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IMCaptainJackSparrow
Bahamas303 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:34 hzflank wrote: Cora, you think that Exar is town anyway, so you should not be too worried. No because when Exar flips town you are going to move on to the next player and make horribly-reasoned cases on them and continue to make horrible associations based on your shitty cases. Scum could go AFK from this point on and they would still win the game. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:36 Clarity_nl wrote: I agree to two thirds of this plan. Let's talk about exar flipping town, who do you wanna lynch then? Still CJS or maybe a Koshi/Stutters? (probably stutters) Also, if we flip two goons, will you still think I'm scum? Last part is easy: there is a green check on Cora so he is GF or town, not goon. First part well: if Exar flips town then I will look a fool. The most likely scenario then is two from Koshi/JAT/FT/Stutters/Oats. I am not sure which two, at the moment. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
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Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:38 hzflank wrote: Last part is easy: there is a green check on Cora so he is GF or town, not goon. First part well: if Exar flips town then I will look a fool. The most likely scenario then is two from Koshi/JAT/FT/Stutters/Oats. I am not sure which two, at the moment. I haven't done any in depth analysis stuff today, but are you saying that for xrz to be scum, cjs has to be GF? We're also saying it's unlikely that scum has a roleblocker and a GF? If that's the case xrz isn't scum. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:41 Clarity_nl wrote: I haven't done any in depth analysis stuff today, but are you saying that for xrz to be scum, cjs has to be GF? We're also saying it's unlikely that scum has a roleblocker and a GF? If that's the case xrz isn't scum. No, I am not saying that. Exar can be scum without CJS being scum. I do not think it likely, though. Honestly Clarity, it is not me that you need to persuade, but other people. I really want to lynch Exar today and if he flips red then I will want to lynch Cora. I am unlikely to change my mind on that. | ||
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Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:44 Clarity_nl wrote: Like, xrz is scum leads to cjs being scum? yes/no? No. xrz being scum makes it much more likely that cjs is scum. xrs being town makes it much more likely that cjs is town. | ||
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Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
CJS's post before it turned day looks fishy, but I find it hard to see him as scum. You think he faked the day 1 ragequit as scum? | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
XRZ is our best target today, as he is really really fishy. If he is town, like half of the town is semi-confirmed. | ||
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IMCaptainJackSparrow
Bahamas303 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:50 raynpelikoneet wrote: hz do not make these association cases before flip. There is no need to use your energy into that now. Rayn you've been doing that all game. Don't be hypocritical. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:47 Clarity_nl wrote: I'm okay with the exar lynch. Either we confirm a bunch of people including me or we lynch scum. CJS's post before it turned day looks fishy, but I find it hard to see him as scum. You think he faked the day 1 ragequit as scum? Doesn't matter, we have a mislynch left anyway. If we want to play it super safe after xrz flips scum: Lynch Tofu, if town then cjs + clarity = scum, town wins if tofu = scum then only 1 scum left and still a bunch of town reads Basically, if exar flips red then town almost certainly wins. I think CJS/Clarity are the other 2 scum but it does not matter as we can spare the lynch on Tofu first, and I cannot be nightkilled. I can push Tofu and CJS lynches before I am shot twice, and if CJS flips godfather then everyone knows to lynch Clarity If the scum team is Exar/CJS/Clarity then you cannot win unless you somehow have a janitor to shoot me. | ||
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hzflank
United Kingdom2991 Posts
If XRZ is scum then we are golden. If XRZ is town then...not so much  | ||
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Koshi
Belgium38799 Posts
That combined with the fact hz and rayn are confirmed town and they want this lynch. ##vote:Exarzee But there are so many things I don't see XRZ do if he is scum like retracting his cop claim. But I was the guy that was convinced Malongo wasn't scum, that thought Vayne was maybe scum and was very convinced hz was scum. So wtf do I know. | ||
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justanothertownie
16324 Posts
On August 03 2013 06:17 Koshi wrote: JAT could also be a scum. There is a lot of defense coming from JAT towards XRZ. JAT also said he could phone XRZ if I am not mistaken? What the hell? I think you are indeed very mistaken my friend. Hz, I think you are a bit to sure about this. I don't think your not-a-cop-slip makes sense and I don't know why xrz should declaim if it doesn't. What I really don't understand is the kill on vayne but maybe they weren't afraid of raynes check (or didn't believe he really is a cop) because he announced an oats check (who would be vt or gf - if your balance assumptions are right more likely vt) and tried to set us up for a juicy rayn mislynch? The only thing that fucked with this plan is xrzs declaim. Am I stupid and this is impossible? If so why? Also why is it impossible that there is a doc still hiding? The only conclusive point for this is that he would probably have saved Vivax Day 1 but you can't be 100% sure everyone would have done that. There is so much speculation going on right now it's insane. | ||
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IMCaptainJackSparrow
Bahamas303 Posts
Good job sheeping Koshi. Going to work, be back later. | ||
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Clarity_nl
Netherlands6826 Posts
They'll probably kill rayn, or I suppose they might just roleblock him when xrz flips town. Best scenario is if xrz flips roleblocker. Like, are you assuming that scum cannot have a roleblocker and GF hz? Could you explain your reasoning? | ||
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:50 IMCaptainJackSparrow wrote: Rayn you've been doing that all game. Don't be hypocritical. The difference is i don´t use all my energy into them and i only bring them up when i need to justify something. | ||
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justanothertownie
16324 Posts
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Koshi
Belgium38799 Posts
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raynpelikoneet
Finland43270 Posts
On August 03 2013 07:56 Clarity_nl wrote: I think if xrz flips town we can figure the game out d4. They'll probably kill rayn, or I suppose they might just roleblock him when xrz flips town. Best scenario is if xrz flips roleblocker. Like, are you assuming that scum cannot have a roleblocker and GF hz? Could you explain your reasoning? Clarity, there is one cop and one vet (which can´t be blocked). The setup is already hard as it´s 10 vs 4. Do you think there is a godfather + roleblocker vs one cop? | ||
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