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HomeStoryCup VI final player list - Page 19

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
399 CommentsPost a Reply
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StarVe
Profile Joined June 2011
Germany13591 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-17 22:04:53
December 17 2012 22:03 GMT
#361
Yeah, I get the logic behind it, just think those are probably exaggerated.

How come monchi dropped so hard when he just won the German EPS a couple of days ago? Didn't play a PvT there, but still.

Oh, I see, you just started a new list.
ibraishome
Profile Blog Joined August 2012
Germany337 Posts
December 17 2012 22:05 GMT
#362

On December 18 2012 00:37 MoMaN- wrote:
hi everyone !

hmm i can say something !
Some people are wrong : i didnt stop sc2, i'm playing a lot ! but yes perhaps i'm bad ;D

Thx for this invitation Take ♥
I'm really happy to be here ! Best tournament 4 ever ♥ !

Sorry for take one spot

I will do my best !

Bad thing no zerg in my group !!! (my best match up very far)

I hope you will enjoy it !
Because I WILL ♥.♥



I couldn't think of a better invite - you're one of the most entertaining and likeable players <3
Daumen
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany1073 Posts
December 17 2012 22:23 GMT
#363
On December 18 2012 00:37 MoMaN- wrote:
hi everyone !

hmm i can say something !
Some people are wrong : i didnt stop sc2, i'm playing a lot ! but yes perhaps i'm bad ;D

Thx for this invitation Take ♥
I'm really happy to be here ! Best tournament 4 ever ♥ !

Sorry for take one spot

I will do my best !

Bad thing no zerg in my group !!! (my best match up very far)

I hope you will enjoy it !
Because I WILL ♥.♥



je t'aime bien monsieur ;D

I honestly think HSC4 was better than HSC5, you are part of the reason ;> big part. Plx show your brolove for Take again ;>
President of the ReaL Fan Club.
brainox
Profile Joined September 2010
Germany292 Posts
December 17 2012 22:40 GMT
#364
Seems like Major cancelled HSC VI because of high fever. Replacement is Harstem: http://taketv.net/news/homestorycup-vi-powered-by-xmg-14-12-12-15725#groups
Daumen
Profile Joined July 2011
Germany1073 Posts
December 17 2012 22:58 GMT
#365
On December 16 2012 19:53 NotoriousBig wrote:
wow, no Darkforce, i really hoped he would participate, because HSC could give him a motivation to train more...


Holy shit, didnt even notice that Overlord is not invited, he mentioned that hes going to travel to Singapore or something, maybe thats why



ClouD, Moman & Take on the couch PLX
President of the ReaL Fan Club.
blindepidemic
Profile Joined August 2011
4 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-18 02:43:03
December 18 2012 02:42 GMT
#366
Absolutely love this tourney, can't wait for it to kick off! Always worth stuffing up my sleep schedule for ^^ Homestory ftw
nunez
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
Norway4003 Posts
December 18 2012 08:00 GMT
#367
On December 18 2012 05:37 BarbarGWC wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 04:29 nunez wrote:
why no nerchio? he'd rip most of these guys to pieces. can't wait though, and maybe there was some scheduling problems.


Take said on stream that he would've loved Nerchio as well as Thorzain and someone else (don't remembe right now, but people were asking in this thread about him) to play at HSC, but all the three had some kind of scheduling problem.

Still looking forward a lot to this HSC. Can't wait for i to start.


ah ok. thanks for info! same same, gonna be awesome!
conspired against by a confederacy of dunces.
4ZakeN87
Profile Joined June 2011
Sweden1071 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-18 10:38:54
December 18 2012 10:37 GMT
#368
Well HSC is usually awesome so it will probably this time too.

But the line-up is very 2010:ish. Okay I get the entertainment thing but.. Moman, Goody, Cloud, Tarson, Whit-ra, the list goes on.

Not exactly the peak performers of 2012, could'nt they have got players like Fraer or SortOf instead?
"Everything should be made as simple as possible, but not simpler" Einstein
SinCitta
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
Germany2127 Posts
December 18 2012 11:18 GMT
#369
On December 18 2012 17:00 nunez wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 05:37 BarbarGWC wrote:
On December 18 2012 04:29 nunez wrote:
why no nerchio? he'd rip most of these guys to pieces. can't wait though, and maybe there was some scheduling problems.


Take said on stream that he would've loved Nerchio as well as Thorzain and someone else (don't remembe right now, but people were asking in this thread about him) to play at HSC, but all the three had some kind of scheduling problem.

Still looking forward a lot to this HSC. Can't wait for i to start.


ah ok. thanks for info! same same, gonna be awesome!


The other one he tried to get was Lucifron btw.
00Visor
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
4337 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-18 11:21:57
December 18 2012 11:20 GMT
#370
On December 18 2012 07:40 brainox wrote:
Seems like Major cancelled HSC VI because of high fever. Replacement is Harstem: http://taketv.net/news/homestorycup-vi-powered-by-xmg-14-12-12-15725#groups


Not Visa issues this time, but something is stopping Major again from going to a tournament :/. Get well soon!
goswser
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3548 Posts
December 18 2012 11:42 GMT
#371
Sucks for Major, I think he would have had a good chance in that group, even with Symbol, Kas, and Nightend.
say you were born into a jungle indian tribe where food was scarce...would you run around from teepee to teepee stealing meat scraps after a day lazying around doing nothing except warming urself by a fire that you didn't even make yourself? -rekrul
Hiea
Profile Joined March 2012
Denmark1538 Posts
December 18 2012 13:27 GMT
#372
On December 18 2012 06:56 TheBB wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 06:20 StarVe wrote:
On December 18 2012 06:00 TheBB wrote:
On December 18 2012 03:18 furo wrote:
On December 18 2012 01:04 TheBB wrote:
Biggest group favourites: TLO (!), Stephano, Grubby and Symbol.

Group A

      Stephano: 98.11%
      Socke: 51.28%
      Feast: 26.54%
      GoOdy: 24.07%
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Stephano: 0.60% 1.29% 14.45% 83.66%
GoOdy: 49.09% 26.84% 20.91% 3.16%
Feast: 32.26% 41.20% 22.81% 3.73%
Socke: 18.04% 30.68% 41.83% 9.45%

Probability of each pair advancing

Stephan GoOdy Feast Socke
Stephano: 20.30% 22.18% 41.18%
GoOdy: 2.55% 0.17% 0.45%
Feast: 3.31% 0.22% 0.20%
Socke: 8.60% 0.39% 0.46%


Group B

      TLO: 98.61%
      ClouD: 43.00%
      Mana: 32.33%
      ToD: 26.07%
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
TLO: 0.49% 0.90% 12.07% 86.54%
Mana: 37.92% 29.75% 28.29% 4.04%
ToD: 39.16% 34.77% 21.97% 4.10%
ClouD: 22.43% 34.58% 37.68% 5.32%

Probability of each pair advancing

TLO Mana ToD ClouD
TLO: 27.70% 21.57% 37.28%
Mana: 3.50% 0.30% 0.24%
ToD: 3.76% 0.18% 0.16%
ClouD: 4.81% 0.41% 0.10%


Group C

      HasuObs: 88.50%
      BabyKnight: 74.01%
      Fuzer: 31.66%
      Ret: 5.83%
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Ret: 74.22% 19.95% 3.32% 2.51%
HasuObs: 3.59% 7.91% 38.92% 49.58%
Fuzer: 13.20% 55.14% 24.16% 7.50%
BabyKnight: 8.99% 17.00% 33.60% 40.41%

Probability of each pair advancing

Ret HasuObs Fuzer BabyKni
Ret: 0.90% 0.19% 1.41%
HasuObs: 1.21% 19.52% 28.86%
Fuzer: 0.88% 3.28% 3.34%
BabyKnight: 1.23% 34.73% 4.45%


Group D

      Snute: 79.83%
      MC: 69.09%
      Tarrantius: 36.60%
      Naama: 14.49%
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Snute: 7.74% 12.43% 30.68% 49.14%
Naama: 54.70% 30.81% 9.11% 5.38%
MC: 9.56% 21.35% 37.79% 31.30%
Tarrantius: 27.99% 35.41% 22.42% 14.18%

Probability of each pair advancing

Snute Naama MC Tarrant
Snute: 2.81% 31.18% 15.15%
Naama: 2.25% 1.81% 1.32%
MC: 20.42% 4.93% 5.94%
Tarrantius: 8.01% 1.36% 4.80%


Group E

      Bly: 78.53%
      XlorD: 74.75%
      MarineKing: 37.47%
      WhiteRa: 9.25%
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
XlorD: 9.49% 15.77% 32.58% 42.17%
MarineKing: 16.62% 45.92% 25.59% 11.87%
Bly: 6.36% 15.11% 36.54% 42.00%
WhiteRa: 67.54% 23.21% 5.29% 3.96%

Probability of each pair advancing

XlorD MarineK Bly WhiteRa
XlorD: 9.96% 30.04% 2.18%
MarineKing: 5.12% 5.35% 1.40%
Bly: 25.16% 15.12% 1.71%
WhiteRa: 2.29% 0.52% 1.15%


Group F

      Grubby: 96.19%
      HeRoMaRinE: 50.09%
      BlinG: 46.94%
      DIMAGA: 6.78%
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
DIMAGA: 67.90% 25.32% 4.63% 2.15%
Grubby: 1.28% 2.53% 22.08% 74.11%
HeRoMaRinE: 21.73% 28.18% 32.20% 17.89%
BlinG: 9.08% 43.97% 41.09% 5.86%

Probability of each pair advancing

DIMAGA Grubby HeRoMaR BlinG
DIMAGA: 1.38% 0.65% 0.12%
Grubby: 3.70% 30.57% 39.83%
HeRoMaRinE: 0.27% 16.48% 1.13%
BlinG: 0.65% 4.23% 0.98%


Group G

      MMA: 87.47%
      BratOK: 85.84%
      monchi: 21.20%
      MoMaN: 5.50%
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
MoMaN: 70.49% 24.01% 3.88% 1.62%
BratOK: 3.89% 10.28% 39.76% 46.08%
MMA: 2.77% 9.76% 40.58% 46.89%
monchi: 22.85% 55.95% 15.78% 5.41%

Probability of each pair advancing

MoMaN BratOK MMA monchi
MoMaN: 0.63% 0.85% 0.14%
BratOK: 0.77% 37.18% 8.13%
MMA: 2.80% 36.58% 7.51%
monchi: 0.32% 2.55% 2.55%


Group H

      Symbol: 92.28%
      Kas: 65.25%
      MajOr: 23.78%
      NightEnD: 18.68%
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Symbol: 2.46% 5.26% 29.44% 62.84%
Kas: 16.05% 18.70% 40.58% 24.67%
NightEnD: 41.20% 40.12% 13.44% 5.25%
MajOr: 40.29% 35.93% 16.54% 7.24%

Probability of each pair advancing

Symbol Kas NightEn MajOr
Symbol: 36.72% 11.39% 14.73%
Kas: 21.03% 1.96% 1.68%
NightEnD: 3.62% 1.50% 0.13%
MajOr: 4.80% 2.36% 0.08%

did you pull these numbers out of your ass?
i dont even know where to start

http://aligulac.com/faq/

Try me. What do you disagree with?

Obvious points would be TLO and Xlord's percentages being so ridiculously high (TLO almost 99%, wtf?) and monchi and MKP (understandable, because I can imagine what his TvZ stats are looking like) so low. But the stats don't lie, it's probably gonna happen this way.

Well, not necessarily.

Yes, MarineKing is low because his TvZ hasn't inspired confidence lately, with losses to Lowely, soo, Scarlett, JKS. (And there's one against goswser too, but that's not included. To be fair there's also a win against him.)

Monchi's numbers would have looked much, much better two weeks ago, but his rating dropped like a stone last list, and PvT is his worst rated matchup. But I can agree with his assessment being pessimistic.

Xlord's recent results haven't been bad, but his probability is high primarily by being in a group with White-Ra and TvZ disaster MarineKing, while having ZvT as his best matchup.

As for TLO, he has actually had pretty good results lately, and Mana has had correspondingly poor ones, with almost abysmal PvZ. If I were doing the numbers myself ("pulling them out of my ass" as it were) I don't think I would have given him 98% though.

I think that MKP will walk through his group, his not really a "TvZ disaster" as over the last 3 months he has a 50% win rate vs zerg in tournaments, and while that isn't amazing its not bad either, and his losses come from people like Life, Leenock, DRG and Symbol, probably the top 4 zergs, and he still have wins over Sniper, HyuN, Curious and Jaedong.

But as any stats.. well they're stats, and when its "cross server" stats like this, there is a very large skill difference between korean terrans and other terrans, and there is only 3 terrans within EU that I think can rival the koreans sometimes, Kas, ThorZaIN and LucifroN, so for XlorD and Bly terrans are probably even easier, giving them a higher winrate.
shid0x
Profile Joined July 2012
Korea (South)5014 Posts
December 18 2012 13:37 GMT
#373
On December 18 2012 20:20 00Visor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 07:40 brainox wrote:
Seems like Major cancelled HSC VI because of high fever. Replacement is Harstem: http://taketv.net/news/homestorycup-vi-powered-by-xmg-14-12-12-15725#groups


Not Visa issues this time, but something is stopping Major again from going to a tournament :/. Get well soon!



Harstem is like the guy who everyone calls for a replacement now :D
M house cup and now HSC
Harstem is in love with houses.
RIP MKP
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
December 18 2012 13:49 GMT
#374
On December 18 2012 07:40 brainox wrote:
Seems like Major cancelled HSC VI because of high fever. Replacement is Harstem: http://taketv.net/news/homestorycup-vi-powered-by-xmg-14-12-12-15725#groups

so 0 NA players no get well soon major
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
Undrass
Profile Joined August 2010
Norway381 Posts
December 18 2012 14:00 GMT
#375
The thing I'm looking most forward to is the group selection for the second group stage. Those 30 minutes of utter chaos and mrbitter repeatedly saying: "I have no idea wtf is going on here" was the most entertaining part of HSC 5!
o)_Saurus
Profile Joined January 2011
Germany260 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-18 14:10:25
December 18 2012 14:08 GMT
#376
On December 18 2012 23:00 Undrass wrote:
The thing I'm looking most forward to is the group selection for the second group stage. Those 30 minutes of utter chaos and mrbitter repeatedly saying: "I have no idea wtf is going on here" was the most entertaining part of HSC 5!


Dont think this will happen again because of the GSL format. How could you determine who the 4 best players are when you have no factors as mapscore?
Tonttu
Profile Joined August 2010
Finland606 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-18 14:16:41
December 18 2012 14:16 GMT
#377
On December 18 2012 23:08 o)_Saurus wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 23:00 Undrass wrote:
The thing I'm looking most forward to is the group selection for the second group stage. Those 30 minutes of utter chaos and mrbitter repeatedly saying: "I have no idea wtf is going on here" was the most entertaining part of HSC 5!


Dont think this will happen again because of the GSL format. How could you determine who the 4 best players are when you have no factors as mapscore?


What about group winners getting to pick the 4 players from the hat. Somehow :p And then that Group selection chaos : )
Naama, the #1 Conductor! | Slayers, Fnatic and Mouz | Naama, MMA and ForGG |
Undrass
Profile Joined August 2010
Norway381 Posts
December 18 2012 14:24 GMT
#378
On December 18 2012 23:16 Tonttu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 18 2012 23:08 o)_Saurus wrote:
On December 18 2012 23:00 Undrass wrote:
The thing I'm looking most forward to is the group selection for the second group stage. Those 30 minutes of utter chaos and mrbitter repeatedly saying: "I have no idea wtf is going on here" was the most entertaining part of HSC 5!


Dont think this will happen again because of the GSL format. How could you determine who the 4 best players are when you have no factors as mapscore?


What about group winners getting to pick the 4 players from the hat. Somehow :p And then that Group selection chaos : )


There can easily be different map-score! A group winner can go everything 4-0 to 4-2. Thats a bit difference! so you get top 4. If you let top 4 start picking...

The more complicated rules, the better
MicroTastiC
Profile Joined January 2011
375 Posts
December 18 2012 14:33 GMT
#379
OMFG
Anta
Profile Joined April 2012
Germany434 Posts
December 18 2012 15:27 GMT
#380
does anybody know how they drew out the groups?
"In short: stop bitching, change your tampons and up your game." mad respect to CloudNineLabs.com http://i.imgur.com/g5KGz.jpg ! I love Dreamhack!
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