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[D] GSL4 Predictions Retrospective (spoilers!)

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
mDuo13
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States307 Posts
Last Edited: 2011-01-27 20:35:25
January 26 2011 23:17 GMT
#1
Now that GSL Jan 2011 is almost over, I did a quick review comparing the predictions from the "A New Year" preview to the actual results of the tourney, which is kind of interesting.

****** GSL4 up-and-down matches and Ro32 spoiler warning *****************



UPDATED with the final up/down match results:
[image loading]
(Colors are indication of prediction accuracy, not race. Green means a correct prediction, blue means incorrect by one step, red means a doubly-wrong prediction. No color means the up-and-down match hasn't yet taken place.)

So the big upsets are the ones in red: Maka and Rain drop to Code A while TheBest and Hyperdub advance. What do you think? Is that a fluke? Are Hyberdub and TheBest gonna maintain Code S after next season, too? Will Rain and Maka make it back to Code S? Is True Redemption the most gosu GSL predictor, or did he just get lucky and pick the easy groups?
tuestresfat
Profile Joined December 2010
2555 Posts
January 27 2011 00:35 GMT
#2
gotta say, this guy is pretty good at predicting results. Though TSL_Rain's drop to code A is not an upset.
Eeeegor
Profile Joined April 2005
Australia809 Posts
January 27 2011 00:41 GMT
#3
Yeah the predicitions overall were quite good heh
Day9 Made Me Do It
MadnessX
Profile Joined April 2010
United States77 Posts
January 27 2011 00:53 GMT
#4
Hard to believe Rain dropped to A even though I agree he's not the best at all. >_>

Great predictions though.
Press Start LAN /// UCSD Winter Game Fest /// Readyforce LANHAMMER 2013
EchoZ
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
Japan5041 Posts
January 27 2011 00:55 GMT
#5
Maka's drop was an upset. I find that Hyperdub and TheBest are currently underrated right now, they seem to have alot of potential.
Dear Sixsmith...
Dodgeball
Profile Joined October 2010
Finland141 Posts
January 27 2011 01:08 GMT
#6
TheBestfOu is doing well right now. He is number 1 in korean ladder http://kr.battle.net/sc2/ko/blog/619480#blog
Jumbled
Profile Joined September 2010
1543 Posts
January 27 2011 01:12 GMT
#7
On January 27 2011 09:53 MadnessX wrote:
Hard to believe Rain dropped to A even though I agree he's not the best at all. >_>

Great predictions though.

Frankly, I find it a lot harder to believe that the OP actually picked Rain to advance. The rest of the predictions are pretty impressive though.
MahatmaSC2
Profile Joined December 2010
United States192 Posts
January 27 2011 01:14 GMT
#8
On January 27 2011 10:08 Dodgeball wrote:
TheBestfOu is doing well right now. He is number 1 in korean ladder http://kr.battle.net/sc2/ko/blog/619480#blog

Wow, I was never too impressed with him, but now I am.
Team ZeNEX fighting!
icecon
Profile Joined October 2010
Brazil62 Posts
January 27 2011 02:29 GMT
#9
it's really not THAT impressive. Compare him to IMmvp, for example, who is 126th, but has a beastly win percentage, 1010 games, 608 wins.
lazyfeet
Profile Joined April 2010
United States468 Posts
January 27 2011 02:51 GMT
#10
Well the four TBD players we know for sure that at least 2 of them will be code s. that is another 2 wrong.
LUCK is What Happens When Preparation Meets Opportunity.......
wherebugsgo
Profile Blog Joined February 2010
Japan10647 Posts
January 27 2011 02:59 GMT
#11
That color is supposed to be green? Wtf? I see like...brown...

Anyway, pretty good predictions.
Meteora.GB
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Canada2479 Posts
January 27 2011 03:00 GMT
#12
Hyperdub is a solid and underrated player. He was up against all sorts of odds, like boxer's insane macro game with him and losing to sneaky expansions from MVP and Choya in the Ro16. I don't think he'll be knocked down to Code A, not with the less than stellar play from Code A players.
HeroHenry
Profile Joined November 2010
United States1723 Posts
January 27 2011 03:03 GMT
#13
Anyone cheering for SanZenith tomorrow?
DystopiaX
Profile Joined October 2010
United States16236 Posts
January 27 2011 03:06 GMT
#14
On January 27 2011 10:12 Jumbled wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2011 09:53 MadnessX wrote:
Hard to believe Rain dropped to A even though I agree he's not the best at all. >_>

Great predictions though.

Frankly, I find it a lot harder to believe that the OP actually picked Rain to advance. The rest of the predictions are pretty impressive though.

Rain was really good season 3, he had to beat a lot of good people. He got a bad rep for cheesing nestea out but showed good standard games the rest of the time... IMO him dropping is a bit of a shock.
jjmmtt
Profile Joined January 2011
Australia995 Posts
January 27 2011 03:20 GMT
#15
Can't wait for SadZenith. He's the man, he's sooo good at losing... it's inspirational. :D
out4blood
Profile Joined July 2010
United States313 Posts
January 27 2011 04:09 GMT
#16
On January 27 2011 10:12 Jumbled wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 27 2011 09:53 MadnessX wrote:
Hard to believe Rain dropped to A even though I agree he's not the best at all. >_>

Great predictions though.

Frankly, I find it a lot harder to believe that the OP actually picked Rain to advance. The rest of the predictions are pretty impressive though.

Nonsense. Rain placed second in GSL 3, and the predictions were made coming right off that. It would pretty stupid to predict the second place finisher would drop to Code A immediately.
http://sc2sig.com/s/us/1228872-1.png?1290726543
mDuo13
Profile Blog Joined October 2010
United States307 Posts
January 27 2011 20:45 GMT
#17
Updated the OP with the final up/down match results. I should probably also clarify that the predictions were not made by 1 person. Seems the TL writing staff split up and claimed different groups. Their scorecards:

Xxio (Groups A-C): 5/12 correct, 4/12 slightly off, 3/12 upsets
Treehugger (Groups D-E): 3/8 correct, 3/8 slightly off, 2/8 upsets
TrueRedemption (Groups F-H): 10/12 correct, 2/12 slightly off, no upsets.

So there we have it.
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