On June 13 2008 13:29 Last Romantic wrote:
Bo7 will be some shit like

Hery
Violet
Flash
Lucifer

By.Sair/By.Raid

Reach/ZergBoy

that's a fine lineup.

Fixed.

HaXxorIzed

Australia8434 Posts

June 13 2008 05:23 GMT

#22

Lecaf wins because everyone is pulling a decent amount of weight. Hiya and Forgg fill gaps where needed, and they always have the option to put Jaedong/Anytime up there.

pachi

Melbourne5338 Posts

June 13 2008 05:44 GMT

#23

Teams Ranked by 1v1 Rank ( Top 3 + (10% Next 2) + (5% Next 5) )

01. KTF MagicNs
02. SK Telecom T1
03. Samsung KHAN
04. Lecaf Oz
05. MBCGame HERO
06. STX SouL
07. OGN Sparkyz
08. WeMade Fox
09. CJ Entus
10. Air Force ACE
11. Hanbit Stars
12. eSTRO

thunk

United States6233 Posts

June 13 2008 06:23 GMT

#24

With all due respect to KTF, they probably have the highest chance of winning if the match goes to Ace because Flash can play twice.

Darkmole

United States900 Posts

June 13 2008 07:19 GMT

#25

On June 13 2008 15:23 thunk wrote:
With all due respect to KTF, they probably have the highest chance of winning if the match goes to Ace because Flash can play twice.

that is true but can they manage to go on ACE?
i think their only hope of winning it is by going to ACE so they need to seriously win 3 games to go to ACE

illeszt

United States350 Posts

June 13 2008 07:23 GMT

#26

So does anyone want to clarify why SKT1 and eSTRO got penalty points?

Klive5ive

United Kingdom6056 Posts

June 13 2008 08:39 GMT

#27

On June 13 2008 14:04 samachking wrote:
Nice Write up
What I dont understand, how is Lecaf no1 with 11-4 stats. They have 0 players in the top 10, they have 0 teams in the top 5 2v2 teams, and they have a winning percantage of only 58%.

Dam! I was gonna say the exact same thing. Makes no sense IDD.
How do they even have a 58% win rate when they have no-one in the top 10 and a rubbish 2v2?

Daigomi

South Africa4316 Posts

June 13 2008 08:44 GMT

#28

I have no idea what the eSTRO and SKT penalty points were for. I now SKT had the one occassion when someone accidentally said something in all chat, so it might be that.

As for KTF in a Bo7, they'll be fine. Flash can take 2 games, which means they just need to win a further 2 games out of the remaining five. Lucifer, 815, and Violet all have decent chances of winning a game, while Reach/Zergbong have been very consistent in the last few weeks (even getting an MvP), and Raid/SaiR did well enough last season. All in all, having a guaranteed two wins is usually enough for a Bo7.

About Lecaf, as Haxxorized said, everyone is pulling their weight. Jaedong, and especially Anytime, are underperforming a bit this season, but players like Hiya, ForGG, and Lomo are all doing well. The same goes for their 2v2 teams, where they have multiple average teams all taking a decent number of wins. If you look at the 58% winning percentage, you'll see that Lecaf, as well as Samsung, KTF, and SKT are all +10, so they all roughly have the same winning percentage. Lecaf has just won more games 3-2, which means that even with an extra match won, they're still on the same game stats.

NotSupporting

Sweden1998 Posts

June 13 2008 08:46 GMT

#29

This is so great, I love this(you) <3 Gogo Samsung!

Emptyness

Bulgaria1016 Posts

June 13 2008 10:35 GMT

#30

Nice report, Daigomi

. And nice match accuracy from the last week

. I hope it will be as you said the incoming week too

trollbone

France1905 Posts

June 13 2008 10:45 GMT

#31

Cj 3-0 STX O_O

AHAHA what a biaised prediction

Nice report Diagomi

Spenguin

Australia3316 Posts

June 13 2008 12:42 GMT

#32

<3 the update thanks, GOLDIE HWAITING!

Holylight

Korea (South)460 Posts

June 13 2008 16:18 GMT

#33

Awesome!

However I think youre putting way too much emphasis on maps when you say that zerg is 3-0 on the new maps.
The actual players skill/strategies are obviously of very high importance and it sounds like only the maps predict the outcome of the games

Goosey

United States695 Posts

June 13 2008 16:24 GMT

#34

I love these updates

leandroqm

Netherlands874 Posts

June 14 2008 03:56 GMT

#35

Thank you for the article, nice write up.

RamenStyle

United States1929 Posts

June 15 2008 02:15 GMT

#36

Omfg, teams are using Hanbit like a sparring team, sending their lesser players to give them some PT. This is ridiculous. I think they lost the few respect they had left. I think teams fear eStro even more than Hanbit. What the heck, I think most of the teams would be afraid of any top korean amateur clan than Hanbit.

Daigomi

South Africa4316 Posts

June 15 2008 18:25 GMT

#37

HolyLight, I agree with you that the stats with the maps aren't entirely dependent on the maps, but this write-up simply reports the stats of what happened. With that in mind, after doing this for a few seasons now, I've found that weeks like this where one race suddenly does better or worse than they are expected to do often indicates a starting trend, especially if it lasts a few weeks.

trollbone, I try to keep my opinions as impartial as possible. The only team that I'll give the favour of the doubt is KTF, but my other predictions are always based on the players playing, rather than who I like.

Iris > BestGod - This has to be a fairly simple bet. Iris has been doing well on Colosseum, BestGod is still mostly untested. I'm not saying that Iris will definitely win, but he definitely has a better chance of winning.

DarkElf > YoonJoong - This one was a lot more difficult. DarkElf has the experience to take the game, even on Katrina, but YoonJoong has also been playing well (like in the GomTV Starleague), and Katrina has historically favoured Protoss against almost all Terrans. But, and this is what made me choose DE in the end, is that Shuttle has very little TvP experience. He has impressed me considerably against both Protoss and Zerg, but I am yet to see him play PvT, and I won't bet on an untested player against a strong player like Darkelf.

Savior/Nbs > Calm/SoO - Nbs has looked close to unstoppable this season, no matter who he was paired up with. Calm has historically been very unpredictable and SoO has never impressed me too much, even in 2v2 teams. So yeah, I think the CJ 2v2 bet is fairly straightforward.

Just to add, if Darkelf loses (which he very well might, like I said, I don't know what Shuttle's PvT is like), then I believe STX will take it 3-2. XellOs has been playing well, especially TvT, but all in all Kal is just a better player now. And in the closer I don't think anyone from CJ can beat Hwasin or Kal in a 1v1. Much has a chance, but I'm definitely siding with STX if Darkelf loses.

slemmigfot

Sweden17 Posts

June 17 2008 17:55 GMT

#38

am I confused or didn't wemadefox win against KTF ... ? or have I just messed up the dates? oh nevermind, that was a liquibet..

United States2899 Posts

June 18 2008 00:31 GMT

#39

jaedong has blew this season for being #1 in the world TT

kind of like Bisu winning MSL twice and going far in the OSL's and then never doing shit in proleague lolz

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