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Season of the Witch Mafia - Page 3

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 08 2014 08:18 GMT
#1045
You also said haru was confirmed mafia and not likely in the following post. Nice. Can we lynch geript yet
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 08 2014 13:59 GMT
#1062
On September 08 2014 19:12 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Sylencia why is geript mafia?


Explained it already D1, Haru has the in depth details. Still has yet to do anything D2 either.
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 08 2014 14:18 GMT
#1065
Hit, he pushed for gobble fairly hard with a big post, but looks like he gave up and sheeped onto the Damdred train.

He had made a post about me being scummy, but when it came time for him to trade he decided between Damdred and I somehow a single post about potential buddying meant Damdred was better lynch choice.
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 08 2014 15:56 GMT
#1074
geript, sloosh, koshi
game solved
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 08 2014 16:47 GMT
#1087
Oh yeah, forgot to mention:

On September 06 2014 02:32 yamato77 wrote:
Gobble gives sylencia a reason to call me mafia. Sylencia, who has called me null, observes that the reason used to call me mafia is unsubstantiated by my previous play, despite how easy it is to just call me mafia. It's a good read, even if the conclusion is null.


On September 08 2014 14:39 Sylencia wrote:
yam would you consider Haru town for the fact he didn't play to the fact he could've fake CC'd Martyr as scum since he caught on to the fact I suspected he was the martyr? It would've had a fair chance of working ocnsidering it was goobly who was the actual martyr and a lot of us were quite suspicious of goobly until he dropped the role bomb


I wrote my post pretty much with yamato's post in mind, and yet I get completely different results from geript:

On September 06 2014 02:34 geript wrote:
That is a pretty good read. I like that reasoning a lot.


On September 08 2014 15:52 geript wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 08 2014 14:39 Sylencia wrote:
yam would you consider Haru town for the fact he didn't play to the fact he could've fake CC'd Martyr as scum since he caught on to the fact I suspected he was the martyr? It would've had a fair chance of working ocnsidering it was goobly who was the actual martyr and a lot of us were quite suspicious of goobly until he dropped the role bomb

This is a super convoluted argument. I'm ignoring yam's read on you from now on.


Other than the fact my thought process was actually incorrect (which geript doesn't actually comment on), both follow the same train of thought. One player was in the position to make an 'easy' play (ignore the incorrect logic for a second). They don't, and instead choose to go with their honest thoughts about the situation. Thus, this player should be townie.

So how is it that in one case it's seen as really good logic, and in the other case it's seen as convoluted logic? As far as I can tell, this is a pretty easy way for geript to slowly move targets towards me. If he had commented on the incorrect logic around the time yamato posted about it and I realised my error, sure things would probably be different but he didn't consider it and just gave a weird reaction given the previous case.
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 07:28 GMT
#1237
LM: Voting for the person I find my personal top scum read especially early on the day is in no way scummy - sloosh is 2nd on my list but I've been saying it since yesterday that I find geript to be the most scummy. If sloosh is worse in other's eyes and people want him dead, naturally I'm willing to switch.

Anyways if you guys are going to vote for me I can very easily claim, since I'd rather take the bullet tonight than have a better role die, and if I do survive it's still a win for town considering it's still more or less a confirmed townie. In addition, because of the fact the necromancer only knowing of the role of someone still alive, it'd be impossible to fake claim the role which was discovered because that person is still alive and able to CC.

Rayn: will respond to you when i get home, since I'm leaving work now
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 08:09 GMT
#1241
Since when is revealing roles a that
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 08:10 GMT
#1242
Actually on second thought I wouldn't bother revealing if I was to get lynched
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 08:43 GMT
#1246
Plz geript I know you want to soup but I'm still on the train, so you'll have to wait. Unfortunately for you though I've been sitting on this train for an hour know and it's not looking like I'm getting home any time soon =(!
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 10:52 GMT
#1257
need ~20 minutes, my 2.5 hour train journey is finally over
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 11:19 GMT
#1259
Anyways:

Claim or die geript?

On September 09 2014 18:34 geript wrote:
There's no role he could have that he'd consider claiming period. Like there's no point.

Acolyte isn't a role you ever claim.


Nah the brilliant part is that I didn't read who was the Inquisitor until now (to prevent myself from giving away information consciously or unconsciously) so that if the time came I would be able to role claim safely. On that note, our inquisitor is still alive and well.

Alive or dead, I don't care but to me it's up to the scum team to decide what happens during the night. What goes down N2 is probably the most telling thing in terms of the scum that are left.

"Why would you not read it when you first got it, other than the fact you'd be doing this to role claim later because that seems like horrible play?"
- Keeps me from being too biased given my knowledge of the inquisitor (too sheepy etc)
- Mathematically only a 1/12 chance of the inquisitor being lynched. Given that town players also act less scummy in general, that chance of being lynched decreases. This helps me justify not looking at it.
- If they died N1, I'd check. Given we know the martyr died, there was no need. I was going to hold on to whether or not I'd read it for another 12 hours because the final 24 hours of the day are always more important but yeah, since I have 3-4 votes on me my hand was kind of forced.
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 11:22 GMT
#1260
On September 09 2014 19:11 HaruRH wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 04 2014 21:06 Sylencia wrote:
Haru is town. Can't explain in too much detail without souping Haru. I am pretty certain I'm seeing the ideal situation and disagree with Koshi's statement about not seeing the big picture.

Null:
yamato - call out with no reasoning. Impossible to say anything about it
damdred - 1 post
rayn - 1 post
lonemeow - not in yet

I'm extremely conflicted about Oats. I hate the fact he called sloosh and koshi scum without any reasoning - and still without explaining why he called it out in the first place. His case against sloosh is pretty paper thin and I disagree with his interpretation of sloosh's posts. My interpretation is that the Oracle, Inquisitor and Wraith do what they think is best in terms of both finding the best time to reveal and expose themselves to soup, and in addition who they target. All of us, including the mentioned roles should (at some point closer to deadline more likely) put in suggestions as to who are the ideal target(s). Obviously we can wait for sloosh to come back to smooth things out a bit, but I feel like Oats is just cherry picking the part that makes sloosh look the worse and ignoring everything around it. Main reason why I'm conflicted is because the way Oats has been playing is classic town Oats and some high percentage of games (I think) end up with Oats being mislynched D1 because of it -_-

IAmRobik - pretty townie, can't see scum seeing the gobble grail vote reasoning before being told about it. I wouldn't ever hammer over this alone, but it's definitely a strike against gobble

Gobble is null-scum - Until I think about it later, something gives me a bad feeling about the initial planning post (regarding Inquis/Oracle visiting the same person) - like it feels like a plan to stifle the information we get from the Inquisitor in order to get Oracle views, which I think is pretty average N1. Then there's the case from Robik which I still think is still decent, but as I said, it's not solid enough evidence.

Scum team prediction so far: 1 of the players who haven't posted more than once or twice, oats and gobble.
a
Show nested quote +
On September 05 2014 22:43 Sylencia wrote:
On September 05 2014 21:10 HaruRH wrote:
I thought the notebook idea sucked so i decided not to use it.
Robik still haven't convinced me he is town yet. I am waiting.
Koshi, stop lying about wanting to post lesser. You know it won't happen and it only makes people suspicious of you. Where is the 'i am the town lord' koshi? Or are you scum?
Sylencia... wtf? Souping me? Are you trying to figure out my role or have you?
Oats... i feel the singaporean from you. We both are confusing for stupid americans.
Yamato -afk lord
Geript is missing. Where is he?

I'm not interested in talk about the rest yet.
Meanwhile, i am ghostly because i am busy. But i will have sudden spikes in activity when I'm free. Start asking me questions.


Just accept I think you're town because I put myself in your shoes. I can only go so deep into my logic without saying too much.
Show nested quote +
On September 08 2014 22:59 Sylencia wrote:
On September 08 2014 19:12 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Sylencia why is geript mafia?


Explained it already D1, Haru has the in depth details. Still has yet to do anything D2 either.


What do you think about his constant buddying with me? buddying is alignment null, but... this is pretty excessive.


The first quote is while I still thought you were martyr remember?
Second post is because I was lazy to reiterate similar things to what you said - I mean you look at what I posted about geript in d1, and wow it's not too dissimilar to your case.
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 11:28 GMT
#1261
On September 09 2014 16:23 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 09 2014 16:09 LoneMeow wrote:
On September 09 2014 15:59 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On September 09 2014 15:54 LoneMeow wrote:
On September 09 2014 12:41 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On September 08 2014 21:42 LoneMeow wrote:
raynpelikoneet

While I'd agree he's not playing as he usually does, I don't see that being alignment indicative.

I don't have a solid read on him but I do like this post for him being town:
On September 08 2014 13:31 raynpelikoneet wrote:
the problem with this game is the following.
there were four people who were considered (usually) town leaders. me koshi geript and yamato.
geript people do not trust on anyways, no matter what he says.
i was not around for the most of the time.
koshi didn't do shit - i think he could have even be scum based purely on that.
yamato didn't get anything done.

That leaves Koshi and yamato. I think there is one mafia between them because i am conflicted about the fact that the d1 was shit. yes it really was shit. you guys couldnt even get a fucking lynch done without me and thats terrible. however yamato looks town so id put my bets on koshi being mafia.


In fact the point about Koshi is a very good one and I think Koshi was a decent lynch.

So I'll say leaning town. A little.

+ Show Spoiler +

On September 08 2014 13:03 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Also in 36h starts my vacation and then i'll play.

He'd never say this as scum - is what I'd want to believe.

LoneMeow why did you make this post?


Because you were one of the focal points for D1. I thought it would be useful if I commented you since you were the leading wagon.

But i am not the leading wagon on D2. You should have said what you have on D1 when it was relevant. You didn't even comment on me in any meaningful way on D1 when it actually WAS relevant, and now when it isn't you do. And i do wanna know why you think it's relevant now?

Also what's your take on Sloosh and Sylencia?


You're right that I should've said it on D1, unfortunately that was not possible. Make whatever you want of that.

My take on slOosh has not changed, he's still my top scum read.

Sylencia is quite scummy, especially for calling slOosh scum but not doing anything about it. All the while pushing geript who doesn't seem likely to get lynched right now.

Yes this is how i percieve the situation aswell.
Except he does not do anything about his geript suspicion aswell. Besides calling geript mafia for sitting on his vote on gobbly which Sylencia is also guilty of (regarding geript).


If you take a look at any of my games, I don't really find it necessary to swing back and forth 80 times in votes in a single day. It's pretty simple:
1) Once you decide to vote, put your vote on top suspect scum
2) if another person you suspect is scum is full steam ahead, you can also get behind it.

Obviously facts can change throughout the day, so if my top suspect is no longer X, I'd move it to Y.

If it's near the end of the day - that's different. However, I wasn't even around for the last 4 hours of D1, so my vote was still on geript at the time.

The other thing that's different is that I don't just sit on my vote and then push the same person. I've already listed out who I suspect is the scum team. I've already explained both (remaining alive). I should probably find a third in the case Koshi isn't scum but it's pretty ridiculous to expect me to be able to vote on both my suspects at once
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 11:33 GMT
#1262
On September 09 2014 14:33 ritoky wrote:
People's stance on Koshi so far:
robik - thought scum, hesitant after so many people said scum
geript - fuck you
damdred - scum
yamato77 - town
sloosh - null, leaning scum
oats - assuming scum since he voted on the guy
harurh - town
rayn - wishywashy scum
sylencia - isn't around enough to do anything
LM - isn't around enough to do anything


On September 08 2014 23:18 Sylencia wrote:
Hit, he pushed for gobble fairly hard with a big post, but looks like he gave up and sheeped onto the Damdred train.

He had made a post about me being scummy, but when it came time for him to trade he decided between Damdred and I somehow a single post about potential buddying meant Damdred was better lynch choice.


You actually missed my post about it (probably because it wasn't quoted).

Anyways, I still don't actually see the point of mentioning the above unless you're oracle hunting since we have no idea which allegiance Koshi was -_-
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 13:43 GMT
#1265
Sorry, I didn't realise I already did that by voting already. And also by calling out who I thought was the scum team. And by also explaining it already in the past. Nothing has really changed, so everything pretty much still stands.

geript sloosh and kushi, but if kushi is town I have to relook at a few of the other options.
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 13:50 GMT
#1266
Damdred you never gave me a list of scum reads I believe, the only person I can see from your filter is sloosh (in terms of suspects) who else is scum?
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 09 2014 16:46 GMT
#1303
Yes rayn, I'm confirming the claim - why would i write that entire explanation otherwise -_-

Also geript, it's really not hard but I don't really want to go into PM details since I'm sure that's gonna end up being grey territory. You read your role. You can obviously see more text but you don't read it. Wow, hard.

Take for example the PM I sent out for Guilty:

Godfather
You return green to alignment checks. Any player tracking you will return nothing. Visiting a watched player will not return your name in the results. You can deliver the night kill.
Team: VayneAuthority, WaveOfShadow, IAmRobik
QT: http://www.quicktopic.com/50/H/QyuKJyZXWALCu


You could read the first line and stop actively knowing that you wanted to limit your information.

Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 10 2014 03:54 GMT
#1364
On September 10 2014 06:08 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Koshi, sloosh and geript


now there's someone with some sense

On September 10 2014 11:14 ritoky wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 10 2014 11:06 Damdred wrote:
I think syl claim is real so no won't vote him.



then please address geript's post.


The only way you could ever address geript's post about "it is impossible to not read the PM" is if you could see my PM. As far as I can see, my PM is the only role in the game that would have extra information attached to it, and so whether or not you choose to believe the fact I could avoid the extra information or not is up to you.

I just find it amusing how geript pushes for my lynch still, and i find it disappointing that you're taking the bait ritoky
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 10 2014 09:18 GMT
#1449
On September 10 2014 16:49 geript wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 09 2014 16:28 Sylencia wrote:
LM: Voting for the person I find my personal top scum read especially early on the day is in no way scummy - sloosh is 2nd on my list but I've been saying it since yesterday that I find geript to be the most scummy. If sloosh is worse in other's eyes and people want him dead, naturally I'm willing to switch.

Anyways if you guys are going to vote for me I can very easily claim, since I'd rather take the bullet tonight than have a better role die, and if I do survive it's still a win for town considering it's still more or less a confirmed townie. In addition, because of the fact the necromancer only knowing of the role of someone still alive, it'd be impossible to fake claim the role which was discovered because that person is still alive and able to CC.

Rayn: will respond to you when i get home, since I'm leaving work now


Show nested quote +
On September 09 2014 17:43 Sylencia wrote:
Plz geript I know you want to soup but I'm still on the train, so you'll have to wait. Unfortunately for you though I've been sitting on this train for an hour know and it's not looking like I'm getting home any time soon =(!

Show nested quote +
On September 09 2014 20:19 Sylencia wrote:
Anyways:

Claim or die geript?

On September 09 2014 18:34 geript wrote:
There's no role he could have that he'd consider claiming period. Like there's no point.

Acolyte isn't a role you ever claim.


Nah the brilliant part is that I didn't read who was the Inquisitor until now (to prevent myself from giving away information consciously or unconsciously) so that if the time came I would be able to role claim safely. On that note, our inquisitor is still alive and well.

Alive or dead, I don't care but to me it's up to the scum team to decide what happens during the night. What goes down N2 is probably the most telling thing in terms of the scum that are left.

"Why would you not read it when you first got it, other than the fact you'd be doing this to role claim later because that seems like horrible play?"
- Keeps me from being too biased given my knowledge of the inquisitor (too sheepy etc)
- Mathematically only a 1/12 chance of the inquisitor being lynched. Given that town players also act less scummy in general, that chance of being lynched decreases. This helps me justify not looking at it.
- If they died N1, I'd check. Given we know the martyr died, there was no need. I was going to hold on to whether or not I'd read it for another 12 hours because the final 24 hours of the day are always more important but yeah, since I have 3-4 votes on me my hand was kind of forced.


In the first post, he wants to take a bullet to save a better role. The problem is that by claiming not only does he not help protect any better role, he actually makes it FAR FAR easier to find said better role.

Then look at the next couple of posts. Does Sylencia think I'm town whatsoever? No. He's voting me; he's pushing me, etc. If he thinks I'm mafia, why wouldn't he just tell me to go fuck myself? If I'm mafia, I have literally 0 recourse toward making good on my threat of "claim or die." But despite the fact that he's sure I'm mafia, when presented with claim or die from his biggest scumread, he CHOOSES to acquiesce and claim. Why? So I could soup him? It's not like I could Judge him if I'm mafia. It's not like I could Grandier him if I'm mafia. It's not like I could Crusader him if I'm mafia. What threat am I posing to him if he's town and is sure I'm mafia?

If he's town, what is the value that he actually sees in claiming? Why does he think that claiming Acolyte is an instant get out of jail free card? It's not a role you can ever afford to confirm (in 99% of cases obviously).

Let's also look at what Mafia can do. They can have a pretty good guess as to who the Inquisitor on D2 is if they're reasonably intelligent. That can lead back to the Acolyte as well (it goes both ways). Like if I were mafia, I would be in such a huge advantage. The mafia aren't players who've played this setup before.

Also, if you read the rules, you'd know that claiming Martyr was a fucking terrible play.


1) Have you even considered anything I've said in the past day or are you still trying to make up reasons as to why claiming suddenly leaves people vulnerable. My entire pre-claim filter is completely neutral of any bias since I had no idea who was Inq. How does that end up leaving them more exposed. Or are you trying to suggest playing like a VT somehow leaves another role exposed?

2) Rayn's push on me had a much bigger effect on me wanting to claim, he disappeared and you were still posting though.
2/3) If it was anytime beyond N1 I would naturally agree that there's no real way to confirm but we had 11/13 alive, 1 confirmed (dead) martyr, and 1 unknown. You've tried to show you thought Koshi was town, but nothing even remotely suggests he would ever be Acolyte, and yet apparently I have the magical ability to realise what Koshi was and try to claim it for no CC. As rayn says, if no one CCs, it is practically a confirmed town at this point because there is still so much available information.

If I was scum, the only thing I'd be doing is delaying my death by a day since not dying during the night makes it pretty clear I'm scum the next day anyways and with the town activity in D2 it's really not hard to push the lynch onto someone else without claiming.

Basically your entire 'case' on my claim hinges on the fact that I've somehow slipped extra information, which is actually impossible given the circumstances that I played the game.
Sylencia
Profile Joined November 2012
Australia1057 Posts
September 10 2014 09:39 GMT
#1459
On September 10 2014 18:30 geript wrote:
So Syl, have YOU been through Koshi's filter to know if there's any single hint as to him being Acolyte? Who says the key info is even in his filter?


No I haven't looked through his filter for Acolyte hints, I looked at his filter to see if he if I thought he was scum like 2 days ago. And if it's not in his filter you're suggesting there are hints in other peoples' filters? Sorry, but it's not a 2 way street with the acolyte.
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