• Log InLog In
  • Register
Liquid`
Team Liquid Liquipedia
EDT 20:09
CEST 02:09
KST 09:09
  • Home
  • Forum
  • Calendar
  • Streams
  • Liquipedia
  • Features
  • Store
  • EPT
  • TL+
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Smash
  • Heroes
  • Counter-Strike
  • Overwatch
  • Liquibet
  • Fantasy StarCraft
  • TLPD
  • StarCraft 2
  • Brood War
  • Blogs
Forum Sidebar
Events/Features
News
Featured News
[ASL19] Finals Recap: Standing Tall9HomeStory Cup 27 - Info & Preview18Classic wins Code S Season 2 (2025)16Code S RO4 & Finals Preview: herO, Rogue, Classic, GuMiho0TL Team Map Contest #5: Presented by Monster Energy6
Community News
[BSL20] Non-Korean Championship 4x BSL + 4x China1Flash Announces Hiatus From ASL63Weekly Cups (June 23-29): Reynor in world title form?13FEL Cracov 2025 (July 27) - $8000 live event22Esports World Cup 2025 - Final Player Roster16
StarCraft 2
General
Program: SC2 / XSplit / OBS Scene Switcher The SCII GOAT: A statistical Evaluation Statistics for vetoed/disliked maps Weekly Cups (June 23-29): Reynor in world title form? PiG Sty Festival #5: Playoffs Preview + Groups Recap
Tourneys
RSL: Revival, a new crowdfunded tournament series FEL Cracov 2025 (July 27) - $8000 live event Sparkling Tuna Cup - Weekly Open Tournament WardiTV Mondays Korean Starcraft League Week 77
Strategy
How did i lose this ZvP, whats the proper response Simple Questions Simple Answers
Custom Maps
[UMS] Zillion Zerglings
External Content
Mutation # 481 Fear and Lava Mutation # 480 Moths to the Flame Mutation # 479 Worn Out Welcome Mutation # 478 Instant Karma
Brood War
General
SC uni coach streams logging into betting site Player “Jedi” cheat on CSL Flash Announces Hiatus From ASL BW General Discussion Practice Partners (Official)
Tourneys
[BSL20] Non-Korean Championship 4x BSL + 4x China CSL Xiamen International Invitational The Casual Games of the Week Thread [BSL20] Grand Finals - Sunday 20:00 CET
Strategy
Simple Questions, Simple Answers I am doing this better than progamers do.
Other Games
General Games
Path of Exile Stormgate/Frost Giant Megathread Nintendo Switch Thread What do you want from future RTS games? Beyond All Reason
Dota 2
Official 'what is Dota anymore' discussion
League of Legends
Heroes of the Storm
Simple Questions, Simple Answers Heroes of the Storm 2.0
Hearthstone
Heroes of StarCraft mini-set
TL Mafia
TL Mafia Community Thread Vanilla Mini Mafia
Community
General
US Politics Mega-thread Russo-Ukrainian War Thread Summer Games Done Quick 2025! Trading/Investing Thread Things Aren’t Peaceful in Palestine
Fan Clubs
SKT1 Classic Fan Club! Maru Fan Club
Media & Entertainment
Anime Discussion Thread [Manga] One Piece [\m/] Heavy Metal Thread
Sports
Formula 1 Discussion 2024 - 2025 Football Thread NBA General Discussion TeamLiquid Health and Fitness Initiative For 2023 NHL Playoffs 2024
World Cup 2022
Tech Support
Computer Build, Upgrade & Buying Resource Thread
TL Community
Blogs
Culture Clash in Video Games…
TrAiDoS
from making sc maps to makin…
Husyelt
Blog #2
tankgirl
StarCraft improvement
iopq
Trip to the Zoo
micronesia
Customize Sidebar...

Website Feedback

Closed Threads



Active: 636 users

GSL Code A Season 3 - Day 3 Preview (2021)

Forum Index > SC2 General
4 CommentsPost a Reply

GSL Code A Season 3 - Day 3 Preview (2021)

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
August 22nd, 2021 21:20 GMT

2021 GSL Code A Season 3 - Day 3

by Poopi

Code A Season 3 wraps up with a day of matches that look one-sided on paper, but might yet deliver a few surprises. Make sure to stay tuned after the matches for the Code S group selections, which should be a rambunctious prelude to the main event.

More info: GSL Code A Season 3 on Liquipedia

KeeN vs Ryung

Start time: [unparsable timestamp format]

This match is a blast from the past, featuring two old school players who have returned to StarCraft II after fulfilling their mandatory military service. This prediction would have been very easy back in the Wings of Liberty days, when Ryung was a prominent TvT specialist that could stand toe-to-toe with the best Terrans. This mirror mastery powered Ryung to the top four of GSL Code S in 2012 (defeating fan-favorite MarineKing 3-1 in the RO8), which was his career-best result at the time. However, that run is more well-known for how it ended: after losing 2-3 to infamous zerg Sniper in the semifinals, Ryung vented his frustrations about the Brood Lord-Infestor meta by typing “IMBA” 17 times before finally ceding the final GG.

Five years later in GSL Code S 2017, Ryung showed the world his TvT was still to be feared in LotV when he beat Maru 3-1 in the RO8, earning one more top four finish. Alas, that was the end for Ryung as a GSL playoffs player, and he departed to fulfil his military service in early 2019. Ryug was discharged relatively recently in late 2020, but his recovery curve has been more ‘normal’ compared to some outlier players like ByuN. He wasn’t able to qualify for Code A in the previous two seasons of 2021, but managed to make the cut this time around by taking out fellow returnee herO.

KeeN, while being a solid all-around player during his pre-military career, didn’t have any exceptional strengths like Ryung’s TvT. The Code S group stages were typically the limit for KeeN, though he did make two notable runs to the top eight. Nevertheless, in the present day, the Afreeca Freecs Terran is the favorite against his older opponent.

Despite being discharged some 4-5 months later than Ryung in April of 2021, KeeN seems far less rusty than Ryung. That’s not too surprising considering that KeeN is younger than Ryung, and was in better form at the time of his enlistment. Keen has racked up a number of notable results since his comeback, taking series off the likes of Dark, Solar, Dream, and ByuN. While most of these wins came in smaller online cup competition, it still contrasts with RyunG and how rarely he beats Code S regulars in the same setting. Most importantly, KeeN almost qualified for Code S in Season 2, narrowly losing 2-3 to DongRaeGu in Code A.

RyunG is understandably very dominant in career head-to-head matches against KeeN with a 15-4 match record—indicative of RyunG’s TvT prowess in their pre-military days. But all of those matches are from 2018 or earlier, and KeeN is in much better shape since their comebacks. KeeN’s TvT rating on Aligulac.com stands at a respectable 2434 points (#12) compared to RyunG’s 2209 (#18), and Aligulac.com’s predictor gives KeeN a 67.53% chance of victory.

Still, Ryung is a career TvT specialist and might be confident versus KeeN having beaten him so many times throughout his career. He’s taken maps off of TY as well as Bunny, and beat Percival several times a few months ago, so perhaps the match will not necessarily be utterly one-sided in favor of KeeN. However, I cannot help but agree with the numbers in the end, and will predict a comfortable victory for KeeN.

Prediction: KeeN 3 - 1 Ryung

Cure vs Leenock

The last match of Code A projects to be the most one-sided of this season, and maybe even the most one-sided Code A match since they brought it back. Sure, Solar vs GuMiho on day two was a massacre, but it might end up paling in comparison to Cure vs Leenock. Cure struggles with his dual nature as the fearsome online-Cure and meek offline-Cure, but I doubt even the lesser version could lose a BO5 to Leenock in 2021.

Aligulac is unsurprisingly giving a Cure a 94.94% chance of beating Leenock, with more than a 50% chance of it being a 3-0. The rating difference between the two players is a whopping 802 points, which would make a Leenock victory one of the biggest upsets in StarCraft II history. For comparison, Aligulac.com predicts Solar vs. Gumiho as a mere 84% win chance for Solar—and that’s AFTER Solar won 3-0 to increase the gap. Given how one-sided Solar vs. GuMiho was, with mistakes usually unseen even in code A (such as losing 4 hellions after parking them on the creep of the opponent), you have to look at Cure vs Leenock with a kind of morbid fascination.

However, there are a few things going Leenock's way to give his fans some optimism. The head-to-head record favors Leenock at 9-7 in matches (22-21 in maps), with Leenock even beating Cure recently 2-1 in ESL Open Cup #82. In fact, before he left for the military, Leenock was leading their head-to-head with 8 match wins and 5 losses. And, while Leenock has lost nearly all of his TvZ’s against notable players since his spring 2021 return, in more recent weeks he's picked up some wins against SpeCial, ByuN, and Cure in relatively recent BO3 matches.

The other point of hope for Leenock is a recent ‘slump’ for Cure. While his struggles have been more pronounced in TvP, Cure has also been dropping TvZ matches to some unexpected opponents as well, losing to DongRaeGu, Leenock, and RagnaroK in the last month. Still, even the best players drop series to underdogs now and then, so these results might just be a statistical blip. Since then, he lost 2-3 to Solar and beat Rogue 2-1, which is more in line with what you’d expect.

Cure is known for choking in offline matches, but this time he’ll be a ridiculous favorite. Perhaps that will give Cure the confidence to play at 100%, but paradoxically, it might even put more mental pressure on him to win. Still, since it feels like it’s a given that Cure will prevail, the real question is if Leenock will manage to take a map, and if not, if he is gonna get rolled harder than Gumiho got beaten by Solar. I expect Cure to win convincingly, but also Leenock to bring something clever that will catch Cure off guard and make him sweat.

Prediction: Cure 3 - 0 Leenock



Credits and acknowledgements

Writer: Poopi
Editor: Wax
Images: AfreecaTV
Records and Statistics: Aligulac.com and Liquipedia

Facebook Twitter Reddit
TL+ Member
QOGQOG
Profile Joined July 2019
834 Posts
Last Edited: 2021-08-22 22:23:08
August 22 2021 22:22 GMT
#2
Never underestimate Cure's ability to choke in GSL. (Though he definitely should win...)
Edpayasugo
Profile Joined April 2013
United Kingdom2214 Posts
August 23 2021 08:25 GMT
#3
94.9%!
FlaSh MMA INnoVation FanTaSy MKP TY Ryung | soO Dark Rogue | HuK PartinG Stork State
Argonauta
Profile Joined July 2016
Spain4906 Posts
August 23 2021 08:29 GMT
#4
So sad Code S have room for so few people....
Rogue | Maru | Scarlett | Trap
TL+ Member
BisuDagger
Profile Blog Joined October 2009
Bisutopia19229 Posts
August 23 2021 10:26 GMT
#5
Leenock has really grown up!!! He used to be pudgey and baby faced. He’s one of my favorite zergs so I hope he can bring back the skills from his prime.
ModeratorFormer Afreeca Starleague Caster: http://afreeca.tv/ASL2ENG2
Please log in or register to reply.
Live Events Refresh
Next event in 10h 52m
[ Submit Event ]
Live Streams
Refresh
StarCraft 2
Nina 241
Livibee 166
ProTech86
StarCraft: Brood War
Artosis 921
Stork 106
League of Legends
Grubby4262
Dendi1566
Counter-Strike
tarik_tv7307
Fnx 1644
Stewie2K985
Super Smash Bros
Mew2King161
Heroes of the Storm
Khaldor293
Other Games
summit1g9318
fl0m1018
ViBE228
Pyrionflax162
Maynarde157
JuggernautJason12
Organizations
Other Games
gamesdonequick45503
BasetradeTV54
StarCraft 2
Blizzard YouTube
StarCraft: Brood War
BSLTrovo
sctven
[ Show 14 non-featured ]
StarCraft 2
• davetesta44
• AfreecaTV YouTube
• intothetv
• Kozan
• IndyKCrew
• LaughNgamezSOOP
• Migwel
• sooper7s
StarCraft: Brood War
• blackmanpl 34
• BSLYoutube
• STPLYoutube
• ZZZeroYoutube
Dota 2
• Ler72
League of Legends
• masondota2895
Upcoming Events
Wardi Open
10h 52m
Replay Cast
23h 52m
Sparkling Tuna Cup
1d 9h
WardiTV European League
1d 15h
MaNa vs sebesdes
Mixu vs Fjant
ByuN vs HeRoMaRinE
ShoWTimE vs goblin
Gerald vs Babymarine
Krystianer vs YoungYakov
PiGosaur Monday
1d 23h
The PondCast
2 days
WardiTV European League
2 days
Jumy vs NightPhoenix
Percival vs Nicoract
ArT vs HiGhDrA
MaxPax vs Harstem
Scarlett vs Shameless
SKillous vs uThermal
uThermal 2v2 Circuit
2 days
Replay Cast
2 days
RSL Revival
3 days
ByuN vs SHIN
Clem vs Reynor
[ Show More ]
Replay Cast
3 days
RSL Revival
4 days
Classic vs Cure
FEL
4 days
RSL Revival
5 days
FEL
5 days
FEL
5 days
Sparkling Tuna Cup
6 days
RSL Revival
6 days
FEL
6 days
Liquipedia Results

Completed

BSL Season 20
HSC XXVII
Heroes 10 EU

Ongoing

JPL Season 2
Acropolis #3
KCM Race Survival 2025 Season 2
CSL 17: 2025 SUMMER
Copa Latinoamericana 4
Jiahua Invitational
Championship of Russia 2025
RSL Revival: Season 1
Murky Cup #2
BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025
ESL Impact League Season 7
IEM Dallas 2025
PGL Astana 2025
Asian Champions League '25
BLAST Rivals Spring 2025
MESA Nomadic Masters
CCT Season 2 Global Finals
IEM Melbourne 2025

Upcoming

2025 ACS Season 2: Qualifier
CSLPRO Last Chance 2025
CSL Xiamen Invitational
2025 ACS Season 2
CSLPRO Chat StarLAN 3
K-Championship
uThermal 2v2 Main Event
SEL Season 2 Championship
FEL Cracov 2025
Esports World Cup 2025
StarSeries Fall 2025
FISSURE Playground #2
BLAST Open Fall 2025
BLAST Open Fall Qual
Esports World Cup 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall 2025
BLAST Bounty Fall Qual
IEM Cologne 2025
FISSURE Playground #1
TLPD

1. ByuN
2. TY
3. Dark
4. Solar
5. Stats
6. Nerchio
7. sOs
8. soO
9. INnoVation
10. Elazer
1. Rain
2. Flash
3. EffOrt
4. Last
5. Bisu
6. Soulkey
7. Mini
8. Sharp
Sidebar Settings...

Advertising | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | Contact Us

Original banner artwork: Jim Warren
The contents of this webpage are copyright © 2025 TLnet. All Rights Reserved.