EPT[TSL4] Ro32 Day 1 - Page 112
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chipmonklord17
United States11944 Posts
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Phemtos
Canada163 Posts
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Mondieu
Romania803 Posts
On July 29 2012 02:45 Caliber wrote: major 3-2 curious 3-0 vortix 3-1 squirtle 3-2 wtf ? How did this guy get it so right ?  ) Not even edited. | ||
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zezamer
Finland5701 Posts
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habeck
1120 Posts
On July 29 2012 09:48 FairForever wrote: That's not actually true. If you assume that each player has a 50% chance of winning, here are the following probabilities per match: 3-0: 1/8 3-1: 3/16 3-2: 3/16 2-3: 3/16 1-3: 3/16 0-3: 1/8 So assuming someone uses a probabilistic model, he could actually increase his odds to (3/16)^4. Though the probability of getting this match right would be 0 in that case. The (1/6)^4 model doesn't logically make much sense - if you assume people act irrationally then you could work under the probability of (3/16)^3 * (1/8) I suppose. I dont understand why 3/16? If each player has a 50 % chance of winning, so each score has 1/6 chance of happening. 1/6^4 which is 1296. Actually i think your probalistic model doesnt make sence, or I'm too bad at english. | ||
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RageBot
Israel1530 Posts
On July 29 2012 15:43 habeck wrote: I dont understand why 3/16? If each player has a 50 % chance of winning, so each score has 1/6 chance of happening. 1/6^4 which is 1296. Actually i think your probalistic model doesnt make sence, or I'm too bad at english. No. having a 3-0 isn't the same probability of having a 3-2. That's because, let's say player A wins, he only has one way to get a 3-0, which is to win three games in a row, but in the case of a 3-2, he can either lose two-win three, win one-lose two-win two, win two-lose two-win one, and so on, and the chance of any of these occuring is the same as the chance of a 3-0 (binomic probabilities). | ||
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TemplarCo.
Mexico2870 Posts
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Schmoooopy
United States448 Posts
On July 29 2012 12:18 chipmonklord17 wrote: why are certain players in the intro while others aren't? I'm assuming its going to be a new set of players every day until all have be in the intro but idk I'd imagine their logic was something like: let's pick the two most promising foreigner/Korean players from each race. It would have been cooler if it had everyone, but I guess that makes sense. | ||
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Sumahi
Guam5609 Posts
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Jojo131
Brazil1631 Posts
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evils_death
77 Posts
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ZaaaaaM
Netherlands1828 Posts
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DwmC_Foefen
Belgium2186 Posts
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trinxified
Canada7774 Posts
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Dexington
Canada7276 Posts
On July 29 2012 14:52 zezamer wrote: by checking players' match histories? TSL maps show a loss for both players. At best, you could check how many games were played. | ||
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ZaaaaaM
Netherlands1828 Posts
On July 29 2012 21:06 trinxified wrote: Where are the Vods? On the TSL site | ||
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Champloo
Germany1850 Posts
Where is the TSL site? Can't find anything in the OP and twitch vods are disabled. | ||
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Dodgin
Canada39254 Posts
On July 29 2012 23:07 Champloo wrote: Where is the TSL site? Can't find anything in the OP and twitch vods are disabled. http://www.teamliquidstarleague.com/vods | ||
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Baio
112 Posts
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