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Pyrry's Mafia Game - GG - Page 50

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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motbob
Profile Blog Joined July 2008
United States12546 Posts
May 27 2009 22:57 GMT
#981
Well, put in your second vote. I hope it's for Pawsom, so you won't completely have egg on your face after tomorrow.
ModeratorGood content always wins.
ydg
Profile Blog Joined March 2008
United States690 Posts
May 27 2009 22:58 GMT
#982
Oh nice catch on Pawsom, I was wondering why everyone was voting for him, lol.

If he is mafia though, then I've been looking at clues the wrong way, which was the first thing I said in this thread, we have to see if the clues are description-linked or personality-linked, and I've been trying to link them personality-wise...
The only courage that matters is the kind that gets you from one moment to the next.
teks
Profile Joined March 2008
Norway263 Posts
May 27 2009 22:59 GMT
#983
Hmm motbob does seem suspicious. I'll have to look through his posting history tomorrow.
teks
Profile Joined March 2008
Norway263 Posts
May 27 2009 23:01 GMT
#984
On May 28 2009 07:58 ydg wrote:
Oh nice catch on Pawsom, I was wondering why everyone was voting for him, lol.

If he is mafia though, then I've been looking at clues the wrong way, which was the first thing I said in this thread, we have to see if the clues are description-linked or personality-linked, and I've been trying to link them personality-wise...


Yeah the thing is, since we haven't hit any mafia yet, the only clue we KNOW right now is the one pointing to me. And that is only one sentence. It may not even be sure that Pyrr makes the clues about the mafia in the same way, since he has the opportunity to link more than one person at a time, while vigi hits only can refer to that single vigi.
JeeJee
Profile Blog Joined July 2003
Canada5652 Posts
May 27 2009 23:17 GMT
#985
On May 28 2009 03:31 Shikyo wrote:
what the, you have a list of 9 people, one of which being me, so we have 7/8 mafia there? O_o Really shouldn't screw this one up...


oh yeah btw it's 6/8 with you
(\o/)  If you want it, you find a way. Otherwise you find excuses. No exceptions.
 /_\   aka Shinbi (requesting a name change since 27/05/09 ☺)
l10f *
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States3241 Posts
May 28 2009 00:05 GMT
#986
Here are all the possibilities of what could happen from today, if we always lynch a mafia afterwards with all the townies (including shikyo x 3), while medics fail to protect after tonight:

We lynch 0 mafia, the medics fail to protect all 3 hits
+ Show Spoiler +
right now 11 - 7
after lynch 9 - 7
after night 6 - 7
lynching a mafia 6 - 6
after night 3 - 6 = town loss


0 mafia lynched, medic protects two
+ Show Spoiler +
right now 11-7
after lynch 9 - 7
after night 8 - 7
mafia lynch 8 - 6
after night 4 - 6
mafia lynch 4 - 5
after night 2 - 5
mafia lynch 5 - 4
after night 3 - 4 : town loss


1 mafia lynched, medics fail
+ Show Spoiler +
11 - 7
10 - 6
7 - 6
7 - 5
5 - 5
5 - 4
3 - 4
3 - 3
1 - 3 = town loss


1 mafia lynched, 2 medic protection on first night
+ Show Spoiler +
11 - 7
10 - 6
9 - 6
9 - 5
7 - 5
7 - 4
5 - 4
5 - 3
3 - 3
3 - 2
2 - 2
2 - 1
1 - 1
1 - 0 = town win ONLY IF SHIKYO IS THE ONE LIVING AT THE END


2 mafia dead, medics fail
+ Show Spoiler +
11 - 7
11 - 5
9 - 5
9 - 4
7 - 4
7 - 3
5 - 3
3 - 3
3 - 2
2 - 2
1 - 2
1 - 1
0 - 1 = town loss


2 mafia dead and medics save one (or two)
+ Show Spoiler +
11 - 7
11 - 5
10 - 5
10 - 4
8 - 4
8 - 3
6 - 3
6 - 2
5 - 2
5 - 1
4 - 1
4 - 0 = town win


soo
+ Show Spoiler +
For town to win we must either get one mafia, and medics are able to block both hits or kill two mafias, and the medic blocks at least one in the future, while we always lynch mafia.
Writer
SugiuraMidori
Profile Joined May 2009
United States281 Posts
May 28 2009 00:52 GMT
#987
So it seems tek and JeeJee did a monumental job on that Pawsom=Possum clue match.. so Not much I have to cover there...

How come Foolish is the only one voting for motbob though? I don't know who to believe now.. and I've done nothing but poorly analyze Pyrr's clues from day one (even Qatol and Ver laughed at me I heard)

This makes me wonder if Foolish is DT and did a rolecheck on motbob or something as no one else is believing his statements (and I just generally follow with teks since he has the list).
Foolish Brother ... If You Want to Kill Me ... Then Hate, Spite ... and Survive Pathetically. Run and Run ... and Cling Desperately to Life.
iLoveKT
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Philippines3615 Posts
May 28 2009 01:33 GMT
#988
btw, the late judge sent me this when he was still alive.

clazziquai
- The clue about sounding a horn that could not be heard - Like I said, clazziquai is also the name of a korean music group
- JUST FOUND - clazziquai (the band) has a SONG called Salesman, on the "Color Your Soul" album.


He is gonna get modkilled though right?
Woo Jung Ho
iLoveKT
Profile Blog Joined October 2008
Philippines3615 Posts
May 28 2009 01:35 GMT
#989
Oh he has been voting but totally not posting here. and he havent roleclaimed yet too. What do you guys think?
Woo Jung Ho
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
May 28 2009 02:06 GMT
#990
On May 28 2009 07:55 motbob wrote:

oh you've got to be kidding me


I think your lack of response says a lot. Seriously does nobody else agree with me on this? It's clear we got another mafia in the bag.

And l10f, you're doing the town a disservice by not voting, it's also kinda suspicious, but I'm pretty sure you are clean.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
l10f *
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States3241 Posts
May 28 2009 02:16 GMT
#991
On May 28 2009 11:06 Foolishness wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 28 2009 07:55 motbob wrote:

oh you've got to be kidding me


I think your lack of response says a lot. Seriously does nobody else agree with me on this? It's clear we got another mafia in the bag.

And l10f, you're doing the town a disservice by not voting, it's also kinda suspicious, but I'm pretty sure you are clean.


Alright then, I'll just vote for the two I think are mafia.
Writer
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
May 28 2009 03:14 GMT
#992
Is this thread dead? There's roughly 2 posts per hour.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
So no fek
Profile Blog Joined June 2005
United States3001 Posts
May 28 2009 03:34 GMT
#993
It's because I'm dead. Clearly.
#1 Shuttle fan - TeamLiquid CJ Entusman #36 BW4lyfe
l10f *
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
United States3241 Posts
May 28 2009 04:00 GMT
#994
Well, out of the 18 people alive, about 10 haven't posted anything for a while.. so yeah.
Writer
SugiuraMidori
Profile Joined May 2009
United States281 Posts
May 28 2009 04:32 GMT
#995
On May 28 2009 12:14 Foolishness wrote:
Is this thread dead? There's roughly 2 posts per hour.


I think you've done a good job of scaring off all of the mafia from talking in addition to JeeJee scaring off the town from helping us kill the mafia.

The town needs to be organized again.. why are we lacking our leader Shikyo now.... I tried to PM him for guidance but he has yet to respond.


I don't understand Foolishes voting patterns now.. I know he hates bandwagons, and we've certainly got one going, but shouldn't the town agree on two potential mafia so that we can wrap this up with a win?

I know I've mostly been following how teks votes since that is generally safe since he knows the list, but isn't there also the fact that we still have two people that haven't role claimed? What about them?

teks could you at least give us numbers on how many greens have claimed so we can get an idea of the probability that one of those that haven't role claimed are mafia or not?

We need to be absolutely sure with our vote today or we could be proverbially hanging ourselves.
Foolish Brother ... If You Want to Kill Me ... Then Hate, Spite ... and Survive Pathetically. Run and Run ... and Cling Desperately to Life.
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
May 28 2009 06:04 GMT
#996
Okay this should not be happening, but it's going to.

I am the detective. I have orchestrated events in the past 24 hours in order to try to lure out mafia (such as the accusement of motbob). Due to the recent inactivity, it is necessary for me to come out. It is important you listen to me because I AM YOUR ONE CHANCE FOR TOWN TO WIN. Nobody else believes it is possible, but I can make it possible.

From all the intel I have gathered, mostly working with teks here, it is reasonable to assume that these 5 people are mafia: ydg, wurm, pawsom, l10f, phelix. I know all of the blue roles, the only way this list is wrong is if these guys are townspeople.

I am the detective that inspected l10f and got a thumbs up. Because his behavior is very suspicious I have sure he is actually mafia and not a miller. The reason there is not a heavy movement against him is because most of the other blue roles think he is mafia. I will outline my arguments against him later.

The important thing that we learn is that Ra.Xor.2 IS NOT MAFIA!. This is evident due to his inactivity. The past 3 days, all the mafia has done is sit around and watch the townspeople kill themselves. In all three town decisions, somebody was lynched due to "suspicious inactivity". The case is exactly the same with Ra.Xor.2. Jayme even admitted it that he felt there was no point in defending himself so he didn't. I am sure Ra.Xor.2 feels the same way.

I know lots of you believe that "clues point to Ra.Xor.2". I think we can all agree that behavior and voting analysis says a lot more than relying on ambiguous clues of which we know absolutely nothing about (especially because this is Pyrry's first game). Thus it is important we do not take this stuff for granted (as we have in the past).

If we keep sitting around like we have been this entire day mafia are going to win!. I am the only chance we have left to win. As l10f has convieniently laid out for us we need to lynch two mafia otherwise it's gg. Lynching Ra.Xor.2 is just fitting into the mafia plan. Even if Pawsom is mafia they can afford to sacrifice one person.

Although most of the evidence against Pawsom is based on clues, I have found some interesting posts about him:

On May 20 2009 18:02 Pawsom wrote:
I don't know dude. Seems like a waste to me. If we double lynch on day 2, we still might not be sure, or close enough to sure about certain players. Also, how does that give us a higher chance of hitting red? We'll have a higher chance once there are less players, and once we have more clues.


obviously double lynches help the townspeople, as it gives more chances to kill a mafia. Lack of wanting to kill mafia is ....

Most of Pawsom's posts after the first day consist of him trying to pinpoint clues to people. However notice how he usually states things that have already been noticed by other players. Although it may seem like he is contributing, he is not; he's just restating things to appear like he's a helpful townsperson.

I would like to point attention now to ydg. His recent posting is up for suspicion.
On May 28 2009 07:48 ydg wrote:
Okay I finally caught up, wow so much has happened, good thing I wasn't killed.

My first impressions: wow at the mafia hitting. Mafia is basically shooting itself by killing mostly greens and hitting protected peoples, even though we lynched a medic.


Do you really think mafia is shooting itself? By hitting unsuspected people, the mafia have avoided medic saves (except last night) and now we are in quite a rut. The mafia is so close to winning right now. In addition, ydg also took a long time to roleclaim to teks. His recent posts about the clues is useless to the town, same with Pawsom's attempt to analyze past days' posts.

l10f is also guilty of mafia behavior. As I said he for sure came up mafia in the role check. teks is convinced he's a miller based on a list l10f sent him. It looks like this:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is in order of whom I think is most likely to be mafia to the least

1. Chaoser <- I think his is definite
2. Ra.Xor.2 <- If he roleclaimed townie, I'm pretty sure
3. wurm <- Clues pointing to him a lot
4. epicdoom <- see my past post on him
5. clazziquai
6. phelix

the bottom two I'm not too sure of. Good luck.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I can tell you for sure, based on the numbers, at least 3 people on the list have to be mafia. What's the point in sending this list to teks? teks already knows nearly everybody's roles. Not to mention teks is not going to do anything about this. If he had posted it in thread with actual evidence, it would be a different story. Not to mention his opinions on each person are rather simple. "I think his is definite", "clues pointing to him a lot" hold absolute no meaning.

Why he send a list to teks then? He wants to appear that he is indeed trying to help the town by thinking of a list of suspicions. He knows teks knows nearly everything, and put his own comrades on it to not look suspicious. Had he sent a list with just three people on it, it'd probably be safe to assume those three people are not mafia. Instead he tried to hide.

Furthermore look at this post
On May 27 2009 14:36 l10f wrote:
If we can't lynch two mafias today.. It'll really take a miracle.
11 7
10 6
7 6
7 5
5 5
5 4
3 4

This is so difficult, especially with both millers living.
The town has a good chance of winning if Shikyo is not Mafia and we get two mafia kills today.

My shot's on chaoser and Ra.Xor.2, but willing to wait for other people's opinions. Some of you think I'm mafia, and I don't have much defence except that the clues that people pointed at me are very loose and weak.

We can do it! We just have to get two mafias, and hope that Shikyo isn't one. If he is one, I believe it's too late anyway to change anything. Your call.


The only useful thing is the countdown, which I might add we have already figured out multiple times. See a pattern? Notice how he keeps repeating things already said "millers living...need two mafia kills today". He refuses to defend himself, saying all the clues are "weak". At the end, he posts a "We can do it!", almost sarcastic. His talks about Shikyo mean nothing. Overall he is not contributing at all to the town.

Most of his other posts are lacking in anything useful, most of the time merely restating something already been said. In one post he even says
On May 23 2009 10:59 l10f wrote:
I have been completely useless to this game, mostly because I'm afraid to speak out with my ideas, and all the good ones are given by the experienced player, so I just agree with them, or state my simple, humble opinion.

From tomorrow I'll try to take time to make some analysis as well and contribute to the town.


I think this screams mafia more than anything. He doesn't want to say anything at all, and this coincides with the mafia strategy: sit back and watch the town kill themselves. He says he'd try to contribute to the town, we know that didn't happen.

The recent accusation against motbob was to try to see if any other mafia would take the bait. So far, wurm is the only one who did. I am suspicious of him as well.

Summary: We cannot lynch Ra.Xor.2. So far we have only lynched townspeople, and they all have the same "there's nothing I can do" attitude. This time we can learn from our mistakes. l10f, ydg, Pawsom are for sure mafia. Wurm is suspicious as well. It's important we vote two mafia tonight. By listening to me, the town can win.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
May 28 2009 06:12 GMT
#997
Some things on wurm

On May 25 2009 18:11 wurm wrote:
Whew, that was a lot of reading. Thoughts so far:

I admit, I do find Shikyo's behavior very strange. Especially during Day 2 voting. He is one of our 2 elected officials and he has a lot of sway, he could've swayed the vote away from Jayme, if he wanted to. His accusation list is also concerning. 2 out of 8 people he has accused has flipped green.

On to the voting thread, I found it strange that omG.[RaYnE] was the first to vote, on iLoveKTF. No explanation, not even a post here to explain why he picked iLoveKTF for the lynch.

I want to help by going on clue and behavior analysis, but a lot of you guys are especially good at it and what i want to say has already been said. So yeah.


Outside of not saying anything useful, his last paragraphy is very interesting. He wants to help the town but he's not since apparently 'we're doing a good job'. Notice the similarity to l10f's post in my previous post. Both say that they don't talk because everything they want to say has already been said. Then notice that when they do post, it is exactly this that they post: things that have been already said.

The correlation between all these people should say enough.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
Foolishness *
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3044 Posts
May 28 2009 06:22 GMT
#998
Phelix now
On May 27 2009 14:58 Phelix wrote:
There must be a medic protection from last night. So we still have a shot at winning today if we get two mafias.

Clue Analysis!

Well, the clues on chaoser are very obvious, with the Pokemon and ninja reference.
The blond hair reference probably refers to epicdoom's poll of women.

Show nested quote +
Sign of the Cross

This reference refers to religion, and Ra.Xor.2 is the best fit for that clue.

Show nested quote +
an odious figure soaked with the stench of death

This reference could refer to epicdoom's nationality of India, known for their strong odors (food). This might be a stretch of the clues.

Show nested quote +
the blast from his double-barreled shotgun

Then the murderer used explosives instead to kill vx70GTOJudgexv. Seems to me that this could refer to someone has an icon that deals explosive or splash damage. Again, this might be a stretch.

To fellow townies that have surrendered/inactive: There is still a shot for the town to win! Your votes could stop the mafia from bandwagoning. Posting more will separate the townies from the mafia, drawing them out so that we can lynch them.


If Ra.Xor.2 is townsperson like I believe he is, then why does everyone who I suspect keep wanting to kill him? It's because he is not mafia and by lynching him the mafia will win.

Also notice the same encouragement given by l10f in his statement. He wants to stop the mafia from bandwagoning, well if look at the votes that's exactly what is happening, with or without the mafia's influence. He wants us to post more in order to draw out mafia, and that's REALLY been happening hasn't it guys?

On May 25 2009 20:33 Shikyo wrote:
Phelix. He's been inactive for a while. But know what's strange? around 5:30am on May 23 I sent him a PM asking if he was a blue and got a response in just a few hours. So he was around then. He said that he would be more active if I wanted him to, and told me he was a townie. I told him that thought that he wasn't mafia, and then he just disappeared. So it actually seems like he's mafia to me.


I don't think I need to do much explaining...

On May 23 2009 14:10 Phelix wrote:
The reason I voted for Jayme was that I believed in the fellow townies clue analysis. With regards to lynching, of course we want to lynch mafia. But if there are only a few clues that point to the mafia, the only other response is to lynch inactive townies, because they do not contribute, even if they are blue. Inactive townies help the mafia more by giving the mafia cover and hiding amongst the inactives, thus not narrowing down the list of mafia.


As we can easily see, lynching inactive townies IS BAD FOR TOWNSPEOPLE. This entire game has been trying to lynch inactive townspeople and missing, as the mafia sit back and watch us scramble with nothing to go on. Phelix has practically given out their mafia plan.

As with Phelix, and everybody else I have thus mention, they have all posted clue analysis which has already been said. Clue analysis is all in all useless anyways, as I laid out in my previous argument. All these people try clue analysis and post things repeatedly or don't say much about it at all. This is blantly obvious, but if you need me to I can point out specific posts from all my suspects thus far.
geript: "Foolishness's cases are persuasive and reasonable but leave you feeling dirty afterwards. Kinda like a whore." ---- Manager of the TL Mafia forum, come play!
omG.[RaYnE]
Profile Joined October 2007
Philippines100 Posts
May 28 2009 07:20 GMT
#999
Foolishness has some convincing posts im going with his plans *evil laugh* >
omG.[RaYnE] ---> rayne_ph :D
Qatol
Profile Blog Joined November 2006
United States3165 Posts
May 28 2009 07:36 GMT
#1000
On May 28 2009 16:20 omG.[RaYnE] wrote:
Foolishness has some convincing posts im going with his plans *evil laugh* >

You do realize you're dead, right?
Uff Da
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