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Newbie Student Mafia XVII: Fullmetal Edition - Page 42

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
November 17 2015 19:42 GMT
#821
There is clearly a direction in Breshke's filter, and there are also some very insightful comments. The latter is the huge part of Breshke's town play, and it's very present this game.

Looking through Breshke's filter, here's his direction:

Early question to Eversince, ends in town lean
Townread on The Shining
Town lean on geript and ritoky
Scum read on MoosyDoosy
Investigating VisceraEyes
Willing to lynch MoosyDoosy, Fecalfeast, and scott31337, still trying to figure out VisceraEyes
Votes for MoosyDoosy

The interesting thing here is that he's actually engaging with his scumreads and trying to get more information. He questioned VisceraEyes with a very sensible progression. His reads make sense and his pushes all have a followup.
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
November 17 2015 19:42 GMT
#822
On November 18 2015 04:40 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Just let the vig cop fgure moos (who I think is town) and scott out (who I think might be scum).

I think its the right thing to do and just vote breshke out who has done scummy things as well.


as breshke pointed out (just read it in his filter) guaranteed godfather...so if setup is cop could just lead to us getting fucked with this approach....which means i have to read moosy....sigh
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
November 17 2015 19:42 GMT
#823
I'm going to try and carve out a few minutes at the bar. On my phone...

On Breshke, the ranking explanation between 494 and 507 is sort of meh, so you could argue it is posting for the sake of posting....working my way down and then disformation I will double back on what I saw.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
November 17 2015 19:43 GMT
#824
On November 18 2015 04:37 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 18 2015 04:36 ritoky wrote:
i have large problems with scott posting another "not gonna be here for a long time or actually say anything worthwhile" post. his excuse to content ratio is very high.


Yes that is right. What gives me a bit of pause is the cousin with MS thing...
By dick move analysis I think scott would not fake this. So he might have genuinely had no time? At least my gut feeling is telling me so. Brain says his filter is... uh... bad.
It's not a lack of time thing. Town with a lack of time doesn't produce scott31337's filter.

Scott31337's filter shows zero thinking and zero desire to solve the game. Town with lack of time produces a short, incomplete filter that attempts to solve the game with limited time. The two are completely different.
Fecalfeast
Profile Joined January 2010
Canada11355 Posts
November 17 2015 19:43 GMT
#825
Oh fuck boys I'm in bed still what'd i miss?
ModeratorINFLATE YOUR POST COUNT; PLAY TL MAFIA
NocturneMage
Profile Joined July 2015
United Kingdom1965 Posts
November 17 2015 19:45 GMT
#826
...but page 2, the pressing on VE seems towny, he IS following up there.
Vlad for life. SKT supporter. I policy lynch all dota players, end of.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 17 2015 19:45 GMT
#827
On November 18 2015 04:43 Fecalfeast wrote:
Oh fuck boys I'm in bed still what'd i miss?


MoosyDoosy has a tone of votes on him.
Geript wants us to switch to Breshke.
Trfel wants to lynch scott.

Right now I am a bit torn, vote currently on Breshke.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 17 2015 19:46 GMT
#828
Town needs to consolidate and that rather quick.
Prefering both scott and Breshke over Moosy at this point.
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
November 17 2015 19:46 GMT
#829
to me this is the townies thing in breshke's filter even though it is wrong:

On November 17 2015 07:51 Breshke wrote:
ahh Trefel I just know realized that post wasnt referring to his fecal vote because thats meet to say and argued.

VE can you explain this

Show nested quote +
On November 17 2015 07:18 VisceraEyes wrote:
No jokes, I just want like SUPER sure of my vote the way I kept on andargued it. It was a content generation thing.



and this

Show nested quote +
On November 16 2015 21:34 VisceraEyes wrote:
Also I'm back!

##Unvote

I like the posts since my vote, and it wasn't super cereal anyway as many of you have clearly deduced. Most of the people actively posting I like, I think I dislike Fecal the mostest of anyone who's posted.

The super hard townreads on me from geript and ritoky BOTH gave me massive wood. I think geript's might feel a little over-explainy, but I still can't bring myself to find it suspicious. Pocket achieved for both of you.

So yeah, unless we're lynching a hard lurker, which I'm always down with, I think I prefer a Fecalfeast lynch. Aside from one townread on Ritoky, I really don't know what Fecal thinks in spite of his actively engaging with the thread. I'd believe GTA if that game weren't so old hat, I think he's just mafia trying to skate by.


Seems to be saying two different things


On November 17 2015 09:13 Breshke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2015 08:22 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Breshke, take your original read on me and switch it. It has worked 100% of the time in the past. Yes, this is fact.


Have you played with sicklucker? I think you two would be friends.


Show nested quote +
On November 17 2015 07:51 Breshke wrote:
ahh Trefel I just know realized that post wasnt referring to his fecal vote because thats meet to say and argued.

VE can you explain this

On November 17 2015 07:18 VisceraEyes wrote:
No jokes, I just want like SUPER sure of my vote the way I kept on andargued it. It was a content generation thing.



and this

On November 16 2015 21:34 VisceraEyes wrote:
Also I'm back!

##Unvote

I like the posts since my vote, and it wasn't super cereal anyway as many of you have clearly deduced. Most of the people actively posting I like, I think I dislike Fecal the mostest of anyone who's posted.

The super hard townreads on me from geript and ritoky BOTH gave me massive wood. I think geript's might feel a little over-explainy, but I still can't bring myself to find it suspicious. Pocket achieved for both of you.

So yeah, unless we're lynching a hard lurker, which I'm always down with, I think I prefer a Fecalfeast lynch. Aside from one townread on Ritoky, I really don't know what Fecal thinks in spite of his actively engaging with the thread. I'd believe GTA if that game weren't so old hat, I think he's just mafia trying to skate by.


Seems to be saying two different things



On November 17 2015 09:25 Breshke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2015 09:16 Trfel wrote:
Breshke, who are your scumreads right now?

If you'd like to wait for FarahBlackwing to answer first, that's fine.


It's mostly less active people.

Something is wrong about mooseys outburst like he HAS rolled scum here before he makes it sound like he never has. He also entered a game where its more likely to roll town than mafia and is having a tantrum that he got the more likely option. Also in the game he was mafia he overreacted to rayn dying (not being saved by the doctor) which was obviously fake and this feels a lot like that. So i don't think anyone should be giving him a pass for having a cry.

FF still being lazy so would lynch.

Scott aswell. I don't think it is out of the ordinary for scott to not be around for large portions of some phases but when he is around he usually has a big thought dump. He didn't attempt anything like that this game which feels scummy from him. He is lean scum but I wouldn't lynch him over moosey or fecal at this stage.

I also am waiting for VE to be around again.



On November 17 2015 23:27 Breshke wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2015 07:51 Breshke wrote:
ahh Trefel I just know realized that post wasnt referring to his fecal vote because thats meet to say and argued.

VE can you explain this

On November 17 2015 07:18 VisceraEyes wrote:
No jokes, I just want like SUPER sure of my vote the way I kept on andargued it. It was a content generation thing.



and this

On November 16 2015 21:34 VisceraEyes wrote:
Also I'm back!

##Unvote

I like the posts since my vote, and it wasn't super cereal anyway as many of you have clearly deduced. Most of the people actively posting I like, I think I dislike Fecal the mostest of anyone who's posted.

The super hard townreads on me from geript and ritoky BOTH gave me massive wood. I think geript's might feel a little over-explainy, but I still can't bring myself to find it suspicious. Pocket achieved for both of you.

So yeah, unless we're lynching a hard lurker, which I'm always down with, I think I prefer a Fecalfeast lynch. Aside from one townread on Ritoky, I really don't know what Fecal thinks in spite of his actively engaging with the thread. I'd believe GTA if that game weren't so old hat, I think he's just mafia trying to skate by.


Seems to be saying two different things


VE not to nag but can you reply to this PLS

I don't think it has any bearing on the lynch but i would like it resolved.


idk him not letting that go and constantly circling back to it seems somewhat town indicative to me. but i suppose when that's the most town thing in your filter that's not saying much lol.
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
November 17 2015 19:47 GMT
#830
On November 18 2015 04:45 NocturneMage wrote:
...but page 2, the pressing on VE seems towny, he IS following up there.


welcome to my brain
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
November 17 2015 19:48 GMT
#831
i think i fucked up 1 of my quotes, but w/e too lazy to fix it
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
FarahBlackwing
Profile Joined October 2015
270 Posts
November 17 2015 19:48 GMT
#832
##Unvote
##Vote Scott31337


Fine I don't care between the two, the posts towards VE are decent. And the lack of anything scott is doing even when hes on the lynch list is worse then when he normally plays.
ritoky
Profile Joined March 2011
United States6851 Posts
November 17 2015 19:50 GMT
#833
i think geript already left, but i am interested in who he would want to lynch if not breshke, cuz he has kinda null/town read my lynch list outside of that.
“When interest is at variance with conscience, any distinction to make them friends will serve the hollow-hearted.” -Henry Home
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 17 2015 19:50 GMT
#834
On November 18 2015 04:48 FarahBlackwing wrote:
##Unvote
##Vote Scott31337


Fine I don't care between the two, the posts towards VE are decent. And the lack of anything scott is doing even when hes on the lynch list is worse then when he normally plays.


5 moosy
2 breshke
2 scott

we probably need all people on the counterwagon to moosy
FarahBlackwing
Profile Joined October 2015
270 Posts
November 17 2015 19:50 GMT
#835
He just doesn't want to lynch moos which I do not either.
Fecalfeast
Profile Joined January 2010
Canada11355 Posts
November 17 2015 19:50 GMT
#836
##vote scott31337
ModeratorINFLATE YOUR POST COUNT; PLAY TL MAFIA
Tictock
Profile Blog Joined September 2010
United States6052 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-11-17 19:52:04
November 17 2015 19:51 GMT
#837
Day 1 Votecount

MoosyDoosy (3): NocturneMage, disformation, MoosyDoosy, Trfel, disformation, NocturneMage, Breshke, scott31337
scott31337 (3): disformation, Trfel, FarahBlackwing, FarahBlackwing, Fecalfeast
Breshke (2): geript, FarahBlackwing, disformation
The Shining (1): FarahBlackwing, ritoky, disformation
FarahBlackwing (1): Eversince, VisceraEyes, MoosyDoosy
Fecalfeast (1): VisceraEyes
mooseydoosey (0): Fecalfeast, Fecalfeast
Trfel (0): scott31337
VisceraEyes (0): NocturneMage, NocturneMage
disinformation (0): FarahBlackwing

Not Voting (1): The Shining, MoosyDoosy

It looks like MoosyDoosy will be facing the court-martial for treason in leading the vote with 3 votes!

Voting is Mandatory! Do not forget to vote!
Vote tracker may be found here.
I can take that responsibility.
disformation
Profile Joined July 2009
Germany8352 Posts
November 17 2015 19:51 GMT
#838
geript was rather waffly about me earlier, so maybe I would have been next?
Fecalfeast
Profile Joined January 2010
Canada11355 Posts
November 17 2015 19:51 GMT
#839
I'm like 8 pages behind yolo vote
ModeratorINFLATE YOUR POST COUNT; PLAY TL MAFIA
Trfel
Profile Joined August 2011
7015 Posts
November 17 2015 19:52 GMT
#840
Quick Summary of scott31337's Filter

Here's the reads summary of scott31337's first post.
On November 17 2015 00:47 scott31337 wrote:
Trfel and Moosy would be my top lynches right now - Eversince 3rd - I'm just not seeing that town spark with all the posting.

I thought Breshke's first post asking questions was okay but then fell off.

Ritoky/VE/Geript top towns

NM/FBW/The Shining not lynching right now but want to see more

Breshke/FF in the meh category

##Vote: Trfel
Why is the "not lynching right now but want to see more" category even included?

The reasoning is very lacking. "I'm not seeing the spark" for Eversince's posting, but just read any one Eversince post, it's very obviously pointed and shows a unique mindset. This is a really useless phrase and I don't understand how this is true.

On November 17 2015 05:54 scott31337 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 17 2015 05:05 Trfel wrote:
VisceraEyes (again)
Note: Eversince will be addressed in a following post

1. On Eversince and FarahBlackwing
Eversince's initial post, voting for The Shining
On November 16 2015 05:13 Eversince wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:04 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Hello. I think the proper use of our time is

##vote shining

Statistically it has to be time


100% townread based on nothing last game I play with you.


Last game: Farah town, hard read based on not much, Shining obvious town.
This game: Farah ?, Shining mafia.

180 in gameplay = 180 in alignment

Obviously mafia.

##vote: Farahblackwing

Soooo mafia. Lynch today!
Eversince's later post explaining the clear flaw in the above argument:
On November 16 2015 06:30 Eversince wrote:
To clarify, The Shining lurked bad last game I played with.
Farah town reads him regardless.

This game, Farah mafia reads The Shining.
He had not even posted yet.

Yeh! It's completely different play! Buggers! Sorry for pointin' it out!

VisceraEyes responds to this is a way that doesn't make sense at all.

Before my case on VisceraEyes and the second post above from Eversince, VisceraEyes posted these posts:
On November 16 2015 05:33 VisceraEyes wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:13 Eversince wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:04 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Hello. I think the proper use of our time is

##vote shining

Statistically it has to be time


100% townread based on nothing last game I play with you.


Last game: Farah town, hard read based on not much, Shining obvious town.
This game: Farah ?, Shining mafia.

180 in gameplay = 180 in alignment

Obviously mafia.

##vote: Farahblackwing

Soooo mafia. Lynch today!

I actually like this a lot.

##Vote: Farahblackwing
On November 16 2015 05:42 VisceraEyes wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:38 The Shining wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:33 VisceraEyes wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:13 Eversince wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:04 FarahBlackwing wrote:
Hello. I think the proper use of our time is

##vote shining

Statistically it has to be time


100% townread based on nothing last game I play with you.


Last game: Farah town, hard read based on not much, Shining obvious town.
This game: Farah ?, Shining mafia.

180 in gameplay = 180 in alignment

Obviously mafia.

##vote: Farahblackwing

Soooo mafia. Lynch today!

I actually like this a lot.

##Vote: Farahblackwing


What about it do you like? I see a short meta read based off of one newbie game, from a newbie. I wouldn't be nearly this confident in meta reading someone after just one game. And how do you know its even accurate? Did you check the last game or are you just blindly trusting to get on a wagon here?

I don't care if it's accurate - if they're mafia and lying someone will come in and say "Hey that's a lie" and I'll reevaluate then. At this point I'm taking the short meta read at face value, assuming it's true and taking the attempt as a townie attempt to find mafia - one that has possibly borne fruit.

So no, I'm not just "blindly" jumping on a wagon. I like this particular wagon for the reasons given and I like the person who started it, as indicated in my post.
On November 16 2015 05:45 VisceraEyes wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:44 The Shining wrote:
If you want me to explain, the logic of closing your eyes and finding a town less than an hour to d1 by just pointing means statistically you have a higher chance of finding town by being random. By that same logic, snap voting this early on D1 means it has a higher chance of landing on town.

Farrah why do you think the game is boring less than an hour after it started? That feels pretty ñonsensical. Things have to happen for it to be exciting, or boring. Deciding its boring on the 3rd post of the game is pretty weird.

And AS I said, it wasn't a random snap vote. It's a vote placed with reason. You may or may not agree with the reason, that's your prerogative and should affect whether or not you place your vote. Not mine. <3

These three posts show that VisceraEyes is treating Eversince's first post seriously. He says that he likes Eversince's argument, and that he's townreading Eversince and scumreading FarahBlackwing because of it. Furthermore, he uses this repeatedly in his argument with The Shining, which apparently leads to a scumread of The Shining, shown by this post (among others):
On November 16 2015 05:50 VisceraEyes wrote:
You're getting awfully anxious about me trusting someone so early Shining, I have to say it looks really scummy to me. Why are you so against me having a townread on someone and a scumread on someone else?


After my case and Eversince's post, showing that Eversince's early vote on FarahBlackwing had no basis, VisceraEyes says this:
On November 16 2015 21:34 VisceraEyes wrote:
Also I'm back!

##Unvote

I like the posts since my vote, and it wasn't super cereal anyway as many of you have clearly deduced.
Ok, so he wasn't being serious earlier. Not only did he make a joke, but then he defended his joke several times, to the point of scumreading The Shining for it.

I just can't believe this.


2. General
For the moment, let's assume that VisceraEyes was in fact joking with his first series of posts, and let's ignore that this makes no sense.

VisceraEyes receives a bunch of town reads after he leaves, notably from geript and ritoky.

Notice how VisceraEyes leaves in the same minute that geript posts a strong townread of him.

VisceraEyes made three posts upon return, shown below:
+ Show Spoiler [VisceraEyes' Posts] +
On November 16 2015 21:14 VisceraEyes wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2015 16:21 ritoky wrote:
On November 16 2015 15:53 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On November 16 2015 15:50 ritoky wrote:
On November 16 2015 15:46 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On November 16 2015 15:42 ritoky wrote:
why does you playing on other sites render meta worthless exactly?

I can give you links to games for reference if you desire, but my play has changed a ton than what it usually was.


okay, with your new improved play; could you tell me who is mafia or town?

It's not necessarily improved but:
Farah
disformation
Shining
geript


is this the town list or mafia list? i can't tell

I think it's both...the question itself was a little ambiguous so maybe he just answered it as best he could, including both townreads and mafiareads?
On November 16 2015 21:34 VisceraEyes wrote:
Also I'm back!

##Unvote

I like the posts since my vote, and it wasn't super cereal anyway as many of you have clearly deduced. Most of the people actively posting I like, I think I dislike Fecal the mostest of anyone who's posted.

The super hard townreads on me from geript and ritoky BOTH gave me massive wood. I think geript's might feel a little over-explainy, but I still can't bring myself to find it suspicious. Pocket achieved for both of you.

So yeah, unless we're lynching a hard lurker, which I'm always down with, I think I prefer a Fecalfeast lynch. Aside from one townread on Ritoky, I really don't know what Fecal thinks in spite of his actively engaging with the thread. I'd believe GTA if that game weren't so old hat, I think he's just mafia trying to skate by.
On November 16 2015 21:39 VisceraEyes wrote:
##Vote: Fecalfeast

JUST IN CASE THERE WAS ANY DOUBT AS TO THE SERIOUSNESS OF MY POST!!!!!!
First post is useless and strange. Why does he answer a question directed to someone else, when he's clearly not really sure?

VisceraEyes' next two posts are his thoughts about the game, and the only thoughts about the game that he's posted, assuming that his earlier posts were in jest. He says that he likes most of the people who have been posting (ok, so who doesn't he like then? not useful), and that he doesn't like Fecalfeast.

I personally don't really like this Fecalfeast read, but whatever, it's sort of up for interpretation. But this is his ONLY read.

Note that he spends a fair amount of this post responding to the townreads he's received. He's very aware of them, and this shows in his play. His activity tanked, he's not being useful or constructive, he made the terrible statement "I like most people who posted so far", which a perfect example of useless and lazy play.


3. Response to meta reads
+ Show Spoiler +
On November 16 2015 05:50 geript wrote:
I'm not voting for VE ever.
Hm, people townreading VisceraEyes very strongly with little explanation. Where have I seen this before?

This game. Everyone townread VisceraEyes for no reason. I thought VisceraEyes was scum. Everyone ignored me on the basis that "he's town". Guess what, he was scum.

In fact, look at VisceraEyes' first post in that game.
On August 26 2015 09:51 VisceraEyes wrote:
Hi I'm town.

Marv playing like Palmar makes me vom a little in my mouth. Otherwise I like most everyone who's posted so far.
Look familiar?

I don't see how the metareads given about VisceraEyes apply to this game. Either ~80% of his posts in this game were not serious, or he is clearly lying to try and explain his play. Ritoky's meta read has nothing to do with what I have presented, he didn't mention the posts related to this at all. As for geript's:
On November 16 2015 06:13 geript wrote:
Show nested quote +
On November 16 2015 06:09 Trfel wrote:
On November 16 2015 05:50 geript wrote:
I'm not voting for VE ever.
You're going to need to explain this.

Read other VE games. He's really easy to read when he gets semi active. Part of it is based in the fact that VE and I scum hunt rather differently. He takes on an egocentric (in the technical sense not in the asshole sense) view of other players; i.e. How he acts when he's scum and applies it to them. So when you see him jump on certain things in an accusatory way (especially when he's not trying to assream them) he's almost always town.
I don't understand this read. I've seen VisceraEyes jump on things and not push them into oblivion as mafia, too. For example, look at the game I linked; VisceraEyes was scumreading both Palmar and I but when Palmar asked him to reread the entire game under the assumption that we were both town and then share his thoughts, he did so (or at least partially did so).

My case stands for itself, I've had enough of random meta.


I was able to actually follow this case and see your point of view, unlike your first "case".

Now I need to decide if you are actually town - or posting scummy cases like you did in http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/486978-newbie-student-mafia-xi and try to mislynch everyone to win.
This is an extremely useless comment. This says actually nothing. Yet he doesn't unvote until later, and has NEVER come to a conclusion about this. The random unvote timing makes no sense. The lack of analysis of my case makes no sense, he's not even trying.

The fact that he repeats this non-argument, useless comment suggests that he's just trying to avoid my argument instead of address it. He can't scumread me and he knows it, but he's avoiding townreading me and avoiding listening to what I have to say.

Finally, look at his progression on MoosyDoosy.

1. MoosyDoosy is mafia!
2. MoosyDoosy is town for martyring, he did this last game as mafia
3. Votes MoosyDoosy because he wants to kill lazy town

ZERO changed between 2 and 3. Zero. He expected that MoosyDoosy would stop martyring and actually play?

Scott31337 shows zero thinking and zero read progression. This is not a town mindset at all.
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