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Newbie Student Mafia XII

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 02 2015 23:15 GMT
#28
/in
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 11 2015 23:23 GMT
#186
Hey guys, sorry for being late. So I just read trough the thread and here are some of my thoughts now. First, fidei seems like a town read to me right now. He seems to genuienly want to create an enviroment that is good for town. His first post makes this obvious. Have to disagree on his stance however. Imo, most games suffer from people not saying enough than the opposite.


My background is pretty newbie. Have been in a few forum mafia games, but mostly i play IRL.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 11 2015 23:33 GMT
#187
Ok, so my first scumread when reading was NydusHerMain. First it was that she voted for fidei, for a post which i feel was very towny. She then didn't explain herself, and hasn't posted anything since that. I will be interested to hear what she says about that when she returns.

I also found some of what moosy said suspicous, but most of that has already been said by noobking, The most scummy thing to me was that he said he wanted to change his play, then wondered how someone could read that as. If you are town one game and then make a point to say that you change your play, then logically you will play as mafia.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 12 2015 21:04 GMT
#282
Gonna vote for NydusHerMain. Right now, she isn't saying much at all, and left pretty suspiciously. I would rather her get lynched than MoosyDoosy, since he is actually active and contributing. That helps the town, even if most of what he says is bad and he is still high on my scumlist. However, not saying anything dosen't help much at all.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 12 2015 23:05 GMT
#339
Hey guys, good lynch. As of now, I think that, aside from those who voted on sulfurus, these two are town: Grokken and MoosyDoosy. MoosyDoosy is a little obvious, sulfurus woulnd't go for him if he was another mafia. And a sacrifice here seems unlikely, seeing as MoosyDoosy was nowhere a done deal, so he could have been saved still. Sulfurus getting on the MoosyDoosy train seems like a way to just vote on the most popular one and slip by. He basically admitted to doing this even.

Then Grokken is because of this post:

On July 12 2015 06:22 Grokken wrote:
I figure it's time for me to make an actual post now that the thread is getting more active.

Sulfurus:

Has made a few posts, but only one-liners and contentless posts. I know you are here and reading the thread, why not try to post something more useful? Neutral read so far, maybe slight scumlean.




He pings sulfurus as a scum lean fairly early, before any of the recent suspicion started. That means that most likely that they aren't mafia partners, as mafia will not give scumlean to their own partners when there is no other big suspicion on him. This leads me to believe that he is town as well.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 12 2015 23:25 GMT
#342
I also lean town on TJHuggins, since he posted that sulfurus was his second on scum list. This was also before any of the voting began, though after sulfurus posted that super scummy post and was tagged for it by Half the sky. Still a good townlean for me.

Also, i get a townvibe from wonnaplay.

Of course, I could be all wrong about this, and mafia decided to sacrifice sulfurus, but dont really think so right now. Regardless, those reamaining that I think the mafia is among is : scott31337, GhandiEAGLE, NydusHerMain. One or two of these three are probably mafia.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 13 2015 01:09 GMT
#352
On July 13 2015 09:43 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2015 09:38 Half the Sky wrote:
On July 13 2015 08:17 MoosyDoosy wrote:
nonono Sulfurus was busing me. I'm Mafia too guys plz kill me. XD

Alright down to business. Apparently my bait was successful although I wasn't around to catch the slip from Sulfurus. Glad to see that Half the Sky caught it. I'm going to actually work from here on out. Re-reading the thread seriously.


LOL...

anyhow....if you are town, you are in a good position to tell us who the scummers - if any - were on your wagon. Who do you think they were?

tbh I have 2 suspicions but I'd rather wait. If I'm right, I'd rather not say it and die. Either way I doubt Mafia will try and kill me since some people apparently somehow see me as a possible scum and they will try and bus me. But knowing that they might kill me although there are better people to kill. ^.^ I love screwing things up for the Mafia.


You can post like 1 minute before night ends. That way, mafia can't kill you for whatever you say, as they don't have time to react.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 13 2015 19:15 GMT
#396
On July 14 2015 02:00 n00bKing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2015 08:05 silentwarrior wrote:
Hey guys, good lynch. As of now, I think that, aside from those who voted on sulfurus, these two are town: Grokken and MoosyDoosy. MoosyDoosy is a little obvious, sulfurus woulnd't go for him if he was another mafia. And a sacrifice here seems unlikely, seeing as MoosyDoosy was nowhere a done deal, so he could have been saved still. Sulfurus getting on the MoosyDoosy train seems like a way to just vote on the most popular one and slip by. He basically admitted to doing this even.

Then Grokken is because of this post:
On July 12 2015 06:22 Grokken wrote:
I figure it's time for me to make an actual post now that the thread is getting more active.

Sulfurus:

Has made a few posts, but only one-liners and contentless posts. I know you are here and reading the thread, why not try to post something more useful? Neutral read so far, maybe slight scumlean.

He pings sulfurus as a scum lean fairly early, before any of the recent suspicion started. That means that most likely that they aren't mafia partners, as mafia will not give scumlean to their own partners when there is no other big suspicion on him. This leads me to believe that he is town as well.

Actually, I think that "when there is no other big suspicion on him" is a good time to scumlean a mafia teammate. Because it's unlikely that anything will come of it in the near term. And if something does come of it later, you'd be able to say "I was scumreading that guy since Day 1!"

That post from Grokken is probably a point in his favor, but it still leaves plenty of room for error.


Maybe its a newbie thing, but usually mafia will try to not mention their partners, and do so only in positive ways, to avoid them being lynched. I think they would focus more on helping each other survive the lynch rather than be ready for their death. I do see your point however. They will atleast not give scumreads to partners that early in game.

On July 14 2015 02:13 n00bKing wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2015 08:25 silentwarrior wrote:
I also lean town on TJHuggins, since he posted that sulfurus was his second on scum list. This was also before any of the voting began, though after sulfurus posted that super scummy post and was tagged for it by Half the sky. Still a good townlean for me.

Also, i get a townvibe from wonnaplay.

Of course, I could be all wrong about this, and mafia decided to sacrifice sulfurus, but dont really think so right now. Regardless, those reamaining that I think the mafia is among is : scott31337, GhandiEAGLE, NydusHerMain. One or two of these three are probably mafia.

Okay, so apparently I don't agree with much that silentwarrior has to say during Night 1.

"Second on scum list" is a fairly commonplace spot for mafia to put their teammates. Say that he looks scummy (in case he gets lynched) but don't actually try to get him lynched, because someone else is first on your scum list.

And for you to be "all wrong about this" doesn't really require mafia to have sacrificed Sulfurus. He could have been lynched against their will, and your reads could still be wrong anyway.

Of course, you having reads that are different from mine doesn't make you scum (and doesn't even make you wrong)...but I still don't have to like it!


Yeah, I see your point, didn't think of that. As I said before, the list that he posted was after sulfurus was already tagged by Half the sky, so he could have just done the second on scum list thing.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 13 2015 23:59 GMT
#434
On July 14 2015 08:46 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
To sum up

Scummer read is hardest on Grokken,

Town for me definitively is HtS, Scott, and Fidei.

Too many people posting too little (me included, before ~20 minutes ago). Need more activity please.


The guy who has contributed the least (scott) is somehow definetly town for you? And your explanation about it is just bullshit, it makes no sense. I smell mafia here.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 14 2015 00:03 GMT
#437
Gonna go to bed now, but will seriosly analyze Ghandi and scott when I come back.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 14 2015 19:10 GMT
#481
Ok, here is my big analysis of GhandiEagle.


So his first posts were mostly talking about nothing, this one is where really starts talking about the game:

On July 12 2015 04:46 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
Right now its basically impossible to read into anything effectively, so Day 1 we might as well just flush out all of the lurkers, which I may work on when I get off work in a couple hours.


It is very much possible to get reads effectively day 1, that's how we got our first mafia. Everyone knows this. It is harder, true, but you can get decent reads. If you are scum however, people getting reads is the last thing you want. You would rather just have them kill some lurking townie than risk having them read people and figure out who is mafia.

He also says we should "flush out" all the lurkers, which he posts about again here:

On July 12 2015 12:06 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
I'm strictly against considering policy lynches this early in the day. I'm saying we should get everyone to start talking because lurkers quickly become scapegoats, especially in newbie games where lurkers are often people who are just unsure of what to say.


He says that he wants to get everyone to talk, but no one to make reads. This supports my theory that he wants to avoid having people try to find mafia and make reads and instead just lynch someone with no one looking around

He is then afk until just 2 hours after lynch, and fails to make a vote. It might me IRL stuff, but it is kind of convenient to pop up so soon after the lycnh.

He then says this after night is over:

On July 14 2015 07:54 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
Surprised they actually went after Kelsier. At least it confirms my worry that he jumped on Sulfurus as scum to try and assure his own safety; I was just about to post about that, especially since I had a totally unjustifiable scum meta read on him.

By the way, TJH isn't scum to me. He was an early bird on the Sulfurus scum train. That won't be enough to make me think he's town, but it is enough to give me pause before lynching him Day 2. Not ready to jump on that train.


This has been discuessed before, but just to rehash: TJH only said he thought sulfurus was scum after he was tagged. He also posted him as his second scum list, which seems to be a way for mafia to get creds in case their scum buddies flip. Now, ghandi might have just interepreted TJH wrong, at this point this is not that incriminating. We'll get back to it.

So after that he post his case on MoosyDoosy:

On July 14 2015 08:09 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
I think Moosy is either playing a really abysmal town, or is scum. I'm still not sold enough to vote (I realize I say that a lot), but honestly constantly deflecting suspicion with sarcasm. Despite that sarcasm, he doesn't do shit for the town.

Show nested quote +
On July 12 2015 02:27 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On July 12 2015 01:49 TJHuggins wrote:
My initial reads so far is that i am town leaning on Fidei. I like the things he said in relation to spamming, and I think that him relating the perspective to a previous game where he was town feels like he's looking at the game from the perspective of a town. When he responded to HTS regarding talking about anti-spam being easy, he seems genuine. Or maybe it's just because I like his writing. No clue.

My initial scum read is Grokken. It's nothing all that strong but I'm getting a wierd feeling about the things he's posted. To me it feels like he is trying to find ways to participate and seem town by chiming in now and again but really has no clue what to write about.

On July 11 2015 09:36 Grokken wrote:
On July 11 2015 09:32 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
My blood sense is telling me to lynch everyone who knows what theyre doing


We should listen to this guy, he seems to know what he is doing.


On July 11 2015 13:27 Grokken wrote:
On July 11 2015 10:44 NydusHerMain wrote:
Hi, back home. You guys are fucking boring me.

##Vote: Fidei

I don't like the way this guy posts early


Can you elaborate on this? What in particular is it that you don't like?


I think that one sentence posts that appear to contribute to the game and don't really offer anything just kind of irk me the wrong way. I guess it's worth noting he did write that thing about Dota as well which was also one sentence but that's neither here nor there when it comes to the game I think. When I went back and read the post about him showing off his dota stats that actually reads to me a bit more towny now that I think about it, so not really sure.

just an initial read.

I don't agree with this but let's see what Ghandi says.

Why did this happen? It made little sense to ask me, other than I was one of the few early proactive people on the thread and it would make sense to get me on his side. He had no real reason to ask me specifically here, and no real reason to believe that my opinions would hold much weight.


Show nested quote +
On July 12 2015 02:53 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On July 12 2015 02:32 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
Grokken's first post seems pretty innocuous to me, and even if there was something sinister behind it, reading someone at all in the first few posts creates poor conclusions, imo.

Second post there is sketchier to me, in that it seems serious in its attempts to prod the town, despite not actually bringing up any discussion that will lead to a conclusion. That's a little smelly to me. That said, it's tiny enough that it could fly either way.

Day 1 reads are all luck anyways :|

Exactly what I was thinking. His first post seems to be more of a first page banter post. The second one is asking for clarification although as you say, it leads nowhere. But then again, newer players have a tendency to ask for clarification without having a drive behind it.

Any thoughts on the suspicion of you Ghandi? :3

There it is again. No reason to be prodding me except that he might suspect that I'm scum (unlikely at that point in the thread), or he's trying to deflect conversations, looking like he moves conversation forward, without actually doing so.

Then he didn't vote, which I didn't either because I forgot about the separate voting thread. So this is excusable because I suck :/

Also, he constantly uses emoticons, which I distrust by nature and generally indicate self-consciousness (I'm not kidding it often points to mafia). Never trust an emoticon.

The rest of his filter is absolute trash, by the way. Nothing helpful at all; all of his posts constantly criticize other people for suspecting him, while offering literally zero content to push the town forward. If he isn't scum, I'd still policy lynch him Day 3 since based_HTS gave us plenty of time. I need meaningful contribution from Moosey or I'm not likely moving off of my vote without heavy evidence on someone else.

##Vote: MoosyDoosy


Now, this post is kind of weak. His biggest arguments is that MD keeps mentioning him (which isn't indictive of anything really), the fact that MD didn't vote (which he didn't either), and the fact that he uses emoticons (what???). And he seems to completely ignore the vote, which is a pretty big townlean for MD. He also votes for this, but states that he dosen't think he is mafia. Why would you want someone that is not mafia dead?

Later he posts his big list:

On July 14 2015 08:45 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
1) Fidei.
Town read; pushing me for my admittedly shitty posting when there was no real consideration of it earlier is pretty darn town.

2) WonnaPlay
Lurk City, hard to know if spooked or noob, but sketchy either way. Because its a noob game all lurkers basically stay in neutral range, instead of my usual neutral-lurker range.

3) N00bking.
Neutral; dont like his filter but he voted for sulfurus, so the two cancel each other out.

4) Silentwarrior.
Shit-tier read list, bandwagonning, lurking. Didn't vote Moosy N1, so neutral or bad scum imo.

5) NHM/Tictoc
Awful posting but apparently had an excuse so mleh. Tictoc says he's followed the game, and showed that he was present in the thread, but has yet to give anything meaningful to the game, so he's on my naughty list until something comes up. Most lurkers commit, but he's already poked his head recently.

6) Moosy
Shit town, prodding him to post better hopefully he actually does, otherwise lynch for derailing conversation. No more discussion on him because its also just derailing now. C'mon man shape up.

7) TJ Huggins
Bandwagonned on Moosy, pointed a lot of fingers, but generally been pretty baseless. This isn't quite a 180 of what I said earlier, because I said in my post that he wasn't scum to me. That hasn't changed; I should have clarified that I didn't think he was that innocent either, he's high up on my neutral list. Just not enough yet to vote on him.

8) Grokken.
Seems pretty sketchy to me. Need to chug through filter again, but voting on me even before Fidei did just feels like someone trying to stand out and be opportunistic. He didn't start the attack, so he doesn't assume culpability if I get lynched and I'm town. He also can't hold onto an accusation.
That said, he didn't fight Sulfurus being lynched; he voted Moosy but didn't protest Sulfurus' death. That doesn't mean, however, that he's not my scum read. Because he is.

9) HtS
Untouchable right now. No fun there :<

10) scottblahblahnumbers
The WORST kind of lurker, if he was maf, I'd be willing to bet he'd be more active, especially since he's not on the noob list; who plays mafia multiple times without wanting to actually participate? For that reasoning he's really town to me, but damn I hate how he's basically not in the game. It's frustrating.


Now his tone about TJH is less townlean. This was after everyone pointed about the suspicoins of TJH. So, even if TJH and Ghandi isn't scumteam, he would want to appease to town and follow its general ideas and thoughts. So when he says something and town says another, he would naturally want to change what he says to fit what towns says as mafia. He tries to downplay this change by stating it himself, and saying it's not that big of a change of heart. But really, everyone can see his reversal of opinion.

Something also interesting is that he says scott is town, despite saying he is a lurker. Somehow, being an experienced player makes it ok for being a lurker. This reasoning is just strange, and gets stranger with his next post:

On July 14 2015 08:46 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
To sum up

Scummer read is hardest on Grokken,

Town for me definitively is HtS, Scott, and Fidei.

Too many people posting too little (me included, before ~20 minutes ago). Need more activity please.


Now he says that scott is in his top 3 town reads. This is when scott had like 3 posts in game, none of which had any content at all in them. So why have someone like that as top 3 town? This leads me to believe that maybe the scumteam is Scott-Ghandi. TJH-Ghandi is also very likely, but he seems to be unusually positive about scott for the amount he has written.

In conclusion, Ghandis posts leads me to believe that he is mafia. I urge the rest of you to also examine him and make your own conclusion.

Vote: GhandiEAGLE
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 14 2015 19:32 GMT
#484
Here are my views on everyone:

Most likely town:
n00bKing
Half the Sky
Fidei86

Town lean:
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 14 2015 19:35 GMT
#485
EBWOP (accidently hit post)
Here are my views on everyone:

Most likely town:
n00bKing
Half the Sky
Fidei86


MoosyDoosy

Town lean:
Grokken

Neutral:
NydusHerMain/TICKTOCK
WonnaPlay

Scumlean:
scott31337
TJHuggins

Probably scum:
GhandiEAGLE
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 14 2015 23:52 GMT
#502
On July 15 2015 08:31 Half the Sky wrote:
Silentwarrior....I know he's putting in the effort and people can't be in thread perpetually. But in the event that Gandhi winds up being a mislynch he might come under some suspicion. I can't put my finger on articulating it well at the moment (aside from the parroting, even the point by Scott was previously mentioned by WP, but a lot of people are understandably guilty of that) but the first two quotes of his long post at the top of page 25 are slightly biased in that they don't account for how a town Gandhi would act. Nowhere did he say "no one to make reads" but on Gandhi's end you do have a lack of followup. It could be suboptimal town or scum play. GE is in his second game ever on TL so believeable expectations aren't too high if a town Gandhi wants to prioritise lurkers.

Also 2 hours post-lynch depending on timezone is not considered too soon. Stateside, the EoDs (I'm assuming you are EU btw) are during evening rush hour, so who knows. I know you're new so I'm considering this part NAI for now. But popping up so soon after the lynch, 2 hours is not considered very soon. 2 minutes, yes you have a case.

Again I am a bit ahead and it is an associative read at this point in time (meaning can't know until a Gandhi flip) but I'm still null on SW at the moment. I think based on effort most newbie scum wouldn't give much effort. At the same time scum are concerned with "looking town" so I do remain cautious on SW.


I said the thing about scott first right after he posted it. So if anything, wp is parroting me.

Ghandi said that it is impossible to make reads, which basically means to not do them. What else would they mean?

Don't know, still think it was rather convenient that he popped up like that.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 14 2015 23:55 GMT
#504
On July 15 2015 08:41 Half the Sky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 15 2015 08:37 n00bKing wrote:
I don't think it's that big of a red flag. Sulfurus offered very little to take a stance on. I could see a new player looking at Sulfurus' filter and thinking "there is nothing here to work with."


This is a decent point. He was a solo voter and having done too many VCAs to count I might be a little biased since he solo voted, but newbies probably don't have the concept of town consolidation down either, at least not yet.


I didn't solo vote at the time i voted, noobking changed his vote. But I don't understand, what so bad with solovoting?
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 15 2015 17:17 GMT
#532
On July 15 2015 11:52 Tictock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 15 2015 08:55 silentwarrior wrote:
On July 15 2015 08:41 Half the Sky wrote:
On July 15 2015 08:37 n00bKing wrote:
I don't think it's that big of a red flag. Sulfurus offered very little to take a stance on. I could see a new player looking at Sulfurus' filter and thinking "there is nothing here to work with."


This is a decent point. He was a solo voter and having done too many VCAs to count I might be a little biased since he solo voted, but newbies probably don't have the concept of town consolidation down either, at least not yet.


I didn't solo vote at the time i voted, noobking changed his vote. But I don't understand, what so bad with solovoting?


The issue with solo voting is that it makes it harder to look at vote counts after a flip. Ideally you want 2 solid wagons so that when you hit on scum you can start to figuer out which players on the opposing wagon are likely scum and which, if any, are scum bussing a teammate.

I'm pretty guilty of throwing my vote out solo in past newbie games, so I understand the temptation to ignore the majority and vote for your own reads. However if you think about it all it really does it make it easier for scum to swing the votes in their favor.

Maybe HtS can answer a little better, also I'm sure there is someplace on the interwebs that has in depth talk about what is good for voteing patterns as town.

My counter question to get you thinking about it more, what do you think could be good about solovoting?


See your point, the more the townies vote solo, the more mafia can swing lynches in their favor. But I think solovoting can be good if you really think that your read is correct and the others are wrong. Also could put some pressure on the person if you show that you are after him even when rest of town aren't.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 15 2015 17:20 GMT
#533
On July 16 2015 00:25 scott31337 wrote:
I've been really busy as well, but I can't forget to vote this time...We don't need any modkilled townies.

##Vote Tjhuggins


Care to explain that at all or are you just trying to save your scum-buddy ghandi?
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 15 2015 22:57 GMT
#589
Oh, damn. Sorry GE, should have seen that you were town, no excuses here. I still think scott and TJH are the scummiest right now, so if there are any BLUES, you should check them. Have a theory im working on, gonna post it later during the night.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 16 2015 17:13 GMT
#655
Ok, so as I say before, I still think that TJHuggins and Scott are the most scummiest right now, and that Blue should act on them. I will give answers about what everyone has said about me d1.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 16 2015 19:06 GMT
#661
On July 17 2015 03:51 Fidei86 wrote:
Got it.

BTW, my tinfoil hat world involves you and n00b being the scum team. But honestly, I think if that's the case then we could just GG now :-)


Was actually thinking the same. If sulfur us was bussed then it was probably done by hts and either you or noob. But want to wait out night until I start to consider it srs. On phone now Btw, so can't write to everything about me. Will do during day.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 17 2015 23:25 GMT
#758
Sorry, for being away so much, been really busy. Will anser what TT wrote about me now.

On July 17 2015 13:31 Tictock wrote:

Actually, SW you should tell us why you think TJ is scum.



His behavior after vote and his writing sulf as second scum list directly after he was tagged.


On July 17 2015 13:31 Tictock wrote:

A quick browse of your one page filter shows me that this is your initial read on TJ

Show nested quote +
On July 13 2015 08:25 silentwarrior wrote:
I also lean town on TJHuggins, since he posted that sulfurus was his second on scum list. This was also before any of the voting began, though after sulfurus posted that super scummy post and was tagged for it by Half the sky. Still a good townlean for me.


Then on D2 when TJ is being pushed by most of the thread you post this.

Show nested quote +
On July 15 2015 04:35 silentwarrior wrote:
Scumlean:
scott31337
TJHuggins


Probably scum:
GhandiEAGLE


You never mentioned TJ in between those 2 posts. What changed your read?



This is just a complete lie. I did mention him again and my change of opinon of him is stated there.

On July 18 2015 01:01 Tictock wrote:
SW's D1 play. He comes into the game and in the space of 10 min makes his only reads of the day. He then solo votes based on those reads almost 24 hours later without really commenting on the rest of the game.



At the time I was voting it was not a solovote, which I have also said before.

On July 18 2015 01:01 Tictock wrote:
[ Since I replaced in SW has completely ignored me. If he thought NHM was scummy enough to solo vote D1 why is he not even trying to get a read on me? I literally show up twice in SW's filter, once when he posts a list and my slot is suddenly neutral and once when he directly responds to a post from me.


The scummiest thing I had on d1 was NHM strange vote without much further explanation. I then thought GhandiEagle was much more possible scum than others and focused my attention on him.

On July 18 2015 01:01 Tictock wrote:
This point me be a little more neutral, but it fits with the "following thread sentiment" notion.
SW's biggest post was his case on Ghandi, however his "case" came well after I had been pinging out Ghandi most of the day and HtS posted a large case on Ghandi as well. Check where this post came in terms of thread sentiment against ghandi.


This is also incorrect. I tagged GhandiEagle right after he made that strange comment about scott being town. My big case came later, but I was on to him before you were, and I also said I would analyze him more.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 17 2015 23:28 GMT
#759
Oh, also, I wasn't roleblocked (why don't we just let the one who was roleblocked say this?)
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 17 2015 23:37 GMT
#760
Gonna make a filterdive on TJH now.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 00:24 GMT
#768
Ok, so here is my analysation of TJH.


On July 11 2015 11:06 TJHuggins wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 11 2015 07:29 Fidei86 wrote:
On July 11 2015 07:02 Half the Sky wrote:
YAY confirmed town <3

If only posting first did somehow make you confirmed town. That would sure make this game a lot easier

So that everyone knows, the only players I know in the game are scott and NHM. I tunnelled scott pretty hard in the game we played together (Holy Guardians) but he was actually town. I null read NHM in HGand he was mafia, then town read him in Himalayas and he was town. I've also chatted a fair bit to HTS, but I don't know how she plays mafia.


Yo I have no clue wtf those acronyms mean can u put like Nydushermain (NHM) the first time you use an acronym so I can understand what you're talking about? Who is HTS?

On a game note, I think it's pretty good if we all say like what our mafia background 1) I don't know anyone except for nydus and 2) i always judge my reads on people against a background of their experience (e.g. easier to read someone new to mafia based on little things they do).

I have played video mafia on DailyMafia for almost two years and have never played forum mafia before. I am basically a god. I am in a clan called the elo angels because im so good and my elo is so high. My day job involves working with and for lawyers every day so i think about thinks pretty logically and might write formally at some points based on my mood. In video mafia I usually pick up on and push on (sometimes minor) logical inconsistencies and ive noticed ive been tunnelling a bit too hard lately so that may happen this game.

My only read so far is that Half the Sky is spamming.

[purple]Also it allowed if i just put every post I type in purple so taht you guys always know its me?[/purple]


Ok, so the first thing probably anyone noticed with TJH intro post was that he was super arrogant. He calls himself a god, says that he has such a high elo that he is in a clan, and actually wants an unque colour so that we know that it's him. This might now be that indictive of alignment, but was really strange to see on a post first time.

On July 12 2015 01:49 TJHuggins wrote:
My initial reads so far is that i am town leaning on Fidei. I like the things he said in relation to spamming, and I think that him relating the perspective to a previous game where he was town feels like he's looking at the game from the perspective of a town. When he responded to HTS regarding talking about anti-spam being easy, he seems genuine. Or maybe it's just because I like his writing. No clue.

My initial scum read is Grokken. It's nothing all that strong but I'm getting a wierd feeling about the things he's posted. To me it feels like he is trying to find ways to participate and seem town by chiming in now and again but really has no clue what to write about.

Show nested quote +
On July 11 2015 09:36 Grokken wrote:
On July 11 2015 09:32 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
My blood sense is telling me to lynch everyone who knows what theyre doing


We should listen to this guy, he seems to know what he is doing.


Show nested quote +
On July 11 2015 13:27 Grokken wrote:
On July 11 2015 10:44 NydusHerMain wrote:
Hi, back home. You guys are fucking boring me.

##Vote: Fidei

I don't like the way this guy posts early


Can you elaborate on this? What in particular is it that you don't like?


I think that one sentence posts that appear to contribute to the game and don't really offer anything just kind of irk me the wrong way. I guess it's worth noting he did write that thing about Dota as well which was also one sentence but that's neither here nor there when it comes to the game I think. When I went back and read the post about him showing off his dota stats that actually reads to me a bit more towny now that I think about it, so not really sure.

just an initial read.


So he says his first scumread is grokken. Now, this was just after grokken had a few posts, so there wasn't really that much to go on. He says he gets a weird feeling about him and that he chimes in without helping town. His second quoted post of grokken was simply him wanting to know about NHM, which a lot of people probably found puzzling. Yet he sees this as not contributing, when to me it is the opposite. But later in his post he seems to back of his assesment of him, because of some dota posts grokken made. Most of the time the ones that are insecure enough to back down from a scumread on the same post are mafia, as they always want to seem town but not stir too much up.

On July 12 2015 03:10 TJHuggins wrote:
I agree that it was grokken's town prodding question that got me suspicious of him in the first place.


He later states that the town prodding question (with NHM i guess) was the one that made him suspicipus of grokken in the first place. But what was wrong with that really? Wanting a clarification on a vote only helps town.


On July 12 2015 09:57 TJHuggins wrote:
I agree with most about what has been said about Moosy. I'm trying to read this game similar to how I would read someone in video mafia (whether or not that is going to work remains to be seen). One way people often get on my "radar" if you will is by dropping sort of key phrases or acting in a certain way after being called out. In my first few months of playing, sometimes this scenario would happen:

A particular player, who may be lurking, or just doesn't sound the same (voice tone, pattern, activeness, etc.) would get pinged out by another player who would say that they "feel different this game" or ask "why they're not playing the same as X game they played with them in." In some of these cases, the person would respond back by saying some variation of the phrase "I'm trying to switch up my play this game" or "I'm trying something new this game." I started to realize that when someone came back with this response most of the time they ended up being a mafia trying to cover up for there change in playstyle due to the change in alignment, or sometimes it was just an excuse to lurk e.g. "I'm going to try to sit back and listen and try to get town reads this game instead of trying to pressure the mafia to see how it works."

I got a similar feeling looking back at what Moosy said (the quote that many have already noted), though I'll admit I didn't catch it the first time. One thing that I did catch, which I thought was kind of odd, is the quote below, though I'm not quite sure what it means yet.

Show nested quote +
On July 12 2015 02:27 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On July 12 2015 01:49 TJHuggins wrote:
My initial reads so far is that i am town leaning on Fidei. I like the things he said in relation to spamming, and I think that him relating the perspective to a previous game where he was town feels like he's looking at the game from the perspective of a town. When he responded to HTS regarding talking about anti-spam being easy, he seems genuine. Or maybe it's just because I like his writing. No clue.

My initial scum read is Grokken. It's nothing all that strong but I'm getting a wierd feeling about the things he's posted. To me it feels like he is trying to find ways to participate and seem town by chiming in now and again but really has no clue what to write about.

On July 11 2015 09:36 Grokken wrote:
On July 11 2015 09:32 GhandiEAGLE wrote:
My blood sense is telling me to lynch everyone who knows what theyre doing


We should listen to this guy, he seems to know what he is doing.


On July 11 2015 13:27 Grokken wrote:
On July 11 2015 10:44 NydusHerMain wrote:
Hi, back home. You guys are fucking boring me.

##Vote: Fidei

I don't like the way this guy posts early


Can you elaborate on this? What in particular is it that you don't like?


I think that one sentence posts that appear to contribute to the game and don't really offer anything just kind of irk me the wrong way. I guess it's worth noting he did write that thing about Dota as well which was also one sentence but that's neither here nor there when it comes to the game I think. When I went back and read the post about him showing off his dota stats that actually reads to me a bit more towny now that I think about it, so not really sure.

just an initial read.

I don't agree with this but let's see what Ghandi says.


It's a pretty innocuous post on it's face, but what stood out for me is that he is deferring to Ghandi before making judgment. But Ghandi's role in the context of the quoted posts is so minor that I can't think what he could possibly add to the conversation that would in turn color your judgment on Grokken's alignment. In fact, I never even mentioned Ghandi in my post. If he disagrees, ok, but why is he saying he needs to wait and see what Ghandi says?

Not sure if I want to lynch him today, but he's on my radar. I still want to hear more.

Show nested quote +
On July 12 2015 08:56 Fidei86 wrote:
You said about ten posts ago that you were going to be town-hunting at first. Now you're saying that you're scum-hunting. Which is it??


I think you're reaching a bit here. This post seems so opposite to everything else you've written this game. What gives?



He then says this, after some people think MD is scummy for saying that he wants to change his play. Now, simply saying I agree with that point (about it being scummy to change play from town) would have been enough for him there. But he somehow feels the need to say the same thing but repackaging it with video mafia. This seemed quite of weird to me, like he goes out of his way to do this.

On July 12 2015 23:33 TJHuggins wrote:
Right now I'm at the point where I feel comfortable enough to ##vote MoosyDoosy. (reasons here: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/488742-newbie-student-mafia-xii?page=10#191)

I woke up this morning to see more posts from MD that read scum to me. I didn't think you were even allowed to vote for yourself. To me I haven't seen any protown content coming out of any of his posts, and his recent ones seem blatantly anti-town. And what really stands with me is that these are posts from someone who claims to apparently have been unanimously townread by all players but one in some recent previous forum mafia game. See his post on July 11 2015 at 16:30, ("I was an earnest townie last Newbie Student Mafia game with a monster filter. :3 Besides ruXxar everyone pretty much knew I was a townie which is why I want to change things up here and make things interesting.")

I'm not buying it that this is a result of you switching up your play.


Now here he states that he didn't even know you could vote for yourself. At this point, most people would go back and look at the rules to see if this was correct or not. In the rules it clearly states that it's not allowed.



On July 13 2015 03:43 TJHuggins wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2015 03:31 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On July 13 2015 02:43 Fidei86 wrote:
So I'm sitting here thinking "n00b just made a big case on Moosy, then immediately defended him and now wants to lynch elsewhere - classic scum tell!". But then I thought about it and realised that my approach has been exactly the same. I want Moosy to engage, since everything we have on him at the moment is tonal, and could be bad/lazy town. Bleh.

This is not a classic scum tell. It's pretty obvious I'm being a shitty townie so his analysis is pretty on point as usual. I really don't see how you guys think I'm Mafia. XD

Can you explain to me how I am supposed to differentiate "shitty townie" play from Mafia play? The way your posts are reading to me now it sounds like you are a mafia resigned to their fate. If that's not the case then what is your play here? Do you have anyone you think is mafia? Anyone that you think is town? Any reasons for those reads? Any reasoning for why you have been writing/acting like a 14 year old for the last 12 hours? I'm going to be seriously upset if you are lynched and flip town because all that I will be thinking is: "What the fuck?"


This is also an interesting post. Here he already states that he would be very upset if MD flipped town. Given the fact how d1 lynch went down and MD is townlean by most players, this post seems like it was written to cushion the fall when MD actually does flip town. Which only mafia would know.

On July 13 2015 06:31 TJHuggins wrote:
Figured I would post where I am at before EOD (for obvious reasons). Here's a scum list for me right now in order:

1. MoosyDoosy
2. Sulfuras
3. Grokken

Scott, NHM, and silentwarrior are all in a 3rd category for me which includes players that haven't impressed me with their content and have not left any last impact on me. Might be mafia, might be town. I would rather wait until day 2 to deal with this group since it may give them more time to provide content for me to figure out their alignment. Personally, I'd rather kill someone whos acting scummy than someone whos just a crap shoot (actually if this were video mafia I would pressure them and force them to talk but I can't really do that here.)

If at EOD 2 I still have nothing on those three, I would advocate to shooting, cop checking, lynching them. I would caution against vig shooting or cop checking any of the lurkers this night because I don't think it will really help progress our scum leads much. A vig shot is better saved on a clearly scummy person (same logic as above) and cop check better on someone whos a bit more active.



Ok, this has been said by a lot of people. Just to reiterate, Sulf was placed on as second on TJH scum list right after sulf was tagged. This seems to be a move in case sulf is lynched and he can get some towncred (I admit this got me).

On July 13 2015 07:03 TJHuggins wrote:
Wait what... the vote count was changed after the day ended. This is some shitty modding.


So TJH is mad about MD vote on himself not being counted, which is important because it would have meant sulf woulnd't have been lynched. Kind of strange to think that voting on yourself would count though, and he seems really upset about this turn of events.

On July 13 2015 07:15 TJHuggins wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2015 07:13 Half the Sky wrote:
On July 13 2015 07:11 TJHuggins wrote:
Wow. Mod-error in town's favor. I'll take it.


We pointed that out in page 15. Nothing was changed after the fact. I'd have responded to you but some mods modkill if you post after deadline and as a moderator myself I didn't want to chance that.


You pointed that out but none the less his vote was included in the voting thread for quite some time both before and after. I thought that perhaps it was frowned upon but no strictly forbidden. The fact that it was not corrected until after the time in the day ended is unacceptable imo. I feel very strongly about the integrity of games that I am in and it just annoys me when something like this happens.



He goes on to say that this is because he feels strongly about the integrity of the game. But he seemed to have no problem having someone vote for themself, which everyone can easily tell is not part of the game.


On July 13 2015 07:21 TJHuggins wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2015 07:16 KelsierSC wrote:
On July 13 2015 07:14 TJHuggins wrote:
I so strongly felt that MD is the most obvious mafia there could possible be... I was going to be so mad if Sulfuras flipped town. Now I'm not so sure since sulfuras was voting on MD. I need to reread Sulfuras posts to see why he was voting on MD.


I can give you a hint

+ Show Spoiler +
sulf was mafia!


also please don't criticise mods the way you did, they run games for us and it isn't easy.


The mistake was made: that's fine. Everyone makes mistakes. To retroactively correct the mistake after the day ends instead of leaving it as is? Unacceptable from a game integrity standpoint. But we got a mafia; it's whatever. I get passionate about lynches.


Here he states that he actually wanted the mistake to be left as it was. Why? It was incorrect and correcting it led to a lynch of mafia. I think the thing TJH was upset about here was the fact that he thought sulf could be saved and he didn't need to bus him. But since the mistake was corrected after day was over, there was nothing he could do.

On July 13 2015 07:22 TJHuggins wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 13 2015 07:20 n00bKing wrote:
On July 13 2015 07:15 TJHuggins wrote:
On July 13 2015 07:13 Half the Sky wrote:
We pointed that out in page 15. Nothing was changed after the fact. I'd have responded to you but some mods modkill if you post after deadline and as a moderator myself I didn't want to chance that.

You pointed that out but none the less his vote was included in the voting thread for quite some time both before and after. I thought that perhaps it was frowned upon but no strictly forbidden.

That's odd that you would think that, considering that this happened, all the way back on Page 13:
On July 13 2015 02:00 n00bKing wrote:
On July 12 2015 23:33 TJHuggins wrote:
I didn't think you were even allowed to vote for yourself.

Players may not vote for themselves. So the vote count posted on Page 12 is not completely accurate.

My point is the vote remained on the voting thread and was included in the vote counts until a minute or two after the day concluded.


He even states so himself. He wouldn't have been angry if they had fixed it earlier, because then it would have given him the chance to change vote.



On July 16 2015 08:11 TJHuggins wrote:
Shit I missed the vote. Sorry guys.


He is then afk for quite a while, and mysteriously pops up just one hour after lynch and posted the above. It almost seems like he dosen't even care about the game anymore, like he feels he has lost. This comes up again:

On July 16 2015 08:30 TJHuggins wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 16 2015 08:23 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On July 16 2015 08:16 TJHuggins wrote:
Tomorrow.

If you die where does that leave us? I would like it if you could post it now for me and HtS to dissect.

I may die. But, considering a significant amount of people think that I am mafia (see the three players who voted on me this day), understandably so since I have been very inactive this day, I think it wouldn't be terrible for town if I did die. It will save me from potentially getting mislynched, and keep someone who is much more towny in the game.

So I will let the Mafia make the decision.


Here he has the defeatist attitude I was talking about. No effort to try and look town, or even defend himself. Just that he is basically okay with dying. Seeing as how we got scum on d1 lynch and he seemed really upset about it, this could mean he as mafia has given up.

So basically, I think TJH is mafia.



##Vote TJHuggins
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 00:26 GMT
#769
And, TJHuggins decided to vote for me as well without any explanation as well.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 00:30 GMT
#770
On July 18 2015 08:42 Tictock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2015 08:25 silentwarrior wrote:
This is just a complete lie. I did mention him again and my change of opinon of him is stated there.


Where? Show me that post, I have looked through your filter and failed to find and mention of TJ between those 2 posts I quoted.

Show nested quote +

On July 18 2015 01:01 Tictock wrote:
This point me be a little more neutral, but it fits with the "following thread sentiment" notion.
SW's biggest post was his case on Ghandi, however his "case" came well after I had been pinging out Ghandi most of the day and HtS posted a large case on Ghandi as well. Check where this post came in terms of thread sentiment against ghandi.


This is also incorrect. I tagged GhandiEagle right after he made that strange comment about scott being town. My big case came later, but I was on to him before you were, and I also said I would analyze him more.


I saw that post, pretty sure I mentioned it in that case on you as well. I even stated that that point was sorta weak and that was part of why.

I'd also like you to give us your thoughts on WP.

I know I know, I'm a demanding A-hole.


Here is a link to the first thing: http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/mafia/488742-newbie-student-mafia-xii?page=20#396

Can look into WP tomorrow more, just did a huge post on TJH. Need to go to bed pretty soon.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 10:45 GMT
#811
Oh, wow. A lot happened while I was gone. First, really disappointed that you guys actually believed TJH. You didn't find it convenient that the guy who is set to be lynched with the most votes by far is dt and has red check on next likely lynch? And he dosen't claim until it is evident that he will be lynched? Still can't believe you guys did that.

Btw, thx grokken for claiming to save me.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 10:48 GMT
#813
On July 18 2015 19:36 Fidei86 wrote:
Okay, I'm now 100% convinced that SW is the final mafia.

Looking at the evolution of his reads, it's totally bogus. He solo votes on NHM N1. He then town reads TJH for putting Sulfurs second on his scum list, but as discussed, that's actually a massively scummy thing to do. The crucial part, next, is that he does this massive big long post on Ghandi, presumably in order to make sure that town stays on the GE wagon. He doesn't say ANYTHING else about TJH at all. But then, with literally no explanation, he moves TJH down into his 'scum' category, despite TJH having said basically nothing between SW's first read of him as town and then.

I couldn't have solved this game without the following people:
HTS - so glad I was town with you. I think if you had rolled scum, it would have been GG.
n00b - I won't eff with you I promise
Grokken - Bro, you did a nice job as cop, checking exactly the right people and trying to help town without making yourself a target for NK. Props. I'm very impressed. You've got a bright future here.
TT - Buddy, what can I say. I'm sorry about the things I said yesterday. You were the first one on the SW wagon, and without you this wouldn't have been possible.

TL;DR If I can see this far, it is because I stand on the shoulders of giants.


All of this has already been stated by TT, and I have already answered all of this.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 11:04 GMT
#815
On July 18 2015 19:54 Fidei86 wrote:
Your answer wasn't sufficient. You said that you had answered it. I assume you're talking about the post where you kick around the argument that TJH was actually seriously scummy for what he posted re Sulfurus, but you hardly reached a conclusion. It reads to me, with the knowledge we have now, that you were caught trying to back your mafia buddy and didn't want to bus him but also wanted to distance yourself from him.


Have no good answer for that, and could have easily been that. All I can say is that I didn't understand the tactic TJH used. What I did after sulfurus flipped mafia was go trough the whole thread and see who said anything negative about him before he was lynched. I figured anyone that said anything bad would probably not be mafia. These were Grokken and TJH, and I wrote as much after d1 lynch. I did however also write that TJH wrote about sulfurus after sulf was tagged, which diminishes the town cred he gets for it.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 11:15 GMT
#819
On July 18 2015 20:05 Fidei86 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 18 2015 19:45 silentwarrior wrote:
Oh, wow. A lot happened while I was gone. First, really disappointed that you guys actually believed TJH. You didn't find it convenient that the guy who is set to be lynched with the most votes by far is dt and has red check on next likely lynch? And he dosen't claim until it is evident that he will be lynched? Still can't believe you guys did that.

Btw, thx grokken for claiming to save me.


Okay, I just can't restrain myself from making this post, because it's such a gimme:

1. This post is a total distortion of what happened. Nobody straight up believed TJH's claim. Lots of people (TT, for example) said that the claim was bullshit straight off. HOWEVER, if you don't have the necessary counter-claims, the correct play from town is to lynch the red check 100%. If the red check is off, you then lynch the false-cop. But you always lynch the target first, because then you don't run the risk of accidentally lynching your cop.

2. Nowhere in this post does SW express any actual claim to town. He berates town for believing TJH's claim, and he says thanks to Grokken, but he doesn't actually try and move the agenda forward or even hint that he might be town.

3. He's riled. Mafia get riled when they are close to being caught. They just can't help it. I've seen it time and time again, in real life mafia and in forum mafia.

4. Specifically, this is the first time that we've seen SW post this directly. Everything else has been pretty bland, but this has real fire to it.


1. So what, Im supposed to roll over and just accept that a mafia is trying to lynch me? The reasons for my dissappointment is that you all believed a mafia claiming he was dt and acusing me of red.

2. Ok, so apparently fidei is so stupid that he dosen't realise that mafia can also write "I am town", and me writing it means nothing. But just so that this can also be answered, I AM TOWN!!!!

3. I got riled because a mafia claimed dt and said i was red, and the whole town seemed to believe him and switched their vote to me.

4. Fire how? You mean emotional? Because this is a game of logic, and emotions shouldn't be used, logic should. That way bland is better than fire.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 11:34 GMT
#821
On July 18 2015 20:26 Fidei86 wrote:
I mean, it probably doesn't need to be said again, but I might as well:

I don't think anyone came out and said they straight up believed TJH's claim. Lots of people displayed skepticism. N00b said that he wouldn't have moved his vote anyway. HOWEVER, as I explained above, good town players should absolutely move their votes onto the cop claimer's red check, as you get the same amount of information as you would if you lynched the cop, but without running the risk of actually lynching the cop. The situation obviously then changes if you get a counter-claim. Here we have a very believable counter-claim coming from Grokken, who plenty of people have been reading as town.

Also, everyone is going to move to TJH if they haven't already - we know that HTS is offline and she'll switch 100% when she gets back. So there was no need for you to be angry at all. The fact that you are/were is a massive scum tell, in my opinion.

Please don't take this personally - I know that Mafia is a game of lying. Next time maybe you'll roll town, and you can put everything you've learned from being Mafia this game towards being a good town next game.


Yes, I get that it would be better for town. But knowing about it makes you kind of emotional, and since I knew I was town and he was mafia, it became kind of emotional.

Didn't really get angry, just kind of disappointed. As I said, when you are the one being targetted for a fake dt claim, you would be.

Don't really take it personally, know you are trying to find scum just like me. But please try to have less of a tunnel vision. You said I was 100% mafia, to the point were you actually made after game comments, before I had even reacted to any of it.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 18 2015 15:37 GMT
#838
Btw, who got roleblocked? Was it scott or wonnaplay?
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 19 2015 11:30 GMT
#894
GG, good job town.
silentwarrior
Profile Joined July 2015
131 Posts
July 20 2015 20:31 GMT
#897
What were the night actions?
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