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Newbie Mini Mafia LI - Page 51

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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TheChyz
Profile Joined November 2013
Canada238 Posts
January 10 2014 07:58 GMT
#1001
In my opinion Jonny and Derrida almost never interacted except for a little bit near the end. I think that derrida just went along whatever the other scum had chosen as their kill (in this case, Jonny).
LoneMeow
Profile Joined June 2013
Finland1396 Posts
January 10 2014 08:00 GMT
#1002
Day 2 vote count:

onlywonderboy (1): TheChyz
dnyarri (6): chinstrap, Balla24, BigDad, sidesprang, TheChyz, suki, Day_Walker

Not voting (3): Asuna, onlywonderboy, dnyarri

Currently, dnyarri is set to be lynched.
Deadline is Friday, Jan 10 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (in ). Voting is mandatory!

If there are errors, please let us know.

chinstrap
Profile Joined April 2011
United Kingdom253 Posts
January 10 2014 09:57 GMT
#1003
I won't be able to comment further today, apologies.

##Unvote
##Vote: onlywonderboy
suki
Profile Joined August 2009
Canada1159 Posts
January 10 2014 15:48 GMT
#1004
While this is a negative statement against Derrida it's hardly pushing him very hard. Could easily be a weak read to just to build cred if Derrida ever flipped scum (although I doubt the scum team expected it to come so soon) I also don't think his main theory of Asuna/dnyarri/Derrida is super solid. It revolves heavily around the idea of Derrida leaving out Asuana and dnyarri from his initial reads. I just can't imagine a scum player purposely leaving BOTH of his partners off of a list. It's so suspicious and something people could easily find. If that's what actually happened that might be the worst mafia play I've seen in all my newb games.

If we are less certain about dnyarri being scum I'm fine with finding a new target, but at this point even if we lynch him we find out a lot of information regardless of how he flips.


This is OWB's most recent post after I posted my case on him. Again, going by my read on him, he's still not making strong statements and is being wishy-washy with his opinions.

"If we are less certain about dnyarri being scum I'm fine with finding a new target" says to me, "I don't want to make a decision on who to lynch so I'll just follow what people think."

I think it's really suspicious that up to now, OWB has not made a single strong case on anyone, and I feel this fits more with his scum meta than town meta. His defense on Derrida definitely reads like a scum trying to save his buddy from being lynched.

He also did not respond to my post on him at all. I would have expected a townie OWB to respond to the accusations in some way, and there is definite scum motivation for trying to ignore pressure and hope it goes away. Instead, he just pushes some flimsy reads and calls it a day.

If Derrida wasn't NK'd last night, they may have been planning to run a defensive line such as 'Why would scum make a case against Jonny and Balla and then shoot them? This doesn't make sense, therefore Derrida could not have known what the night shot was going to be - hence he is bad townie."

Then if OWB+Derrida push a mislynch today, they are in a very good position on Day 3 with 4 town and 0 scum dead.

##unvote
##vote: OnlyWonderBoy
LoneMeow
Profile Joined June 2013
Finland1396 Posts
January 10 2014 15:54 GMT
#1005
Day 2 vote count:

onlywonderboy (3): TheChyz, chinstrap, suki
dnyarri (4): chinstrap, Balla24, BigDad, sidesprang, TheChyz, suki, Day_Walker

Not voting (3): Asuna, onlywonderboy, dnyarri

Currently, dnyarri is set to be lynched.
Deadline is Friday, Jan 10 10:00pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (in ). Voting is mandatory!

If there are errors, please let us know.
suki
Profile Joined August 2009
Canada1159 Posts
January 10 2014 15:58 GMT
#1006
Sorry for disappearing last night, I was out for the entire evening and passed out when I got home. I'll be here tonight after the lynch to discuss, and I should be able to take peeks at the thread throughout the day. I'm glad the activity in the thread picked up.

Also,

dnyarri: Please give us your opinion on OnlyWonderBoy.
Asuna: Your thoughts on the dnyarri/OWB discussion as well. Also you need to vote someone.
Balla24
Profile Joined December 2011
2322 Posts
January 10 2014 16:20 GMT
#1007
I like that logic for the Jonny NK. Only thing that actually makes sense to me...

In summary:

1. Lazy scumhunting
2. Strange wording when discussing dnyarri. Disappears for the rest of the day as if the lynch was in the bag.
3. No defense.
4. Weak defense of Derrida last night, seemed a bit surprised that he died.

##unvote
##vote Onlywonderboy

sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
January 10 2014 16:21 GMT
#1008
I've actually been looking into OWB the last hour. I really dislike the lack of activity atm, and its making me paranoid.

I also took note of the post you are refering to, and find it somewhat wierd. Tho my thoughts where more that why would he say those things about Derrida if town allready moved past ? Unless he knew derrida was scum and he went overly defensive about it.

I read up on a few of his old games:

http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=433102&user=onlywonderboy&currentpage=3
http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/viewmessage.php?topic_id=430766&user=onlywonderboy

I do feel his scumgame resembles this game more than his towngame. Tho I might just see what I want to see, so if someone else can also take a look at it, that would be nice. Also you played with him before Balla could you give some more insight since you were in those games.

I feel he is more passive and talks about non reads stuff in his scum game, which I also feel he has been doing to some extent here. And in his town game he seems to be tring a lot more to find scum.

Also if you check his profile you can see he is active here on TL.net. So why is he not posting more ?
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
sidesprang
Profile Joined January 2009
Norway1033 Posts
January 10 2014 16:22 GMT
#1009
oh I fucked those links up :S

Scumgame
Towngame
Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee.
Balla24
Profile Joined December 2011
2322 Posts
January 10 2014 16:23 GMT
#1010
This definitely resembles his scum game more. We'll see how he reacts under pressure. Last game he completely crumpled and just lurked until he got lynched. He's obviously not going to do that here, but we'll see.
Balla24
Profile Joined December 2011
2322 Posts
January 10 2014 16:37 GMT
#1011
On January 10 2014 16:46 Day_Walker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 10 2014 14:44 Balla24 wrote:
How could you miss that bigdad also has a vote on dnyarri..

Oh somehow I had it in my mind that BigDad voted for Dragoon first lynch. My bad. Since dnyarri has such a big target painted on him today, I wasn't putting much weight on the fact that BigDad has his vote on dnyarri right now.

Show nested quote +
On January 10 2014 14:57 Balla24 wrote:
Also, I'm confused about this. How is this scummy at all by OWB? How is he supposed to know you're town?

Right now I expect scum would be trying to put some of the heat on townies. Right now from my point of view, OWB is doing this. He is doing something that would make sense for scum to do. Of course it is totally possible that OWB it town, and its not a particularly strong argument for OWB scum even from my perspective.

Show nested quote +
On January 10 2014 14:57 Balla24 wrote:
It's also weird that you find the need to even include this since the rest of your post you cancel out OWB as a scum....

It's weird that when I share my thoughts about someone, I include both sides I see, even the side that I ultimately disfavor?



Day_walker I really don't understand this and your following posts. OWB is very clearly scum in your eyes, yet somehow you decide to vote DNYARRI still even though OWB is voting for him. Then in your following post you take the exact same position as OWB and even point out how uneasy it makes you. Yet you do it anyways.

It's also really annoying that you didn't vote last night, definitely should have showed your vote.
Balla24
Profile Joined December 2011
2322 Posts
January 10 2014 16:38 GMT
#1012
EBWOP: Cross that last sentence rofl...
Day_Walker
Profile Joined December 2013
104 Posts
January 10 2014 17:11 GMT
#1013
Mmm yeah I might be tunnel-visioning on dnyarri. Ok. You guys have convinced me that OWB is the better of the two.

##Unvote
##Vote: onlywonderboy
Deleted User 323385
Profile Joined December 2013
41 Posts
January 10 2014 17:13 GMT
#1014
@suki
I think onlywonderboy is certainly good candidate for lynching. onlywonderboy hasn't been around here to help find scum and only voted for me, which doesn't tell much since I have been safe bandwagon pick for some time. After comparing onlywonderboy's scum play, town play and current play, I think that onlywonderboy's current play resembles more their earlier scum play.

I guess that we will hear more from onlywonderboy before night since onlywonderboy is getting more and more votes which can't be ignored. I'll read those answers when they appear and decide whether I vote against onlywonderboy or not. In order to save myself I should probably vote against onlywonderboy anyway though.

Note that I'm still suspicious of Day_Walker after Day_Walker's last post. Balla24 already mentioned some inconsistencies. Here's something else said by Day_Walker:
Also I'm starting to be bothered by the fact that if I assume dnyarri scum, there is no clear candidate for the remaining scum. And, if we assume dnyarri town, then the most suspicious looking people are me, OWB, and BigDad.


So why do you Day_Walker still vote against me if you think that me being scum wouldn't give clear scum candidates? I think that would suggest that I'm either SK or townie.

Note: I don't believe that both Day_Walker and onlywonderboy are scum since onlywonderboy has made some posts that are somewhat critical of Day_Walker but I still consider it as a possibility.

So currently I suspect onlywonderboy little bit more than Day_Walker.
Balla24
Profile Joined December 2011
2322 Posts
January 10 2014 17:16 GMT
#1015
@Dnyarri what do you think about BigDad?
Deleted User 323385
Profile Joined December 2013
41 Posts
January 10 2014 17:18 GMT
#1016
EBWOP: Day_Walker voted against onlywonderboy just before I posted
TheChyz
Profile Joined November 2013
Canada238 Posts
January 10 2014 17:33 GMT
#1017
DW, do you still think dnyarri is also scum, why or why not?
Balla24
Profile Joined December 2011
2322 Posts
January 10 2014 17:58 GMT
#1018
@OWB how do you justify having DW as a scum read yet you continue to vote dnyarri even though DW wanted dnyarri lynched yesterday?
Day_Walker
Profile Joined December 2013
104 Posts
January 10 2014 18:02 GMT
#1019
Well, I thought more about my "simple and concrete evidence", and came up with this interpretation: at the time of Derrida's post, it seemed like a day 2 dnyarri lynch was in the making. If dnyarri is town, then Derrida knows that a townie is probably going to be the next day's lynch, and sees the opportunity to get some town cred by defending dnyarri (to no avail), and then getting to say I told you so. And if I frame the dnyarri scum scenario as "hey I need to go all in defending my scum mate dnyarri even though he is probably going to get lynched anyway and then I'll look bad", well, the dnyarri town option starts to look a lot more plausible.

So I think I need to retract my position that dnyarri is a strong lynch candidate, and if OWB flips scum then dnyarri actually looks quite town (based on OWB's day one vote).
Day_Walker
Profile Joined December 2013
104 Posts
January 10 2014 18:03 GMT
#1020
EBWOP for filter readers, this was in response to
On January 11 2014 02:33 TheChyz wrote:
DW, do you still think dnyarri is also scum, why or why not?

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