TL Mafia LXXIV: Storm Mafia 3 - Page 183

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

March 30 2016 20:48 GMT

#3641

depends, if the vote was early on and didnt change much i just looked at the vote. If they were constantly changing votes/voted tictock last second I looked at the context. But wasn't much except "shenannies"

Shapelog

United States5186 Posts

March 30 2016 20:53 GMT

#3642

Hmmm, I have a hunch on something incredibly dumb and smart at the same time.

Damdred

15669 Posts

March 30 2016 20:55 GMT

#3643

I know my vote was late but context should have me as different than Obi in your eyes right?

Damdred

15669 Posts

March 30 2016 20:57 GMT

#3644

Doesn't really matter though was just curioud

VayneAuthority

United States8983 Posts

March 30 2016 20:59 GMT

#3645

when I read over it, it seemed pretty similar. Although obviously you and obi are night and day in terms of posting style. Do you think obi is scum?

LightningStrike

United States14277 Posts

March 30 2016 21:03 GMT

#3646

On March 31 2016 05:53 Shapelog wrote:
Hmmm, I have a hunch on something incredibly dumb and smart at the same time.

Go ahead and share it I am all ears after all
[image loading]

Superbia

Netherlands8889 Posts

March 30 2016 21:12 GMT

#3647

I have overlapped my current townreads with the votes (underlined = flipped, italics = read):

On March 26 2016 07:00 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Day 1 Final Votecount

Tubesock (8): ObiWanShinobi, Kurumi, Vivax, Koshi, justanothertownie, Rels, LightningStrike, Damdred
rsoultin (6): Superbia, VayneAuthority, ritoky, sandroba, Shapelog, sicklucker
Kurumi (2): Tubesock, rsoultin
Tumblewood: (0): ~~Koshi~~
ritoky (0): ~~Koshi~~, ~~rsoultin~~, ~~Koshi~~
Alakaslam (0): ~~Koshi~~, ~~Rels~~
Damdred (0): ~~sicklucker~~
sandroba (0): ~~Tubesock~~, ~~Koshi~~

Not Voting (4): Stutters695, TicTock, Alakaslam, Tumblewood

On March 29 2016 07:02 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Day 2 Final Votecount

TicTock (9): Vivax, LightningStrike, Shapelog, Rels, Damdred, ObiWanShinobi, Koshi, rsoultin, Tumblewood
Koshi (5): ~~sicklucker~~, justanothertownie, Superbia, sandroba, ~~Vivax~~, Kurumi, ~~Tumblewood~~, sicklucker
rsoultin (2): ~~sicklucker~~, ~~sandroba~~, ~~Koshi~~, ritoky, Alakaslam, ~~sicklucker~~, ~~Vivax~~. ~~Shapelog~~, ~~Tumblewood~~, ~~Vivax~~
Tumblewood (2): VayneAuthority, ~~ObiWanShinobi~~, ~~Damdred~~, ~~Koshi~~, ~~Vivax~~, TicTock, ~~rsoultin~~
Kurumi (0): ~~rsoultin~~
sandroba (0): ~~Alakaslam~~
TicTock (0): ~~Vivax~~
Superbia (0): ~~Koshi~~

Not Voting (0):

Which leaves me with the following lynches:
- VayneAuthority
- ObiWanShinobi
- LightningStrike
- Tumblewood
- Kurumi

Of these, I do not want to lynch Kurumi today.

Some notes:
- Sicklucker's vote timing on rso makes it so he's pretty much never with rso.
- I had no initial read on shapelog, but his interactions on the rso train d2 are pretty damn town (was adamant on rso, then switched to TT quite naturally).
- Koshi's wagon on d2 actually looks almost completely town. Especially if Kurumi (and to an extend TW) ends up being town. This definitely needs some looking into when more flips are known. KEEP THIS IN MIND. I am likely wrong on either someone voting on Koshi or on Koshi.
- VA has been voting superearly on scummy people (one confirmed in RSO), but I generally cannot remember the explanation. Could be some soft distance. Would like to know from people who usually play with VA.
- I don't think TumbleWood is in the rso/TT team. But I do think he could be independently mafia (3rd party/whatever).
- Obi was teaming up with Koshi and Vivax during n2 to pressure me. While Koshi's read has progressed naturally, Obi's pressure is nowhere to be seen.
- LS is mainly POE. I don't actually have a good read on him this game.
- Sleeper mafia/third party would likely be either Rels or Ritoky. But this is tinfoil for later.

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

March 30 2016 21:12 GMT

#3648

On March 31 2016 05:09 sicklucker wrote:

Show nested quote +

you literally have no idea whats happening in this game thats why I voted you

most of the time mafia knows what is going on and town doesn't.

Superbia

Netherlands8889 Posts

March 30 2016 21:13 GMT

#3649

With that being said, I'm going to retract my vote like a pussy and vote after I've had some decent sleep.

Superbia

Netherlands8889 Posts

March 30 2016 21:14 GMT

#3650

Actually I may spoken a bit too soon with "I don't want to lynch Kurumi today". I thought that the possibility of mafia vig flipping would confirm him town, but he could still be 3p.

Superbia

Netherlands8889 Posts

March 30 2016 21:15 GMT

#3651

And he really, really needs to explain his thought process on the night kills.

Superbia

Netherlands8889 Posts

March 30 2016 21:17 GMT

#3652

Koshi, who do you think the mafia is on your wagon?

Koshi

Belgium38799 Posts

March 30 2016 21:17 GMT

#3653

On March 30 2016 07:20 sandroba wrote:

Show nested quote +

On March 29 2016 21:38 Vivax wrote:

On March 29 2016 21:14 sandroba wrote:
@vivax yes rsoul's role does sound farfetched, she should be questioned tomorrow about it no doubt.
there is no mention of any refund mechanics on my pm. I seriously doubt kurumi is mafia unless there are 2 mafia teams. I doubt mafia would come out and admit they shot town koshi if they don't know how he survived. Or randomly lie about it on the off chance their medic gets lynched today for that matter.
I wouldn't be surprised if all vigis are town, considering mafia has a doc and might as well have a vet according to your theory.
Honestly I'm impressed at how much koshi has posted, but the easiest explanation is still that koshi is mafia with TT.

Kurumi first said he would keep it secret if his bullet is refunded and in some post he raged that it wasn't. Surely you need to have some sort of opinion on that?

Yes rsoultin should be questioned but why don't you have any questions then, why just tomorrow when the NKs change stuff and you're here now anyway?

SL isn't a vet until he flips, he just claims he got shot cause KP was missing, zero evidence of him being even anything except that he constantly flails about his role and talks about little else lately.

Why is it an easy explanation that Koshi is mafia with TT? Then you would have to disagree with EVERYONE on my list who tried to lynch him yesterday except rso who for probably wifom tried to keep him safe.

On March 29 2016 21:22 sandroba wrote:
based on logic. some dude randomly says he shot you -> you are not playing the game or to your town meta -> nobody claims they saved you -> people end up lynching mafia medic -> you finally start posting.
the easiest explanation is that you are mafia. sure mafia could have randomly role blocked kurumi, and we may very well find a better lynch then you tomorrow, but unless more info about this is surfaced you are not a bad kill.

Dude why would anyone even claim if he saved Koshi? Just why? It doesn't confirm anyone, it doesn't give info that is as valuable as his role, it only is a gift to mafia. Only an idiot would claim medic or jk or whatever happened for the reasons you say. Why don't you know this?
I think you're super scummy now

I'm guessing vivax saved koshi lol

This one btw sicklucker.