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Newbie Mini Mafia LVII - Page 5

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 20:31 GMT
#1302
On August 06 2014 05:29 Seeyalater wrote:
And hey I was just pointing out some directions we could take, gosh!

Yes, but the stupidity emanating from that paragraph broke my brain.

Oh yes, let's lynch one of the only solidly confirmed town we'll get, then watch as mafia kills the last one. herpaderpaderpaderp

This is what your paragraph makes me want to do.

"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-08-05 21:32:02
August 05 2014 21:30 GMT
#1307
On August 06 2014 06:23 Tehpoofter wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2014 05:29 Lord Tolkien wrote:
cya: VT
Me: VT
lilwade: cop


I'm vigi.

And you havent shot anyone yet?

lelelelel

Wait, are you being serious here? Because if you are, this changes EVERYTHING, everything, and means it's highly likely that the last scum is godfather, and for cya to be godfather. Which invalidates EVERYTHING. O_o
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 21:32 GMT
#1308
if you're fake claiming, I'm going to fucking hate you forever.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:04 GMT
#1314
On August 06 2014 06:34 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2014 06:30 Lord Tolkien wrote:
On August 06 2014 06:23 Tehpoofter wrote:
On August 06 2014 05:29 Lord Tolkien wrote:
cya: VT
Me: VT
lilwade: cop


I'm vigi.

And you havent shot anyone yet?

lelelelel

Wait, are you being serious here? Because if you are, this changes EVERYTHING, everything, and means it's highly likely that the last scum is godfather, and for cya to be godfather. Which invalidates EVERYTHING. O_o


If you believed his claim, you are voting on me not even knowing why. I doubt you filter dived me before voting on me. I'm starting to believe you're likely to be mafia.

If I have to choose between you and Banks right now, I'd vote on you. That's the issue. Who is more likely to be scum in my eyes? You.


If Banks is actually claiming vigi (if he's fakeclaiming, he's is stupid), then that opens up cya as mafia godfather, because with 2 blue roles it makes no sense otherwise. In which case the game gets harder.

Do I believe that cya is godfather? Not really no. My read on him has actually been the only one that's been consistent this entire game, and lilwade's claim corroborates it. If the possibility of godfather goes up, then cya's position as confirmed town is much weaker for me. But right now?

You're more likely scum.

And yes, I believe the cop claim for now. He'll die tonight if he's cop, because mafia won't let him live till tomorrow. He's likely not VT because he's not stupid enough to fake-claim (I HOPE), and I'm fairly certain mafia won't claim tonight; mafia would much rather claim LYLO.


The vigi claim is blowing my mind though. Like wat.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:09 GMT
#1316
On August 06 2014 06:40 Tehpoofter wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2014 06:32 Lord Tolkien wrote:
if you're fake claiming, I'm going to fucking hate you forever.


I'm just vanilla town. I wish I was vigi I'd have shot seeya last night. Guess you'll have to hate me forever At least we banged.

fak you. I didn't believe it because vigi wouldnt' have waited so long to shoot, but fak you.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:11 GMT
#1318
Everyone and their mother was pushing onto meatpudding. So...yeah no.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:16 GMT
#1320
Basically we should know tonight if lilwade IS ACTUALLY COP, so I see no reason to push onto him TODAY. If by some miracle he lives till LYLO, he becomes top scum candidate unless he gets a good check in (which is a 33-67% chance of happening), but until then, no.

It remains possible that cya is godfather, I'm not ruling that out. But honestly, I'm willing to risk it ATM since my gut has been telling me he's donkey town this entire game, and I have a cop check on him.

IN MY CURRENT TIER LIST OF PEOPLE TO LYNCH:

GB
Banks
Cya
lilwade (jumps to near first if he doesn't die tonight)
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:18 GMT
#1321
On August 06 2014 07:14 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2014 07:11 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Everyone and their mother was pushing onto meatpudding. So...yeah no.


Votecount 4 on meatpudding 3 on me so, yeah, "everybody".
Check my reasons against meatpudding. I was the one who started his push aggressively.

Are you mafia? Your "not caring" attitude is sounding like mafia.

At night, EVERYONE WAS PUSHING ONTO HIM. Jenny died and she was putting her up as a prime D2 lynch bandwagon, I did as well even if I didn't ultimately vote on him (since I liked his D2 posts BETTER THAN YOURS). I don't think there was a single person who DIDN'T list Meatpudding as a D2 lynch candidate.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:20 GMT
#1323
Now during D2, there were REASONS why some people (including me) felt you were more likely scum. Namely your refusal to entertain other possible bandwagons to tunnel onto meatpudding.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:26 GMT
#1326
On August 06 2014 07:20 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2014 07:16 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Basically we should know tonight if lilwade IS ACTUALLY COP, so I see no reason to push onto him TODAY. If by some miracle he lives till LYLO, he becomes top scum candidate unless he gets a good check in (which is a 33-67% chance of happening), but until then, no.

It remains possible that cya is godfather, I'm not ruling that out. But honestly, I'm willing to risk it ATM since my gut has been telling me he's donkey town this entire game, and I have a cop check on him.

IN MY CURRENT TIER LIST OF PEOPLE TO LYNCH:

GB
Banks
Cya
lilwade (jumps to near first if he doesn't die tonight)


Mafia lets him live, draw attention to him day4, easy mislynch on LYLO.

Try harder.

1) why the fuck would they let him live when he has a 66% chance of checking someone in LYLO, and making the game that much harder for mafia.

2) who else would they shoot exactly; the only one who's "confirmed" town is cya if the check is correct, and there are 3 unconfirmed towns. IF WE LYNCH CYA and he's not mafia (which I currently believe), what then? Argh.

I suppose they'll shoot me or Banks if one of us isn't lynched tonight, but eh. It's a significantly weaker play I would think.


3) I wouldn't lynch lilwade immediately. It just puts him as prime lynch candidate. opinions *le gasp* change,
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:29 GMT
#1327
ZzZ. Goddamnit, you're making this really hard, but you're pushing yourself forward as town in your defense so for now.

#unvote GlowingBear

#vote TehPoofter

goddamnit
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:42 GMT
#1329
On August 06 2014 07:31 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 06 2014 07:26 Lord Tolkien wrote:
On August 06 2014 07:20 GlowingBear wrote:
On August 06 2014 07:16 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Basically we should know tonight if lilwade IS ACTUALLY COP, so I see no reason to push onto him TODAY. If by some miracle he lives till LYLO, he becomes top scum candidate unless he gets a good check in (which is a 33-67% chance of happening), but until then, no.

It remains possible that cya is godfather, I'm not ruling that out. But honestly, I'm willing to risk it ATM since my gut has been telling me he's donkey town this entire game, and I have a cop check on him.

IN MY CURRENT TIER LIST OF PEOPLE TO LYNCH:

GB
Banks
Cya
lilwade (jumps to near first if he doesn't die tonight)


Mafia lets him live, draw attention to him day4, easy mislynch on LYLO.

Try harder.

1) why the fuck would they let him live when he has a 66% chance of checking someone in LYLO, and making the game that much harder for mafia.

2) who else would they shoot exactly; the only one who's "confirmed" town is cya if the check is correct, and there are 3 unconfirmed towns. IF WE LYNCH CYA and he's not mafia (which I currently believe), what then? Argh.

I suppose they'll shoot me or Banks if one of us isn't lynched tonight, but eh. It's a significantly weaker play I would think.


3) I wouldn't lynch lilwade immediately. It just puts him as prime lynch candidate. opinions *le gasp* change,


Where are you taking that number from?
Night3 = 4 people
1 is lilwade, other one is cya
50% chance of him checking a mafia, IF there is no godfather, when there probably is one, it would be slightly unbalanced for mafia if there is no godfather. This takes the probability of checking mafia to the ground.

Much better to let lilwade survive and make him the last lynch.

You're right, I forgot to count cya as already checked. Or lilwade himself. how2numbers

Anyways, THE POINT IS letting him live gives an unacceptable chance of a copcheck on someone IN LYLO, which depending who's lynched is 50-66%. If cya still lives, then it doesn't matter anyways as it gives lilwade room to push onto the unconfirmed town even if he didn't check him correctly. If he gets a red check, great, town is much MUCH closer to winning LYLO. Combined with the fact that lilwade dying LYLO IS NOT GUARANTEED, and there is an unacceptable amount of risk for mafia.

Again, this assumes no godfather. If there is a godfather, then yes, they may just let lilwade live and hope they check him.



IN ANY EVENT, I am agreeing with lilwade's claim for now since It's too risk for mafia to make the claim the day BEFORE LYLO.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:42 GMT
#1330
*if mafia doesn't NK cya
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:43 GMT
#1331
Either cya dies or lilwade dies, regardless of who we lynch. So lynching them is not necessary. STICK WITH THE UNCONFIRMED TOWN (me, Banks, you).
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:44 GMT
#1332
for today anyways, LYLO is no bars.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:50 GMT
#1334
Well, I don't care about getting shot anymore since I know you're gonna eat it~
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 05 2014 22:50 GMT
#1335
also moar time
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 06 2014 06:51 GMT
#1394
Wait, what in...

THERE IS ABSOLUTELY NO REASON TO PUSH LILWADE TODAY.

wat

I'm just, wat.

I need to sleep on this but I will be up nice and early tomorrow.


THAT BEING SAID, move your vote off lilwade. For christs sake. PICK AN ALTERNATE SCUM.

Fuck I'll even go on cya right now GB, but NOT ON LILWADE. For reasons that have been beaten to death.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 06 2014 06:52 GMT
#1395
Again, we go into LYLO with no information as is if we do this. Holy shi-
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 06 2014 12:40 GMT
#1398
I'm up.

I don't think there's any point in me changing my vote right now. But you know what, fuck it.

#unvote TehPoofter
#vote GlowingBear

Might as well consolidate. And I don't feel like dealing with your shit GB. If you had pushed cya or TehPoofter, maybe we could get something going, but NOPE, LETS PUSH LILWADE TODAY. <_<;
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
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