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TL Mafia LXXI: Gaiden - Page 209

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milo109
Profile Joined May 2015
466 Posts
July 09 2015 19:40 GMT
#4161
For those asking why I've adopted a apathetic attitude to the rest of this day it is simple. Town is making the mechanical play that I know to be incorrect because I have information you don't(That I'm a cop.) All my reads are based on this information. This information means I almost have to believe that Damdred is town. Yet Damdred has acted so scummy that we have to lynch, even if it just so that town knows that he is town. Until that happens, my reads are based off more knowledge than you have. I'm in a holding state, waiting for Damdred to be lynched so we can all be on the same page.
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
July 09 2015 19:44 GMT
#4162
MZ If you're gonna go with "apathetic is scum" then how are you ignoring this post?

On July 09 2015 10:01 WaveofShadow wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 09 2015 09:54 Clarity_nl wrote:
On July 09 2015 09:51 Clarity_nl wrote:
On July 09 2015 09:49 Breshke wrote:
So if damdred is mafia does that mean milo is mafia?

Or could there be two mafia RB with this many roles I'm not sure


Pretty much. On the other hand if damdred somehow flips JK I think milo is likely town and ritoky scum.

But I expect damdred to flip scum.



Eh this isn't true actually. NVM.


Looks like milo is gonna take his time, I'm going to bed.


WoS would be cool if you could shared some reads and such.

I had a few I thought of earlier but now I forget them.
Gimme a bit I guess.

I'm totally not feeling this game
Somebody vig me lol

FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
July 09 2015 19:45 GMT
#4163
On July 10 2015 04:40 milo109 wrote:
For those asking why I've adopted a apathetic attitude to the rest of this day it is simple. Town is making the mechanical play that I know to be incorrect because I have information you don't(That I'm a cop.) All my reads are based on this information. This information means I almost have to believe that Damdred is town. Yet Damdred has acted so scummy that we have to lynch, even if it just so that town knows that he is town. Until that happens, my reads are based off more knowledge than you have. I'm in a holding state, waiting for Damdred to be lynched so we can all be on the same page.



Why don't you entertain the thought of scum having two roleblocks at all? Start from there and put some reads out there.

Do you currently believe ritoky is cop or scum?
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 09 2015 19:52 GMT
#4164
trying to catch up on the whole claim things.

so what came to my mind was the following:

facts: 1kp delivered. 1 banish delivered. Also damdred visited ritoky. geript tracked him.

a) geript is legit tracker and confirmed town.
b) geript and damdred are scum together and orchestrated that (which is unlikely but possible)

Then there's this damdred's filter:

On July 07 2015 23:46 Damdred wrote:
Good morning guys, i've caught up to the thread and would like to push you all to kill clarity today.

I'm not going to bother posting tons of quotes so you should fact check yourself after you get done reading.

The first thing of note to look at when it comes to clarity is his weird way of reading HF at the start of the game. Something that is really Non alignment indicative gets him to totally town read HF and say that in no way would he lynch HF today and he would totally fight against his lynch today. To me this is extremely odd, openings are usually not really that important and when informed that HF is the best (arguably) scum player on this site, the stance never changed and no fear is shown at all towards HF.

The next thing that really bugs me about Clarity is lack of follow up and ignoring of questions. I think that is extremely scummy behavior, if you look in his filter you will see that multiple times I asked him questions about the town read he gave HF, any more reads and his reasoning behind voteing wave and open ended questions. He ignores them until I continue to push them down his throat. He has no real follow up which I think is damning.

The weird vote and unvote has been talked about a bit by Marv as being really strange. Wave really really hasn't done jack all this game so not sure why he would unvote as it feels sorta like hes just going with thread sentiment to an extent and going where its safe. HF pushes wave goes to wave, thread goes against ritoky jumps to ritoky. Now is trying to get marv to tell him where to go. And has no real reads at this point.

TLDR
Has no fear of people he says are town, ie HF after one post
Lacks follow through on some posts/questions
Lacks scum reads
Follows thread sentiment and jumps to another when its available instead of pushing what he thinks.

This guy is scum vot ehim.


Pushing clarity. There's always one or even more scum reads on clarity during D1. So why not jail this guy? Why jail ritoky instead? For the jail itself: I (as a newer player) can actually see a jailor jailing ritoky. A defensive jail if he believed the cop claim - and a offensive jail if he would not believe it.

As it is, we have a person being roleblocked (marv), a person being visited (ritoky) and only one KP carried out. Doesn't that actually mean that it is highly likely that the KP was delivered by either marv or ritoky? Who else was blocked during the night, if any? I think milo claims to have been blocked (if I remember correctly, unsure of that and not really having the time to investigate on this).

So that brings us to 3 people that might have delivered a KP and were blocked. Marv, ritoky, milo.

Okay. At this point, I remembered that Harkon claimed. This:

On July 09 2015 19:29 Harkon wrote:
Ok, so considering that scum have no vig and town vigs are not allowed to shoot night1 there are EXACTLY 2 KP night 1.

I am telling you the following:

- Marv was not shot.
- Marv did not deliver KP.
- Ritoky was not shot.
- Ritoky did not deliver KP.
- the nightkills were EXACTLY Palmar and Harkon

Because I am the goddamn batmanveteran and I got shot last night.


This fucking screws my theory because it simply makes sense. I don't see Harkon claiming vet as scum.
So that removes Marv and Ritoky from my list of people that could have delivered the KP.

Leaving milo.

##vote milo
Meapak_Ziphh
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
United States6786 Posts
July 09 2015 19:52 GMT
#4165
On July 10 2015 04:44 Clarity_nl wrote:
MZ If you're gonna go with "apathetic is scum" then how are you ignoring this post?

Show nested quote +
On July 09 2015 10:01 WaveofShadow wrote:
On July 09 2015 09:54 Clarity_nl wrote:
On July 09 2015 09:51 Clarity_nl wrote:
On July 09 2015 09:49 Breshke wrote:
So if damdred is mafia does that mean milo is mafia?

Or could there be two mafia RB with this many roles I'm not sure


Pretty much. On the other hand if damdred somehow flips JK I think milo is likely town and ritoky scum.

But I expect damdred to flip scum.



Eh this isn't true actually. NVM.


Looks like milo is gonna take his time, I'm going to bed.


WoS would be cool if you could shared some reads and such.

I had a few I thought of earlier but now I forget them.
Gimme a bit I guess.

I'm totally not feeling this game
Somebody vig me lol


I honestly don't know what you mean, if I was to write an analysis of wave that post would be the centerpiece of why I think he's apathetic scum just skating by. Of course nobody is going to vig him, he knows that. What a worthless post to make if you're town. But if you're scum it's alright, it's helping you telegraph to everyone to excuse your bad play. Townies don't need excuse for bad play, even if you're not feeling the game you can still read the thread and provide opinions. I've had games where I'm just not feeling it but the least I can do is try to appear town so as not to confuse things even more. Wave isn't doing this, he's trying to excuse his fairly blatant antitown play.
Forti et Fideli ~ TL Mafia Forum: Come play with us! ~ Go Samsung KHAN, Stork, JangBi , Shine, Grape, and TurN Fighting!~ wat
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 09 2015 19:53 GMT
#4166
I fear that my thoughts might have some weaknesses. Also, the important part of my post is basically the "3 possible blocked KPs, only milo wasn't blocked". The rest basically is thought process explanation. Please test my case, let me know your thoughts.
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 09 2015 19:53 GMT
#4167
If there is any reason to not believe Harkon's claim, let me know, I missed it then.
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 09 2015 19:54 GMT
#4168
Also, my post definitely bears the possibility of Damdred being Mafia RB so I'm fine with a Damdred lynch, too. That way we'd confirm ritoky and his claim, too. So I'd lynch between Damdred and Milo, preferably Milo.
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
July 09 2015 19:55 GMT
#4169
On July 10 2015 04:52 boxerfred wrote:
trying to catch up on the whole claim things.

so what came to my mind was the following:

facts: 1kp delivered. 1 banish delivered. Also damdred visited ritoky. geript tracked him.

a) geript is legit tracker and confirmed town.
b) geript and damdred are scum together and orchestrated that (which is unlikely but possible)

Then there's this damdred's filter:

Show nested quote +
On July 07 2015 23:46 Damdred wrote:
Good morning guys, i've caught up to the thread and would like to push you all to kill clarity today.

I'm not going to bother posting tons of quotes so you should fact check yourself after you get done reading.

The first thing of note to look at when it comes to clarity is his weird way of reading HF at the start of the game. Something that is really Non alignment indicative gets him to totally town read HF and say that in no way would he lynch HF today and he would totally fight against his lynch today. To me this is extremely odd, openings are usually not really that important and when informed that HF is the best (arguably) scum player on this site, the stance never changed and no fear is shown at all towards HF.

The next thing that really bugs me about Clarity is lack of follow up and ignoring of questions. I think that is extremely scummy behavior, if you look in his filter you will see that multiple times I asked him questions about the town read he gave HF, any more reads and his reasoning behind voteing wave and open ended questions. He ignores them until I continue to push them down his throat. He has no real follow up which I think is damning.

The weird vote and unvote has been talked about a bit by Marv as being really strange. Wave really really hasn't done jack all this game so not sure why he would unvote as it feels sorta like hes just going with thread sentiment to an extent and going where its safe. HF pushes wave goes to wave, thread goes against ritoky jumps to ritoky. Now is trying to get marv to tell him where to go. And has no real reads at this point.

TLDR
Has no fear of people he says are town, ie HF after one post
Lacks follow through on some posts/questions
Lacks scum reads
Follows thread sentiment and jumps to another when its available instead of pushing what he thinks.

This guy is scum vot ehim.


Pushing clarity. There's always one or even more scum reads on clarity during D1. So why not jail this guy? Why jail ritoky instead? For the jail itself: I (as a newer player) can actually see a jailor jailing ritoky. A defensive jail if he believed the cop claim - and a offensive jail if he would not believe it.

As it is, we have a person being roleblocked (marv), a person being visited (ritoky) and only one KP carried out. Doesn't that actually mean that it is highly likely that the KP was delivered by either marv or ritoky? Who else was blocked during the night, if any? I think milo claims to have been blocked (if I remember correctly, unsure of that and not really having the time to investigate on this).

So that brings us to 3 people that might have delivered a KP and were blocked. Marv, ritoky, milo.

Okay. At this point, I remembered that Harkon claimed. This:

Show nested quote +
On July 09 2015 19:29 Harkon wrote:
Ok, so considering that scum have no vig and town vigs are not allowed to shoot night1 there are EXACTLY 2 KP night 1.

I am telling you the following:

- Marv was not shot.
- Marv did not deliver KP.
- Ritoky was not shot.
- Ritoky did not deliver KP.
- the nightkills were EXACTLY Palmar and Harkon

Because I am the goddamn batmanveteran and I got shot last night.


This fucking screws my theory because it simply makes sense. I don't see Harkon claiming vet as scum.
So that removes Marv and Ritoky from my list of people that could have delivered the KP.

Leaving milo.

##vote milo


Harkon claimed vet and that he got shot n1.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Harkon
Profile Joined June 2015
569 Posts
July 09 2015 19:56 GMT
#4170
On July 10 2015 04:53 boxerfred wrote:
I fear that my thoughts might have some weaknesses. Also, the important part of my post is basically the "3 possible blocked KPs, only milo wasn't blocked". The rest basically is thought process explanation. Please test my case, let me know your thoughts.

If a towny had blocked milo he would claim unless he is an idiot. And your logic doesn't make sense anyways. No KP was blocked. Mafia had 2 KP and both are accounted for. I have no idea what this big post is even about regarding milo.
Clarity_nl
Profile Joined November 2011
Netherlands6826 Posts
July 09 2015 19:57 GMT
#4171
ninja'd. Anyway.. if you think both damdred and milo are scum you should be lynching damdred, because if he is scum he is the scum roleblocker, this outweighs the possibility of him being town JK. That's the conclusion I drew anyway.
FIGHT THE GOOD FIGHT AGAINST STUPIDITY CLARITY, I BELIEVE IN YOU! - Palmar
Blazinghand *
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United States25552 Posts
Last Edited: 2015-07-10 20:09:20
July 09 2015 19:58 GMT
#4172
Vote Count


Damdred (12): XEliteBlueHunter69X, scott31337, Harkon, Half the Sky, rsoultin, WaveofShadow, Milo109, Marvellosity, Clarity_nl, ruXxar, LightningStrike, geript
Milo109 (3): Holyflare, Breshke, Boxerfred
Clarity_nl (1): Damdred
Meapak_Ziphh (1): ObiWanShinobi

Not Voting (6): marvellosity, vivax, ritoky, Meapak_Ziphh, Trfel, kelsierSC, Oatsmaster

Currently, damdred is set to be lynched. With 23 alive it takes 12 to lynch. Day ends at Friday, Jul 10 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) in .

Voting is Mandatory! Voting is done in the voting thread: (link)

When you stare into the iCCup, the iCCup stares back.
TL+ Member
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 09 2015 19:58 GMT
#4173
Yeah I know, Clarity. So 2 KP's were carried out. In a scenario where damdred is mafia rb, milo could've only been blocked by a town rb. That town rb could definitely claim by now. As long as that does not happen, I hold his block claim for a lie and am totally fine with lynching him.
milo109
Profile Joined May 2015
466 Posts
July 09 2015 19:59 GMT
#4174
I have written about the possibility of two RBs. However, there is no way for me to prove it... at all. So if Damdred flips scum, I'm afraid I will be the next one on the copping block. I think this quote suits the occasion:

"You do not seek to kill me, Mafia scum?" called Milo, "Above such brutality, are you?"
"We both know there are other ways of destroying a man, Milo." The mafia said calmly. "Merely taking your life would not satisfy me, I admit – "
"There is nothing worse than death, Mafia!" snarled Milo.
"You are quite wrong," said the Mafia,"Indeed your failure to understand that there are things much worse than death has always been your greatest weakness –"

Anyway. Away from the silliness. I think HF is mafia. I think there is a good probability that Scott is mafia. You as well. Harkon is bothering me too. The problem is, this game is so screwed up because of the claims. Until I know something for certain, there is no way to tell. Someone said something about them not killing me in the night on day 1, and I thought it was super scummy. I'll find it when I reread.

I think I know the WIFOM reason Ritoky called me town, and that makes me think he is town as well.
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 09 2015 19:59 GMT
#4175
On July 10 2015 04:56 Harkon wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 10 2015 04:53 boxerfred wrote:
I fear that my thoughts might have some weaknesses. Also, the important part of my post is basically the "3 possible blocked KPs, only milo wasn't blocked". The rest basically is thought process explanation. Please test my case, let me know your thoughts.

If a towny had blocked milo he would claim unless he is an idiot. And your logic doesn't make sense anyways. No KP was blocked. Mafia had 2 KP and both are accounted for. I have no idea what this big post is even about regarding milo.

Didn't he claim to have been blocked? If not, I'm just stupid. Who was blocked then Oo.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
July 09 2015 19:59 GMT
#4176
Bf might be mafia for that post. Giant wall of text explaining stuff that gets cancelled out by his last paragraph? Meh
Harkon
Profile Joined June 2015
569 Posts
July 09 2015 19:59 GMT
#4177
On July 10 2015 04:58 boxerfred wrote:
Yeah I know, Clarity. So 2 KP's were carried out. In a scenario where damdred is mafia rb, milo could've only been blocked by a town rb. That town rb could definitely claim by now. As long as that does not happen, I hold his block claim for a lie and am totally fine with lynching him.

Fair enough. But if milo is scum damdred is also probably scum and since damdred is probably the roleblocker we should lynch him first.
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 09 2015 20:00 GMT
#4178
On July 10 2015 04:59 Holyflare wrote:
Bf might be mafia for that post. Giant wall of text explaining stuff that gets cancelled out by his last paragraph? Meh

Or, I might be town who's simply giving his train of thoughts to contribute and let others try to hop on ideas that I might be bringing up.
boxerfred
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
Germany8360 Posts
July 09 2015 20:00 GMT
#4179
On July 10 2015 05:00 boxerfred wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 10 2015 04:59 Holyflare wrote:
Bf might be mafia for that post. Giant wall of text explaining stuff that gets cancelled out by his last paragraph? Meh

Or, I might be town who's simply giving his train of thoughts to contribute and let others try to hop on ideas that I might be bringing up.

Also, I still have a point HF...
Harkon
Profile Joined June 2015
569 Posts
July 09 2015 20:00 GMT
#4180
On July 10 2015 04:59 boxerfred wrote:
Show nested quote +
On July 10 2015 04:56 Harkon wrote:
On July 10 2015 04:53 boxerfred wrote:
I fear that my thoughts might have some weaknesses. Also, the important part of my post is basically the "3 possible blocked KPs, only milo wasn't blocked". The rest basically is thought process explanation. Please test my case, let me know your thoughts.

If a towny had blocked milo he would claim unless he is an idiot. And your logic doesn't make sense anyways. No KP was blocked. Mafia had 2 KP and both are accounted for. I have no idea what this big post is even about regarding milo.

Didn't he claim to have been blocked? If not, I'm just stupid. Who was blocked then Oo.

Yes, he claimed being blocked. If he is telling the truth mafia blocked him. If he lies (more likely) he wasn't blocked at all.
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