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TL Mafia LXXII: Gaiden 2 - Page 140

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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MoosyDoosy
Profile Joined November 2014
United States4519 Posts
August 31 2015 21:22 GMT
#2781
although, yes, palmar and trfel were being very annoying with their claim.
"Just a second too late rsoultin :D" - My 4k Guardian post
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16326 Posts
August 31 2015 21:58 GMT
#2782
Well, in the improbable case that I die: Don't lynch Palmar/Trfel before LYLO and don't let marv slide by without reevaluating him. His absence is worrying.
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25560 Posts
August 31 2015 22:01 GMT
#2783

Day 3

[image loading]








Marvellosity the 1-shot DUMBLEDORE has been shot!



Welcome to Day 3! This day ends in 48 hours at Wednesday, Sep 02 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00). Please vote in the voting thread (link) between now and then.
When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
August 31 2015 22:01 GMT
#2784
##Vote: KSC

/afk
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
August 31 2015 22:02 GMT
#2785
If anyone else has a blue claim do it. /really afk
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16326 Posts
August 31 2015 22:02 GMT
#2786
Sad. He could have at least given a final opinion on Palmar. Lazy mofo.
MoosyDoosy
Profile Joined November 2014
United States4519 Posts
August 31 2015 22:04 GMT
#2787
Huh. This means Mafia is really banking on making us think Trfel/Palmar's claim is false.
"Just a second too late rsoultin :D" - My 4k Guardian post
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16326 Posts
August 31 2015 22:04 GMT
#2788
On September 01 2015 07:04 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Huh. This means Mafia is really banking on making us think Trfel/Palmar's claim is false.

Why do you think so?
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25560 Posts
August 31 2015 22:05 GMT
#2789
Vote Count


KelsierSC (1): Mr. Cheescake

Not Voting (8): Palmar, Deconduo, Trfel, justanothertownie, KelsierSC, VisceraEyes, MoosyDoosy, Vivax

Currently, KelsierSC is set to be lynched. Day ends at Wednesday, Sep 02 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) in .

Voting is mandatory! Voting is done in the voting thread: (link)

When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
MoosyDoosy
Profile Joined November 2014
United States4519 Posts
August 31 2015 22:12 GMT
#2790
On September 01 2015 07:04 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2015 07:04 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Huh. This means Mafia is really banking on making us think Trfel/Palmar's claim is false.

Why do you think so?

If they lynch Trfel or Palmar it's a dead giveaway as to their alignment and they can't afford to let that happen. Also, the lynch against marv was probably a ploy to demonstrate that he is indeed the cop and show us that his check was indeed real. This means they also want us to think that deconduo is green. Which leads me to just think of decon in a more suspicious light.

Of course they might have anticipated my whole thought process and lynched marv on purpose to place more suspicion on decon. -shrugs- When we get there we get there. I'm happy to leave my vote on KSC for now.

##Vote: KelsierSC
"Just a second too late rsoultin :D" - My 4k Guardian post
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16326 Posts
August 31 2015 22:19 GMT
#2791
On September 01 2015 07:12 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2015 07:04 justanothertownie wrote:
On September 01 2015 07:04 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Huh. This means Mafia is really banking on making us think Trfel/Palmar's claim is false.

Why do you think so?

If they lynch Trfel or Palmar it's a dead giveaway as to their alignment and they can't afford to let that happen. Also, the lynch against marv was probably a ploy to demonstrate that he is indeed the cop and show us that his check was indeed real. This means they also want us to think that deconduo is green. Which leads me to just think of decon in a more suspicious light.

Of course they might have anticipated my whole thought process and lynched marv on purpose to place more suspicion on decon. -shrugs- When we get there we get there. I'm happy to leave my vote on KSC for now.

##Vote: KelsierSC

That's all nice and dandy but another reason could be that they did not know if marv was lying about being one-shot or not so shooting him over the masons is ALWAYS the better play unless they are afraid of a jailkeeper. They don't seem to be. Either because they know Palmar and Trfel are real and there shouldn't be any more blue roles or because they gambled that a possible JK would have been one-shot.
justanothertownie
Profile Joined July 2013
16326 Posts
August 31 2015 22:21 GMT
#2792
I guess they could also assume that a JK wouldn't rb a potential multi-shot cop.
MoosyDoosy
Profile Joined November 2014
United States4519 Posts
August 31 2015 22:36 GMT
#2793
On September 01 2015 07:19 justanothertownie wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 01 2015 07:12 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On September 01 2015 07:04 justanothertownie wrote:
On September 01 2015 07:04 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Huh. This means Mafia is really banking on making us think Trfel/Palmar's claim is false.

Why do you think so?

If they lynch Trfel or Palmar it's a dead giveaway as to their alignment and they can't afford to let that happen. Also, the lynch against marv was probably a ploy to demonstrate that he is indeed the cop and show us that his check was indeed real. This means they also want us to think that deconduo is green. Which leads me to just think of decon in a more suspicious light.

Of course they might have anticipated my whole thought process and lynched marv on purpose to place more suspicion on decon. -shrugs- When we get there we get there. I'm happy to leave my vote on KSC for now.

##Vote: KelsierSC

That's all nice and dandy but another reason could be that they did not know if marv was lying about being one-shot or not so shooting him over the masons is ALWAYS the better play unless they are afraid of a jailkeeper. They don't seem to be. Either because they know Palmar and Trfel are real and there shouldn't be any more blue roles or because they gambled that a possible JK would have been one-shot.

Either way I think we can agree this lynch just shows that Trfel/Palmar's claim is more likely to be real.
"Just a second too late rsoultin :D" - My 4k Guardian post
MoosyDoosy
Profile Joined November 2014
United States4519 Posts
August 31 2015 22:39 GMT
#2794
Or at the very least doesn't disprove their claim either. So I think I'll just sheep their case for now.
"Just a second too late rsoultin :D" - My 4k Guardian post
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
August 31 2015 23:14 GMT
#2795
I don't want to believe the mason claim. The way they played it if it's real was truly horrible. Claiming at the start of D2 was the most optimal option, Palmar even said it would be really strong for town. Problem is, a mason pair + 1 shot cop is balanced in a 13 player setup. No way there is JUST a 1 shot cop versus 3 goons. So unless there is another claim to make me think otherwise, we have to believe it and just yolo it.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
August 31 2015 23:15 GMT
#2796
Decondou is probably town. Marv would have had to check exactly the GF. It's far more likely that he's just inactive town (see: All the other town we lynched)
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
August 31 2015 23:23 GMT
#2797
So Kelsier is mafia. We are making that assumption today based on his day 1 reads post, his total afk d2 and last minute vote. If he's town, then we've lynched all the town who've played badly and the game's over, which I'm fine with. VE is a good person to be looking at after that. He hasn't done anything memorable, was pushing me D2 instead of Palmar like his night-phase play suggested. I haven't read his filter yet, but he's probably mafia just by PoE.

Then there's one between vivax/moosy/jat

I can see any of them being mafia. Moosy is likely the town on that list, but really everyone's play to me just looks like "did not much D1, pushed me D2, voted palmar and hopeless at last second. All of those people who were voted yesterday in the world Palmar is mason are town. So, it's really tricky. We need to reevaluate JAT if Palmar is town for sure. But not today. Today we afk lynch Kelsier and see if the game continues.

If no blue claims within the first 24 hours, then we can safely assume Palmar and Trfel are confirmed town unless BH really only made a nerfed cop as a singular blue role in a 13 player game, which is unlikely.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
August 31 2015 23:27 GMT
#2798
If Palmar was right on JAT, the only reason he's right is because he had extra information in that he knew JAT's early push was on a townie.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
Mr. Cheesecake
Profile Joined October 2012
United States3756 Posts
August 31 2015 23:30 GMT
#2799
A world of VE, Vivax, and JAT honestly would not surprise me. That would mean all the mafia were pushing my lynch.
But CC isn't protown as town. 100% real heuristic.
MoosyDoosy
Profile Joined November 2014
United States4519 Posts
August 31 2015 23:33 GMT
#2800
On September 01 2015 08:30 Mr. Cheesecake wrote:
A world of VE, Vivax, and JAT honestly would not surprise me. That would mean all the mafia were pushing my lynch.

I doubt that all the Mafia would push your lynch because there were a fair amount of townies pushing your lynch as well. Most likely they spread themselves out a bit as townies (such as me) wanted to kill you as well. For all of them to just tunnel on you would make it far too easy to succeed in alignment lynches.
"Just a second too late rsoultin :D" - My 4k Guardian post
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