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World Heavyweight Championship mafia III - Page 174

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
August 11 2014 02:43 GMT
#3461
there's a database to stop you being a lazy shite which i know you know about
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
August 11 2014 02:47 GMT
#3462
So as you'll all see now, Holyflare won't even bother to prove his townread on goodkarma to the confirmed townie when we're going into LYLO. One can only assume this is because he's confident enough in his m4d p3rsu4s10n 5k1llz to win the town over and get his scumteam the victory once I'm out of the way.

Or because it's almost 4am, but I'll give him a chance to redeem this by showing us his homework instead of just asserting he has the right answer without proof... again...
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
August 11 2014 02:52 GMT
#3463
Honestly, I was just going to policy lynch Holyflare for being arrogantly wrong about everything.

But all of those words are nice too.

Also:

[image loading]
Retired.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
August 11 2014 02:54 GMT
#3464
Cav can we be friends if we're both town and kill scum!Holyflare and win at LYLO
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
August 11 2014 02:56 GMT
#3465
Frenemies, maybe.

But we're probably both dead and we probably lose at this point so w/e lol.
Retired.
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
August 11 2014 03:04 GMT
#3466
This is all very interesting (and honestly hilarious, I love watching HF squirm/get mad + Show Spoiler +
sorry dood <3
) but you have absolutely nothing on JAT in your essay post, and your calling GK scum is based on sheeping me and a preflip association with your other two reads.

There are better reasons to think HF is scum than what you've commented on---once again no one has bothered to glance at the details of my earlier case on HF. I would think if you really want to get him lynched you'd be coming up with more than association-based reads, which are by definition, weak.
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
August 11 2014 03:07 GMT
#3467
Eden i know you're mafia btw
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
August 11 2014 03:08 GMT
#3468
My case on Holyflare has more than association reads... in fact the strongest point has nothing to do with associations at all. Hell, where do they rely on associations? I'm pretty sure my case is built on the confidence-accuracy discrepancy (best way to summarize it) and nightkill analysis.

Cases on JAT and goodkarma are in fact primarily associations which isn't great until the dominoes start falling, but that's okay because Holyflare is the first domino and my case on him isn't built on them.

Link your case on Holyflare again? Or I'll pull it up in your filter. Might help reinforce my read and/or persuade others. Anything we can get!
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
August 11 2014 03:09 GMT
#3469
On August 11 2014 12:07 Holyflare wrote:
Eden i know you're mafia btw

lmfao come lynch me then pussy

I would love nothing more than for your cocky ass to pass on nightkilling me so you can fail to get me mislynched, dangle from a tree and watch your whole scumteam collapse on itself in your wake
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
August 11 2014 03:10 GMT
#3470
I'm always confident in my reads but it's not like you to do a little research is it
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
August 11 2014 03:10 GMT
#3471
Like...so much of what you've written and your response to HF's rebuttal is just....wonky.

Like...Haru really isn't super towny in any way.
The mathematical analysis of GKs filters is really weird and ignores any potential circumstantial or style-based reasons for posting more or less.

It's all coming across is pretty forced and I don't know what to make of that.
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
August 11 2014 03:10 GMT
#3472
The problem is that I'm sure when you're town your arguments actually make sense.

Why in the fuck did you think Poofter and gobble were a scumteam?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
August 11 2014 03:14 GMT
#3473
On August 11 2014 12:10 WaveofShadow wrote:
Like...so much of what you've written and your response to HF's rebuttal is just....wonky.

Like...Haru really isn't super towny in any way.
The mathematical analysis of GKs filters is really weird and ignores any potential circumstantial or style-based reasons for posting more or less.

It's all coming across is pretty forced and I don't know what to make of that.

I don't see how Haru's day today isn't really townie?

I think you missed the point on goodkarma, Holyflare is acting like he's posting so much more and being so much more involved than in Showdown (as the only counterexample he's given to this game) and I'm just not seeing it. My argument about the numbers is that goodkarma isn't posting any more frequently, given the thread atmosphere, than he did in Showdown. HF and JAT gave gk a townread off of it and there's nothing there that I'm really seeing.

Not really sure what to say to "it's wonky," feel free to elaborate
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
August 11 2014 03:14 GMT
#3474
Half of your case is dead player association. Half is unsubstantiated "oh his reads are so disproportionate!" without amy real back up.
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
August 11 2014 03:15 GMT
#3475
Dude I literally gave one example repeatedly in the last 10 minutes. Lol

I can go back and find more if needed but I haven't been alone in saying it so I figured the people I would need to convince would already understand what I mean.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
ObiWanShinobi
Profile Joined April 2014
United States8089 Posts
August 11 2014 03:16 GMT
#3476
I don't have a case but you don't seem to care about how I'm voting.
Retired.
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
August 11 2014 03:16 GMT
#3477
On August 11 2014 12:10 Eden1892 wrote:
The problem is that I'm sure when you're town your arguments actually make sense.

Why in the fuck did you think Poofter and gobble were a scumteam?


Is it so hard for you to wrap your brain around? Both have been super scummy all game. Both have scum read each other with no faltering since day one. Both of them had the most useless reasons to scum read each other. Looked a lot like a bus scenario.
WaveofShadow
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Canada31495 Posts
August 11 2014 03:18 GMT
#3478
On August 11 2014 12:07 Holyflare wrote:
Eden i know you're mafia btw

wtf is this?

On August 11 2014 12:08 Eden1892 wrote:
My case on Holyflare has more than association reads... in fact the strongest point has nothing to do with associations at all. Hell, where do they rely on associations? I'm pretty sure my case is built on the confidence-accuracy discrepancy (best way to summarize it) and nightkill analysis.

Cases on JAT and goodkarma are in fact primarily associations which isn't great until the dominoes start falling, but that's okay because Holyflare is the first domino and my case on him isn't built on them.

Link your case on Holyflare again? Or I'll pull it up in your filter. Might help reinforce my read and/or persuade others. Anything we can get!

And this is flat out untrue---a great deal of the NK analysis you did is based on association. Talking about who kush wanted dead---association. The strongest point isn't particularly strong, that's all. 'He's still alive' isn't reason enough for me to want to lynch him solely based on that.

If you want to see some research and effort put into cases, go look up some of the stuff Foolishness has done. He may not always be right (lol in fact in my experience he's wrong quite a bit) but the cases he writes up bring out a lot of in-thread evidence as well as meta as well as potential association. Multi-faceted and brilliant at times, and often very convincing. This one, not so much.

Show me how Haru is all of a sudden super town exactly. Some of his posts today I admit had townie vibes to them, but what HF said about him is completely true. He showed up, promised a whole bunch of shit and then did DICK ALL. What is towny about that? Does it look like he actually cared about the lynch from what he posted?


I know we're supposed to be re-evaluating everything right now but this HF v Eden shit is wigging me out for some reason.
twitch.tv/waveofshadow ||| Winner of AHGL's So You Think You Can Cast! ||| Juicy Dad for lyfe ||| 'idk i get a kick out of stupid things' - Jarms Yarng
Holyflare
Profile Blog Joined November 2010
United Kingdom30775 Posts
August 11 2014 03:18 GMT
#3479
Goodkarma read from showdown is CONTENT. My goodkarma read in general is also post count. He's had 1 page or less in ecery mafia game he has played and here he had a million times more than that (like all his town games, more than normal in fact)
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
August 11 2014 03:18 GMT
#3480
On August 11 2014 12:16 Holyflare wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 11 2014 12:10 Eden1892 wrote:
The problem is that I'm sure when you're town your arguments actually make sense.

Why in the fuck did you think Poofter and gobble were a scumteam?


Is it so hard for you to wrap your brain around? Both have been super scummy all game. Both have scum read each other with no faltering since day one. Both of them had the most useless reasons to scum read each other. Looked a lot like a bus scenario.

I've asked this before and you didn't answer it as far as I can tell, so I'll ask again. What scum motivation exists for two mafia to hardcore bus each other from halfway through d1? The problem isn't that it's possible but that it's pretty unlikely. It doesn't make sense for mafia to do that here.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
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