Guilty Mini Mafia - Page 11

On August 25 2014 21:59 GlowingBear wrote:
WoS did you did my brief analysis of the night kill?

On August 25 2014 22:11 yamato77 wrote:
I'm not at all convinced that VA is lying.

He is exactly the type of player to play this way.

On August 25 2014 23:12 yamato77 wrote:
I said VA looked bad before, but honestly he's capable of switching up his play as any alignment, so meta is unfortunately useless. He could be claiming the truth.

There's also a world where he's mafia JOAT, but I don't know how much I buy into that.

Masons + JK + JOAT isn't OP for town, especially given SK + upgraded GF. Perhaps we have other blues claim if there are any? Otherwise I'm inclined to not lynch VA.

On August 25 2014 23:28 yamato77 wrote:
If we want a "safe" lynch, I'd rather go for Onegu, but if any of you have balls, we should get a wagon rolling on Hapa.

##Vote: Hapahauli

On August 26 2014 00:30 VayneAuthority wrote:
I dont know if anyone has brought this up but rayn was a very strange night kill, and he said he was going to cop check hapa yesterday. So that is another piece to the puzzle.

On August 26 2014 00:35 VayneAuthority wrote:
onegu is a safe lynch because he hasn't even come back after the lynch, probably just gave up. This game is incredibly easy at this point but people want to make it difficult for whatever reason. I don't mind dying though I at least semi confirmed damdred.

On August 26 2014 00:16 GlowingBear wrote:


Killing is good but identifying the SK is nearly impossible. He is just a mafia without partners. He will probably try to kill mafia so he won't get shot. Mafia will try to kill townies that are right on their reads or, if people are too dumb, they will try to kill SK so they won't take the risk of getting killed. Let them both chase themselves. Just scum hunt for alignment indicative posts. The fact is, scum hunting with the help of the flip is better than being incapable of doing associations with the flip (SK case)

On August 26 2014 00:43 VayneAuthority wrote:


well you have to look at it from my perspective

I looked pretty scummy but no way in hell did i think people would just start piling on me immediately with no thought, so I thought i would get my 2nd night action off easily. But this put me in a weird situation. if you just look at it from a timelined point of view then it is fine. if you look at it from specifically WTF hes getting lynched why he use that shitty ability? then obviously it looks stupid

On August 26 2014 01:00 yamato77 wrote:
VA isn't the best town player of all time, Wave. His claim makes sense if you realize that he's playing the game as a solo player basically as a town aligned person. At least his action is consistent with his reads from the previous day.

Onegu is a much better lynch than him IMO. He is likely mafia given his inactivity and his poor reads. He also doesn't seem to be making a return, so at worst we lynch the modkill and stall for time, something that is relatively precious in a 2KP/night world.

OR we could make DA BIG PLAYS and lynch Hapa. Like I said, this requires a pair, but it promises to be amazing.

On August 25 2014 09:30 Hapahauli wrote:
So here's the pool of players that are up for lynch tomorrow:

Xatalos
Wave
Damdred
Vayne
Onegu
Kelsier

Everyone else is either confirmed town (GB/Turtle), likely town from the lynch (Yamato, JAT) or mentally unstable and probably town (Rayn). So here's where I stand on these players.

I think Xatalos is likely town. I've mentioned a lot on Xatalos already, but overall, the lynch yesterday seemed like it was between two townies until Robik got last minute hammered. If you look where Robik's vote was parked, you can see he wasn't very concerned about "saving one of his scumbuddies". Rather, he was blending in. The vote count in general also really points to it being a town-v-town lynch before the last-minute stuff:


A lot of fragmented votes, and it should be pretty clear that one wagon isn't being heavily pushed (which should be the case in a scum v. town lynch). Therefore, it's likely Xatalos is town with Yamato. Even if you don't like meta stuff, I think this is pretty solid evidence.

As for Kelsier, I read a lot of what he does as confirmation bias. In his first game on the site, he seems very confident and cocky, which I think is more likely to come from a town player. I don't agree with the way he's approaching the game, but he has had a consistent mentality throughout the game.

Onegu is null. He just hasn't posted nearly enough for me to make a read on him. Good cop check here.

I think our mafia is between Wave, Damdred, and Vayne, in order of confidence.

On August 26 2014 01:51 turtlevine wrote:


what do you mean, scum didn't kill rayn? how did he die then, if not via scum? You think a vigi shot him?

On August 26 2014 01:59 turtlevine wrote:


Letting GB play the game for me has worked amazingly well so far, I see no reason to stop. 2 scum are dead and it's D2. As my uncle used to say, "if it ain't broke, don't fix it". Then again, he was an alcoholic and beat his kids, so who knows if that guy was trustworthy.

So are you claiming Vigi or do you not have some reason to believe scum isn't behind the rayn kill

On August 26 2014 02:07 turtlevine wrote:


Yes... obviously. WoS seems to be saying that it was NOT made by scum, which is why I'm asking him.

On August 26 2014 02:07 turtlevine wrote:


Yes... obviously. WoS seems to be saying that it was NOT made by scum, which is why I'm asking him.