EPTPyrry's Mafia Game - GG - Page 51
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iLoveKT
Philippines3615 Posts
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clazziquai
6685 Posts
On May 28 2009 16:20 omG.[RaYnE] wrote: Foolishness has some convincing posts im going with his plans *evil laugh* >  Stop posting. | ||
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clazziquai
6685 Posts
I know I've been fairly inactive. I've received a warning, but I have been very busy with summer school and such. Forgive me for that!  But I will try my best to follow the town all the way until the end.My role? I am a fellow townie and I assure you guys no worries... Anyways, who are our primary suspects? And what is our next intended action? | ||
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teks
Norway263 Posts
So details about my list. There have been NO blue claims too many, which means: 1) The Blues I have are 100% confirmed unless one of the real blues was dumb enough to claim townie due to not trusting me, and the godfather conveniently was of that very same role, and had the balls to claim it, even with the chance of overflowing. NOT likely. 2) The GodFather is in the townie list 3) ALL the mafia are in the townie list, which means that SEVEN (not six, clazziquai ^^) of those 12 claims are mafia. And I'm decently sure I know atleast 2-3 safe townies on that list as well, making it at worst 7 out of 10. To address your post, clazziquai: clazziquai wrote: So we have a fairly good chance on hitting a mafia member via voting and our last vigilante kill. We have no vigilante kill left. I used mine on zeks, which is why I've been confirmed as townie, and EsbenPM is dead. clazziquai wrote: Anyways, who are our primary suspects? And what is our next intended action? Atm the top suspects are Pawsom (relatively close to 100% mafia), Ra.Xor.2 due to obvious clues and suspicious voting, wurm (also suspicious voting + clues), and ydg (ask Foolishness on this one). Our next intended action is to lynch two mafia and win the game. If you could read through like the 3-4 last pages you'd have a good view on who we suspect/accuse, just look for the nice spoiler tags and bold font. | ||
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Shikyo
Finland33997 Posts
Sorry for being gone, I have been following the thread. :/ I decided to try the spam-useless-things approach. But I'm fairly convinced about at least these few people being mafia. Now, if the mafia would just kill off more greens, we'd essentially have every mafia confirmed. That's why I want EVERY medic to protect blues tonight. | ||
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teks
Norway263 Posts
It relates to the windshield shattering on day one, which we mostly connected to iLoveKTF or BWdero due to sound. Well, the number one hit on "wurm" is a game called Wurm Online. Check out this recent newspost on that game's website: http://www.wurmonline.com/newsmenu/game-news/169-wurmsoundsadded Yeah that's right. a "wurm sound explosion". Fits perfectly | ||
motbob
United States12546 Posts
On May 28 2009 19:55 Shikyo wrote: Everyone, change your vote from Ra.Xor.2. to l10f. I think that the chance of him being a miller is extremely low. Next people to lynch for sure: wurm, Pawsom. And I hope that motbob gets R/C'd, as well as one of the mafia suspects that we didn't lynch today. Sorry for being gone, I have been following the thread. :/ I decided to try the spam-useless-things approach. But I'm fairly convinced about at least these few people being mafia. Now, if the mafia would just kill off more greens, we'd essentially have every mafia confirmed. That's why I want EVERY medic to protect blues tonight. We've already been over this. Don't change your vote to l10f. -If l10f is mafia, he played his role perfectly. He looks like 100% townie to me from post/vote analysis. -There are so many clues pointing to Ra.Xor.2 in the last Day post that if he's not mafia we can basically blame the town loss on Pyrr BTW you didn't say WHY you think the chance of him being miller is very low. | ||
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teks
Norway263 Posts
But the thing is, at this point we benefit from voting for different suspects. Bandwagoning 2 people would give us NO vote results to read and analyze. Here's a tip for the town: read the accusation posts and clues. Then vote for the one you think is most likely to be mafia based on that. motbob wrote: BTW you didn't say WHY you think the chance of him being miller is very low. Well for the mathematical part: We have 12 townie claims. Out of those 12, 2 are millers. That's 1 out of 6 or 16.66% chance of one person being miller. That would classify as very low. But for I10f, he can't be townie, so we can subtract 3 from that equation. He can be one of the 7 mafia+gf, or one of the two millers. so miller role is 2 out of 9. Or 1 out of 4.5 = 22.22% chance that he is miller. Is that very low? Well, it is low atleast. But I'd still look for behavior, clues and voting behavior too, and from what I've seen, I don't find it unlikely that I10f is miller. What is interesting is that Pyrr hands us Ra.Xor.2 on a silver platter through clues, and suddenly no-one wants to lynch him anymore. He was almost lynched the other day, but when his clues get STRONGER, we switch? what? | ||
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Shikyo
Finland33997 Posts
On May 28 2009 23:01 teks wrote: I'm not switching to I10f. If that is what the majority of the town wants though, go ahead and do that. I personally believe that our top 3 suspects atm are Pawsom, wurm and Ra.Xor.2. If I had to vote for someone else I'd rather vote for wurm. But the thing is, at this point we benefit from voting for different suspects. Bandwagoning 2 people would give us NO vote results to read and analyze. Here's a tip for the town: read the accusation posts and clues. Then vote for the one you think is most likely to be mafia based on that. Well for the mathematical part: We have 12 townie claims. Out of those 12, 2 are millers. That's 1 out of 6 or 16.66% chance of one person being miller. That would classify as very low. But for I10f, he can't be townie, so we can subtract 3 from that equation. He can be one of the 7 mafia+gf, or one of the two millers. so miller role is 2 out of 9. Or 1 out of 4.5 = 22.22% chance that he is miller. Is that very low? Well, it is low atleast. But I'd still look for behavior, clues and voting behavior too, and from what I've seen, I don't find it unlikely that I10f is miller. What is interesting is that Pyrr hands us Ra.Xor.2 on a silver platter through clues, and suddenly no-one wants to lynch him anymore. He was almost lynched the other day, but when his clues get STRONGER, we switch? what? Don't worry, there's still plenty of time to manouvre. =) | ||
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JeeJee
Canada5652 Posts
On May 28 2009 13:32 SugiuraMidori wrote: I think you've done a good job of scaring off all of the mafia from talking in addition to JeeJee scaring off the town from helping us kill the mafia. hey, i told you who to vote for but you decided to wagon with shikyo-the-innocent and lynch a medic instead good job. go ask him for some more guidance, maybe you can lynch the other medics today | ||
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Shikyo
Finland33997 Posts
On May 29 2009 00:31 JeeJee wrote: hey, i told you who to vote for but you decided to wagon with shikyo-the-innocent and lynch a medic instead good job. go ask him for some more guidance, maybe you can lynch the other medics today Would have changed my vote a bit after 5am after I saw who the people were voting for in order for ra.xor.2 to be lynched instead. But what would an american/canadian understand about not being able to be online when voting is about to finish? | ||
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teks
Norway263 Posts
On May 29 2009 00:31 JeeJee wrote: hey, i told you who to vote for but you decided to wagon with shikyo-the-innocent and lynch a medic instead good job. go ask him for some more guidance, maybe you can lynch the other medics today wow could you be any more bitter for not getting people to listen to your faulty opinions i think not | ||
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motbob
United States12546 Posts
On May 29 2009 00:09 Shikyo wrote: Don't worry, there's still plenty of time to manouvre. =) Well then, please maneuver your vote over to Ra.Xor.2 since they way the vote is split, the mafia could vote for whoever isn't Mafia and end the game. | ||
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Foolishness
United States3044 Posts
Do you remember what happened the past 3 lynches when we tried to get a supposed mafia? Every time the person was inactive because they "gave up" and thought it was hopeless. Ra.Xor.2 is exactly the same. I'm relatively certain he's just an innocent townie like the rest. And anyways we have more convincing evidence against other people. I base all my analysis off of behavior, which is a lot more convincing than clues. We tried to base our other lynches off of clues and look at what happened. There's still a chance Ra.Xor.2 is mafia. Just given our desperate situation we need to go with the most likely. Taking chances like this is going to lose us the game. | ||
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motbob
United States12546 Posts
On May 29 2009 02:17 Foolishness wrote: Okay I'm going to say this again and hopefully you guys will listen: Do you remember what happened the past 3 lynches when we tried to get a supposed mafia? Every time the person was inactive because they "gave up" and thought it was hopeless. Ra.Xor.2 is exactly the same. I'm relatively certain he's just an innocent townie like the rest. And anyways we have more convincing evidence against other people. I base all my analysis off of behavior, which is a lot more convincing than clues. We tried to base our other lynches off of clues and look at what happened. There's still a chance Ra.Xor.2 is mafia. Just given our desperate situation we need to go with the most likely. Taking chances like this is going to lose us the game. Shouldn't you have said this when like i don't know we were deciding who to lynch? | ||
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Shikyo
Finland33997 Posts
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Foolishness
United States3044 Posts
On May 29 2009 02:38 motbob wrote: Shouldn't you have said this when like i don't know we were deciding who to lynch? I have been saying this the entire game. I have never been on the bandwagon vote because it's plainly obvious that all those people were townspeople (Rayne, Jayme, etc). You're supposed to learn from your mistakes not keep making them. | ||
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Foolishness
United States3044 Posts
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motbob
United States12546 Posts
On May 29 2009 04:02 Foolishness wrote: And everybody needs to change your vote off of Ra.Xor.2. Notice how nearly everyone I suspect has voted for him. Nothing is going to happen if the vote stays the way it is. Everyone you suspect has voted for Pawsom, too. Should we take our votes off of him? | ||
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Foolishness
United States3044 Posts
On May 29 2009 04:08 motbob wrote: Everyone you suspect has voted for Pawsom, too. Should we take our votes off of him? It's more important to take votes of Ra.Xor.2 right now. Ideally, yes we should. I have not voted for Pawsom either for good reasons. | ||
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