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Newbie Student Mafia XI - Page 15

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ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 19:43 GMT
#2185
I want to say thank you for pushing these questions hard on me Trfel.
It's making me think and reevaluate my decisions, realizing big flaws and holes in my train of thought.
It's exactly what I need to become a better player and just improve my logical deductions in general.
Even though it makes my brain twist itself at times, i really appreciate it.
Thank you <3.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 19:44 GMT
#2186
I'll answer your questions shortly.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 21:29 GMT
#2187
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 21 2015 04:01 Trfel wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 20 2015 21:45 ruXxar wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 20 2015 17:16 Trfel wrote:
ruXxar

Reasons ruXxar could be scum
Would like to see ruXxar's response.


1. Early on, ruXxar was slow to discuss people's alignments:

I don't see how your quotes back up that statement.
All of those quotes are from the first few pages of the game, and then there's even a scumlean in there.

My reads so far this game has been :

Mafia:
# Kickstart scum,
# Bats scum,
# Moosy medic
# Geript scum (I read his filter before the battrap and I already found it lacking. It was easy for me to sheep bats at that point)
# n00bking town,
# Trfel town,
# Rels scum,
# Moosy scum baiting as medic,
# kickstart scum,
# oatsmaster and scott scum.
# scott town
# wave town
# batsnacks town
# kickstarter town

Probably not correct order,but accurate enough.

To say I haven't been out there putting my neck on the line and making alignment statements is wrong.
I used exactly that argument against Moosy first time around when I accused him of being wishy washy and non committal.

2. Early scumread of Kickstart feels forced

Again an argument from the first 5 pages of the game, you read too much into it.

3. Keeps saying he wants more thread activity, but does nothing about it

First off, my filter is twice as long as yours.
Second off, if you read my filter you can see that I've actually been pushing the thread all game, not afraid to throw out new thoughts, trying to spotlight players I feel have been getting an easy pass.
Whenever I've had an opinion I've thrown it out there, even to the point of making me look wishy washy sometimes because I make new realizations minutes after I post them, and most of the time they even contradict my previous thoughts.
I'm not afraid to make pushes on people that other considered towny based on my own interpretation of the situation.
I don't need other peoples arguments to make a push, I make them myself.

When I say that I'm going to bed, it usually means I'm going from my computer to my bed, and start reading on my phone.
And yes, I don't push equally as strong every day. I have a day job that requires my attention and sometimes the thread is simply at a standstill and you've run out of ideas.

I find this argument to be very weak also.

4. Switches read on Kickstart for a weak reason:

I actually went through geripts filter and came to the same conclusion that he did.
Admit it, geripts filter was weak, and going through the filter I came to the same realizations that kickstart did.

Besides the first statement about liars from kickstart, he did nothing else that made me feel he was more scummy.
Again, you read too much into the first few pages of the game.

5. Delay in responding to batsnacks' case on geript

I think this makes perfect sense.
My top two scumreads were bats and geript.
I did not think bats would bus his own teammate.
This makes bats seem town.

I don't see how this logic is hard to follow.

6. Changing stance on Sulfurus

So this is probably the most damning evidence against me, my alignment with sulfurus.

Yes, I was wrong on sulfurus. My mentality was that his plays were too obviously bad to be scum.
As you say this argument falls apart if Rels is town, which I actually realized in a later post

Despite that, I still clung onto the fact that sulfurus was town.
Even if the evidence was right in front of me, i had somehow locked away the thought of re-evaluating sulfurus, due to my earlier conviction.
That's a terrible mindset to have from my side, but that's how I thought at that point.

Combine that with the fact that he'd been talking good about me all game, he actually did an excellent job in converting me to his side.
I don't know if that was his plan, but I have to commend him for it, and slap myself hard for falling for it.

7. Inconsistency with regards to the implication of Sulfurus' flip on Rels' alignment

Let me explain.
After the flip on sulfurus, my head was in a disarray.
Everything I had believed in so hard had just fallen apart.
At this point im scrambling to try to make sense of things.

So I put Rels on that list because the only reason I could think of that made sense with sulfurus flipped, was that rels was town. Which comes from the realization I had in point 6 above.

Then I later reevaluate and think that I must've been overthinking and that sulfur was actually just defending his scum teammate all along which I outlined in this post:

On June 17 2015 09:30 ruXxar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 17 2015 09:24 Oatsmaster wrote:
I really don't understand why everyone thinks rels is scummy because sulph flipped scum, can someone either explain or quote some shit


Here's my thoughts.

People were voting on sulf day one.
Trfel makes a case on rel.
Sulf calls rels his best town read and sticks too it all game.

End of story.

I used to believe in the too obvious too be scum theory.
I don't anymore.



8. Jumped around a lot and posted a variety of thoughts Day 1 through Night 2, then stopped
+ Show Spoiler +
I've been generally ignoring the fact that ruXxar's reads keep changing all the time. However, over the course of Day 3, his reads stayed relatively constant. He's not being crazy and jumping on everything, he was basically just suspicious of scott31337, Oatsmaster, and sometimes Damdred throughout the day. Not many read switches at all.


By day 2, tell me who else you would find suspicious besides scott, oats and possibly damdred?

You can't deny that oats and scott were looking the worst, you even said it yourself and almost everyone agreed on the point that either of them were scum.
So this point applies to pretty much everyone on day 2.
You call me lazy, but I made cases against oats and scott and I mentioned damdred multiple times.

I actually thought that Scott was mafia. But then I looked at his day 1. And I had to agree with moosy, it actually looked very towny.

+ Show Spoiler +

On June 17 2015 07:50 ruXxar wrote:
Btw Scott is mafia 100%.

On June 17 2015 08:33 ruXxar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 17 2015 08:22 MoosyDoosy wrote:

I'm not buying it until you explain why scott31337 went for Sulfurus early in the thread until now.


You're right.

When i look at Scotts voting patterns it doesn't make sense, since he even voted for Rels.

Yup Scott is town and Rels is mafia.



I later changed my mind on scott since I didn't like his defense when pressured.

-------------------------------

If something is unclear or you feel I didn't adequately respond to a point, please ask and I will clarify any questions you have.

I'm very happy to have an open discussion of where we go from here.

This is my current read list:

#Trfel: town.
#wave: town. He did make some weird posts lately though, not sure what to read into that.
#damdred: uncertain, I pegged mostly his inactivity, but he said he had internet outage so I don't know.
#batsnacks: town.
#kickstart: town.
#Rels: uncertain. He puts in a lot of effort though, which I like.
#Oats: scum although I don't know why sulfurus would try to make a case against him, not sure here.

I'll be re-evaluating some posts from the last day and try to create some talking points.

1. My point is that for your first several posts, you didn't say anything about anyone's alignment at all. You only did that after you saw me do it. This isn't a game-long trend.

2. "First five pages" isn't a good excuse. Why did you scumread Kickstart despite already coming up with a plausible explanation for how his play comes from town?

3. First, realize that these points I brought up are individual events, they aren't huge trends. This point refers to the first day, before you went to sleep, in which you make a large quantity of posts and several times mention wishing the thread activity would be higher, but don't actually do anything about it. The only read you gave in this time was the scum lean on Kickstart.

4. So, geript's filter was obviously weak. You and Kickstart reached the same (obvious) conclusion about it. Why does this make Kickstart town?

5. Okay, let's imagine for a moment that it's Day 1 again, and batsnacks and geript are both scum.

You think that both batsnacks and geript are scum. Then, batsnacks pushes geript very hard. You don't think they are scum together.

However, how do you know if batsnacks is town and geript is scum, or if batsnacks is scum and geript is town? Mafia!batsnacks has absolutely no reason not to bury town!geript with that post, and a whole ton of incentive to do this.

6. Sorry, I missed that the first time. I'm glad that you realized that Rels being town didn't fit your townread of Sulfurus. However, it's still hard to believe that you noticed this, and then didn't change your read on Sulfurus when you changed your read on Rels.

7. Okay, fair enough.

8. I'm assuming that you meant Day 3.

I guess that's a pretty good point. Ok. I feel stupid now

Anyway, I know I said this already, but it's important to realize that the things I brought up were single events. The generalizations of your play were the reasons to townread you. And that's why I'm not so sure about scumreading you, because I haven't found any real generally scummy trends in your play (except for connection with Sulfurus and occasionally using quick read changes in ways that benefit mafia).



Ok, so I want to make my opening play clear.

It's my first mafia game ever and I was really excited to play.
You can see that in the attitude and language of my first few posts.
I wanted to come out swinging and say something smart.
I latched onto the first thing I thought I could make a smart argument against without really considering the consequences.
You can see how I'm not really thinking things through when I even answer your question to kick of why he doesn't like people answering other people's questions.

And you're right, I didn't call out his alignment because I wasn't certain if it was proper to do that.
Which also reflects in this post I made later:

On June 12 2015 08:24 ruXxar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2015 08:16 MoosyDoosy wrote:
On June 12 2015 08:10 ruXxar wrote:
I'd like to hear your reasoning for voting on me, besides the fact that very few other people have spoke up yet.

I am just rather overwhelmed by the amount of (cross) analysis occurring right now. ^.^ Although this is my first time around, I can already tell this will be great.

Down to business. So @ruXxar, your reasoning for voting for Kickstart is his statement about lying in a game of Mafia?


I'm not voting on anyone yet, it's way too early for that.

I'm gathering information to base my reads upon.
I can only evaluate what I've read so far.

Putting pressure on people is also a good thing, not necessarily because you believe they are scum, but to see how they react in tense situations.


I was unsure of how the dynamic of a typical mafia game goes, so until I saw other people do it I was unsure whether it was ok to do or not.

As I mentioned several times, I've only been exposed to mafia through watching real life mafia, where votes don't happen until end of day, people just say who they're suspicious off and then they argue about it.

That is my honest explanation of the situation.

----

About activity: You're right. After that first seance if you will, I retreated into myself. I realized that what I was saying wasn't making much sense and I needed some time to recollect my thoughts. I think I stepped away from the PC at that point, but I can't remember for sure what I did, it was a while ago.

You could say that I got burnt by that opening(and especially by you) that I after that played a little more timid until I once again became comfortable with exposing my thoughts.

----

4: My thought was that people who reached the same conclusions as me were town. Naive, I know.
Same thoughts I made on moosy when he made this really accurate read on me:

+ Show Spoiler +
On June 13 2015 00:10 ruXxar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 12 2015 11:33 MoosyDoosy wrote:
^ Also Kickstart, I wouldn't read too much into ruXx's initial post where he's rambling about slapping/daydreaming about Mafia. It might have been from an attempt to identify himself as a non-aggressor to the Mafia so that when night time comes around, they don't kill him. If the game went on for longer, people would also suspect ruXx more giving the Mafia an easy kill. This actually happens a ton in real life Mafia but it's clear it's totally different online at this point.

Also, going back to his post where he "misses the interaction" which is right after his rambling, it's pretty clear that ruXx is not paying attention whatsoever. As a newbie he was probably just as excited as I was about remaining passive which is why he didn't notice the err in his post. Just the fact that it seems he has no idea whatsoever about what he's saying during his rambling just shows this too.

I'll look through the rest of your points, but I'll try and provide a "newbie perspective." Either way, it looks like he wised up real fast and stopped being as frantic and energetic in his posts.


Show nested quote +
On June 12 2015 11:38 MoosyDoosy wrote:
Yeah, the more I read of ruXx's initial posts, the more it seems he's thinking in terms of a real life Mafia game as well as tryharding a bit.

Him intercepting a question was him tryharding a basic read and him supporting lying is from a real life Mafia mindset since lying is much more common in real life.

The last two posts that you point out are kind of shady but even then they err on the side of newbie to online Mafia. Overall I wouldn't vote him just yet until we get more evidence.


Wow moosy.

I have to give you 5 stars for this read.
It's like you're inside my head or something.
I had goosebumps reading this since it was so spot on.

You are absolutely right that my only exposure to mafia has been through watching the TI qualifiers hub, and later watching all stars mafia on youtube.

I really wanted to emulate the dynamic of a live environment, and went in trying to actively counter some of the things i picked up that a mafia would do.

From watching those live mafia games I learned that the number 1 trait of a mafia is to be silent.
They would bide their time and look for arguments to bandwagon onto,
often avoid getting into heated arguments if possible, and when attacked they would try to deflect onto another person.

I admit I am very excited to go out playing my first mafia game, and overracted by claiming my role before day 1 post(I did not know that this was frowned upon).

Another thing that I learned is that it doesn't matter if you are mafia or not, as long as you contribute to try solving the case, then it's good to keep people around just in case they are town, because then in the largest portion of games they would be a boon to you as a town.


----
5: Because I thought they both were scum, it meant that the one outing the other was not scum.
It still makes sense to me now. Maybe I'm stupid >_<.

---
6: My read on the whole rels / sulfur situation has been in a spinning state of flux.
One moment I thought it was one way, the next moment I thought it had to be the other way around.
I found good reasons for either scenario to be true, and I couldn't land on which one I believed more.
For a long time I was stuck in the mindset that sulfur had to be town, even going as far as defending him when everyone was against him.

I mean, I had the easy way out at the start of day 2 if you remember.
I said that I thought rels and sulfur were scum, and we made a push on rels. I could've just rode that bandwagon, but i started doubting myself.
I had the thoughts that it was a weird play from sulfur before n00bking mentioned it, but after he mentioned it I took it as confirmation that it was weird.
I really looked up to n00bking(and still do) and I really believed in what he said(minus the part where I was scum).

If you recall I quoted his statements multiple times after he passed away, and I went back to his last post many times to look for guidance.

Either way I couldn't really make sense of it to myself, so It's no surprise I can't make sense of it to you.
---

Hopefully that answers some of your questions.
If there was anything else, please ask.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 21:34 GMT
#2188
I've also lost track of time.

Is the end of night in 30 minutes?
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 21:43 GMT
#2190
Here's my thought on the mafias play.

Either your or wave are going to die.
If neither of you die, then one of you has to be mafia.

Does that sound far fetched?
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 21:46 GMT
#2191
Now that I said it then of course that's not going to happen .... -_-
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 21:47 GMT
#2192
Actually wtf am I saying. LOL that was dumbest logic ever.
K, i shutup now.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 21:54 GMT
#2196
I think I'm going to die just out of spite .
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 22:04 GMT
#2202
Why batsnacks and not wave or Trfel....
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 22:11 GMT
#2208
On June 21 2015 07:09 Kickstart wrote:
Lol at bats failuire :D. Means he took out Damdred with him correct? -_______-
Well that puts the damdred lynch nonsense to rest that some were pushing. I really think we kill oats here but we can't afford any mistakes so will see.


1 step ahead of yhou.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 22:12 GMT
#2209
On June 21 2015 06:55 WaveofShadow wrote:

Ruxxar
rels
trfel

kickstart
oats
bats
damdred
Never had time to do reread 'cause weekend stuff, sorry
Not sure on the null/scum list tbh but I am confident the 2 scum are there.

Bye guys! It was a pleasure!


Why was damdred your top scum, even over oats?
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 22:16 GMT
#2210
Well, damdred/oats would've been the easy way out of this game.
This is where the real mindgames begin.

Is this the right point for the cop to claim if he has any information.
Assuming we even have a cop.

"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 22:26 GMT
#2213
He was godfather.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 22:27 GMT
#2214
You're right, there's no point in a godfather without a cop.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 22:32 GMT
#2215
I wonder if wave could be the cop.

His last list is kinda strange, I don't see how Rels and me ended up on town while kickstart and bats ended up on scum/null side.

I kinda felt like had had the opposite impression of us.
Maybe he checked us and that is why he ranked us like that.

I'll let him answer when he gets back.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 22:59 GMT
#2222
On June 21 2015 07:53 Rels wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 21 2015 07:49 Rels wrote:
OK another thought.
Damdred dying might be a good opportunity for us.

For the first time in the game, something that the mafia didn't plan happened. It is very possible that the mafia team pushed subtily Damdred to be mislynched today.
If you remember someone saying "damdred might be scum" during day 3 or night 3, please quote.

OK on the other hand I just read Kickstart's filter the past two days. Wasn't hard it is so short ...
Kickstart hard defended Damdred the past two days, so wasn't pushing for his mislynch. Good point for him.


Isn't it ironic how batsnacks was the biggest proponent of damdred scum? That's why damdred is dead in the first place LOL.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 23:04 GMT
#2224
I do agree that we should use this opportunity to see if we can find someone trying to push a mislynch on damdred.

It has to be said that damdred raised suspicion for a lot of people due to his inactivity.
I mentioned a couple times how he was a null read to me due to his inactivity.

However, he never really did anything inherently scummy from what I remember, so people wouldn't have any reason to push him except by PoE.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 23:09 GMT
#2226
I'm really tempted to buy TL+ just so I can search the thread much faster jesus.
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 23:20 GMT
#2230
I find it kind of strange how Wave and Trfels reads are polar opposite.

Trfel has me and rels as mafia leans, while wave has us as town.

Come back and talk to us! The suspense is killing me .
"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
ruXxar
Profile Blog Joined January 2009
Norway5669 Posts
June 20 2015 23:25 GMT
#2231
Damn rels.

Look at your own filter then search for damdred...

"alright guys im claiming my role im actually politician I can manipulate a persons vote during the day phase, used it on clarity last phase and forced him to vote for HF. full role name donald trump, definitely town sided". - EBH
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