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TL Mafia 3 [Night 5] - Page 34

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Scorch
Profile Blog Joined March 2008
Austria3371 Posts
November 03 2008 16:11 GMT
#661
That's one heated debate we have here already. I'm gonna shit my pants if it turns out Folca is a green who did it for the lulz.
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
November 03 2008 16:14 GMT
#662
and knowing that the town would try to keep them alive, a mafia would therefore fake the DT role then, ignoring your whole conclusion. And it still doesn't answer the question: How is everyone so sure Folca is a DT? No one can answer it and until then people will keep voting to lynch him.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Bockit
Profile Blog Joined November 2004
Sydney2287 Posts
November 03 2008 16:16 GMT
#663
Ok, finally caught up with a majority of posts.

I think there are two options right now.

1)Lynch Folca.

This gives us so much information it's ridiculous. If he comes up as a detective we know Ace is mafia and we stop a mafia scheme, all the stuff Folca has been saying is good about how he found Ace out etc. If he pops red then while still unsure about Ace's allegiance we just killed a mafia and stopped a scheme.

2)Lynch based on clues and see what mafia do tonight.

If they kill him, well, yeah. If they don't, we get more info from him and then lynch him to see if he's dt or not.

Not sure which I would go for atm. Probably 1.
Their are four errors in this sentance.
Scorch
Profile Blog Joined March 2008
Austria3371 Posts
November 03 2008 16:17 GMT
#664
Oh come on Ace, does this look like town's trying to keep Folca alive? Folca won't live to see Day 3 one way or the other, that's for sure.
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
November 03 2008 16:20 GMT
#665
On November 04 2008 01:16 Bockit wrote:
Ok, finally caught up with a majority of posts.

I think there are two options right now.

1)Lynch Folca.

This gives us so much information it's ridiculous. If he comes up as a detective we know Ace is mafia and we stop a mafia scheme, all the stuff Folca has been saying is good about how he found Ace out etc. If he pops red then while still unsure about Ace's allegiance we just killed a mafia and stopped a scheme.

2)Lynch based on clues and see what mafia do tonight.

If they kill him, well, yeah. If they don't, we get more info from him and then lynch him to see if he's dt or not.

Not sure which I would go for atm. Probably 1.
I would just like to chip in and say that this is a nice simplification of the whole thing. I agree with this.
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
Ace
Profile Blog Joined October 2002
United States16096 Posts
November 03 2008 16:26 GMT
#666
you dont think so Scorch?

Let's do a short recap:

Early in the game we start coming up with plans.

There was a plan to lynch inactives. Some peopel supported this as with barely any clues it's the best shot we'd have.

The decaf clue comes out, but it's not getting much attention.

Folca calls me out as mafia and claims DT. In the midst of this, he goes on to paint decaf and Midnight Gladius.

At this point, it's obvious there is a collision so Folca or myself have to be lynched. It's the ONLY sure thing the town has.

Emp and Alventenie ignore this and push for Decaf to be lynched on the strength that it might work out.

No one can prove that Folca is a legit DT, and no one can get anything except coffee = decafchicken as their best clue. BloddyCobbler even pointed out that the clue could point to several other people but it is conveniently ignored.

Folca messes up on how the rules of the game work, and well that just shoots some of his accusations down the drain.

At the end of it we have a few people trying to push to lynch Decaf when after pages of asking not ONE of you can answer the question: How do you know Decaf is Mafia?

It's sickening because if decaf flips green, and then I flip green what would you have to say? Stop trying to double think the mafia motive and just go for what's best for the town.
Math me up, scumboi. - Acrofales
Bockit
Profile Blog Joined November 2004
Sydney2287 Posts
Last Edited: 2008-11-03 16:28:44
November 03 2008 16:27 GMT
#667
Also, while we have clues etc, don't forget interpretation of actions. Eg people posting in a manner that's not normal for them (See BlindAlbino from previous game, he was posting stupidly in the thread, and reasonably intelligently outside of it).

Also from my experience as mafia in the previous game we should look for people who are offering to help, but never actually do something, they're perpetually busy, have school, just came home from work etc and need to read the thread to catch up before they do anything, and then never do anything.



And one more thing. If Folca is a dt, why did he blow the whistle on Ace so early? I mean, it's the first vote, chances of us getting a lynch right aren't too high, it's not like if Ace is mafia that he could mislead us too much, it wouldn't have much of an effect. It would have been immeasurably better for Folca to gather more and more information and then release it all in a big thing. Then when mafia kill him because they wouldn't want a detective to still be running loose his info is confirmed and he's been pretty useful. This is becoming the equivalent of a mental dump so I'll leave it at that. Suffice to say my impression is that Folca is lying.

EDIT:

## I vote to lynch Folca
Their are four errors in this sentance.
bumatlarge
Profile Blog Joined October 2007
United States4567 Posts
November 03 2008 16:32 GMT
#668
At this point, we need all the detectives we can get, and a DT alive is worth more the one dead mafia.

But Folca pushed us into a corner, and I think the best thing to do is to lynch him. The decaf clue doesnt sell it for me.
Together but separate, like oatmeal
Infundibulum
Profile Blog Joined May 2003
United States2552 Posts
November 03 2008 16:33 GMT
#669
The way i see it, there are wo very strong possibilities:

1) Folca is blue; Ace is red.
this is te simplest scenario, and the best case. unfortunately we have no way of 100% knowing this outside of lynching folca. If we lynch Ace, this does NOT confirm Folca as a legit DT, as Folca could be another red seeking to gain trust. Either way, the mafia are unlikely to kill him in this scenario for 2 possible reasons:
a) if Ace is red they do not want to kill Folca outright
b) Folca is red and can't be killed by the mafia because he is the mafia

case 2) Folca is red and false claiming, Ace is either blue/green
The reason for this is simple: Ace is a known strong mafia player, by casting suspicion on him the mafia gains a great deal by dividing the town. Anyone who Ace defends is also now suspicious, another potential gain for the mafia. So there is definitely motivation for this.

Personally I cannot say which one is more likely, as that would take some post by post analysis and I have to go to class. However, if Folca is in fact legit I still doubt his methods and reasoning. For example, he based one of his entire arguments on a rule that doesn't exist (he said mafia cannot vote to lynch other mafia).

As for the clues on decaf, I would like everyone to refer to this post:
On November 03 2008 15:01 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
as one general note as well, im a cook and thinking about the final meal "clue"

In a traditional meal setting, as in a banquet or the like, you would have coffee after finishing the entire meal, as a finisher.

Rather than just pin decaf as he fits the chicken = meal, and decaf = coffee

Yogurt fits the mold by also being a food item, with a picture of it in his profile
Falcynn has applesauce repeated as part of his profile
Hero's pink has two people sharing a milkshake


More than just one food connection, and as a final meal coffee makes sense, so not really a good lynch guys, lets think on it more

You can thank me later decaf :p


For now, ## I abstain from voting.
LoL NA: MothLite == Steam: p0nd
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
November 03 2008 16:46 GMT
#670
On November 03 2008 11:24 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
After reading through the last insane amount of pages since this morning, i do like bumatlarges idea provided we can get a detective to prove his role to an innocent person he finds to use as a mouth. There giving a legit list that townie could use to update the rest of us would be insanely informative, as if that townie died to mafia hands, chances are the list is legit, or if he is lynched and turned up green his list is good.

Issue being, how do you prove who's legit.
I have an idea which would kinda work possibly.
First day of voting, rather than abstain, we pick two inactives and vote.
numbers 1-26 vote for suspect 1
numbers 27-50 vote for suspect 2

now we take the numbers on our main list and number our detectives 1-3 based on who appears first on the list (ie they would know their number, no one else would)

D1 and D2 checks how many mafia voted on list one, and D3 and possibly a jack checks the role of someone the town nominates to be safe. If that person is a blue or green, D3 says nothing, then D1 and D2 PM their lists to the safe person. This would give the townie or blue a two identical lists, which would show their innocence as detectives, which gives one person with the knowledge of two roles, and a third person who can then later admit his role as well, giving one person control of three detectives.

Note: issue relies on person living through first night, and b) if people speak out against you to prevent this from happening, in the case someone speaks out against you saying your a mafia, we lynch the accuser, and if he turns up green or blue we lynch the person he accused.

With all this said and done, it means we as a town, have a support per se, medics know one person they can protect, and then they need just prove they are who they are, same with vig's and jacks. Just means we have to keep that one person alive briefly, as the idea is once you have that one support structure, that group gets pulled together, not needing the one dummy head any longer, and you then change leadership to a veteran.

I hope it makes sense, and yes i know there are some sketchy bits in there, but just throwing the idea out


Mafia know how many mafia voted for each list. Easy counter, not to lie on that check....It's too vague anyway...Mafia could just split the votes evenly and we'd be at square one......5 mafia one list, 5 the other....gg no re thx?
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
Jimtudor
Profile Joined June 2007
Canada259 Posts
November 03 2008 16:56 GMT
#671
If you guys are prepared for decaf to be green, what if he flips blue. Would it be too bad so sad, we screwed up. Do you remember ghar from last game, he was mafia 100% sure with the pulling hair in the campaign and the same exact thing happening in the clues. Oops, innocent. Yes, the clues seem strong, and it is stronger than the other three food item people. But if there is a repeat in the coffee or the food, he is a mafia for sure. But if there isn't, we will have to rethink.
decafchicken
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States20010 Posts
November 03 2008 16:57 GMT
#672
On November 04 2008 01:03 decafchicken wrote:
You guys are still going off a clue that is way too easy to be true. I'm hoping chuiu's smart enough to come up with a clue a bit harder than "coffee" -> "decafchicken"; seeing as thats a ridiculously simple connection, especially for a day 1 clue. Also this clue has been brought up in the past when i was innocent. If you're looking to lynch someone based off clues instead of the Ace/Folca mess, then i'd go with MidnightGladius.


To add to this, i direct your attention to this clue in the last game where coffee was brought up and i was NOT mafia

In downtown Liquidia Empyrean and New104 were up late reviewing case reports on the lynched and murdered people from that day. They had come up with disturbing revelations and were ready to reveal them to the public in effort to help stem the wrath of the mafia. Empyrean got up from his desk, thirsty, went to the break room for a cup of coffee. Along the way he noticed Enigma writing a note, perhaps with the intention to replace Empyreans findings with false ones to throw the town off.

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewm...pic_id=67925&currentpage=181#3602
how reasonable is it to eat off wood instead of your tummy?
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
November 03 2008 17:06 GMT
#673
On November 03 2008 13:52 Alventenie wrote:
I myself think we should hold off lynching folca until tomorrow. Lynching him today means hes dead for sure, waiting until tomorrow means the mafia either:

A) kill him, to make sure he doesn't use any more abilities, or

B) let him live, trying to cast suspicion on him making him seem fake.

Instead we should try to find another mafia through the clues tonight. Once we lynch them (I am voting for decaf), tomorrow we lynch folca (if he is still alive, i believe he will be if we dont lynch him), that way he can use another ability tomorrow. If he turns blue, we vigi Ace so no one can save him, and with luck, drop the mafia kill count to 4 by tomorrow night.

You guys are really charging into this without thinking of your options. Folca pretty much is sacrificing himself, but at least use him for as much as possible. By the town killing him tonight, we give the mafia an extra kill tonight that they wont waste, and it means we have more time to look for other mafia. Lynching him now would be foolish, wasting his potential where we could chance getting a mafia on day 1, not a blue.

I vote for decafchicken

ps. I believe midnightgladius and jimtudor are people we need to watch for. Midnight for his sig + extremely quick to lynch folca without considering the options. I also think Jimtudor should be watched due to that fact that he is almost certain folca is legit, even though he wouldn't know that by just reading folca (i believe folca, but i am not certain he is legit, so im using him to get the biggest gain for the town). Townies please reconsider folca's proposition of lynching him tonight. Let him live through the night with no paramedics watching him to see if the mafia truly wish to kill him.


Pointing out Alventines beautiful post....Best idea....And remember....He was the sacrificial DT in TL MAFIA VOLUME ONE!!!!!!
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
November 03 2008 17:10 GMT
#674
On November 03 2008 13:57 Empyrean wrote:
If we don't lynch Folca, will he have a chance to use his powers again and report them before he dies? If so, then I wouldn't advise lynching Folca. He'll die anyway, so in death he'll be vindicated. If no mafia target him to make him look suspicious, we'll all lynch him anyway. That's why I don't want to vote Folca.

As for who to lynch, I still don't know if we can yet trust Folca (or he could be a mafia roleclaiming DT but Ace is also mafia...this way, Folca gains our trust while the mafia don't lose any killing power, and Folca can direct us to kill someone important later) since he's not dead, so because of this, I wouldn't vote for Ace either.

I'll still stay with what few clues we have and vote to lynch decafchicken.

I vote to lynch decafchicken.

Also, has the town abandoned the Mandalor style plan I suggested earlier? If not, then we should probably coordinate first and second suspects.

Also, when will Chuiu compile the vote list?


If mafia kill him ACE is Mafia....Because Folca will come up DT. It would be stupid of Mafia to kill him, but allowing him to live allows Folca to use another check, and a vote check.....Then prove himself. Is Ace important enough to them to allow Folca to point more fingers? Is Folca really a detective? Is the drama in the air? WHY did Ace vote to lynch Folca if Folca is a DT and Ace is mafia? Whats with the vengeance Ace? If Folca hangs a blue DT, you committed suicide...but you did take another player out with you....Hmmmm So much to think about.
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
November 03 2008 17:14 GMT
#675
On November 03 2008 13:58 RtS)Night[Mare wrote:
i disagree with you alventenine. By lynching folca we gain valuable information. either he's mafia and we have 1 hit or he's blue and we have 2 prime suspects. In the end lynching any other wont give us information until later, and by this lynching we have 2 lists we can start analyzing asap



I understand your trying to help, or fuck us over, (I'm more inclined to you fucking us over) but your vote idea is bad. Two sets of votes....10 mafia.....Split the mafia. No one will vote according to your list. I don't even like your list. Ace and Folca aren't options for me. Sure, I suspect Ace, and Plexa for that matter....But it's because I can't trust them, and I want to see how Plexa continues. In the mafia games I read that Moose hosted, Plexa is the DapperDan of our forums....and if we trust in him too much he will of done what DapperDan did when he was Mafia....
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
November 03 2008 17:16 GMT
#676
On November 03 2008 14:09 Jimtudor wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 03 2008 13:52 Alventenie wrote:
I myself think we should hold off lynching folca until tomorrow. Lynching him today means hes dead for sure, waiting until tomorrow means the mafia either:

A) kill him, to make sure he doesn't use any more abilities, or

B) let him live, trying to cast suspicion on him making him seem fake.

Instead we should try to find another mafia through the clues tonight. Once we lynch them (I am voting for decaf), tomorrow we lynch folca (if he is still alive, i believe he will be if we dont lynch him), that way he can use another ability tomorrow. If he turns blue, we vigi Ace so no one can save him, and with luck, drop the mafia kill count to 4 by tomorrow night.

You guys are really charging into this without thinking of your options. Folca pretty much is sacrificing himself, but at least use him for as much as possible. By the town killing him tonight, we give the mafia an extra kill tonight that they wont waste, and it means we have more time to look for other mafia. Lynching him now would be foolish, wasting his potential where we could chance getting a mafia on day 1, not a blue.

I vote for decafchicken

ps. I believe midnightgladius and jimtudor are people we need to watch for. Midnight for his sig + extremely quick to lynch folca without considering the options. I also think Jimtudor should be watched due to that fact that he is almost certain folca is legit, even though he wouldn't know that by just reading folca (i believe folca, but i am not certain he is legit, so im using him to get the biggest gain for the town). Townies please reconsider folca's proposition of lynching him tonight. Let him live through the night with no paramedics watching him to see if the mafia truly wish to kill him.


No,
I said it looks to me that he is legit. To me, that's another way of saying imho. Based on logic, it appears why would a mafia do this. He knows he will die first before ace. He dies, turns up red, ace lives. Mafia wasted a life, ace gains even more clout. What? Where's the strategy? But nethertheless, I really hope he turns up red and is just a mafia bluffing.


They could have Folca fake claim DT on a real mafia to make it look like Ace isn't mafia....hmmmmmmm
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
November 03 2008 17:20 GMT
#677
On November 03 2008 14:21 MidnightGladius wrote:
Folca, why do you keep bringing up my contributions to the site? Chu has never set the precedent of doing that in the previous two games, and there's no reason why he should start now. It would make clue interpretation much too erratic and difficult both for him and us. He would have to read through 10 (+ vigil/jack) posting histories on a regular basis and assume that the town does so as well. Also, clues derived from posts would be very easy to see as red herrings. If a mafia mentioned physics, would it be referencing your blog, Empyrean's schedule that he posted in this thread, Chezinu's mad scientist profile, fanaticist's pool table photo, etc.

Furthermore, there is no reason not to vote for you, given the claims you've made. Mafia's not going to kill you, since that would tip their hand either way and give the town tempo advantage. As is, the most efficient way to go about this would be to lynch you tonight. If you're red, you're red. If you're green, then screw you. And if you're confirmed DT, then town gets a confirmed kill through lynch, with maybe a second from clue analysis of the first night. Letting you get another cycle's worth of information would be nice, but the fast route is the only likely way the town has to reduce kill power, which is our top priority at the moment.


Better question. Why are you posting? I agree with Folca in suspecting you to be mafia....You were quick to jump and stand with Ace WITH ABSOLUTELY NO DISCUSSION.
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
November 03 2008 17:21 GMT
#678
On November 03 2008 14:31 decafchicken wrote:
Reasons not to lynch me:
1) it fucks up the list between ace and folca, which we can use to determine mafia
2) You gain way more by choosing to lynch ace or mafi
3) All you have to go on me is a clue so strong its gotta be a red herring.
4) Empy = mafiascum!


I thought Chuiu doesn't throw in intentional red herrings....and if that was unintentional.....
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
decafchicken
Profile Blog Joined January 2005
United States20010 Posts
November 03 2008 17:24 GMT
#679
On November 04 2008 02:21 ~OpZ~ wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 03 2008 14:31 decafchicken wrote:
Reasons not to lynch me:
1) it fucks up the list between ace and folca, which we can use to determine mafia
2) You gain way more by choosing to lynch ace or mafi
3) All you have to go on me is a clue so strong its gotta be a red herring.
4) Empy = mafiascum!


I thought Chuiu doesn't throw in intentional red herrings....and if that was unintentional.....


red herring or just unintentional. w/e
how reasonable is it to eat off wood instead of your tummy?
~OpZ~
Profile Blog Joined May 2005
United States3652 Posts
November 03 2008 17:25 GMT
#680
On November 03 2008 14:40 Chuiu wrote:
To answer some questions I saw:

Mafia cannot target each other, it says so in the role description.

Please vote in this thread, there will be no separate vote thread due to the low number of players.

I have made clues based on posts in the past, these are usually the hardest to find so they tend to go unnoticed.

Detectives can use their ability right away, the only class that cannot is Vigilante.


Vote Count:

decafchicken - 4
~OpZ~
Jimtudor
Alventenie
Empyrean

Folca - 7
Ace
MidnightGladius
RtS)Night[Mare
mikeymoo
BloodyC0bbler
Chezinu
Camlito

Ace
HeRoS)Pink
Caller

Abstain
SoleSteeler

Super Drunk (probably made out with a transvestite too)
FakeSteve[TPR]


Curious....if we leave Folca at 7 and vote check that....I wonder how many of them are mafia?

I'm betting 4....
Maybe I could teach Osama that using a plane as a wraith or dropship would be 10x better than using it as a scourge..... ^^; -Flex
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