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Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 02 2014 23:12 GMT
#788
On May 03 2014 07:56 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2014 07:51 Eden1892 wrote:
On May 03 2014 07:40 Yell0w wrote:
But really you ask me why I'm alive and then you claim you were roleblocked? Why would you ask if you already knew?

This. mtamburini's play continues to make less than no sense to me.

On May 03 2014 07:43 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
I think it was mafia sided roleblocker.
I think I'm the only one who strongly believes yellow is town, and I'm not roleblocker.

Why would a mafsided roleblocker stop mtamburini from killing a town player?

To push a mislynch on tambo.

For one, I think you mean lynched, we don't know tambo is town.

More importantly, though, why? We already established that tambo's night action isn't alignment-indicative unless he did something really dumb (like not shoot at all).

It's weird to me that you're not suggesting Yell0w was framed.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 03 2014 02:32 GMT
#810
On May 03 2014 11:29 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
I agree that there probably is gonna be a time where we have to lynch between epishade an yellow. However, I think both are town. If it's me, epishade and yellow left, I think I will have to go for the yellow lynch tho.

What? You hadn't expressed a strong opinion about Epishade. But you had on Yell0w:

On May 03 2014 07:43 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
I think it was mafia sided roleblocker.
I think I'm the only one who strongly believes yellow is town, and I'm not roleblocker.


Yet if it were 3p LYLO with Yell0w and Epishade you'd lynch Yell0w?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 03 2014 02:43 GMT
#813
Your "first read" which you haven't seriously pushed or discussed since, you'd trust over a more recent read you actively defended against accusations of being scum?

When I said "look for people whose actions don't match their words," this is what I mean. I don't buy it.

##UNVOTE
##VOTE: sqrtofneg1
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 03 2014 03:28 GMT
#820
On May 03 2014 11:48 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2014 11:43 Eden1892 wrote:
Your "first read" which you haven't seriously pushed or discussed since, you'd trust over a more recent read you actively defended against accusations of being scum?

When I said "look for people whose actions don't match their words," this is what I mean. I don't buy it.

##UNVOTE
##VOTE: sqrtofneg1

You know what I don't buy? I don't buy how you were so active last newbie game, but you're so inactive, in comparison, in this newbie game. I don't buy that.

We've gone over this, career change and finals. I weighed replacing out during D1 but decided to stick to it.

If you're just going to keep harping on irrelevant nonsense like my relative activity level, instead of actually making a case, and refuse to address the concerns I've got about you and others have about you, you can go ahead and get lynched now.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 03 2014 21:52 GMT
#839
On May 04 2014 04:44 sqrtofneg1 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 03 2014 13:00 Epishade wrote:
Amiko asked me before he died (god bless his soul) to deliver my thoughts on Dravernor and Sqrt. I did Sqrt in the post above so I'll talk about what I think about Dravernor.

Dravernor started out thinking that me and Bunny were scum early on. I might understand thinking EITHER myself or Bunny was scum, but I think it's weird to pin us both down as suspicious. If anything, I'd say I acted more suspicious than Bunny in that situation because I was defending someone, so it's a little strange he suspected both of us. I feel like he could have been waiting to see what other people thought about the situation so that he might jump on either one of us if people selected one of us to lynch.

On April 29 2014 14:18 dravernor wrote:
I think we've been off to a pretty aggressive start already tbh. I now think I am going to be useless at this game because everyone and no-one looks scummy. I think the top two suspects here in my eyes are Epishade and 27ninjabunnies as they have been pressing and deflecting the most for what looks like an early lynch. But, the game is still young and I don't really know many of you yet, so I could be reading wrong completely.


Then he says he doesn't believe Yellow is scummy for pretty much no reasoning.

On April 29 2014 14:19 dravernor wrote:
For some reason Yell0w doesn't strike me as scummy, despite all the posts about him.


If Dravernor were scum, I can see how this would be an act of going half-way. He says he believes in Yellow's innocence here but doesn't rule out the "possibility" of lynching him if the tides were to turn against Yellow. So basically, he sets himself up for a potential bus in case things go wrong. He continues in taking the side of Yellow's probable innocence, and still doesn't give much reason for his choice.

On April 30 2014 02:29 dravernor wrote:
On April 30 2014 02:13 Amiko wrote:
@yell0w and @dravernor if you are still in thread would you put a few comments on my points regarding Eden and Yell0w above? I won't be here as much this afternoon so would like to get some back and forth while I can.

Hmm, I'm still not sure about Yell0w, he really doesn't seem too suspicious to me after the initial frenzy around his nonchalant post about being mafia, but I am not ruling him out, just watching carefully. He did contradict himself though, as bunnies pointed out.
Also, you make a very good case about Eden - he did throw around a few votes. It definitely didn't go unnoticed that he voted dfs in the same post he said we should give the Euros a chance to wake up before accusing. I'm going to filter Eden's posts when I have a bit more time and try to figure this out.

It turns out that I was still too sleepy to read the posts made before I woke up, so I am rereading through to make sure I understood things properly.


I could be reading into this too much possibly, and he just didn't really feel like taking a side, but I feel that during a time where most people were talking directly about Yellow and taking sides, it's suspicious that he was reluctant to.

He's since moved Bunny to town (which I agree to) and me to scum (for my defensiveness early on).

However, his recent thoughts on Yellow have changed quite a bit as well.

On May 01 2014 02:22 dravernor wrote:
Hello everyone, sorry, I have had a tiring few days at work. I am back now. You have left me a lot to catch up on.
First off:
@Amiko I think maybe my problem is that I am an easily persuaded person. If I think someone looks scummy, filter them, read other arguments against them, I can easily be convinced. When that person makes a good post in their own defense, I go back, read their filter and try to see it from their point of view. I then become uncertain. Hence getting back on the fence quite often.
When I said everyone/no-one looks scummy, I meant that no-one was doing anything OBVIOUSLY scummy at the time but so early on in the game it is hard to get a read on people, and there were very small things like word choices here and there and phrasing that could be interpreted as scummy by almost every player. Which left that sort of conundrum of an 'everybody/nobody'.
As for the overly aggressive/defensive quote, it was more that Epishade and Yell0w were very defensive, and bunnies was very aggressive. This too was early on in the game and before I got around to understanding how bunnies was just trying to put on pressure to get reactions and get the conversation flowing some more. Now I definitely appreciate that pressure as it has revealed a lot more about the players in question and given the rest of us a chance to look at them more in depth.

Thus my read on bunnies has gone from a possible scum play to probably the most town. She really seems the most proactive in hunting right now.
This however does backtrack on my initial possible theory of a clever Epishade/bunnies diversion. I had pretty much discarded this theory anyway in favour of only one of them being scum, and I am still swinging towards Epishade.

On April 29 2014 12:47 Epishade wrote:
On April 29 2014 12:44 27ninjabunnies wrote:
On April 29 2014 12:39 Epishade wrote:
On April 29 2014 12:25 Eden1892 wrote:
@Epishade: What's with your 180 here? Seems abrupt to me. How did you go from "loaded question, aiming to paint Yellow in a scum-light, easy way to get rid of someone quickly with the first lynch" to "just digging for information" off the first post?

##UNVOTE
##VOTE: Epishade


I had it in my mind that Bunny was attempting to get an easy 1st day lynch by making a bad accusation against Yellow. When I said that her actions against Yellow gave me a scumread, you said you didn't agree with me there. Ritoky also suggested that Bunny was getting information from Yellow, instead of trying to kill Yellow with the lynch. I thought that Bunny was pushing too strongly for very little reason, and that looked like scum behavior to me. Ritoky said that she was probably digging for information, and I thought that that was actually a pretty justifiable reason for her behavior.

I changed my opinion on Bunny mainly from Ritoky's post, but you also disagreeing with my scumread made me think I might be wrong about the situation. I certainly didn't want to continue forth with Bunny being a scumread when you guys had changed my mind about her aggressive posting.


I appreciate you taking into consideration others' read on me.

But I would like to ask something. Why do you assume Yell0w is an easy d1 lynch?


I thought that your attacks on him were spot on, if not for the fact that what he made at first was in jest. I was thinking others would disregard this fact and bandwagon onto the first scummy looking person to lynch day1.

Although this new post from Yellow I'll admit is kind of weird.

This post is probably what set me off most. He then edited it to say *'would have been spot on'. Was his initial post his thought flow? The edit came two minutes after, which seems to me to be a short enough space of time for him to correct a genuine grammar mistake, rather than him reflecting on his wording. This post happens just before he starts defending Yell0w, which then of course raises the possibility that instead of an Epishade/bunnies mafia we could possibly be having an Epishade/Yell0w mafia - as a few of you have already pointed out, most notably in Eden's post:

On April 30 2014 06:03 Eden1892 wrote:
- Yell0w is scum.
- Epishade still feels like he could be Yell0w's partner, but he's active and I think I read too much into his posts last night and saw something that wasn't actually there. The only major mark I have against him is that he's remaining noncommittal about Yell0w. It's weird that he says he's "not against the lynch yet" wrt Yell0w, but he was already actively defending him against the lynch last night. If Yell0w is town (and I don't think he is, but for sake of argument), then I'll move Epishade to my town pile. If Yell0w is scum then I can't ignore my intuition telling me "kill this guy."

As Amiko said, I am quite a non-committal person and I know myself well enough to know that I am easily persuaded by good arguments. I'm well aware it is a flaw for this type of game, so I am going to do my best to stick to my convictions from here on in until the suspect player can prove themselves innocent.

My thoughts on Eden - His initial willingness to vote random people for the smallest of reasons was what made me raise an eyebrow, especially as he voted for dfs in the same post he said to give the Euros a chance to post. This made no sense to me. It seemed as though he was willing to cast his vote in any direction for no apparent reason. I have since learned from Amiko that it is a way of getting people to talk about it and possibly force some conversation and defensiveness out of the person targeted. It still struck me as strange though. I am still on the fence on Eden, I think I need to reread his filter, and I will perhaps double post with my thoughts. I will just say that he provided a strong case against Yell0w in my opinion. Prior to that I had been very obviously on the fence about Yell0w.

Which brings me to Yell0w. I don't mean to BW here, but my suspicions have since been raised. At first I thought it was pretty unfair that he was being targeted for a joke, but his comments afterwards made me wonder what the hell he was up to. He clearly didn't respond well to bunnies' pressure which made him a prime suspect (and lead to my interest in Epishade). I then thought perhaps I was reading too much into him and went back to my little fence to watch some more when Eden produced that case study that pushed me a little. Whilst I am still not 100% convinced that Yell0w is scum, he is going to remain high up on my watch list. I guess I am leaning more towards Epishade being scum and if I am right then Yell0w will be the next on my list, but until then I am going to reserve my opinion until I have a little more evidence for Yell0w.

sqrt I really don't understand. He has been posting a lot, and most of them are short posts asking for information on other players. I'm not sure what to make of this at the moment, it could either be extremely town or extremely mafia. It is town in that he is pushing for conversation and wanting input from others (which is a good thing), but I think it could also be pro mafia strategy to avoid giving out too much information himself - the more he asks other people for info and their reads the less he has to talk about his own. I don't like this much. I also get the feeling he is very abrupt. He doesn't beat around the bush much, but when he does he is quite hazy on his views unless pushed to expand. Even then they are fairly short explanations and not really an explanation of his thought process.
I actually just noticed that ritoky mentioned the same things and sqrt responded saying it was his posting style. I think that maintaining that posting style is going to keep him in a negative light for me because I won't get around to understanding him as much as I would like to.

I have a lot more to say on the other players actually, but I don't have enough time right now. Will continue a bit later, and tomorrow is a holiday so I will have PLENTY of time to analyze and read cases. The players I am planning on covering in a bit more depth need a bit more research time for me.


Here he says he is quite suspicious of Yellow now. It's quite a change, and for reasons I still don't fully understand, but his change from Yellow as probable town (for whatever reason idk) to Yellow as suspicious, at a time when he still could have gone either way based on other people's thoughts on Yellow and not have had people think twice about his decision to do so, leads me to a few choices based on different scenarios.

If Yellow flips town, I'd say Dravernor looks a little scummy in this instance, but not enough to convince me of being full-blown mafia. There's still a possibility that he was concerned that Yellow's strange acting and responses made him think Yellow was scummy enough for him to switch his vote convincingly.

If Yellow flips scum, Dravernor is clear town.

Right now, I'd say Dravernor is neutral for me. Not enough evidence to lynch him. If anything, lynching Yellow would give everybody the most information we'd need right now to move forward, based on whose sides people have taken for and against Yellow.

Though I don't like lynching someone I think is town, especially after I defended them so strongly in the beginning of the game, I think it would give us the most useful information. If someone can convince me to move to a better vote, or something else big happens, I'm not opposed to changing it to someone better.

But just for now,

##VOTE: Yell0w

Epishade is much more clearly town after this.
Assume that I'm town. And that he's mafia. I'm already a bandwagon, it would be easy enough for him to jump on that. But he takes the time to vote yellow.

Actually, y'all, I think this makes both of them mafia partners.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 05:39 GMT
#850
I think there's a really good chance that sqrt and Epishade are two parts of the scumteam, looking at their D2 interactions here. Let's look:

- sqrt says that Yell0w is a strong townread, based on events throughout the whole turn. But he says that he would lynch Yell0w over Epishade. When I confronted him about this he completely deflected with a stupid snarky comment about my inactivity instead of answering me. The deflection in particular has really set off alarms to me because I can't see why on Earth he wouldn't just answer me straight as town. This makes sqrt scum, and he wouldn't have any incentive to indicate a preference to preserve town!Epishade over town!Yell0w after townreading town!Yell0w. He obviously would if we're looking at scum!Epishade though. It's also possible that scum!sqrt just slipped up and forgot he was townreading Yell0w heavily, but I think it's more likely that he's defending a teammate.
- Epishade stayed away from commenting on the sqrt case, opting instead to give an overly-lengthy explanation of his read on dravernor (neutral). He then opts for lynching Yell0w who he thinks is town... for... information? What? It's Day 2. We can do better than this. I see this as super-scummy and self-evidently so. sqrt then IMMEDIATELY townreads Epishade for this, which is utterly bizarre to me, because Epishade didn't try to gang up on sqrt. sqrt himself said it required us to accept his towniness which is certainly up in the air. I don't buy it and I think sqrt overstepped in trying to prop up his buddy.

sqrt and Epishade are scumbuddies. I could see Epishade being town, maybe, and sqrt just slipping on his read of Yell0w, which is why I prefer sqrt. I'll take Epishade as well but I don't feel strongly about the others to lynch them over one of these two.

I also have changed my mind about Yell0w after looking at this interaction. There's no way this whole thing goes down with Yell0w also being mafia. I think Yell0w is town looking at this.

Still really suspicious of mtamburini, but he's trying to figure things out while half the game isn't, which runs contrary to the serial killer's MO of hiding in the crowd. He's trending town and I'm more inclined to believe he was the vigilante than I am yesterday.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 05:44 GMT
#852
Yeah, bunnies was obviously covered by the jailer imo. If she was townread by a lot of people then of course the jailer would target her to keep her from getting nightkilled. That's what I would have done as the jailer, either her or Amiko.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 06:05 GMT
#859
On May 04 2014 14:51 mtamburini wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 04 2014 14:44 Eden1892 wrote:
Yeah, bunnies was obviously covered by the jailer imo. If she was townread by a lot of people then of course the jailer would target her to keep her from getting nightkilled. That's what I would have done as the jailer, either her or Amiko.


I dont get it please explain

I'm assuming the jailkeeper's roleblocking function is the same as a roleblocker's roleblocking function (that is, the target is notified regardless of her status as a power role or not).

Let's look at all of the possible roleblocking functions.
- mafia roleblocker (MRB)
- town roleblocker (TRB)
- town jailkeeper (TJK)

There are therefore six possible role combinations:
MRB/MRB
MRB/TRB
MRB/TJK
TRB/TRB
TRB/TJK
TJK/TJK

And nine possible explanations of what happened last night:
#1: MRB/MRB targeted mtamburini/27ninjabunnies
#2: MRB targeted tambo, TRB targeted bunnies
#3: TRB targeted tambo, MRB targeted bunnies
#4: MRB targeted tambo, TJK targeted bunnies
#5: TJK targeted tambo, MRB targeted bunnies
#6: TRB/TRB targeted tambo/bunnies
#7: TRB targeted tambo, TJK targeted bunnies
#8: TJK targeted tambo, TRB targeted bunnies
#9: TJK/TJK targeted tambo/bunnies

Anything involving the town roleblocker targeting bunnies is folly to me, as well as anything involving duplicate pairs. Just an intuitive guess on this one but I don't think there are duplicates of any of those roles. So that leaves #3, #4, #5, and #7. From there, I don't believe that a town-aligned role would roleblock mtamburini, because we were counting on mtamburini shooting Yell0w to confirm his killing-role claim. Therefore we're in scenario #2 and bunnies was jailed.

Consequently this proves mtamburini was roleblocked by the mafia, which implies one of two things:
1) Yell0w is mafia and the mafia were protecting him from getting killed
2) Yell0w is town and the mafia were denying information about mtamburini while casting suspicion on Yell0w

Next step is to look and see who was throwing suspicion on tambo and Yell0w today. We know sqrt and Epishade were throwing suspicion on Yell0w, I suspect any other mafia members would have been pressing on tambo.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 06:18 GMT
#861
Unfortunately I seem to be the only one who wanted tambo out early :^)

So I guess that's out. The other thought is that sqrt's and Epishade's partner(s) is/are lying low in a relatively inactive town and not really pushing on anyone. That's going to be people who aren't really putting out any visible effort to figure out the game state much. Here I'm looking at:

- dravernor
- ahswtini
- mysterymeat1
- dfs
- Yell0w

Yell0w can be written off immediately given the push Epishade made to deflect from sqrt (see previous post about why Yell0w is town). ahswtini is also unlikely because I don't really think sqrt would bother pushing his teammate ahswtini. I could definitely see dravernor since Epishade went to so much trouble to point out his good and bad stuff and then settled on a lazy "null" read, looks to me like he's just trying to make sure he has ostensibly-meaningful interaction with his partner. dfs is kinda in the background some and mysterymeat made a point of telling us he'd post a lot more, then hasn't.

Right now I'd say scumteam is sqrt, Epishade, dravernor.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 06:26 GMT
#865
Like I said, we're in scenario #2. The mafia roleblocked you to set up Yell0w for an easy mislynch, which Epishade has all too eagerly pushed. sqrt is running more general misdirection, prodding random people for inactivity while not developing any strong cases to show why people are actually mafia and not just inactive, and dravernor is lurking while he can get away with it.

I'm feeling good enough about you to say that you're vigilante instead of serial killer. Now validate my read and tell me what your theory of what's happening is. You look like you're trying to figure it out, I want to know what you're thinking.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 06:28 GMT
#866
Lol dammit, you're right ritoky I meant #4 not #2

As for why not Yell0w, because we're blatantly being set up to lynch him today. If there are 4 mafia (which isn't unreasonable with 13 people) then one more mislynch puts us at LYLO. I'm not wasting our possible only mislynch on information. We need to get scum.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 07:00 GMT
#870
I appreciate that you're trying and I buy that you're town at this point but I think you're just being paranoid about bunnies. Occam's Razor ==> she's town and was jailed. I can't see why a roleblocker would target her, she wasn't doing anything to indicate power role from what I saw. And she was nearly universally townread at the end of D1 I think so it makes more sense that the jailer would try to save her.

What do you think about killing sqrt, Epishade or dravernor? Especially sqrt.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 08:07 GMT
#875
bunnies: What is your opinion on my case on sqrt and Epishade?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 17:40 GMT
#893
Bunnies, we're getting short on time. Need your thoughts on lynching sqrt today.

tambo, what do you think about my case on sqrt? Do you think sqrt is town or mafia?

People who aren't voting sqrt: Why aren't you?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 04 2014 23:30 GMT
#921
:lurk...????????:
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 05 2014 00:06 GMT
#927
On May 05 2014 08:53 Epishade wrote:
You guys lynched Sqrt-buddy! How could you!

Says the guy who didn't make a serious attempt to rebut the case against sqrt or himself, or to push Yell0w, his mafia read, as a superior lynch to sqrt, his apparently strong town read.

You'll forgive me if I'm unimpressed. If you really felt this strongly about sqrt being innocent, where the hell were you today?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 05 2014 00:14 GMT
#929
Weak.

TAMBO: Who are you shooting tonight? We're down to 10, so if we're at 4 then a wrong shot would lose the game. I know you wanted to keep your cards close to the chest last night, but we really need to sort this out as a group here. My thought is that if you're going to hit town then they'll let it go through but if you're going to hit mafia they'll roleblock you. A lot's riding on your shot but if we're still around to discuss it tomorrow we'll have a damn good idea about where to go. I'm all for you shooting tonight, even with the risks, provided we can get a good bead on a mafia to shoot. So who do you want to shoot tonight?
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 05 2014 01:04 GMT
#932
The thought here is that he gets roleblocked no matter what if the mafia don't know who he's shooting, but you're right, I didn't think that through. I'm worried because he's got the power to decide the game right here, potentially, and he's openly talking about how "paranoid" he is and talking about shooting bunnies (which is a terrible mistake). I don't want to lose off of a stupid shot from him.

You're right, though, discussing it doesn't advantage us, we just give the mafia a road map on how to play the night. Don't answer that, tambo. Just don't let your paranoia guide your shot.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 05 2014 17:21 GMT
#938
sorry for my terrible idleness, exam crunch time is now

i'll be better about posting tomorrow afternoon and beyond
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
Eden1892
Profile Joined March 2014
United States5866 Posts
May 06 2014 00:44 GMT
#958
Finals a bitch

Brief response to Epishade:
1) nothing to say, I fucked up in asking the question, you rightfully called me on it and I acknowledged my mistake and retracted the question. this should be a null point because both town and scum optimal play is to retract. I don't get why you're reading it scum
2) this isn't a contradiction at all. we need to get rid of anti-town and our lynches should be using that as our guiding goal, not lynching for information like tambo wanted to do with Yell0w. if as I did on D1 I believe there's an sk and I have a good read on him, my optimal play is to kill him because it cuts the anti-town kp in half. aside from that, kill scum. by D2 I was convinced that tambo was the real vig so I dropped the sk line of argument and moved on to scum reads
3) of course I'm not going to assume sqrt is town if I'm developing a theory about who sqrt's teammate is. why would I do that? assuming he's town defeats the point of the entire exercise because he doesn't have a partner

I'm still sorting out what I think about Epishade, his arguments here are pretty bad and I'm not sure if it's deliberate or not. I think I wouldn't want to lynch him by default because he's trying to figure out the game state whereas other players (ahswtini, dfs, mysterymeat1, dravernor) aren't.

@MysteryMeat1: ritoky was strongly townreading me, where are you getting the idea that he wasn't

===

Power roles should claim now with any data they have imo. I don't know if we're at LYLO or LYLO-1 but I'm assuming the worst-case scenario (LYLO) until given reason to think otherwise. We should hopefully be able to POE from here.
“I like to see myself as the swim instructor that trows kids in the pool shouting at them they should try to not drink too much water.” - Koshi
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