Haunted Mansion Mini Mafia
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no one's here when it does | ||
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Right Koshi? Renly + Robert 4lyfe? | ||
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On November 25 2015 08:34 Koshi wrote: I am also going to create a town circle. The rules to join this town circle will be formed tomorrow. I need to think about a flawless system. First couple of requirements: 1) Keep Koshi entertained. (aka post enough and don't be boring) 2) Call a lot of people mafia, and therefore vote a shitton (You are allowed to vote for Koshi but membership might be revoked, it depends on how I perceive my own play) I'll find more rules on the way. PS: it isn't really a towncircle, more a town pyramid and I am on top and you are all on the bottom. That being said, being in the town pyramid makes you a better person. Ooh pick me! I want to be in Koshi's cool club. | ||
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On November 25 2015 08:43 sicklucker wrote: ya probably. Hes afraid he will be outed and coming clean will gain him town cred. Theres no way ff smurfed to reveal himself the 80% of the time he rolled town. It makes no sense... Espiecally since I have never seen him get mafia in like 15 games with him... lynch ff for sanity Hmm, I had the opposite reaction. Why would he be afraid of being outed as a smurf? | ||
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On November 25 2015 08:49 sicklucker wrote: i played two games with him this month where he was . drum rollllllll + Show Spoiler + town ...okay, but that still has no affect on his alignment here, correct? | ||
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On November 25 2015 09:07 sicklucker wrote: grrr not at all you have to get in the mindset of ff. hes always town why make a smurf if hes not going to use it as town? Like this is a decision made before the game starts, how can it be alignment-indicative? | ||
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On November 25 2015 09:45 ANickelDrink wrote: I didn't plan to reveal myself until I started to write an entry post. Why should I bother to worry about my persona as town? I did in fact plan to smurf this game as either alignment but as town I can't get into a deceitful mood. Oh, this changes what I was thinking. I assumed that you made the smurf just for mafia before the game started. On November 25 2015 10:08 sicklucker wrote: his decision to smurf is because he does not want people to figure out his brilliant mafia game. This is what hes saying. It makes no sense But if that was what he was doing, then it doesn't matter if it makes sense because he chose to smurf before he got his alignment. Like it can be the dumbest reason ever, but it doesn't matter because he made it before he got his alignment. Anyway, I don't think this point is really relevant anymore if he's saying he didn't make the decision until the game had started. | ||
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On November 25 2015 11:11 Koshi wrote: This thread needs more drama. be the drama you want to see in the thread | ||
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hahaha trying to keep me off your tail this game with smilies, I'm onto you ![]() | ||
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On November 25 2015 11:31 ANickelDrink wrote: ? I made this account for this game of mafia with the intention to smurf, before I got my alignment. After the game started it felt like too much effort to try and hide my posting style. I could retroactively justify it by saying I wanted to save town the time and effort figuring out who I am but really it's because I don't want to think when I post Mafia as in the alignment, not the game. I was arguing earlier that you making a smurf only to play as mafia (alignment) is not alignment-indicative because it was a decision that you made before the game, but that argument isn't really relevant anymore if it was a decision you made after the game started. That being said, I liked the way you outed and I don't want to lynch you right now. | ||
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I like your point about TicTock too, though. | ||
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On November 25 2015 11:30 GlowingBear wrote: Cool, some weak early reads: Koshi looks townie for his tone. Especially when he makes the post of the town pyramid and the following one. Chrom looks townie for thinking critically about the game. SL looks scummy for this hard push on FF on a matter that isn't really alignment indicative. Tictock looks scummy for commenting that SL may have a point but concluding that FF's thing isn't alignment indicative. If SL does have a point then it is alignment indicative. If it isn't alignment indicative, SL doesn't have a point. Therefore you just look you're posting to look contributive while actually being fluffy and pushing the matter nowhere sicklucker I'm not sure about. I agree he could be mafia for his push over something which I agree wasn't alignment indicative, but I liked that he didn't back down about it when he came under pressure. Ticktock I agree with your point, plus he just kind of came in and posted those non-opinions on FF and then peaced out. Koshi I don't have a read on. Let me expand on what I mean about OO: On November 25 2015 08:07 ObviousOne wrote: how can you be rolehunting when the op says everyone is vanilla? On November 25 2015 08:10 ObviousOne wrote: tbh it looks to me like you either a) lied about rolehunting when you meant smurfhunting and then stuck to your lie for whatever reason or b) didn't read the setup or c) you're mafia and just hinted at the hidden mechanic sicklucker posts his stuff about FF's claim being weird and also makes a comment about rolehunting. OO jumps on the "rolehunting" part of it, which is the part that looks weird and is easy to jump on as mafia (I was interested in his read on FF from it). The third post is the one I particularly didn't like. The whole post says nothing at all (no conclusion or any point for the post), it seems like it's just a poor attempt to explain why he jumped on the rolehunting comment when it clearly didn't mean much. | ||
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On November 25 2015 12:27 ANickelDrink wrote: like if it's not alignment indicative then he can't really push the discussion anywhere since there's nowhere for it to go. If he had just said "I see what you mean but..." instead of "You have a point" it would be saying the same thing, no? besides he actually said I guess my problem with the post is more of the fact that it says nothing at all in so many lines. It's not so much that it's a contradiction -> "gg ez scum", but more of the fact that he says "you might have a point" and then waffles for a while and then says "possibly NAI". | ||
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On November 25 2015 12:41 ObviousOne wrote: he admitted to ignoring the setup completely mystery solved m80 Wouldn't he do that no matter his alignment? I don't see how that's relevant to what I'm saying. | ||
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On November 25 2015 12:54 ObviousOne wrote: tbh i don't see how because it was easy that i shouldnt have commented on it, it was literally the first event in the game worth talking about and i wanted to see if he was slipping up as mafia or something. ignorance was the simplest explanation and also his claimed excuse. the reason that it didnt have a conclusion was pretty obviously stating my thoughts in the thread, i thought people might like to see that. i'll try to do less thinking since it offends you so. You just said that you think SL is mafia for his push on FF, so why jump on the rolehunting thing that doesn't matter when you clearly have an opinion on his read on FF? Like if ignorance is the simplest explanation then why would you pick that to comment on over something you supposedly think is actually mafia..? This reaction seems super overblown to me. | ||
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On November 25 2015 08:10 ObviousOne wrote: tbh it looks to me like you either a) lied about rolehunting when you meant smurfhunting and then stuck to your lie for whatever reason or b) didn't read the setup or c) you're mafia and just hinted at the hidden mechanic And you "wanted to see if he slipped up as scum", but then you post all of the possible answers for him before he even answers. How does that ever show whether he's slipping? | ||
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##Vote: ObviousOne | ||
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What happened to your read on sicklucker? | ||
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marv makes me a bit uncomfortable for now but I feel like that will become clearer with time. | ||
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On November 26 2015 02:14 Sn0_Man wrote: this felt like a vote that will make the game progress in a more positive manner atm also i wanted to post baaaa +1 +1 What do you mean by "progress in a more positive manner"? On November 26 2015 02:14 marvellosity wrote: just you wait till i get my tunnel that's not really a tunnel on you, you'll feel much better Oh boy, my favorite part! | ||
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On November 26 2015 02:19 GlowingBear wrote: In late game he is pretty obvious when he is mafia (usually) and if he is town his existence is always a threat to mafia. Which means I don't have to worry Yeah, pretty much what I was thinking. Someone posted a helpful guide last game (Is he still alive? Has he lead a lynch on mafia? Does he care about the game? If not, then probably mafia). | ||
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On November 26 2015 18:14 Tictock wrote: ... I'm also quite interested in the fact that nobody who called out my post early on commented on this one. + Show Spoiler [Compare] + On November 25 2015 09:04 Tictock wrote: Hmm? You might have a point here, especially revealing so early before he could even see the affects of smurfing. FF tends to play fairly lazily the first few days and picks it up later. Maybe he rolled mafia and was worried people would push him early on? Course all of this is assuming it's actually FF and not someone trying to mind game us early... that's pretty tinfoily though and would be a pretty silly play. Gunna put this down as slightly suspect but possibly NAI for now. Seems to me like this post from Sn0 is even more wordy, and goes absolutely nowhere besides saying he's ok waiting to see if Marv does some work. But then later suggests he's unsure about his ability to read Marv ... In the opening of the post (the Sn0 one) he's suspicious of Koshi and questioning him, but then that sentiment kind of disappears the rest of the post and it becomes more conciliatory, which felt really unnatural to me (like he had to comment on the situation but didn't have anything to say). And no conclusion, etc. | ||
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On November 27 2015 00:32 Vivax wrote: Not when I'm perfectly fine with lynching TT. The last thing I need is people fighting on multiple fronts when we're headed the right way. In a D1 like this, who on earth is worried about "fighting on multiple fronts" when not much is going on? I also didn't like how he also doesn't reconsider (or at least acknowledge) TT in light of his recent posting at all. It doesn't feel like he's interested in figuring out this game at all esp. compared to last game. | ||
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On November 26 2015 19:17 ObviousOne wrote: + Show Spoiler [rant as fuck] + this feels like the slowest day 1 I've been a part of on this site in ages, if not ever. not for lack of posts but for lack of substance. i thought the wordy derpy phase we had at the start was indicative of a bunch of people who wanted to talk but that doesn't seem to be the case. this has led to an environment where the mafia don't have to post at all to blend in, because so few topics have been discussed. i know obviously i'm a part of this particular problem, but it's also become something of a systemic issue. koshi who is arguably one of the greater forces in this game has it in his head that people will run his errands, which is fine as a character but is kind of silly to expect anyone to jump however high it is he expects. his effort to assert dominance can have subtle effects on the game. a sort of bystander effect where everyone who wants the same information might end up waiting for another person to do it, therefore nobody does it, and nothing is accomplished. the paradigm that comes along with setting himself up as the tip of the power pyramid which may or may no be in jest, i've played with koshi before and he's had a similar attitude about things. nobody wants or needs to challenge him so the whole thing is hollow anyway. like i said before, plenty of room in the shadows with the rest of us. the issue with having marv in game is that everyone expects godly-play town or shitty-play mafia, when it's probably a bit of both that he's aiming for. posting less when town and slightly more than he feels comfortable with as mafia is how he gets to balance his play so he's not immediately outed when he's mafia. no idea what his alignment is and really nobody should care what he does until he, you know, does something. more useless conversation around this topic. i have preconceptions about vivax that lead me to believe he is capable of much more but is phoning it in this game. i had the same feeling before in student mafia xv and he was town there, so it might be melding the town and mafia sides of his play or that might just be i need to lower my expectations considerably. the difference between marv and vivax is that i don't have any personal heuristics on how to read vivax whatsoever. fuck, in that student game he pretty much blew off all my questions and i was kinda miffed about the whole thing. tictock still in my talent pool for today's lynch but not feeling it as strongly as others are, haven't really reviewed his recent posts but he's out of the top of the list for now sn0 could be added to it i think, but that's a reflection of my thoughts regarding how things seem to usually go down when marv is in a game. i sort of like the idea he had to avoid starting a conflict with SL in favor of seeing tictock's response to his wagon. ugh but the smurf stuff and the marv stuff. icky mess. boxer situation is hilarious but not gonna take him off my candidate list for today. fefe hasn't hit his stride yet or is mafia, don't know which. as for scott, for some reason i have it in my mind that he just rarely actually participates (at least in games we're been in together, pretty sure he's been modkilled in one of them), and that's been when he was town. so i can't judge him based on his participation / engagement. can reflect on him if we find out for sure tictock's or maybe even GB's alignment. feeling less good about SL but there seems to be the feeling of progression in his filter and i owe him a HJ for saving my life last game. honestly i should just delete this instead of posting it but whatever strongest to weakest feels regarding likelihood of mafianess {boxer onegu} strongerest {sn0 SL fefe} less stronk {tictock scott vivax} middling {everyone else} oh look a pyramid scheme koshi wouldn't want to be at the top of, lel i'm not locked into this vote but i better vote so i don't get rekt between onegu and boxer i'm gonna go with the 'gu bc boxer made a funny #vote: onegu I thought this post was weird. The rant felt weirdly out of place (why are you so angry over a slow D1 when you haven't done much at all either?). I also don't understand that he said there was a "feeling of progression" in SL's filter when SL had posted nothing other than stuff about the FF smurf up until that point. I specifically had the reaction that there wasn't a progression at all. Then a lot of back and forth reads in a list post. I liked that FF attacked this post and I don't think I would have backed off as easily. I don't like BF either, saying that you're just contributing for the sake of contribution doesn't make the fact that you're doing that any better. | ||
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On November 27 2015 02:32 marvellosity wrote: bingo compare to GB who is at least reconsidering in his own, bizarre way Yep yep. Honestly a Vivax lynch feels really good right now. | ||
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##Unvote ##Vote: Vivax Happy thanksgiving everyone! | ||
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whoops On November 27 2015 03:27 GlowingBear wrote: Yes. And I can relate to Vivax when he says Tictock came back over-contributive hmm okay maybe I'll have to look at it again, I really didn't get that feeling and I don't think the one post is scummy enough to justify it on its own but you're on Vivax anyway so | ||
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On November 27 2015 23:15 Koshi wrote: Because you are way to final/certain in your posting already. If I had to give a reason. Too much drama? I can't nail it. I am far from convinced TT is mafia. Could be though. I should really look who voted Vivax and at what times. Chrom/TT scumteam might be possible, Chrom did lose track of his own game (OO) and went for the vote on Vivax while he had TT and marv as suspicious. So dnu. It is possible. It's not something I am going to be hunting any time soon. If TT flips mafia I am coolio, but if he will be able to proof himself coming days there is nothing much left of your play tbh. I guess I didn't explain my progression very well. Early in the day, I thought OO and TT were mafia for the reasons I posted. marv was a light feeling from his early posting, not really a scumread. Later, I liked TT's posting and I didn't think that his one scummy post was nearly enough to justify lynching him. I thought the case on Vivax was very good, so I voted him over OO/Sn0 who I also thought were suspicious. I didn't explicitly say it, but I think you can see this in my filter? The other things you said feel like confirmation bias but if there's anything specific I can answer it. I agree with whoever it was that Koshi is probably town for the stuff he did around the lynch. If TT is town then there's no point in doing all that when town was getting lynched, and if TT is mafia then why push against the Vivax lynch so hard and go for a third wagon. Plus mafia are more careful about keeping reads consistent, he cared about the lynch, etc. | ||
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On November 28 2015 02:02 Koshi wrote: So I started with saying we shouldn't rehearse things and then went after Chrom some more. Not bad. Chrommie, my Baratheon Borther, try to play harder can you? Sorry Koshi ![]() | ||
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I kind of like the activity level tbh (makes it easier to read) but it would be nice if it was more spread out between all the players. | ||
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GB marv TT FF SL scott Onegu BF Sn0 OO is about where I'm at. The whole middle section is kind of a mess but it's mostly in order. | ||
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Why not OO? He's like the definition of "sounding contributive without actually being contributive". | ||
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On November 28 2015 03:26 GlowingBear wrote: Because I want my lynch and TT isn't any better than OO. IMHO. Fair enough to the bolded, lol. | ||
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On November 26 2015 19:17 ObviousOne wrote: this feels like the slowest day 1 I've been a part of on this site in ages, if not ever. not for lack of posts but for lack of substance. i thought the wordy derpy phase we had at the start was indicative of a bunch of people who wanted to talk but that doesn't seem to be the case. this has led to an environment where the mafia don't have to post at all to blend in, because so few topics have been discussed. i know obviously i'm a part of this particular problem, but it's also become something of a systemic issue. koshi who is arguably one of the greater forces in this game has it in his head that people will run his errands, which is fine as a character but is kind of silly to expect anyone to jump however high it is he expects. his effort to assert dominance can have subtle effects on the game. a sort of bystander effect where everyone who wants the same information might end up waiting for another person to do it, therefore nobody does it, and nothing is accomplished. the paradigm that comes along with setting himself up as the tip of the power pyramid which may or may no be in jest, i've played with koshi before and he's had a similar attitude about things. nobody wants or needs to challenge him so the whole thing is hollow anyway. like i said before, plenty of room in the shadows with the rest of us. the issue with having marv in game is that everyone expects godly-play town or shitty-play mafia, when it's probably a bit of both that he's aiming for. posting less when town and slightly more than he feels comfortable with as mafia is how he gets to balance his play so he's not immediately outed when he's mafia. no idea what his alignment is and really nobody should care what he does until he, you know, does something. more useless conversation around this topic. Read this rant, and then look through OO's filter, especially after he makes this post, and see how inconsistent it is. This really feels like OO faking emotion to make it seem like he cares about the game. I don't think anyone so obviously uninvested in this game supposedly cares so much about it. On November 26 2015 11:26 ObviousOne wrote: brace yourselves thanksgiving is coming i guess that's why i got the mail reminding me to vote. anyone looking for sheeple? On November 26 2015 19:17 ObviousOne wrote: ... i have preconceptions about vivax that lead me to believe he is capable of much more but is phoning it in this game. i had the same feeling before in student mafia xv and he was town there, so it might be melding the town and mafia sides of his play or that might just be i need to lower my expectations considerably. the difference between marv and vivax is that i don't have any personal heuristics on how to read vivax whatsoever. fuck, in that student game he pretty much blew off all my questions and i was kinda miffed about the whole thing. tictock still in my talent pool for today's lynch but not feeling it as strongly as others are, haven't really reviewed his recent posts but he's out of the top of the list for now sn0 could be added to it i think, but that's a reflection of my thoughts regarding how things seem to usually go down when marv is in a game. i sort of like the idea he had to avoid starting a conflict with SL in favor of seeing tictock's response to his wagon. ugh but the smurf stuff and the marv stuff. icky mess. boxer situation is hilarious but not gonna take him off my candidate list for today. fefe hasn't hit his stride yet or is mafia, don't know which. as for scott, for some reason i have it in my mind that he just rarely actually participates (at least in games we're been in together, pretty sure he's been modkilled in one of them), and that's been when he was town. so i can't judge him based on his participation / engagement. can reflect on him if we find out for sure tictock's or maybe even GB's alignment. feeling less good about SL but there seems to be the feeling of progression in his filter and i owe him a HJ for saving my life last game. honestly i should just delete this instead of posting it but whatever strongest to weakest feels regarding likelihood of mafianess {boxer onegu} strongerest {sn0 SL fefe} less stronk {tictock scott vivax} middling {everyone else} oh look a pyramid scheme koshi wouldn't want to be at the top of, lel i'm not locked into this vote but i better vote so i don't get rekt between onegu and boxer i'm gonna go with the 'gu bc boxer made a funny #vote: onegu I could just be reading into this too much, but I thought it was really weird how he comes back to the thread with a nonchalant attitude, asking people who he should sheep. Then, in the next post is a giant list with a bunch of back-and-forth reads, ending with a vote on Onegu (?). Those are two different mindsets ("hey I'll sheep someone" vs "look at me I'm trying"), which I think makes more sense from mafia who wanted to act like they were contributing but forgot that it was inconsistent with their attitude. (you can ignore this if you think it's stretching, it was just something I felt) I think this is the most important point: He votes Onegu out of nowhere and then peaces out for a while. Then, when he comes back and it's clear that Onegu isn't happening (the votes were 4 Vivax - 2 TicTock, no one talking about Onegu), he doesn't consolidate or take a stance on the lynch at all like he claimed he would in the above post. Actually, he never actually takes a stance on the lynch of Vivax vs TicTock, even when it's really clear that those are the wagons. This shows him being really disconnected from the thread, just popping in to make a "contribution" when needed. Other stuff: He's very interested in posting whenever people express suspicion of him (happens both with me and with FF). I don't think the points I had against him earlier were weak either (jumped on the rolehunting comment and had a bad explanation for it, overreacted to suspicion). | ||
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On November 27 2015 04:06 Sn0_Man wrote: It's an interesting point that like 75% of chromatically's filter is blasting everything OO says but he doesn't really try to get anybody to vote for OO at all, he's just trying to justify his safe little vote. Even when moving to vivax he keeps blasting OO without any attempt to actually get him lynched Like he'll post stuff like this (implying that he thinks I'm mafia), but never mentions me or this read again. | ||
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On November 28 2015 04:34 Sn0_Man wrote: im around n reading but its night n stuff that post was of course when koshi was discussing u and i was putting in my thoughts. there was never a point where a lynch on u was viable and even had their been I preferred the tictock lynch at that point. Okay, fair enough on that specifically. It's more of the general point that there's a lot of commenting on things without following through or taking stances. | ||
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On November 28 2015 04:44 ObviousOne wrote: IF I was maf it would have been easy as fuck to declare I had a scum read on Vivax or even just sheep someone else's case on him and vote for him and not be in this situation at all, but from my list of potential day one lynches vivax was two levels below my preferred lynches and I already said I don't have the first clue on how to read him. why would I bother to either point out I have no idea how to read him if there was a chance he could be lynched that I could have some credibility to join if i had not said that? town lynches that are easy to jump on or to be "convinced" of joining are my jam if i'm mafia. nor would i vote for ticktock on a day one in this game either based on his recovery before going to bed two nights ago, but i still haven't given the game a proper re-read to see if he's someone that deserves to be up for a day two lynch or not, that's something I'll look into later. so with the information i had to wit and the list of people i would be willing to lynch how could i possibly vote for either of them if i had zero confidence in one of them being mafia? in my mind onegu was a better candidate because it's possible there might never be anything there to read until it's too late to deal with it. finally, calling my reactions overreactions is subjective compared to other people and if you want to see how they are not overreactions you'll want to look at maybe one or two of my previous town games and how i react to suspicion, since i can't necessarily trust anyone here to factually report on that, nor would i expect anyone to defend me at this stage considering how well i always fit in a mafia line up all the time. You can't argue that it was correct for you to vote Onegu there as town. You're an experienced player, so you know that voting on-wagon is always correct (especially since it didn't seem like you had strong opinions on either of them). It's true that you could have picked a wagon to sheep, but you just as easily could have not cared about the lynch and wasted your vote somewhere else. Trying not to do meta after last game, but maybe the overreaction thing is subjective. | ||
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On November 28 2015 06:18 GlowingBear wrote: Chrome, I agree with most of things you say about OO. If I lynch him would you give me my lynch? I mean, I'd like to buy your vote like this, but I can't really make promises about lynching someone tomorrow. I can say that I'll seriously consider the points you have though (as usual). | ||
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##Vote: ObviousOne | ||
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On November 28 2015 07:42 sicklucker wrote: Ah i wanna be a ghost. shut uo ff its so obvious that Vengeful spirits are people who got lynched (vivax) and Benevolent ghosts is marv. So vengefuls are lynched and benevolent are nked an who knows what mafia will be probably true | ||
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On November 29 2015 00:55 Tictock wrote: After going through his filter, I'm starting to think Chrom is town. Most of his filter is related to pushing OO, but he makes some solid points like enough that I might have to reconsider my read on OO. A few things feel nit picky though, and this post give me some odd feels. First the rolehunting thing happened before (though not by much) the FF smurf thing got brought up, so it's only natural for OO to react to that first. I'm also not sure why you wouldn't comment on something you felt was off even if it has an easy explanation, so that point doesn't make sense to me either. Post kinda feels like it's beating a dead horse. Maybe it feels off to me since I get why OO might push SL for saying he was rolehunting. I also kinda feel like reacting to SL saying he was rolehunting is more of a town thing to do, since Scum are more likely to be aware that there are no roles for them to play around in this game. ... SL made a comment about FF's smurf at the same time he said the rolehunting thing. It's that OO tried to attack that but didn't make a comment his FF read that is more alignment indicative (compared to what I thought when I saw it, "rolehunting comment is probably NAI but I want to know about his read"). Mafia are more likely to jump on things that look weird but aren't actually alignment-indicative. At this point it probably is beating a dead horse given that it happened so long ago, though. | ||
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On November 29 2015 00:55 Tictock wrote: @Chrom Can you elaborate on your GB townread for me? Why does he push you so hard yesterday for the lynch if it was two town (also doesn't make sense if he's mafia with you)? Plus he cares about the game, is putting reads out there a lot and pushing them, etc. | ||
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On November 29 2015 02:41 Koshi wrote: ANickelDrink This person might be mafia. Isn't doing that much and COULND'T CARE LESS about who got lynched. When he said he voted because "shenannies could happen" IT WAS 100% OBVIOUS it would not happen. If TT is town like he claims. He should look at this person instead of giving fefe a freaking free pass as top town. I didn't like his vote at all either but I thought the rest of his posting's been pretty town (giving reads and looked like he was figuring out the game). I can take another look I guess? but I can't see how he's a better lynch than OO/Sn0 (or even a lurker). | ||
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I'll let him defend himself against your points though. | ||
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On November 29 2015 08:31 ObviousOne wrote: point 1: his idea of how i went about interrogating sl regarding his rolehunting "joke" was apparently so bad it must have come from mafia, not from a genuinely confused and interrogative townie. never considered this, suits a specific agenda point 2: sucking up to GB/marv, one who we know is town and the other who i'm relatively confident is town point 3: vote on vivax justified by a playstyle choice alone, that vivax wanted to focus on one agenda instead of multiple, which i guess is his thing now. point 4: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewpost.php?post_id=25151168 "I thought [they were mafia]" implying he doesn't think that at the time of this post or he's unaware he's leaking his knows our alignments point 5: his vivax vote post feels like how i would "choose" between two town wagons as maf, or in the case that my read on TT is completely off then obviously the town wagon instead of the mafia wagon. there's some feelers for you Each of these points sounds okay at first, but I'll go through each of them and explain why they're complete BS. Point 1: I am mafia because I think his rolehunting comment was scummy. OO never explains how this makes me mafia, because he can't. OO just says that I "never considered" that he's town for making that comment. You could make this argument about every possible point in the game (I could say that OO "never considered" that I could be town for calling him out on the rolehunting comment). AT WORST, this point makes me bad (even though I actually have explained my point). Point 2: I am mafia because I "sucked up" to GB and marv. I don't even know what this means. Is OO saying that I'm mafia because I townread GB and marv? That makes no sense. Is he saying I'm mafia because I joked around with them early on..? Makes even less sense. Point 3: I am mafia because I voted Vivax for a playstyle choice alone. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/498066-haunted-mansion-mini-mafia?page=31#603 Here's my Vivax read. It was based on a) Vivax's mindset not making sense and b) Vivax being uninterested in figuring out the game. Neither of those are a playstyle choice, they are both alignment-indicative and legitimate reasons to vote (although they turned out wrong). OO is trying to paint my vote for Vivax as being for BS reasons, when it was percectly justified. IN ADDITION, marv (and I think TT) was pushing Vivax for the exact same reasons. How can OO think that I'm mafia for my reasons when confirmed town had the same reasons? Point 4: I am mafia because I said "I thought they were mafia". This is probably the worst point of them all. Everyone should go read that linked post. In there, I was explaining my D1 read progression. When I'm describing my early D1 reads, I say "I thought TT and OO were mafia" because I'm describing something that happened in the past. OO tries to nitpick this here and somehow call me mafia for using the past tense? I absolutely cannot understand how a townie could legitimately make this read. Point 5: I am mafia because my Vivax vote post feels off. http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/498066-haunted-mansion-mini-mafia?page=33#650 This is my vote post. Note that in the thread, I had already made it clear that I did NOT want to lynch TT and that I wanted to lynch Vivax, so there's no "choosing" going on here. I had already clearly made my choice, how can this feel like how a mafia would "choose" between two town wagons? The post is literally putting my vote down on my scumread before leaving. OO is misrepresenting. All of these points on me sound reasonable at first, but when you look at them closer they're either filled with misrepresentation or just don't make any sense. Mafia make reasonable-sounding cases that are actually scummy BS. OO is mafia. | ||
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I really, really think that OO needs to be the lynch today. | ||
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On November 29 2015 12:34 ANickelDrink wrote: Chrome just kinda blew OO's post out of the water. Am I wrong? No, you're totally right. | ||
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On November 29 2015 15:01 GlowingBear wrote: I AM DRUUUUUUUUUUNK SCUM TEAM IS OO SNO AND SCOTT BYE BYE DRUNK AENSES NOT SO SURE ON OO THO Actually totally on board with that team. | ||
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On November 29 2015 23:29 Tictock wrote: Wow, I was expectingto haveome catching up to do, but nobody is around on the weekend? Point 4 in OO's post on Chrom was super weak, the rest of it felt decent. I actually approve of the point about not considering town modivations, but thats an easy thing for town to overlook too when they get on a train of thought (aka tunneling). I wouldn't call Chroms response blowing it out of the water, but it was a solid response post. Idk, I kinda think both OO and Chrome are town, OO is the guy I'm less sure about though. What about it felt decent? I can try to break down what I'm saying more if it helps. I agree point one is the least weak of them all, but 2-5 are super weak at best and straight up misrepresentations at worst. | ||
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If people really won't go for OO I can lynch an afk. Everyone really should read the post I made about OO though, I think it's strong. | ||
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On November 30 2015 03:50 Tictock wrote: Its more like I can see a town mindset behind that post by OO, though I should look at it again a little closer when I get home. You've already addressed his points quite well. Ah okay, I see. I mean, it's possible I'm just super tunneled and confirmation biasing everything, but I really don't think I am here. | ||
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On November 30 2015 06:08 GlowingBear wrote: Chrom are you ok with lynching SNO? ehh it's fine, I'm more sure on OO but I think Sno is mafia too so I'm not opposed to it I'd just prefer OO | ||
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yeah can you explain this more | ||
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I think OO and Sno are the scummiest, and also pretty inactive so they are the best lynch I think the active players have been townie overall plus if one of the actives is mafia, then they'll be easier to read on a later day because more content so it's better to lynch more inactive people when there's so many of them | ||
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On November 30 2015 06:38 GlowingBear wrote: Well Sn0 is clearly lurking, generally because he doesn't have the time to play I suppose. But when day2 started he just came to the thread and said OMG WTF SPIRITS IN VOTE COUNTS. I went to see if he casted a vote, but he didn't (unless the vote count is wrong) So why the hell did he enter the coting thread in the first place? Then I remembered Mafia knows what the hidden mechanic is, and that made me think it was a slip? hmm that's actually a good point, who just goes to the vote thread at the beginning of the day? | ||
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I want to say Onegu is mafia too for that nonsense yesterday but I'm not sure how he fits in there with them. | ||
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OO(2): Chrom, GB Sno(2): OO, TT Onegu votes Koshi (so wasn't concerned with taking a side at that point) scott votes Sno Koshi votes OO Vengeful spirits vote Sno OO(3): Chrom, GB, Koshi Sno(4): OO, TT, scott, Vengeful spirits TT moves to GB off of Sno Sno votes OO OO(4): Chrom, GB, Koshi, Sno Sno(3): OO, scott, Vengeful spirits FF votes Sno (4-4) GB unvotes OO (3-4) TT votes Sno (3-5) GB votes Sno (3-6) SL votes Sno (3-7) OO(3): Chrom, Koshi, Sno Sno(7): OO, scott, Vengeful spirits, FF, TT, GB, SL As soon as OO pulls into the lead in votes near the end of day, a ton of votes pile onto Sno despite OO not being there at all. If OO flips mafia (highly likely), I feel like there's probably the "sneakster mafia" hiding in those votes (FF, GB, TT, kind of SL but that was really late) although I really don't know who I think is most likely right now. I think scott would make sense with OO due to the early afk vote on his likely counterwagon. Onegu I feel like doesn't makes too much sense with OO because he wasted his vote on a day where mafia would have cared about the wagons, but it could be possible that he would have come back to change it if needed? Anyway that's a lot of preflip association, but I think it makes sense to look for a reasonable team in MYLO. So OO mafia -> probably scott and one of the actives on the Sno wagon. | ||
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I'd probably put TT in there too. I was pretty sure he was town but I thought FF and GB were town too so I should probably reevaluate all of them I guess? Ugh... maybe it's as simple as OO + scott + Onegu but I feel like that wishing for too much. | ||
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On November 30 2015 13:31 sicklucker wrote: onegu not voting probably makes him town sadly. Id say hes >50% town here Not impossible for him to come back EoD if needed though I think | ||
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idk I think OO has to be the lynch tomorrow, everything else is based around him | ||
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On November 30 2015 13:39 sicklucker wrote: OO gb were both really defensive when I went after ff early if i recall. who else was? me probably, lol | ||
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On November 30 2015 13:48 sicklucker wrote: well my point with that is. im not saying there mafia with ff because they defended him. im saying they might be mafia for defending him dispute my logic being decent for 1 hour into the game stuff. They could do it to pocket or to defend w/e Ehhhhh I don't think I agree with that point, I argued against your logic because I disagreed with it so I can understand where that would be coming from. | ||
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Then I ask you questions about/disagree with your FF read Sno says he could lynch you for being illogical TT says it's all NAI Koshi agrees with you OO disagrees and thinks it's townie but doesn't think it's strong So not that many people strongly disagreed with it? It actually wasn't as strong as I remember, I thought there was more of a consensus on it being bad but the reactions were pretty spread out. | ||
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I feel like that makes FF more town though, mafia TMI defending him because they know he's town. | ||
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On December 01 2015 09:18 Tictock wrote: Honestly I keep coming to this conclusion myself. His filter is short, but it's decent. Also that last EoD screams Town v Town to me. What do you think about a possible team of GB, Koshi, FF? I'm really trying my best to look at this from a level perspective and keep myself out of being tunneled. But I really don't understand. I don't get that impression from anything he's done at all. He flipped his read on me and called me mafia for the scummiest BS reasons possible, and when I call him out on this he doesn't even say anything. Frustratingly, no one seems particularly bothered by this? Seriously, people should go read my response to his post again and think about the reasons he calls me mafia for (flipping his read on me). I can't see it being from the perspective of a town trying to figure out the game, it's so so much more likely from a mafia trying to come up with an "original" read and failing. He does nothing all of D2 (literally, other than his post on me he does nothing at all) and isn't even close to getting lynched? And now when people are saying to lynch him, he comes back and makes one post on FF that isn't even a read, and people think he's town? I really don't get it. 90% of his filter is just defending himself or saying "I'm town". Like... I really don't get how you can come to this conclusion. Someone explain it to me. I know I'm tunneling, but I'm pretty sure I'm right. | ||
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On December 01 2015 09:20 Tictock wrote: I mean obliviously I can never be sure if Onegu or Scott are town here. But I do kinda think Onegu is town, and a mafia!scott would probably try and explain his ninja vote a little... maybe How do you get to Onegu town? I think Onegu is scummier on his play alone because I would say he made some amount of effort to appear contributing, and I kind of agree with the bolded that mafia scott would probably attempt to contribute or at least look decent as opposed to voting and peacing out? scott is more likely with OO than Onegu by a good amount though. | ||
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On December 01 2015 12:47 Koshi wrote: I wonder if I can break the game based on the fact sl got shot and not chrom. Because chrom was also in the clear atm... Like... if we believe oo to be town, chrom is kinda auto mafia for me. Hmm maybe chrom is always auto mafia. But why was sl shot... Got to look it all over. Wi do it. Got time maybe. No filters thiugh at work. Quite annoying. "chrom is so town he should have been shot" "chrom is always mafia" ? | ||
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TT is probably town for actually trying to figure out this game at this point, I think his emotion is genuine + I'm sheeping SL's read a bit. GB could theoretically be mafia I guess? I still like a lot of his stuff from D1 but his D2 wasn't as good. I think he's a possibility on PoE but nowhere near the lynch today. FF could be mafia too... mostly just on PoE too though. I still get the feeling that he's trying to figure out the game but there's not as much there as the others. The SL kill could be incriminating but that's a lot of WIFOM. + SL seems confident in it. So I don't really feel strongly about anyone here being mafia? I definitely wouldn't lynch any of them today over OO/Onegu/scott, but there's probably one in there (more likely FF or GB). Probably will become clearer with association. | ||
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On November 30 2015 13:29 sicklucker wrote: Like koshi and chrone I want to live in a world where the mafia team is 00 + two of ff/gb/scott onegu? Not becuase I necessarily believe its that world but because its are only chance of winning My guess would be that this team is totally right, but I don't think the shot makes it more likely to be right if that makes sense. | ||
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On December 01 2015 13:36 Koshi wrote: I agree that FF should be first candidate after those 3. Like... It would make A LOT of sense he is mafia with 2 out of those 3. Yeah, I think 2 out of OO/Onegu/scott pretty much have to be mafia (don't feel like it's three), plus one out of FF/GB makes a lot of sense as the team. Maybe OO + scott + FF makes sense? Probably getting too far ahead at this point. | ||
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On December 01 2015 13:37 Koshi wrote: I hope you are not just rehearsing what I said but I am sure you are not. mafia would jsut agree with me. WELCOME TO THE PYRAMID OF LOVE. Chrom is first member. Thanks Koshi, it's a true honor to be here | ||
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On December 01 2015 14:49 sicklucker wrote: random thought the one game I played with oo I single handily destroyed mafia and saved his ass from a mislynch. Making him more likely to nk me. But also he derped so hard i think hes town now... because he made a joke about the mafia team holding their shot and then claimed he didn't see that you were saved? I don't see how that's legit | ||
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tells me to kill myself votes me for no reason and peaces out people say he's probably town and put me in their mafia teams top play guys | ||
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no one responded to anything else I said about OO either but he's not getting lynched today anyway so I guess it doesn't matter | ||
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plus all of the top town + marv are on FF | ||
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##Vote: ANickelDrink I agree with TT that he's had no passion about the game after saying that he gives a shit about the game and that he's being incriminated today | ||
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On December 02 2015 08:23 GlowingBear wrote: Also, it should be pretty telling that Mafia isn't jumping right on a fair wagon on scott, and that OO can easily lynch lurker Onegu but never ever talks about lurker scott. It's ridiculous how FF's wagon has piled up Ridiculous as in mafia-motivated? | ||
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scott and Onegu get lynched this game 100% for doing nothing all game. It might be correct to lynch one of them today but look at FF's filter from today... yeah. If 2/3 of those are town then I'm fine losing this game. Then looking at OO vs GB in LYLO if it gets there. It might just be FF Onegu scott honestly. | ||
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On December 03 2015 02:32 Onegu wrote: So I am really sick. I feel like shit. Game says no replacements and it is day 3 anyway. It also says no modkills... I will throw my vote on koshi again. Maybe will fill better later. ##Vote Koshi hngggggggggggggggsdf | ||
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On December 03 2015 07:06 sicklucker wrote: I would say town now is the favorite to win but the order of lynches here will be very important What do you mean? Or is it something that shouldn't be said during night | ||
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On November 25 2015 15:16 Onegu wrote: No I am just claiming VT. Have something to talk about post game. Wont bring it up now. I am on side FF looks worse for outing his smurf so early... On November 25 2015 14:55 scott31337 wrote: Allright, so I'm thinking the FF smurf thing is NAI - I'm glad it got the conversation started though. ... On November 25 2015 09:08 ObviousOne wrote: the outing scenario, taken alone: i take fefe's self-outing to mean that he's town and he wants to win the game, and that he believes his normal town behaviour when not associated with his name will lead to being lynched, therefore he can be himself from the beginning. would be hella easy if he rolled mafia to just go along with staying closeted about his identity and doing literally anything else. that said, i don't think it's really worth using the situation to judge whether or not he's town in a vacuum so just see where he goes from here On November 25 2015 11:30 GlowingBear wrote: Cool, some weak early reads: Koshi looks townie for his tone. Especially when he makes the post of the town pyramid and the following one. Chrom looks townie for thinking critically about the game. SL looks scummy for this hard push on FF on a matter that isn't really alignment indicative. Tictock looks scummy for commenting that SL may have a point but concluding that FF's thing isn't alignment indicative. If SL does have a point then it is alignment indicative. If it isn't alignment indicative, SL doesn't have a point. Therefore you just look you're posting to look contributive while actually being fluffy and pushing the matter nowhere Out of these, I would say that scott and Onegu's are the worst (huge information, I know). scott gives as little of an opinion on it as humanly possible, just says that it's NAI and passes. Very easy for mafia to do, want to avoid giving opinions on their partners. Onegu says that FF looks worse for outing his smurf, but then never mentions FF again after it. He leaves his vote on Koshi all of D1 for no reason over someone he thinks is scummy (this part could just be him not playing at all). I think this reaction makes a lot of sense from mafia who know that the points on FF are correct but don't want to actually push them by bringing it up later. OO at least takes a stance on the issue. SL brought up earlier that mafia would probably have followed my argument against him and OO is the prime culprit of that, but it's a better reaction than scott/Onegu's at least. And since everyone else is convinced about him, I'm fine not dealing with him until after we have mafia #2. GB goes as far as to call SL mafia for his push, which would be a kind of bold move for mafia but it's certainly not out of the realm of possibility. So scott and Onegu look scummier, OO and GB mostly null. Not super helpful conclusions but it does make me feel good about lynching scott and Onegu. | ||
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On November 25 2015 09:04 Tictock wrote: Hmm? You might have a point here, especially revealing so early before he could even see the affects of smurfing. FF tends to play fairly lazily the first few days and picks it up later. Maybe he rolled mafia and was worried people would push him early on? Course all of this is assuming it's actually FF and not someone trying to mind game us early... that's pretty tinfoily though and would be a pretty silly play. Gunna put this down as slightly suspect but possibly NAI for now. Also, I thought it was pretty hilarious how this post looks even worse now that you know it's talking about flipped mafia ![]() | ||
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Quoting that post reminded me of how I thought GB's push on TT over the one post was weird. I discounted it at the time because I liked him as town but I should go see how it looks now. #nightposting #comeatme | ||
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I agree on TT, everyone wasting their vote with him so close to being lynched makes him highly likely town there. On December 04 2015 04:17 sicklucker wrote: Gb makes oo the second wagon early day two. This suggests they are probably not team mates But gb scott and ff all do end up voting for oo in the end. This acualy suggests OO is mafia probably with scott and ff. After reading this vote logic I think we have to move onegu out of are poe list and lynch Scott Gb OO and thats probably never changing. All three voted together to save OO over sno man on day 2. While onegu did not even vote. This probably means onegu is town and the two mafia are in the other two. On December 04 2015 04:24 sicklucker wrote: Conclusion - Since onegu did not vote in any meaningful manner this game I find it very hard to believe hes mafia. Mafia would at least ask his team mates who to vote if he was not playing the game and process to afk vote in a way that gives mafia a chance to win. Onegu did not do this but scott however did. Onegu is never flipping mafia here and since we only have 2-3 guaranteed lynches we should focus on the other 3 players who have a track record of voting together. Oo might have jsut tricked me with dumbtells ff literally hammered to save him altho how he and scott ended up voting OO should be reread because they both voted Snow_man over OO when it mattered. I like the first point you make here about scott/FF voting to save OO, that makes a lot of sense. I disagree on Onegu though. IF OO is mafia, then I agree that Onegu is unlikely to be with him because his teammates would have told him to make a relevant vote D2. But, if OO is town then that means that every single wagon this game has been irrelevant (D1+D2 would be two town and D3 was a runaway wagon), meaning that Onegu has no reason to care about any lynch as mafia. I think this means that Onegu and OO aren't mafia together, but not that Onegu has to be town here. I should reread the D2 votes for myself to see if it actually makes perfect sense but I really do like the theory of FF+scott trying to swing the votes off of OO. GB is the wildcard for me. | ||
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On December 03 2015 23:45 Tictock wrote: This is a fucking weird list man Retracting my tentative townread on you.. You afk voted Chrom yesterday and now he's top 3 town? You have no read on me or Koshi at all, so we end up 3rd and 4th scummiest? Yeah... scott had two votes yesterday but OO votes me instead? Gives a noncommittal opinion on FF too. Have to resist tunnel though... | ||
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This is always the right lynch here, extreme lurker and fits in like 90% of teams. | ||
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On December 04 2015 08:10 Koshi wrote: and mylo is worth shit due to not voting for no lynch. SL, Koshi confirmed TT, Chrom top tier town or top tier mafia OO, GB town or mafia Scott, Onegu trash town or trash mafia Scott voting for Snow to put him in the lead vs OO does not make OO more mafia, it just means that if it was town vs town mafia scott was more afraid that Snow could prove himself town and that OO was more lynchbait in the future. Ofc it also could be OO is mafia and scott tried to save him. Dnu. OO is pretty null from all these votes. That's a good point, but that fact that both FF and scott (or GB for that matter) picked Sno over OO does make it slightly more likely that OO is mafia, even though it's clearly possible in a world where OO is town. In an oversimplified mathy way: If scott mafia and OO town: 50% vote OO 50% vote Sno If scott mafia and OO mafia: 100% vote OO 0% vote Sno 2 out of the 3 worlds where scott votes OO, OO is mafia -> 66% Obviously it's not nearly that simple but the basic point is that the fact that 2 mafia (assuming scott) voted against him does make it more likely that he's mafia. | ||
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It is pretty dirty math, no argument. The math was just to illustrate the point that all mafia voting against someone is still a point against them, even though it's possible that it was only coincidental. | ||
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On December 05 2015 03:46 sicklucker wrote: Like thisi s probably the mafia qt right now featuring scott and gb. you know were really screwed but on the plus side onegu is the most scummy and dumb person of all time we cant give up yet LOL I could actually see that | ||
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On December 05 2015 07:44 Tictock wrote: I think I'm leaving my vote on OO. I know there is very little chance Scott is actually town here, but my gut isn't terribly on board this lynch for some reason. I really this this list was terrible and makes no sense, and OO has simply ignored my questions about it since everyone is focused on the scott lynch atm. For refference: I'd also like to know why OO feels so strongly about GB being town. I know FF pushed OO on D1, but when the vote was important he voted to save OO. Besides this setup makes it pretty nice for mafia to bus, so I'm not sure that's as solid as SL made it out to be earlier. Been rethinking the dumbtell thing too, and it's really not that hard of a move for mafia to make. Idk maybe I'm just being silly, Scott is still a solid lynch here. This is just too easy today, and mafia should be scrambling to try and recover this game after last lynch and 2 night saves but.... nothin. I agree with quite a lot of this post. There's like a strange contradiction in attitude between how he posted bits of analysis and was seemingly somewhat interested in figuring out the game yesterday, but then votes a top townread all day. The second part is plausible from someone not playing but it's very very odd from someone who's appearing to care about the game. The mindset isn't consistent. Scott has to be lynched though, and I think Onegu does too. | ||
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Modkill thing is more tempting though, if he does a ninja vote we can always just kill him tomorrow and clearing up both scott/onegu at once would be nice. I'd be down if other people are. | ||
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if no shenannies: 6 - 1 if scott mafia (2 more lynches) or 5 - 2 if scott town (MYLO) 5 - 1 if one town between them (two more lynches with Onegu already dead), 4 - 2 if two town (LYLO) I think the chances of 2 town are basically nonexistant, so we basically just get a free extra kill on Onegu by doing this right? | ||
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I don't see any reason not to do it, if scott doesn't ninja vote we just win and if he does we just lynch scott the next day (same as killing Onegu tomorrow) it's not looking like there's enough people here right now though | ||
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On December 06 2015 06:46 sicklucker wrote: either way its bad to vote scott here. either he will get mod killed if hes town or he will claim mafia and last second vote which is fine because then were 100% sure on him tormorow ^ townies reading thread should switch to Onegu ##Unvote ##Vote: Onegu | ||
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##Unvote ##Vote: ObviousOne | ||
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#suboptimalplays | ||
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should have thought of it earlier though | ||
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On December 06 2015 06:59 sicklucker wrote: so who do you think mafia going to attempt to kill and get stooped tonight? LOL we'll find out won't we | ||
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Really? | ||
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People were talking about the shenanigans at the end of the last day, which I thought I pretty clearly explained. With shenannies onto OO, we get to lynch scott+OO+2 other people. Without shenannies, we only can lynch scott+2 others. Doing shenannies gives us an extra mislynch to work with. It is a 100% pro-town move. You can argue that I would do it as mafia, but it was a completely pro-town move from any perspective. No argument. It does nothing other than give town an extra lynch to work with. (I would say that as mafia, trying to push the shenannies like I was doing would be absolutely stupid because if ANYONE else happened to show up and follow through with the shenannies, I've forced myself to push THREE mislynches instead of TWO, when I could have just kept my mouth shut and done nothing. And mafia don't actually try to give town an extra lynch for "town cred" that doesn't actually exist. But anyway.) On December 06 2015 11:41 Koshi wrote: It's fucking Chrom. OMG. I reread his filter and everything he said about fefe.... It just clicks together. Fucking piece of shit Onegu not playing pisses me off so much. Still want to lynch him just because I don't want to lose vs Onegu at all. And he already pulled the solo mafia victory once. So I am ok with lynching chrom and Onegu. DON'T BE FUCKING TARDS AND LYNCH OO, GB unless you got some insane good reasons. Look at the filters. Look at the fucking filters. What would you like me to explain about what I said about FF? I thought he was town early in the game, but other people were way townier than him and he stopped playing the game which was super inconsistent with his projected attitude. This was one of the things we agreed on earlier? What about OO and FF's interactions do you not think could be mafia-mafia? I haven't looked at it yet but I'll make sure to check that and GB. On December 06 2015 22:23 Koshi wrote: And he can actually remember his scumreads, and asks others on how to proceed and try to lynch mafia, not like here in which he forgets his scumreads, and then votes with his scumreads on a person he never thought was scummy. I really don't know what this is talking about. What do you mean? I really do think that if you look at my overall play this game, I've been very town (which people were agreeing on until somehow everyone simultaneously went crazy). I've been putting my thoughts out there, I've been discussing ideas with people while everyone has just afk'd, I've been clearly trying to figure out this game. I really don't know what pushed people to randomly flip on me, but I think people need to take a step back and look at my overall play this game. | ||
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I've talked about OO quite a lot this game so you can find a lot of reasons for this in my filter. I think the point I made last night about how his attitude is inconsistent with his actions is pretty strong (he posts occasional things that make it look like he's thinking about the game, but then he afk votes his top townread chrom all day?). Add to that that he has a still unexplained read flip on me from mafia to top town for absolutely no reason, and now back to mafia. Here's his progression on me from top town to "can we please lynch chrom and end the game?" On December 06 2015 07:33 ObviousOne wrote: i'm sorry that you're going to have to wait 72 hours to be disappointed by my lynch let's pretend i'm dead and talk about who's going to die when i flip town i still feel like chrom tunneled me like a dog with a bone for something pretty silly to start with. i haven't even bothered to defend what i wrote because it felt right in the moment trying to figure out wtf you were doing at the start of the game. that silly action on my part resulted in a longer and longer tunnel on me where he was just looking for things that would make me mafia and not reflect any potential town way of thinking. tt on the other hand has waffled so many times regarding whether or not he wanted to lynch me and his silly action at the start of the game led to tunnels on him that he dispelled somewhat gb i have the least to say about because nothing that i can recall off the top of my head gives me anything to doubt he's town. i could look at votes if i get the motivation and do another once-over of the filter. somewhere within the game i'm sure there's been someone advocating more for lynching onegu than for scott, if someone remembers or finds that post it might be a good nugget. This is something that happened on day 1. How can he flip his read on me for that when he already said that I'm almost top town after that already happened? I think this makes a lot of sense from mafia who realize that I'm suddenly a possible mislynch and try to hop on for a bad reason. Plus, two flipped mafia voted on Sno over OO, I've talked about how that is a point against him already. Onegu could completely be mafia at this point, he hasn't done anything other than say that I'm mafia for giving him the "heebie jeebies". He's wasted his vote every day, which would make sense in a world where every set of competing wagons was town-town. The theory that FF gave up because he was frustrated with Onegu and scott not playing is pretty plausible too. You can call it policy if you want but I sincerely don't think there's any way to reasonably conclude that Onegu is town and I'm not willing to gamble the game on it. | ||
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If anyone has questions for me, please leave them and I'll answer them. We have a really good shot at winning the game here, please please don't throw it away on some tinfoil paranoia. | ||
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On December 07 2015 15:12 Koshi wrote: I honestly don't see who would shoot TT except OO/GB. Chrom/Onegu: Could you tell me how you perceived TT this game? If you read his posts, what did you think? In general. I liked the stuff that he posted after he was called out D1, and he basically kept up a steady stream of good posts throughout the game so I didn't really have a reason to think he was mafia. Pretty clearly trying to figure out the game for multiple days in a row, and then the D1 vote analysis that both mafia voted off-wagon pretty much sealed the deal. On December 07 2015 14:57 Koshi wrote: Chromatically Can you read fefe his filter and tell me why OO is mafia? GB, and OO look pretty good from that. Yeah so I went through the filter, here's what FF did with each of them (or what I think the significant parts are): On OO: - Says he prefers OO to TT early D1. - Calls out OO's long list post from D1 in #483, but then backs off right after OO's response for no real reason in #497. I was the only one on OO at that time and TT already had 4 votes, so I think it would be a pretty safe thing to do as mafia. On November 26 2015 20:13 ANickelDrink wrote: Not that you brought up any new points but that felt like a genuine "fuck off man I'm going to bed" without getting overly defensive. ##unvote - Does some more light suspicion in #1015, saying that the same list post is "not really boss material". - Tells him to "flesh out that chrome read" (??? while supposedly thinking he's mafia? awkward interaction overall). - I actually think this is huge, and I can't believe I never saw it before. When I go after OO for his post about me, here's what he says: On November 29 2015 12:34 ANickelDrink wrote: Chrome just kinda blew OO's post out of the water. Am I wrong? When he comes back closer to lynchtime, the votes are 4-4 between OO and Sno: On November 30 2015 05:59 ANickelDrink wrote: not much reading to do ##vote sn0_man good call especially since the spirit seems to agree To give some extra context, this is pretty soon after he brought up the list post again. In comparison, basically the only read he gave on Sno all game is "After catching up I noticed he made posts but didn't seem to care at all who was getting lynched" and a post that gave him bad feelings on D1 (which was basically the same point). I think it is extremely, extremely weird that, after supposedly having multiple points against OO and very little against Sno, he pops in to hammer OO without even mentioning OO in the post at all??? Like if OO is town, I think it's more in line with FF's posts up to that point and supposed reads to hop on the OO wagon instead, because that's what he's been bringing up. scott was on the Sno wagon too. How likely is it really that that all just happens to be a coincidence? Overall, I think this actually makes OO more likely to be mafia with FF. The stuff that FF says about OO, how he makes sure to call him out occasionally without actually doing anything about it, is exactly the sort of read that mafia give on their partners. They know that they're suspicious so they call them out, but don't want to actually push it. It's possible that I'm reading too much into it and it makes sense for FF to vote Sno, but I think that it's way too much of a coincidence for FF to talk about why OO is scummy and then hammer Sno over him without even mentioning OO (especially since scott was on Sno too!). On GB: - Talks about wanting to give a strong TR to GB around #1001, but doesn't. - Says that he'll check GB out more and that he "has a couple suspicions" in #1008, but never delivers on the read. - Agrees with TT that GB "gives him a bad feeling" #1114, but doesn't push it. On November 29 2015 12:26 ANickelDrink wrote: For one, I'm getting a good townvibe off tictock now. He was most of your D1. I know, people are wrong especially you but that's one point. Your reasoning behind voting tictock over vivax were shaky, saying you wanted to see if you were right and such. Tictock points this out. You telling people to vote tictock so they can use him for associative reads sounds scummy to me as well. You literally say to koshi (copy/pasting rather than digging through the tictock post) Maybe I read this wrong? How does koshi being sure that chrome is mafia at this point an indication that he should vote tictock instead? I honestly don't want to re-hash tictock's whole post GB. I'm not saying you're my top scumread over sn0 or a lurker but the things tictock brings up have merit. - Tries to push GB for not shenannying onto scott. I agree that this would be pretty weird if they were mafia (not impossible, but still really weird). Overall, I think this looks better for GB than OO. When I list it out like this, it could sound pretty bad because there's a bit of noncommittal reads on GB there, but I think if you look at the specific interactions then it looks very different than FF and OO's. I think the post I quoted here is a good example of that. Compare that read on GB to his read on OO. In that read on GB, I think it sounds more like he's trying to justify his read and keep GB off of him ("I'm not saying you're my top scumread"), and there's some interaction there. With OO, it's a super awkward "oh I'll back off of you I guess". The townread stuff too (GB has an allcaps post where he says something like "PLEASE PLEASE WEAR THE BEAR MASK" or something). It's not conclusive because the substance isn't there and FF doesn't ever push GB, but I feel like these posts are not mafia-mafia posts. There's an okay amount of interaction there especially compared to OO's, and it doesn't "click" as well as OO and FF. Don't think FF ever mentions Onegu. Could be that FF gave up because he was sick of Onegu and scott like I said. I don't think that there would be much weird about Onegu shooting TT, it's not like it took a lot of effort to see that he wasn't getting lynched and medic dodge. Based on just interactions, I think it's OO > Onegu > GB in terms of more mafia. | ||
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Could be mafia because: - Hasn't done anything the last few days (neither have the other two really though). - SL and TT both shot after talking about him, possible WIFOM though. - Really bad argument that the TT kill makes him town when it's literally the most beneficial shot for him (Koshi explained well)? Could just be dumb but it really doesn't make any sense. This could be a contradiction too (believing that it the shot was to frame him i.e. it makes him look worse but also saying it makes him look better): On December 07 2015 07:23 GlowingBear wrote: Yeah, looks like it was to frame me. I'm saging yhst it is weird that we have two shots. Maybe it wasn't a save, but just a statement that you were protected On December 08 2015 00:46 GlowingBear wrote: It's much, much easier for me to keep Tictock alive and use his tunnel against me, and kill a confirmed townie, than killing fucking TT. - Does a really weird thing with scott, where he calls scott town for coming in and making an excuse for activity, but flips on it to scott is mafia after being called out because scott "didn't post in the replacement thread". Could be mafia trying to backtrack after calling scott town. #1075 check it out - Not much "real" interaction with FF, as in no pushes on each other (pushed scott on the FF day but I don't feel like that means much since scott was going down). Could be town because: - Really cared about the D1 lynch, which we know now was 2 town. Going back and rereading his D1 filter reminded me of this. It's not impossible that he's mafia and just faked it really well, but the fact that he clearly had an opinion that he was pushing a lot (like really trying to get people to vote TT) when he had no reason to as mafia is a pretty big point in his favor. - Just generally seems to be thinking about the game and trying to solve it (true that this has died off a lot recently, but there still was a lot D1/N1/D2). - Some "soft" interactions with FF that don't feel particularly mafia-mafia to me. It looks like there's not a lot of reasons for being town, but I think several of the scum reasons I have here are these specific points whereas the town reasons are general statements about his play early on this game. Just because his play has fallen off doesn't mean that the earlier stuff he posted doesn't exist and I tend to find after games that my D1 reads on people end up being more accurate. Nothing here makes it impossible that he's mafia (went after TT most of the time he was active, could have faked that tunnel), but it's much less concrete than the others I think. The scott thing is probably the weirdest thing in his filter, alongside falling off in contribution recently (but OO and Onegu never started anywhere near the level of contribution). His D1 effort and care about the lynch feel town to me, and I could just be making a misjudgement like last game but I hope that I'm not. Ideally, we get another save so that it can be a sure thing, but I don't think that GB should be a lynch over OO and Onegu this game unless something changes or someone brings something I overlooked here. | ||
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I would lynch OO today. I think his interactions with FF are not good, FF hammered Sno over him when I don't think it was justified, OO pushed Onegu a lot but didn't push scott. Other stuff I've said earlier as well. Onegu next, and then GB last if we get the chance. GB, to address what you said about me in that latest post: You say that the points I bring are "very good", but then that they could come with perfect information. Most of the stuff I've said this game has been on OO, so wouldn't I know that my points are really bad then with perfect information where OO is town? I don't know how you get from his play is so good to he's probably mafia for it. For my read on OO, I pushed it quite a bit earlier in the game, and people didn't find the points I made as convincing as I did. When it was D3 and all of the probably town + marv were piled on FF instead of OO, I DID reconsider and said that I might just be wrong if no one else gets the same thing I'm saying about OO (I said as much, that I would leave OO for last if no one agress). Add to that that FF had "played" a terrible day that day I was completely on board with that lynch, and scott after was good too because he was a complete enigma with the added bonus of being on most mafia teams (unlike Onegu who was unlikely with OO). I said the whole time that OO or Onegu on a team with them makes sense, and that's where I'm still at now. If you're town like I'm believing, I need you with me on OO. ##Vote: ObviousOne | ||
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On December 08 2015 17:18 Koshi wrote: I agree with you Chrom. Already read GB response before going to work. ##unvote ##vote: Onegu Yeah, this is fine too if people would prefer it. I don't think the order matters too much now | ||
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On December 08 2015 19:41 Koshi wrote: btw chrom. don't you think you would have been shot instead of sicklucker if OO is mafia? bit wifomy but worth thinking about. I don't really remember the situation, but I think that shooting me after I was almost only pushing him would be too incriminating. Or at least enough to make someone else a better shot that night | ||
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On December 08 2015 20:34 sicklucker wrote: ff and scott voted together to push mafia agenda. and onegu kinda didnt even pay attention. he would have at least read qt and joined them mafia agenda where? on sno? if Onegu is mafia there's no mafia agenda there because it's 2 town and three mafia wouldn't want to vote together there | ||
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##Unvote ##Vote: Onegu IF Onegu doesn't vote though then shenannies DO gain us a lynch, so we should definitely get ready to do that | ||
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idk I'll be back before lynch to figure things out more OO has been doing a whole lot of read flipping | ||
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Looking like we'll get to lynch both OO and Onegu though which is sweet, probably can just wrap this up right here. | ||
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eh whatever, doesn't matter | ||
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We'll lynch OO tomorrow if Onegu is town, it's all good | ||
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I guess I can look at it again or something? | ||
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Koshi, do you feel confident it's not OO now? | ||
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I would have like no reservations about voting OO today except for the fact that marv and TT and maybe Koshi don't agree at all. It could just mean I'm tunneled the wrong way but I honestly think that OO is a better lynch than GB here. Like, I see what marv and TT are saying about the associations with FF and scott, and I agree that they're legitimate points. But some of the conversations with GB and FF really do not feel mafia on mafia to me. Stuff like this: On November 28 2015 06:24 GlowingBear wrote: OH PLEASE DO IT FF IT HAS BEEN AGES SINCE YOU DID IT I know it's not conclusive, but as far as the associations go I think OO's is much worse than GB's. This sort of stuff is not how I think mafia talk to each other. And just overall on GB's play, I think there are way more reasons to think that he's town than there are for OO. I think his D1 lynch stuff was really town. It would be really nice if we could talk to marv about it because I don't know why he doesn't agree on OO. | ||
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We agreed on this yesterday though so I assume you still think so? | ||
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On December 10 2015 07:20 ObviousOne wrote: if you need to see how i play as mafia you can check my past games on my profile page, the lines with red text specifically nothing i've done this game was particularly insightful or clever, at least in my own opinion. no coherent plan or agenda and certainly lots of sheeping and waffling to boot. if you want to see the prototype for how i would ideally play scum that's Smurf Mini, where i basically calculated my way to scum victory together with BH by planning who i would finger as suspects and in the end kept only the least readable townie (as a smurf) alive as bait for the other townie to vote with me and clinch the victory. planning, patience, measured and calculated reads. ofc that was the perfect scenario where nobody in-game knew who i was other than my partner until it was over. compare to this game. where did i hold back? how many errors did i make and not give a single fuck? i still don't give a fuck whatever chrom's early case on me was. i'm being accused of "dumb tells" but that's legit not even what's happening. i'm just going off memory, feeling, and whatever way the wind blows. koshi's filter is a good representation for how easy it has been to waffle this game, nobody is calling him scum for changing his mind every 20 minutes while it dictates his internal monologue. i simply don't bother to post the monologue at all. i'm not an important part of the machine as far as intelligent reads are concerned, nor do i consider myself capable of them, so what's the point? i battled with some depression early in the game and got shitty with chrom and that's in the past, now all i want to do is not get mislynched since the save missed. we can't lynch me just to make the game solvable so that theory went out the window. This post could be genuine, but I really don't think talking about "I would have done this as mafia" is that hard. | ||
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why do these things not sway you at all marv ugh | ||
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On December 10 2015 17:43 Koshi wrote: If OO is mafia the loss sucks more though. We had him on D2 and GB played more townie early days. I don't know if it is mafia!OO playing better because the win is getting closer, or mafia!GB playing worse because it has been going bad for mafia... It is a bit of a contradiction but it depends on who you see as mafia. Yeah. The part about which loss is worse sucks more is kind of silly I think, but there was a reason we were on OO early on and not on GB. GB played townie early and OO didn't. On December 10 2015 22:57 Koshi wrote: If OO is mafia he wins ![]() ##Vote: ObviousOne for justice. I hope I get to berate everyone postgame for not agreeing with me on OO the whole game then ![]() Or it's just GB and then we win instead! I'm okay with that too. | ||
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On December 10 2015 23:09 ObviousOne wrote: i solemnly swear i am not the last mafia pinkie promise another thought that occurred to me just now why does fefe tell scum!oo to make his case on town!chrom, let town!chrom's response counter it 100%, and then let it go entirely? if we're working together why not point out anything that might have a chance of helping my case? he didn't defend me on it, he seemed happy enough to let me bury myself there. those aren't smart scum on scum tactics to me. Mafia OO makes bad case on me I destroy it completely Mafia FF says that he agrees I completely destroyed it, then hammers Sno over OO and doesn't mention that case ever again hoping that people will forget about it Checks out to me. | ||
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On December 11 2015 01:44 Koshi wrote: Chromie. If OO is mafia here I will grant you 1 voucher which you can use in/during a future game and I will stop calling you mafia all together. If OO is mafia I expect to be worshiped by everyone postgame | ||
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There are so many reasons why I'm town this game, I honestly don't even see how I can be a consideration. | ||
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I guess he was the most likely to shoot me last night (actually would make a lot of sense for him to), but he could have just wanted to go with the safe play of shooting a confirmed instead. | ||
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The TT kill does point more towards GB, that's true. | ||
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I guess everything has kind of already been said though, people just have to make the decision. Are you set on GB Koshi? | ||
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It was definitely an interesting setup. I agree with a lot of what Rels said above about it (I think medic probably should have been either public or consecutive but not both), vanilla games are super interesting in general. Weirdly enough, I think this game played out very similarly to the other vanilla game. I think the best point against me was FFs weird push on me, that probably should have been pushed harder. Again if anyone has any advice for me, I'd love to hear it. I tried to be a bit less... invested this game (I usually stress out about the game a lot when I'm mafia) and it definitely made it more enjoyable for me (and made me more relaxed when posting too I think). | ||
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On December 12 2015 13:02 GlowingBear wrote: Your play was really solid here IMO with just one little problem: you have scun read OO the whole game but was fine with anyone else's lynch + town reading me and keeping it but not fighting my mislynch at LYLO. If I wasn't so focused on OO I would have voted you here. Other than that, I think you've played great in here. Especially your reactions and some posts unrelated to the game. Like the end game credits. They were very well faked. Yeah, I felt really awkward about that. I didn't really have the effort to push OO hard there when it didn't matter to me but I definitely should have, like I would have as town. | ||
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