act as a WW1 snub. We call what we think of as WW1 that for transient political reasons - in the grand scheme it was a minor scuffle.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
Last Edited: 2017-01-27 20:28:59
January 27 2017 20:28 GMT
#8
On January 27 2017 07:35 oBlade wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 26 2017 16:32 Jealous wrote:
Can you tell me more about this fifth gas planet that was ejected? I'm interested.

That's maybe the most speculative thing on here. Some people doing simulations of the formation of our solar system thought it was easier to end up with what we have currently if there was originally another giant planet that got kicked out very early on when everything was closer together. It's called the Nice Model if you want to get some details on it.

Show nested quote +
On January 27 2017 06:02 Jerubaal wrote:
I like how you put no events between 10k BC and year 0 and only included two events between 10k BC and 1900. I don't know what event you're talking about at 184-220.

People just didn't have the capacity to do anything significant. Piled some rocks into a triangle? But I did put the Stone Age on here, so I probably should have added metalworking sometime in that period to be consistent. 184-220 was the Three Kingdoms War in China, and the Mongol conquests are comparable (and wider) so you might say I left those out. They were both huge for their time. It's mainly meant to act as a WW1 snub. We call what we think of as WW1 that for transient political reasons - in the grand scheme it was a minor scuffle.


I feel like you forgot to put writing since it was a turning point in the devellopement of the human psyche and was essential to developp almost all organise civilisation.
Also I feel like 1914-45 would be more adequate, WW1 was still the first total war, and I personnally think it had a bigger impact on the world then WW2 (outside of nuclear weapon) since it put the US on top of the world and put an end on the european domination of the globe, even if you could say that would have happen with or without the war, plus that way you include the armenian genocide. WW2 was more a failed rebelion against the US domination, I think.

Anyway it's not very important.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
Jerubaal
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States7684 Posts
January 28 2017 02:39 GMT
#9
WW2 was more a failed rebelion against the US domination, I think.


Ok, this is completely wrong.
I'm not stupid, a marauder just shot my brain.
Nakajin
Profile Blog Joined September 2014
Canada8989 Posts
January 28 2017 18:45 GMT
#10
On January 28 2017 11:39 Jerubaal wrote:
Show nested quote +
WW2 was more a failed rebelion against the US domination, I think.


Ok, this is completely wrong.


Coming out of WW1 the US were clearly the world dominant power, even if the US congress kind of refuse to completely assumed their role, all the other world power were devastated after the war, except a bit the UK. The treaty of Washington is a good example of that, and all of Europe own them bags of money.

In the discourse of Hitler and Mussolini there was a lot of reference to forging a new world order and a sentiment of urgency and to do it now before they get swallow by the US. I think Hitler said something like "Europe is gonna be America Switzerland if we don't do something now."
Of course it was a major event in world history, with the genocides, the return of total warfare, the first ideological war and of course the start of nuclear bomb.

But all in all on a geopolitical point WW2 was a way for the axes to create a power able to rival the mega nation-state anomaly that was the US, and his allies. In the end the USSR kind of did it but apart from that it was a confirmation of the United-States dominance.

There is many other interpretation, I would love to hear your arguments.
Writerhttp://i.imgur.com/9p6ufcB.jpg
Jerubaal
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States7684 Posts
January 29 2017 15:37 GMT
#11
I'll give you, that's a lot better than what I thought you were thinking, but your interpretation is too post hoc. If you want to argue that WWI was more important because it set the trajectory and WW2 was a digression, you could, but the things you're talking about are not a matter of fact until after WW2.



I'm not stupid, a marauder just shot my brain.
oBlade
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
United States5582 Posts
January 30 2017 22:47 GMT
#12
For this I'm coming more from the perspective of like a Vulcan science ship. In order for WW1 to be interesting, you have to first know what Germany and the USA are, and the history of isolationism and exceptionalism, and the political backstory behind it, and not stepping up to the superpower plate (letting international community and League of Nations work things out), and the history of unification of a German state, and the effects of the WW1 peace, and you have to know how it all turns out and then you can say these were the pebbles in the stream. Not WW1 so much as Big Europe War... 4? The Vulcans wouldn't care about any of these intangible things. But if they saw WW2 going on, they would say hang on a second, what are the humans into now? and make a note of it.
"I read it. You know how to read, you ignorant fuck?" - Andy Dufresne
Raxxes
Profile Blog Joined May 2013
Germany64 Posts
January 31 2017 23:36 GMT
#13
i rly like this in a weird way to be honest :D
i just cant believe you spend so much time to write (or copy) that :D

any way well done :D
hypercube
Profile Joined April 2010
Hungary2735 Posts
February 06 2017 13:14 GMT
#14
From an alien's perspective I doubt any major conflict so far would count as significant. Sure, WW2 impacted a lot of people, but so did the 30 years war, the French revolutionary wars, or the Taiping rebellion. And if you look at political consequences (if aliens care about that) it's not obvious there were any. One totalitarian ideology was destroyed, another flourished. Idealism won on paper and lost in the practice in the post-war world.

Something, like the end of the Malthusian Age (1850-2000, depending on where you live) is probably more significant. Although only time will tell if it's actually the end or just a pause
"Sending people in rockets to other planets is a waste of money better spent on sending rockets into people on this planet."
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