Who will win EWC 2025?
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TL.net Bot
TL.net131 Posts
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starfarmer
1 Post
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True_Spike
Poland3423 Posts
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lokol4890
114 Posts
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RogueTheGOAT
9 Posts
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ejozl
Denmark3380 Posts
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dysenterymd
1237 Posts
Serral, Clem, herO, Classic, Maru Reynor tier: Reynor Can do some serious damage and make a deep run, but won't win: Cure, SHIN, Rogue, Solar Might have an okay run but won't pull any big upsets: Showtime, Trigger, Astrea, ByuN, Zoun Heavily outmatched, winning a single match after the play-in would be a huge success: Heromarine, Lambo, Cyan. Before Clem's recent TvP losses I was feeling he had a good chance at a repeat, but it's wide open now among the top 5. I'll give the benefit of the doubt to Clem and say he's still the favorite to win, but not a huge one. As a Serral fan (and a general fan) I hope he's prepped some good ZvP builds so we don't have to watch too much tempest late game. | ||
TeamMamba
57 Posts
On July 15 2025 04:55 lokol4890 wrote: Maru. Statistics don't lie. Lost gsl s1 but won dh, lost gsl 2 and now will win ewc Maru has no chance. He has proven he does not have the “it” factor at the world stage. Even when the road to the championship was given to him on a silver platter. He still managed to get stomped by TIME. His road to the top 8 is probably the easiest. I’m cool to have Serral, Classic , reynor, or dare I say a toss Clem (only if he plays toss for all matchup) to win it all | ||
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Poopi
France12875 Posts
herO is not as proficient as Classic in PvZ nowadays so I don't see him beat Serral, so I don't see him as that good of a candidate Serral is a favorite too, solid in every match-up albeit not as invincible in ZvP anymore, and might lose to Clem or another zerg Maru has a decent shot if he gets a bit lucky bracket wise, if he can avoid Serral he has a good shot versus the other top dogs except maybe herO, and decent shot vs Classic as well Clem is one of the favorites but dunno if his PvT is enough versus Maru? And he can lose to Classic or Serral So I think we might have an interesting EWC with lots of candidates | ||
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Waxangel
United States33388 Posts
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JJH777
United States4407 Posts
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tigera6
3397 Posts
On July 15 2025 07:11 TeamMamba wrote: Maru has no chance. He has proven he does not have the “it” factor at the world stage. Even when the road to the championship was given to him on a silver platter. He still managed to get stomped by TIME. His road to the top 8 is probably the easiest. I’m cool to have Serral, Classic , reynor, or dare I say a toss Clem (only if he plays toss for all matchup) to win it all I mean, he botched his G5L chance THREE TIMES (including the terrible loss to Rogue) before finally done it, and he just won a global offline tournament in Dallas, so to say he has no chance is a bit weird. | ||
RogueTheGOAT
9 Posts
On July 15 2025 06:55 ejozl wrote: But, god I hope it's Rogue. SC2 is best when Rogue is shamelessly abusing a broken build or scouted weakness to bludgeon a fan favorite into submission and hoist the trophy. | ||
CicadaSC
United States1709 Posts
Maru #1 fave. | ||
SHODAN
United Kingdom1106 Posts
among all the terrans at this event, I think Maru is the least likely to get tilted by protoss Maru is guaranteed to only play against 1 protoss player in the group stage, whereas Cure has to face at least 2 before making it to the playoffs | ||
FataLe
New Zealand4501 Posts
On July 15 2025 03:53 starfarmer wrote: we will get a protoss world champ and after that protoss will be nerfed into oblivion Don't threaten me with a good time | ||
MJG
United Kingdom1053 Posts
On July 15 2025 03:53 starfarmer wrote: we will get a protoss world champ and after that protoss will be nerfed into oblivion Zerg wins a World Championship? It's a normal thing to happen. Terran wins a World Championship? It's a normal thing to happen. Protoss wins a World Championship? Everyone loses their minds. ![]() | ||
CicadaSC
United States1709 Posts
On July 15 2025 15:23 MJG wrote: Zerg wins a World Championship? It's a normal thing to happen. Terran wins a World Championship? It's a normal thing to happen. Protoss wins a World Championship? Everyone loses their minds. ![]() you can blame the pro gamers who push for that. i always hear players in interviews saying protoss is op or busted so... yeah that narrative gets pushed and of course if they were to win a world championship people will call them patch toss. I don't agree, but that's the world we live in! | ||
CicadaSC
United States1709 Posts
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jodljodl
171 Posts
On July 15 2025 11:45 tigera6 wrote: I mean, he botched his G5L chance THREE TIMES (including the terrible loss to Rogue) before finally done it, and he just won a global offline tournament in Dallas, so to say he has no chance is a bit weird. Some very good points imo. Further, it's not like Maru was the only player that lost to Oliveira in Katowice. There was also herO, Reynor, Heromarine, Cure and Clem. Some weeks ago I claimed Serral will win not dropping a map. Ofc not being totally serious. But also only semi-joking. I believe we will witness a pretty damn impressive run by Serral. As we already have so often. | ||
feardragon
United States972 Posts
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CicadaSC
United States1709 Posts
On July 16 2025 07:07 feardragon wrote: Trigger or Astrea It's who you think will win not who you want to win. Being from NA I like those guys too but come on. If you genuinely think they will win I would love to hear the argument. | ||
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Waxangel
United States33388 Posts
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RogueTheGOAT
9 Posts
On July 16 2025 09:51 Waxangel wrote: You could argue ByuN rode a favorable/abusive meta to his world championship, but no one seems to begrudge him this cause he was very popular. If Classic wins, I would hope people still appreciate the championship similarly ![]() I'm not sure that any Protoss win since the early days of Starcraft and Brood War have been seen as legitimate by the community. | ||
feardragon
United States972 Posts
On July 16 2025 09:10 CicadaSC wrote: It's who you think will win not who you want to win. Being from NA I like those guys too but come on. If you genuinely think they will win I would love to hear the argument. Yea, I think they're like super cool and smart and I think smart cool guys will play better I think the finals will be Astrea vs Trigger unless they have to meet earlier. | ||
mugagadon
American Samoa2 Posts
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rwala
297 Posts
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SharkStarcraft
Austria2226 Posts
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jodljodl
171 Posts
On July 16 2025 09:51 Waxangel wrote: You could argue ByuN rode a favorable/abusive meta to his world championship, but no one seems to begrudge him this cause he was very popular. If Classic wins, I would hope people still appreciate the championship similarly ![]() oh, but I do. I do so much. After game 5 on king sejon station I was sooo hopeful dark could actually make a comeback and thus a win happen. His loss next map felt heartbreaking. I always liked byun or at least didn't mind him. But that phase of sc2 I was just angry at him ![]() If Classic wins - which I highly doubt - it will be my new favorite moment in sc2 history replacing soO's win of kespa cup 2015. | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
I think a lot comes down to whose practice regimen and mentality holds up best really. Serral’s kind of a pretty bloody good track record in doing his thing, and skipped RSL to do… whatever it is he does. I actually think both herO and Clem have kept in great shape for a while by grinding and seemingly playing every tournament under the sun. However, just very recently they do seem to have dipped a little too, perhaps they’re easing off for EWC, I wouldn’t rule out them burning out a bit/having showed way too much of their play to the competition. Maru is Maru of course. Classic’s been on a curve of gradual improvement into real breakthroughs. Reynor’s shown signs of blowing off the cobwebs. Stranger things have happened, I don’t really see anyone outside of those actually winning the thing. Solar or Cure or whoever could go on a tear I suppose. | ||
Antithesis
Germany1185 Posts
On July 15 2025 07:22 Poopi wrote: I think Classic has the best shot, protoss is super strong atm and he got good PvP so should be able to beat herO. herO is not as proficient as Classic in PvZ nowadays so I don't see him beat Serral, so I don't see him as that good of a candidate Serral is a favorite too, solid in every match-up albeit not as invincible in ZvP anymore, and might lose to Clem or another zerg Maru has a decent shot if he gets a bit lucky bracket wise, if he can avoid Serral he has a good shot versus the other top dogs except maybe herO, and decent shot vs Classic as well Clem is one of the favorites but dunno if his PvT is enough versus Maru? And he can lose to Classic or Serral So I think we might have an interesting EWC with lots of candidates I agree with most of this. Should be an exciting world championship because there are many serious contenders for the title. Overall, I think Clem and Serral are the two foremost favorites, closely followed by Classic and Maru, followed by hero, followed by Reynor and Zoun, followed by Cure and Rogue, and then the rest of the pack. But I think there is much room for sudden fluctuation. Protoss is much stronger than last year, and many players are very close to each other in skill. Also Clem is in an odd spot because in two of his matchups he is either the best or one of the best in the world, but he still has to manage his weakest matchup, vT. Actually, we must not forget that last year, when he still played TvT, he had the luck of entirely avoiding it on the way to his title. And now his PvT is obviously ridiculously strong for an off-race, but playing in weeklies and playing against builds prepared for the world championship is still a different thing. I could easily imagine Clem unspectacularly dropping out to some Maruesque terran 2-base or 1-base all-ins. Should be good fun anyway. | ||
Harris1st
Germany6928 Posts
Serral, Reynor Maru, Clem herO, Classic and then the underdog long shot candidates like Zoun, Rogue, Cure | ||
jodljodl
171 Posts
On July 17 2025 18:59 Harris1st wrote: Did we ever have this many candidates who "could" win? Serral, Reynor Maru, Clem herO, Classic and then the underdog long shot candidates like Zoun, Rogue, Cure Off the top of my head, I don't think so. It's awesome, isn't it? | ||
Charoisaur
Germany15958 Posts
On July 17 2025 19:23 jodljodl wrote: Off the top of my head, I don't think so. It's awesome, isn't it? You serious? ![]() | ||
Harris1st
Germany6928 Posts
On July 17 2025 19:55 Charoisaur wrote: You serious? https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/2015_WCS_Global_Finals How dare you don't know every tournament and its participants for the last 12 years off the top of your head?! You fool! | ||
Charoisaur
Germany15958 Posts
On July 17 2025 20:18 Harris1st wrote: How dare you don't know every tournament and its participants for the last 12 years off the top of your head?! You fool! I mean, In the Kespa era and a couple years beyond almost every tournament had many more championship contenders than this one. Although you have a point that when looking at the last ~3 years we rarely had this much parity at the top | ||
Balnazza
Germany1173 Posts
On July 17 2025 19:55 Charoisaur wrote: You serious? https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/2015_WCS_Global_Finals And three of the Top 4 in that tournament, including the winner, would come from the lower WCS Standings...so maybe there is a shot for Astrea afterall? | ||
MJG
United Kingdom1053 Posts
On July 17 2025 20:29 Balnazza wrote: And three of the Top 4 in that tournament, including the winner, would come from the lower WCS Standings...so maybe there is a shot for Astrea afterall? The difference in skill between the bottom qualifier and the top qualifier was a lot smaller back then. More competitive era. | ||
Balnazza
Germany1173 Posts
On July 17 2025 21:38 MJG wrote: The difference in skill between the bottom qualifier and the top qualifier was a lot smaller back then. More competitive era. The difference between sOs and not qualifying was 300 points, the difference between herO (1st) and Maru (2nd) was more than 1000 points. The only reason sOs even qualified was because he won MSI Masters, a tournament full of not-BlizzCon caliber players who he only qualified for because Zest dropped out. sOs was two miles and a burger away from winning BlizzCon before it started... Edit: Sorry, difference to not qualifying was ~500 points, I was thinking of Rogue. Point still stands, without lucking into MSI Masters and winning it, sOs wouldn't even have made it to BlizzCon. Leaves only one explanation to me: I'm wrong, Astrea doesn't have a shot. Lancer will win it! | ||
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Mizenhauer
United States1870 Posts
On July 16 2025 09:51 Waxangel wrote: ByuN rode a favorable/abusive meta to his world championship you don't say? | ||
RogueTheGOAT
9 Posts
I mean, nobody wrote an article calling him a patch Terran. | ||
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Poopi
France12875 Posts
Rogue 2017 and Serral 2018 were also zerg favored, but not as much as zerg 2019 so people thought it was fine ![]() | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 18 2025 09:13 Poopi wrote: Rogue 2017 and Serral 2018 were also zerg favored, but not as much as zerg 2019 so people thought it was fine ![]() Zerg was so OP in 2018 they didn’t even make a single GSL final | ||
JJH777
United States4407 Posts
On July 18 2025 09:20 WombaT wrote: Zerg was so OP in 2018 they didn’t even make a single GSL final Zerg was so UP in 2018 they won the most money even if you subtract Serral's earnings completely. Rogue played so bad in every GSL that year. Especially the ro8 match vs Neeb. I think his GSL mental block was real or he would have made at least one finals. | ||
CicadaSC
United States1709 Posts
On July 18 2025 09:20 WombaT wrote: Zerg was so OP in 2018 they didn’t even make a single GSL final It's been the serral factor for almost a decade now. I mean, what, 8 years of dominance? Him being an outlier. Incredible stuff really. | ||
Gluon
Netherlands391 Posts
On July 15 2025 12:18 CicadaSC wrote: HOT TAKE: Serral is NOT a favorite. He showed weakness at Dallas. Now, Clem and Reynor are both in Korea and have been for some time. Who is Serral going to practice ZvT or ZvZ with? No offense but the others he can play with on EU are not on their level. If he was already looking shaky I don't see this helping him. I think Clem and Reynor over the past month, have been looking vulnerable as well. Some say it is because they are hiding builds and to that I have no comment. Maybe it is the case and that's why they've been losing, maybe it's something deeper. We can't know that. Though, I think Maru has to be considered a favorite. The last big lan that had all the players, he won. BGE didn't have all top players, and neither did GSL. They were hard tournaments yes but the roster wasn't as thorough as DreamHack Dallas. Maru #1 fave. I always thought this too but then one of the pros told me Serral just plays against two b-tier pros in archon mode. That suddenly lets you practice against an opponent with the macro and map activity of someone like Clem, without needing Clem.. | ||
Charoisaur
Germany15958 Posts
On July 18 2025 14:42 CicadaSC wrote: It's been the serral factor for almost a decade now. I mean, what, 8 years of dominance? Him being an outlier. Incredible stuff really. I mean, Zerg was clearly the best performing race from 2019 to 2022 even disregarding Serral. He wasn't even the best Zerg for large periods during those years. For 2017-2018 and 2023 onwards I agree though that Zerg was pretty balanced (some say UP currently but I think that's just as baseless as saying they were OP in 2018 considering many other Zergs still make deep runs). | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 18 2025 09:35 JJH777 wrote: Zerg was so UP in 2018 they won the most money even if you subtract Serral's earnings completely. Rogue played so bad in every GSL that year. Especially the ro8 match vs Neeb. I think his GSL mental block was real or he would have made at least one finals. Are regionals not skewing that? Or a few big money tournaments, or indeed just top-heavy prize pools? 3 different Toss made GSL finals, and we had a TvT final. PvZ Blizzcon final, and GSLvsTW. Just off the top of my head. And I’ve in the past scanned a bunch of 2018 tournaments and the Ro8/Ro4 representation fluctuates quite a lot as well. 2018 was quite a good year for parity. Arguably one of the better ones. Toss may have been the most consistently competitive with different players contributing, a bunch of finals but few golds. Hell you’ve got a foreign Toss doing well in GSL. Serral went monster mode, but other Zs contributed heavily. Not one of Terran’s strongest periods overall, but they still were a factor and Maru having one of the all-time years saw them perform well in the gold medal column at least. | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 18 2025 18:47 Charoisaur wrote: I mean, Zerg was clearly the best performing race from 2019 to 2022 even disregarding Serral. He wasn't even the best Zerg for large periods during those years. For 2017-2018 and 2023 onwards I agree though that Zerg was pretty balanced (some say UP currently but I think that's just as baseless as saying they were OP in 2018 considering many other Zergs still make deep runs). I think other Zergs, relative to Serral were at their strongest when ZvP was at its most imbalanced. Which includes part of the period, if not necessarily all of it, that you’re talking about. If you’re already the ZvP GOAT (and IMO have the strongest single matchup the game’s seen) and close to invincible in the matchup at times, playing in an imbalanced meta is a boost, but not a huge one. It does however help other Zergs quite a bit to reliably beat Toss, and at times some of those Zergs may have been as good or better at ZvZ, or indeed ZvT than Serral. Now, it’s hard to tell how the pendulum has swung. In theory Serral being so good at ZvP should give him that edge back, given overall Toss have got a bump in the matchup. But his mastery of the attritional late game seems really bloody hard to pull off reliably. | ||
dysenterymd
1237 Posts
On July 18 2025 22:04 WombaT wrote: I think other Zergs, relative to Serral were at their strongest when ZvP was at its most imbalanced. Which includes part of the period, if not necessarily all of it, that you’re talking about. If you’re already the ZvP GOAT (and IMO have the strongest single matchup the game’s seen) and close to invincible in the matchup at times, playing in an imbalanced meta is a boost, but not a huge one. It does however help other Zergs quite a bit to reliably beat Toss, and at times some of those Zergs may have been as good or better at ZvZ, or indeed ZvT than Serral. Now, it’s hard to tell how the pendulum has swung. In theory Serral being so good at ZvP should give him that edge back, given overall Toss have got a bump in the matchup. But his mastery of the attritional late game seems really bloody hard to pull off reliably. Because ZvZ has been Serral's weakness in the past, I think people are severely underestimating Serral's ZvZ right now. Yes, it's a volatile matchup, but Serral has lost a single ZvZ in 2024 and 2025 combined (to Dark) and is a ludicrous 24-3 in maps against Reynor since losing to him in HSC 2 years ago. Not to say he can't lose, Solar was very close recently, but imo ZvZ is Serral's best matchup. Classic, herO (okay maybe not herO, he's looked lost v Z recently) and maybe even Zoun are much more dangerous to Serral than Reynor and Solar. | ||
ejozl
Denmark3380 Posts
On July 18 2025 06:45 RogueTheGOAT wrote: I mean, nobody wrote an article calling him a patch Terran. According to the goat of goat rankings byun in 2016 had one of the strongest years ever, due to winning the most money when other terrans absolutely did not. | ||
ejozl
Denmark3380 Posts
On July 17 2025 19:23 jodljodl wrote: Off the top of my head, I don't think so. It's awesome, isn't it? This is what balance looks like, 3 races are able to rake up more players than if there're only 2 races.. also, I wouldn't be surprised if we end up with a tvz finals followed by a protoss nerf. | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 18 2025 22:42 dysenterymd wrote: Because ZvZ has been Serral's weakness in the past, I think people are severely underestimating Serral's ZvZ right now. Yes, it's a volatile matchup, but Serral has lost a single ZvZ in 2024 and 2025 combined (to Dark) and is a ludicrous 24-3 in maps against Reynor since losing to him in HSC 2 years ago. Not to say he can't lose, Solar was very close recently, but imo ZvZ is Serral's best matchup. Classic, herO (okay maybe not herO, he's looked lost v Z recently) and maybe even Zoun are much more dangerous to Serral than Reynor and Solar. Just Serral things really. Even now he’s still got a 58% match win rate to Clem, 68% with Reynor. His ZvZ is super strong, I think he could conceivably have a bad day and lose to any of the EWC Zergs. I wouldn’t bet on it, but I can see that happening. ZvT, I genuinely don’t see him losing to anyone who isn’t Clem, or Maru. I know Maru’s record is awful against Serral lately, but if he’s rested, and he’s got some fun stuff up his sleeves, he could do it. Last time out, in an awful map in Radhuset Maru almost managed it. For me, one of the all-time greatest sets in terms of sheer level of play. If Maru can play like that for a few sets, he might be able to do it. ZvP, I don’t know. I’ve seen Serral struggle more than he usually does the last few months, but he’s disappeared since and has been cooking presumably. We’ll have to see what he’s cooked up. It sounds completely bonkers, despite his past record I can still see him going into EWC with ZvZ as his Achilles Heel. | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 18 2025 23:06 ejozl wrote: According to the goat of goat rankings byun in 2016 had one of the strongest years ever, due to winning the most money when other terrans absolutely did not. On one patch and he’s never won another Premier since. He won a major which I think arguably could have counted to be fair. There arguably isn’t another player with a more compelling case to be a ‘patch player’ than Byun. Still an incredible player, and still one of the great StarCraft 2 stories, absolutely a patch player. Unlike other patch players, it wasn’t a meta that covered a lack of skill, but accentuated an area he was atypically, incredibly good at. | ||
TeamMamba
57 Posts
I guess we should all start calling mvp for a patch terran since he dominates when Terrans were heavily favourite Let’s also call innovation a patch terran too since he won all his GsL during HoTS when Terran widow mines were op and broken as fuck Maru also had his fame increased due to proxy patch. Hell let’s just call everyone a patch player | ||
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Poopi
France12875 Posts
On July 18 2025 23:23 WombaT wrote: On one patch and he’s never won another Premier since. He won a major which I think arguably could have counted to be fair. There arguably isn’t another player with a more compelling case to be a ‘patch player’ than Byun. Still an incredible player, and still one of the great StarCraft 2 stories, absolutely a patch player. Unlike other patch players, it wasn’t a meta that covered a lack of skill, but accentuated an area he was atypically, incredibly good at. I mean Rogue is a far bigger patch zerg than ByuN is a patch terran imho, since Rogue basically only started winning when zerg became super strong (hydra patch in 2017, even Elazer got a semifinals at BlizzCon). ByuN was also good at TvT with tankivacs, he beat TY and other strong terrans at the time. Later on his wrist issues and terran being relatively bad prevented him from winning other tournaments, not that he was himself not good enough. Only Maru could win in forever most of the times for terran. Terrans and protoss couldn't really become patch T/P anymore because they were nerfed super quickly, while zerg kept on being strong so we even forgot about calling them patch Z since Z just stayed strong for 3 or 4 years straight, ever since 2019 (2017 and 2018 they were slightly stronger than other races, but it was manageable) | ||
Lorch
Germany3682 Posts
Last big SC2 championship will also be won by Toss. Seems like peotry to me ![]() | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 19 2025 00:59 Poopi wrote: I mean Rogue is a far bigger patch zerg than ByuN is a patch terran imho, since Rogue basically only started winning when zerg became super strong (hydra patch in 2017, even Elazer got a semifinals at BlizzCon). ByuN was also good at TvT with tankivacs, he beat TY and other strong terrans at the time. Later on his wrist issues and terran being relatively bad prevented him from winning other tournaments, not that he was himself not good enough. Only Maru could win in forever most of the times for terran. Terrans and protoss couldn't really become patch T/P anymore because they were nerfed super quickly, while zerg kept on being strong so we even forgot about calling them patch Z since Z just stayed strong for 3 or 4 years straight, ever since 2019 (2017 and 2018 they were slightly stronger than other races, but it was manageable) The cope in this post is like, off the charts. Byun got massively outperformed not just by Maru, but TY as well subsequently. Cure as well. Hell Gumiho is inconsistent but has a GSL subsequently and some other tournies Rogue’s still making GSL finals in 2025 after military, Byun hasnt threatened to do that in closing in a decade. Byun was only ever an S tier player on one patch. He didn’t win before, he hasn’t won since. He’s as definitional a patch player as you can hope to see in the wild. He’s still very good. ‘Merely’ being A tier still means you’re incredible at the game, but he’s an A tier player. All his results point to that. Before his 2016 and after it. | ||
RogueTheGOAT
9 Posts
On July 18 2025 23:23 WombaT wrote: On one patch and he’s never won another Premier since. He won a major which I think arguably could have counted to be fair. There arguably isn’t another player with a more compelling case to be a ‘patch player’ than Byun. Still an incredible player, and still one of the great StarCraft 2 stories, absolutely a patch player. Unlike other patch players, it wasn’t a meta that covered a lack of skill, but accentuated an area he was atypically, incredibly good at. That very much describes Scarlett and her IEM PyeongChang win. | ||
toinewx
53 Posts
As for Clem and Serral, they will choke. That's my prediction. TLDR: Korean winning, Foreigners choking. Let's check back in 1 week | ||
onPHYRE
Bulgaria923 Posts
On July 19 2025 00:59 Poopi wrote: I mean Rogue is a far bigger patch zerg than ByuN is a patch terran imho, since Rogue basically only started winning when zerg became super strong (hydra patch in 2017, even Elazer got a semifinals at BlizzCon). ByuN was also good at TvT with tankivacs, he beat TY and other strong terrans at the time. Later on his wrist issues and terran being relatively bad prevented him from winning other tournaments, not that he was himself not good enough. Only Maru could win in forever most of the times for terran. Terrans and protoss couldn't really become patch T/P anymore because they were nerfed super quickly, while zerg kept on being strong so we even forgot about calling them patch Z since Z just stayed strong for 3 or 4 years straight, ever since 2019 (2017 and 2018 they were slightly stronger than other races, but it was manageable) Rarely is a take so bad it matches your username. To call Rogue a patch Zerg is ridiculous and insulting to a player that has an argument for GOAT and is top 3 of all time. | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 19 2025 02:58 RogueTheGOAT wrote: That very much describes Scarlett and her IEM PyeongChang win. I don’t even consider a ‘patch player’ to be that derogatory. It’s pretty cutthroat at the top, if a patch suits your style, or you figure out how to abuse it quicker, that can make the difference and it’s part of the game. Even with a beneficial patch you’ve still got to be bloody good to win Premiers. So no shade from me, I’d rate Byun number one personally because he rode a favourable meta for him to a WC and a GSL. On July 19 2025 04:36 onPHYRE wrote: Rarely is a take so bad it matches your username. To call Rogue a patch Zerg is ridiculous and insulting to a player that has an argument for GOAT and is top 3 of all time. Top 5, maybe :p | ||
Antithesis
Germany1185 Posts
That said, I'm excited to see whether this EWC might eventuate a shift in the GoaT ranking. For example, the unlikely event of Rogue winning it all would greatly bolster his claim, although I still think it would not suffice to put him above #3. Another improbable but interesting scenario would be Serral bombing out spectacularly and Maru winning the title, which would go a long way of closing the already small gap between them. | ||
ProbLus
4 Posts
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calyonrhodes
2 Posts
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chilybeam
United Arab Emirates1 Post
Then, Protoss will likely be nerfed into oblivion. | ||
sc2turtlepants
35 Posts
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Antithesis
Germany1185 Posts
On July 20 2025 04:05 sc2turtlepants wrote: Think it's time to finally get another Protoss world champ! I'm picking a Mary v Clem TvP finals where Clem defends his title. Also Mary finally ends his losing streak vs Serral this tourny Clem winning the title with his Protoss off-race would actually be hilarious. Finally, another WC title for Protoss, but one achieved by a Terran main. If I were a Protoss player, this would trigger me into oblivion, haha. | ||
rwala
297 Posts
Maru's play the last couple years gives me later career Mvp vibes in that it feels like he somewhat reduces extremely fast and micro-intensive multiprong attacks in favor of more strategic eco-boost gambles and sharp timing attacks. He seems to also mostly have given up on his late game turtling strategies. Some of this is surely due to meta shifts (in particular the harsh ghost supply increase). But I wonder how much of it is an honest acknowledgment that his normal aperture of being able to play almost any style of play very effectively is somewhat reduced due to his injuries. That was a long post to basically say that I wouldn't be surprised to see Maru underperform expectations. I'm really excited to see what Classic, Rogue, and Reynor can do. Hero, Clem, and Serral I expect to be on point. | ||
lokol4890
114 Posts
On July 20 2025 06:28 rwala wrote: I don't know if any Koreans (or folks who speak Korean) are watching Crank's stream these days. He often has insights into what kind of form Korean players are in, especially Maru and Byun re: their ongoing injuries. Byun's injuries are more openly talked about since they seem to have some psychological triggers, but Maru's are less talked about. My uninformed perspective is that his injuries have significantly influenced his play over the last few years. There was some time after he had surgery or injections that he seemed to be back to normal but recently it's clear that he's in pain when he plays--he's constantly grabbing his shoulder like he used to back when he was injured. I believe Crank may have said at some point recently that Maru got a delay or exemption from his military service due to his shoulder injury. Maru's play the last couple years gives me later career Mvp vibes in that it feels like he somewhat reduces extremely fast and micro-intensive multiprong attacks in favor of more strategic eco-boost gambles and sharp timing attacks. He seems to also mostly have given up on his late game turtling strategies. Some of this is surely due to meta shifts (in particular the harsh ghost supply increase). But I wonder how much of it is an honest acknowledgment that his normal aperture of being able to play almost any style of play very effectively is somewhat reduced due to his injuries. That was a long post to basically say that I wouldn't be surprised to see Maru underperform expectations. I'm really excited to see what Classic, Rogue, and Reynor can do. Hero, Clem, and Serral I expect to be on point. I trust maru can do it. From the threads that were made about Crank's statements re maru's injuries, he got an exemption. This was prior to dh dallas, which he won. | ||
PremoBeats
422 Posts
On July 19 2025 20:22 calyonrhodes wrote: I haven’t been this excited for a tournament in a long time. This year, many players have a genuine chance to win, unlike last year’s EWC where Clem just felt unstoppable. Iirc, he felt unstoppable during it, not before... especially after it was clear that he probably wouldn't face any Terrans throughout the tournament and his first win against Serral, who didn't lose a single match since winning Kato with a 20-1 map score. And yeah, I also am super excited... for the first time it doesn't completely feel like that a tournament is either won by Clem or Serral... Dallas, when they both were kicked out rather surprisingly, was really important for that. To me, these two are still the favorites but it isn't as clear as usual. I am also super interested in how Rogue (first WC since military), Reynor (having mixed results lately) and Classic (Having beaten the whole top 10 except Maru in the last 2 months) and Maru (big question mark) will perform... yeah... just a really interesting setup this time. On July 20 2025 05:07 Antithesis wrote: Clem winning the title with his Protoss off-race would actually be hilarious. Finally, another WC title for Protoss, but one achieved by a Terran main. If I were a Protoss player, this would trigger me into oblivion, haha. Lol, good catch.. didn't even think about it like that before :D | ||
EEk1TwEEk
Russian Federation144 Posts
Go Rogue! | ||
PremoBeats
422 Posts
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CicadaSC
United States1709 Posts
On July 20 2025 19:51 EEk1TwEEk wrote: LOL GSL season 2 runner-up isn't an option in this poll ))) Go Rogue! to be fair the ranking wasnt an opinionated poll it was just ripped off aligulac. I do think Rogue has a real shot if he can dodge the top protoss players. | ||
Antithesis
Germany1185 Posts
On July 20 2025 14:40 PremoBeats wrote: Iirc, he felt unstoppable during it, not before... especially after it was clear that he probably wouldn't face any Terrans throughout the tournament and his first win against Serral, who didn't lose a single match since winning Kato with a 20-1 map score. Yeah, saying that Clem "felt unstoppable" or entered EWC 2024 as the clear favorite is retrospective bias. The overwhelming favorite for EWC 2024 was Serral, who won both major events leading up to EWC, Katowice 2024 and Dallas 2024, without losing a single series. Also we must remember that Serral's Katowice 2024 win even included a clean 3-0 sweep over Clem himself. Clem became the favorite when it turned out that his TvZ was in peak form even by his standards and that he could avoid TvT altogether. | ||
TheLordofAwesome
Korea (South)2655 Posts
On July 21 2025 00:46 Antithesis wrote: Yeah, saying that Clem "felt unstoppable" or entered EWC 2024 as the clear favorite is retrospective bias. The overwhelming favorite for EWC 2024 was Serral, who won both major events leading up to EWC, Katowice 2024 and Dallas 2024, without losing a single series. Also we must remember that Serral's Katowice 2024 win even included a clean 3-0 sweep over Clem himself. Clem became the favorite when it turned out that his TvZ was in peak form even by his standards and that he could avoid TvT altogether. Yeah, Serral was obviously the clear favorite at EWC. Serral in 2024 looked like he hit the single highest peak in SC2 that any player had ever achieved , until EWC. He won Katowice while losing only one map to Dark in some ZvZ coinflip. | ||
PremoBeats
422 Posts
On July 21 2025 00:46 Antithesis wrote: Yeah, saying that Clem "felt unstoppable" or entered EWC 2024 as the clear favorite is retrospective bias. The overwhelming favorite for EWC 2024 was Serral, who won both major events leading up to EWC, Katowice 2024 and Dallas 2024, without losing a single series. Also we must remember that Serral's Katowice 2024 win even included a clean 3-0 sweep over Clem himself. Clem became the favorite when it turned out that his TvZ was in peak form even by his standards and that he could avoid TvT altogether. Didn't he drop a total of 3 maps in those two tournaments? 1 against Dark and 2 against Oliveira? Absolutely nuts run... especially as this was during his military time. | ||
SHODAN
United Kingdom1106 Posts
most likely toss to win = Classic most likely zerg to win = Serral most likely overall = Classic | ||
Agh
United States971 Posts
On July 15 2025 07:09 dysenterymd wrote: One of these players will win: Serral, Clem, herO, Classic, Maru Reynor tier: Reynor + Zoun** Can do some serious damage and make a deep run, but won't win: Might have an okay run but won't pull any big upsets: Showtime, Pretty much agree although I do think the Zergs not named Serral have a miniscule chance to win. Much more Solar and SHIN though. Cure is going to crash out unless he found a magical TvP solution, and Showtime just needs to win 2 series against people he's beaten fairly recently to make the bracket. Also think Zoun belongs in Reynor tier | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 21 2025 06:04 Agh wrote: Pretty much agree although I do think the Zergs not named Serral have a miniscule chance to win. Much more Solar and SHIN though. Cure is going to crash out unless he found a magical TvP solution, and Showtime just needs to win 2 series against people he's beaten fairly recently to make the bracket. Also think Zoun belongs in Reynor tier I think Solar and SHIN need the bracket to play out in their favour, but I wouldn’t rule em out aye. I think they’re very dangerous, but assuming all of Serral, Clem and Maru are in good form, I can see them both being capable of beating them, but not all of them in a run. | ||
CicadaSC
United States1709 Posts
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rwala
297 Posts
On July 21 2025 00:46 Antithesis wrote: Yeah, saying that Clem "felt unstoppable" or entered EWC 2024 as the clear favorite is retrospective bias. The overwhelming favorite for EWC 2024 was Serral, who won both major events leading up to EWC, Katowice 2024 and Dallas 2024, without losing a single series. Also we must remember that Serral's Katowice 2024 win even included a clean 3-0 sweep over Clem himself. Clem became the favorite when it turned out that his TvZ was in peak form even by his standards and that he could avoid TvT altogether. Except Maru basically predicted it. I recall either during his stream or some pre-tournament content interviews he was asked who he thought would win and he said Clem. | ||
PremoBeats
422 Posts
The bookie odds for Serral were catastrophically low and he was the clear favorite going into Riyad, having basically defeated every top 10 player in the tournaments leading up to EWC and clearing Kato and Dallas with only 3 map drops, while Clem was bested several times. Do you know if that video/stream was pre-bracket-announcement? Because I remember that it was talked about how good it was for him to avoid all Terrans that got seeded into the Terran-bracket. | ||
mexbrock1
1 Post
A few weeks back, I said (half-jokingly) that Serral might go undefeated without dropping a map. While I wasn’t completely serious, I do think we’re about to see another incredible run from him, something he’s proven capable of many times before. | ||
Harris1st
Germany6928 Posts
On July 19 2025 04:18 toinewx wrote: My guts tells me a korean will win this tournament. And it may very well be Classic or Maru, As for Clem and Serral, they will choke. That's my prediction. TLDR: Korean winning, Foreigners choking. Let's check back in 1 week The most choking player on a world stage clutching and the most clutch player on a world stage choking? Yeah I doubt that | ||
rwala
297 Posts
On July 21 2025 15:45 PremoBeats wrote: I don't think one or two Pros predicting the eventual outcome is the same as Clem being perceived as "unstoppable" pre-EWC. The bookie odds for Serral were catastrophically low and he was the clear favorite going into Riyad, having basically defeated every top 10 player in the tournaments leading up to EWC and clearing Kato and Dallas with only 3 map drops, while Clem was bested several times. Do you know if that video/stream was pre-bracket-announcement? Because I remember that it was talked about how good it was for him to avoid all Terrans that got seeded into the Terran-bracket. I don’t remember. And I agree he wasn’t perceived as unstoppable. I just think sometimes (but not always) pros have an expert understanding of skill level or skill potential that transcends conventional wisdom. | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 21 2025 15:45 PremoBeats wrote: I don't think one or two Pros predicting the eventual outcome is the same as Clem being perceived as "unstoppable" pre-EWC. The bookie odds for Serral were catastrophically low and he was the clear favorite going into Riyad, having basically defeated every top 10 player in the tournaments leading up to EWC and clearing Kato and Dallas with only 3 map drops, while Clem was bested several times. Do you know if that video/stream was pre-bracket-announcement? Because I remember that it was talked about how good it was for him to avoid all Terrans that got seeded into the Terran-bracket. Retrospective can be an odd phenomenon, timeframes get blended and things go out of sequence. Serral was in god mode for huge chunks of the year, Clem was in very good form + was the only guy to give Serral some bruises. But he only entered god mode at EWC, and for a time after. From what I recall, the consensus was that Clem was one of the favourite contenders, but Serral was the favourite, which made sense just off results. Also it feels to me that simply by virtue of being battered in the EWC finals by a Clem playing out of his mind, Serral’s 2024 is oddly underrated. He lost something like 5 or 6 series of any kind in the entire year, and only one to somebody not named Clement, in Maru. Even then that loss wasn’t an elimination defeat and he recovered to win that tourney (Master’s Colosseum IIRC), revenge sweeping Maru on the way to doing so. This time around, I’m way less sure. Lack of more regular, biggish prize pool tournaments, differing levels of exposure to players’ gameplay etc it’s tricky to gauge. It’s trickier to gauge the state of balance at the top too, although we can get an idea. For me, it comes down to a few questions that we will have to wait a short period to get answered. 1. Has Serral been cooking solutions to some of his problems of the past while? Namely, well, Clem being a notable one. The second is the patch shifting his ZvP from basically invulnerable, to strong but mortal. He may get away from a 0/2 success rate if the bracket gods shine on him, but he’d be in a much more solid spot if he’s come up with some answers. 2. Can Clem’s PvT cut it in a big, high-stakes tournament that people have been prioritising preparation for? It’s obviously been shown to be pretty damn potent, but I find he plays a few styles very well indeed but doesn’t have the range that the Toss mains have built up. Doing similar things and mechanically outplaying his opponents is very much the Clem way, and it’s served him very well, but perhaps come crunch time someone may dig deep in their locker and take him out with fiendish planning. Maru perhaps. We haven’t seen much of him for chunks of this year, and Clem has put out a ton of games for him to study. I generally favour Serral because he rarely has off days, and across 3 matchups he doesn’t really have a vulnerability. Clem can lose to more people with more frequency, and his TvT was still strong but not impregnable. Maybe it’s just the last patch that might swing it a bit, in combination by slightly nerfing Serral’s ZvP, and Clem being confident enough to reliably dodge TvTs | ||
Harris1st
Germany6928 Posts
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Poopi
France12875 Posts
On July 21 2025 23:19 Harris1st wrote: Less than 20 hours and no preview and no power rank? Sad elephant ![]() ![]() Afaik last year TL didn’t want anything to do with EWC because of the org / country behind it, might simply be the same this year? | ||
WombaT
Northern Ireland25275 Posts
On July 21 2025 22:18 rwala wrote: I don’t remember. And I agree he wasn’t perceived as unstoppable. I just think sometimes (but not always) pros have an expert understanding of skill level or skill potential that transcends conventional wisdom. Didn’t Serral have the strongest player Top Trumps card at EWC? Quite enjoyed that downtime gimmick, gave some insight into how they all view each other’s levels and strengths/weaknesses. Not quite the same as a prediction of course, one may think x player is the most skilled but fancy another player to win for various reasons. If I’m misremembering and that was actually at Kato, obviously disregard! | ||
Harris1st
Germany6928 Posts
On July 21 2025 23:25 Poopi wrote: Afaik last year TL didn’t want anything to do with EWC because of the org / country behind it, might simply be the same this year? I know I sound like an entitled little something here but then why have a frontpage poll, bracket reveal thread and so on? | ||
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