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3 Lions
United States3705 Posts
MBC Game StarLeague Round of 16, Day 1
Matches
Odds and Analysis
+ Show Spoiler + Kal 48%-52% IrisNobody has really heard from Kal in a long time. However, he is still one of the top tosses. Iris, on the other hand, has been on fire (7-3 last 10). Medusa so far has been rather balanced PvT (statistically, at least). If Iris can keep up the pace at which he has been playing, he should take take this set. free[gm] 37%-63% Jaedong Zerg has NEVER won on a map with Byzantium as part of its name. free has been doing relatively well recently, but nothing special. Jaedong, however, is 8-2 in his last 10 overall and 9-1 in has last 10 ZvP. If Jaedong didn't have to play 2 matches the day before, he would win this without a problem. But, free now has the advantage in practice time. I expect Jaedong to take this set, but I wouldn't be too surprised if free won. firebathero 49%-51% Tempest firebathero beat Much and Bisu. Tempest managed to sneak by.fantasy and RuBy. I would give firebathero the advantage here because he has probably been practicing nothing but TvP for the last month. Hwasin 43%-57% Bisu Hwasin has not played a TvP since early July. He has not won a TvP since May. He is 3-8 against Bisu. The only thing in Bisu's way to the quarterfinal is the map itself, not Hwasin. I expect Bisu to take this set.
RESULTS
How to watch? *Zatic's sidebar linking *Daum Sports (Guide by GTR-2-Go is here, but you can just click the link) * Daum Player *Gom Player *Yaoyuan *For the latter three, refer to the Ultimate Guide
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I went with
Kal > Iris Free < Jaedong FBH < Tempest Hwasin < Bisu
this doesn't start for like 7 more hours, right?
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Kal, Free, Firebathero, Bisu. Why not?
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United States13896 Posts
Dude, the odds and stuff you do for these are awesome, just want to say keep up the good work!
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CA10824 Posts
you give fbh the advantage but have him at 49%?
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Free < Jaedong FBH < Tempest Hwasin < Bisu
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Bisu beating Hwasin in a close and good game, please. FBH vs Tempest should also be interesting.
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On October 16 2008 12:25 LosingID8 wrote: you give fbh the advantage but have him at 49%? I recall seeing 3 Lions post that the percentages is not a rating he gives, but a sum of a number of stats such as last 10, last 10 in matchup, overall matchup percentage and a couple others. It's entirely possible that FBH's past atrocious TvP has skewed the stats to have him lower than Tempest.
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United States12607 Posts
Kal > Iris (has everyone forgotten that Kal gave fOrGG his hardest series last MSL? His TvP is still godly) Jaedong > free (JD vs. Protoss = win, I don't care what map it's on) FBH > Tempest (if FBH can take down Much and Bisu, he can deal with Tempest's shenanigans) Bisu > Hwasin (Bisu always > Hwasin)
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CA10824 Posts
i'm waiting for the red sniper to just completely explode and play out of his mind vs bisu. you know he's motivated for sure.
i think bisu is going to be in trouble.
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Jaedong and Bisu will pull through. The other two matches I'm a bit uncertain. I'm opting for Kal only because I like his playstyle more than Iris but Iris is no slouch. FBH vs. Tempest...well, FBH won against Bisu and Much but lost against Free. I wanna say FBH but Tempest seems like a more stable choice.
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Remember when everyone said that Katrina was going to be a graveyard for zerg because there was no places to flank. Jaedong 14-2 on Katrina. ><
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On October 16 2008 10:01 boongee wrote: I went with
Kal > Iris Free < Jaedong FBH < Tempest Hwasin < Bisu
this doesn't start for like 7 more hours, right? this is for me as well except for kal > iris.
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On October 16 2008 13:14 Raithed wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2008 10:01 boongee wrote: I went with
Kal > Iris Free < Jaedong FBH < Tempest Hwasin < Bisu
this doesn't start for like 7 more hours, right? this is for me as well except for kal > iris. you just repeated what he said.
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I think he meant he thinks Iris>Kal. As in he didn't make a typo, the sentence is just structured oddly.
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On October 16 2008 13:42 capek wrote:Show nested quote +On October 16 2008 13:14 Raithed wrote:On October 16 2008 10:01 boongee wrote: I went with
Kal > Iris Free < Jaedong FBH < Tempest Hwasin < Bisu
this doesn't start for like 7 more hours, right? this is for me as well except for kal > iris. you just repeated what he said.
I think he means he agrees with them all except kal vs iris (meaning he thinks iris > kal)
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Kal, FBH, Jaedong, HWASIN!!!
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FBH is takin the entire thing so baiiiiiii
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