EPTIrene to MLG Raleigh-- I don't like Irene - Page 5
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Swink
Australia26 Posts
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Feijichang
China167 Posts
On August 25 2011 21:49 Swink wrote: Cat 3? i've been fishing in bigger storms than that. im sure everyone will be fine. no nead to worry No, you haven't. Not to mention it isn't foreign at all for a Cat3 to jump to 4 or even 5 and turn inland unexpectedly. | ||
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Iphimedeia
Hong Kong50 Posts
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Wren
United States745 Posts
On August 25 2011 21:11 FT.aCt)Sony wrote: Update per US Air-Force Weather and National Hurricane Center models for the individuals traveling to Raleigh, NC and individuals in the outlying areas: It's going to hit Hatteras, NC directly as of now. For Raleigh you will be at a risk from 2pm Friday until Saturday at Noon with a10% chance of wind probability of 40 knots+ and a 4% chance of 50 knot winds+. For rain under an inch and a half. So MLG Raleigh shouldn't see any major issues. Any flights going into Raleigh-Durham (RDU) shouldn't have any delays. If the storm happens to change course and begins traveling more westward then there might be an issue. But the storm has consistently been circulating more to the east so expect a the storm to change eastward if anything. Any other questions or updates needed by anyone just give me a heads up. Just takes a phone call from me on my day off to call my office or the Cape Canaveral WX Station here on base. Quoted because people are seemingly glossing over this post. The Air Force has spectacularly good weather models, anything from them should be taken as the highest authority. If the current models say that flights won't even be affected, then there's nothing to worry about. | ||
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pStar
996 Posts
On August 25 2011 21:11 FT.aCt)Sony wrote: Update per US Air-Force Weather and National Hurricane Center models for the individuals traveling to Raleigh, NC and individuals in the outlying areas: It's going to hit Hatteras, NC directly as of now. For Raleigh you will be at a risk from 2pm Friday until Saturday at Noon with a10% chance of wind probability of 40 knots+ and a 4% chance of 50 knot winds+. For rain under an inch and a half. So MLG Raleigh shouldn't see any major issues. Any flights going into Raleigh-Durham (RDU) shouldn't have any delays. If the storm happens to change course and begins traveling more westward then there might be an issue. But the storm has consistently been circulating more to the east so expect a the storm to change eastward if anything. Any other questions or updates needed by anyone just give me a heads up. Just takes a phone call from me on my day off to call my office or the Cape Canaveral WX Station here on base. yea, this really needs more attention. I would take the word of the airforce alot quicker than i would a weatherman. | ||
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FT.aCt)Sony
United States1049 Posts
I don't delve deep into weather since its only one aspect of my position as a Airfield Management supervisor. Just explain the weather models and current weather readings to pilots who don't understand the Dash report they're supposed to receive before flying operations. Like I said, if anyone wants a further update just let me know. More than happy to take a look at the readings or give a call upward later today or update the thread tomorrow when I go into work. | ||
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See.Blue
United States2673 Posts
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InvalidID
United States1050 Posts
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lorkac
United States2297 Posts
On August 25 2011 12:38 Cartographer wrote: *to the tune of come on eileen* Come on Irene I swear don't hit MLG at this moment it means everything Come on Irene Don't mess with the stream or the bent cuz there is no LAN Come on Irene Just keep going east hit maine or any where else | ||
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shtdisturbance
Canada613 Posts
I am sure the hurricane will not do too much to Raleigh, it is not going that direction and if it did change, it would die down a lot. | ||
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Furlisht
Belgium177 Posts
Hopefully everything will go without harm and as planned. Good luck MLG! | ||
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Reapher
Peru131 Posts
I hope that everything goes well in Raleigh D: | ||
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maliceee
United States634 Posts
On August 25 2011 21:57 Feijichang wrote: No, you haven't. Not to mention it isn't foreign at all for a Cat3 to jump to 4 or even 5 and turn inland unexpectedly. really? how do you know? ive played frisbee in a cat 3, and ive played soccer in a cat 3. Unless you are surrounded by a forest or near a low shoreline, up to cat 3 is hurricane party time. once it goes higher, then yea don't do any of that. Raleigh should be fine. It better fucking be. | ||
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Wren
United States745 Posts
On August 25 2011 23:12 FT.aCt)Sony wrote: Thanks Wren and pStar. I don't delve deep into weather since its only one aspect of my position as a Airfield Management supervisor. Just explain the weather models and current weather readings to pilots who don't understand the Dash report they're supposed to receive before flying operations. Like I said, if anyone wants a further update just let me know. More than happy to take a look at the readings or give a call upward later today or update the thread tomorrow when I go into work. The occasional update would be awesome, though it wouldn't have to be more often than 12 or 18 hours (barring some new and threatening developments). | ||
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thirnaz
Sweden876 Posts
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WXGhoul
1 Post
Irene is actually a Cat 4 right now, and is reforming its eyewall, so it's running a little slow. ECMWF and other models are in agreement right now moving the storm slightly N-NW. From the NHC discussion: "SINCE IRENE IS SUCH A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ARE LIKELY ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST REGARDLESS OF THE EXACT TRACK IT TAKES." North Carolina just put out a state of emergency for everything east of I-95. In Raleigh I wouldn't expect more than some wind and rain. Gusts shouldn't exceed 30MPH, so the *chance* is still there for a power outage. Whether or not you are going to MLG, if you live on the coast and evacuations are called for, just leave. Don't think you know better, because you don't. I live on the Virginia coast, and am glad to be leaving for the weekend. I drove past a truck today on the way to work full of sandbags :/ Also, I'm not trying to steal any other forecasters thunder, this is just my take on the situation. | ||
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xSixGeneralHan
United States528 Posts
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StatX
Canada343 Posts
On August 25 2011 09:46 RaLakedaimon wrote: I totally thought Irene was some reporter chick or something, funny how you worded that title.  Hope that storm doesn't ruin the even for everyone though, bad weather sucks. I thought so too. I thought this would've been another "excellent" thread  | ||
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Primadog
United States4411 Posts
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Gutrot
122 Posts
Chances of a power failure if the storm brings down some power lines will be the largest threat to MLG this weekend, imo. Im just an armchair weather man though so make sure you listen to the profesionals! | ||
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